国产半导体

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放量洗盘?节前如能调整,哪些机会需重点抓住?
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-09-24 00:13
Group 1 - The core message emphasizes that the market is experiencing a pre-holiday adjustment, which is seen as an opportunity for future gains post-holiday [1][4][9] - The market's current volatility is attributed to risk-averse behavior ahead of the long holiday, with a notable drop in liquidity and pressure from margin trading [4][6] - Historical data indicates a higher probability of market gains following the holiday, with a 78% chance of an increase in the first five trading days after the holiday [7][8] Group 2 - The report identifies potential sectors for adjustment, including high-performing AI and robotics stocks, which may face profit-taking pressure [10] - Conversely, sectors like AI infrastructure and domestic semiconductors are highlighted as having significant growth potential despite current high valuations [11][12] - The report suggests that the core logic for future growth in technology stocks is supported by government policies aimed at enhancing "scientific content" and the ongoing demand for AI capabilities [9][13] Group 3 - The macroeconomic context includes a recent interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve, which is expected to positively impact technology stocks [32] - Upcoming events, such as the OpenAI developer conference and the Fourth Plenary Session, are anticipated to provide further catalysts for the technology sector [32][33] - The report outlines four main investment themes: AI infrastructure, domestic semiconductors, robotics, and consumer electronics, each with specific growth drivers [22][23][24]