Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that the market rotation is in a consolidation phase, with a focus on core assets in the Beijing Stock Exchange (北交所) related to technology and new consumption [10][15]. - The North Exchange 50 Index increased by 0.41%, while the specialized index rose by 0.07%. However, the average daily trading volume decreased by 23% [10][22]. - The report highlights a shift in A-share market hotspots from large-cap bank stocks to mid-cap core assets, with significant gains in sectors such as real estate, steel, building materials, and power equipment [10][11]. Group 2 - The report notes that 178 stocks in the North Exchange rose, while 87 fell, resulting in a rise-to-fall ratio of 2.05. The top gainers included Guoyi Bidding (+70.62%) and Benlang New Materials (+35.14%) [41][42]. - The average PE (TTM) for the North Exchange is reported at 96.79 times, with a median of 52.52 times, indicating a higher valuation compared to other exchanges [27][28]. - The trading volume for the North Exchange was 50.89 billion shares, with a trading value of 107.76 billion yuan, both showing a decrease compared to the previous week [28][22]. Group 3 - The report mentions that there were no new listings on the North Exchange this week, with a total of 268 companies currently listed [33][38]. - The new three-board market saw 6 new listings and 2 delistings, with a total of 6063 companies listed as of July 11, 2025 [52][54]. - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring key companies such as Jinbo Biology, Norseland, and Kangbit, which are considered core assets in the North Exchange [15].

Group 1 - The phenomenon of "involution" is most pronounced among young people, with average weekly working hours increasing by over 4 hours in the past five years. The average weekly working hours for employees aged 25-34 rose from 46.7 hours in 2018 to 50.8 hours in 2023 [3][28] - In the manufacturing and productive service sectors, the "involution" phenomenon is particularly evident, while the working hours in real estate, infrastructure, and life service industries have decreased. From 2018 to 2023, the working hours in manufacturing increased by 0.7 hours, while life service industries saw a significant increase of 3.7 hours [2][21][150] - The average daily working time in China has increased by 21 minutes from 2018 to 2023, reaching 48.3 hours per week, which has led to a reduction in the time residents spend on purchasing goods and services from 80 minutes per day to 43 minutes per day [2][9][150] Group 2 - Current policies to combat "involution" focus on encouraging flexible work arrangements and paid leave, but these measures primarily address symptoms rather than the root causes of prolonged working hours. The "Promoting Consumption Special Action Plan" suggests exploring the establishment of spring and autumn breaks for primary and secondary schools [4][35][150] - The root cause of "involution" is the uneven distribution of employment across industries, with excessive employment in manufacturing leading to "involution" and insufficient employment in the service sector. Tariffs could accelerate the shift of employment from manufacturing to services, achieving a rebalancing [4][48][150] - There is a significant short-term employment gap in the life service industry, with a potential to absorb more jobs. In 2023, there was a 1.5 trillion yuan gap between service employment and value added, indicating a shortage of jobs in sectors like cultural entertainment and residential services [5][61][150] Group 3 - The long-term direction for combating "involution" involves aligning supply structures with changing demand structures, as residents' demand is showing a long-term trend towards "servicization." Global experiences indicate that as GDP per capita reaches 10,000 to 30,000 USD and urbanization rates hit 70%, the proportion of services in total consumption increases by approximately 0.6% annually [6][85][150] - The aging population is expected to increase the demand for service consumption, with each 1% increase in the aging rate correlating with a 1.3% rise in service consumption share. This trend is evident in countries like Japan and South Korea [6][93][150] - The trend of smaller household sizes is further stimulating demand for enjoyment-based services, indicating a robust growth potential for service consumption. In China, the average household size has decreased to 2.8 people, which is associated with higher spending on services like tourism and beauty [6][101][150]

Group 1: Work Hours and Consumer Behavior - Since 2018, China's average weekly working hours have increased to 48.3 hours, which is 21 minutes more per day compared to 2018[3] - The time residents spend on purchasing goods and services has decreased from 80 minutes per day to 43 minutes per day[3] - The most significant "involution" is observed in the manufacturing and productive service sectors, while real estate and life service industries have seen a reduction in working hours[3][4] Group 2: Employment Trends Among Age Groups - The most pronounced "involution" trend is among young people, with an average increase of over 4 hours in weekly working hours over the past five years[4] - For the age group 25-34, weekly working hours increased from 46.7 hours in 2018 to 50.8 hours in 2023[4] - In contrast, individuals aged 55 and above have seen a decrease in working hours by 2.3 hours during the same period[4] Group 3: Policy Recommendations and Economic Rebalancing - Current policies encourage flexible work arrangements and paid leave to address "involution," but these measures primarily target symptoms rather than root causes[5] - The imbalance in employment distribution between manufacturing and service sectors is identified as a core issue, with tariffs potentially facilitating a shift from manufacturing to services[5] - The life service sector has the capacity to absorb labor from the manufacturing sector, as it has seen a 7 percentage point increase in employment share over the past two decades[5][6] Group 4: Service Sector Growth and Consumer Demand - The life service sector's wage growth (18.1%) has outpaced that of manufacturing (10.7%) and productive services (12.4%), indicating a labor shortage in the service sector[6] - There is a significant gap of approximately 1.5 trillion yuan in service employment compared to value-added, suggesting a need for more jobs in this sector[6] - As urbanization increases and GDP per capita rises, service consumption is expected to grow, with a projected annual increase of 0.6% in service consumption share as urbanization reaches 70%[6][7]

Production Sector - The coke oven operating rate increased to 75.29%, up by 1.86% from the previous week[7] - The high furnace operating rate rose to 84.35%, reflecting a 0.77% increase[7] - The full tire steel operating rate decreased to 62.46%, down by 2.97% from the previous week[7] Consumption Sector - Weekly box office revenue decreased to 216 million CNY, down by 2,000,000 CNY from the previous week[7] - Average daily retail sales of passenger cars fell to 61,788.25 units, a decrease of 4,001 units[7] - Average daily wholesale sales of passenger cars dropped to 73,632.75 units, down by 5,425.55 units[7] Real Estate and Infrastructure - The transaction area of commercial housing in 30 major cities increased to 167.19 million square meters, up by 18.21% from the previous week[7] - The land premium rate in 100 major cities rose to 7.5%, an increase of 3.27%[7] - Excavator sales reached 19,517 units, a significant increase of 7,877 units compared to the previous month[7] Trade and Inflation - The Shanghai Export Container Freight Index (SCFI) decreased to 1,347.84, down by 22.74 points[8] - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) for agricultural products showed a slight decline, with the wholesale price index at 118.13, down by 0.69%[8] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) indicated a rebound in domestic and international commodity prices[8] Transportation - The subway passenger volume in Beijing decreased to 1,057.37 million trips, down by 5.02%[8] - The number of domestic flights (excluding Hong Kong, Macau, and Taiwan) decreased to 12,847.57 flights, down by 92.29 flights[8] - The China Road Logistics Price Index increased slightly to 1,050.75, up by 0.61[8]