（文章来源：每日经济新闻） 非银金融概念股走弱，华泰证券、广发证券跌超3%，中国平安、国泰海通、中国太保、中国人寿跌超2%。 有券商表示，2025年券商板块基本面持续改善，但板块整体"滞涨"，当前估值显著低估；展望2026年，券商ROE有望重回上升通道，预计 两融余额与衍生品业务将成为券商加杠杆主方向，头部券商并购重组提速，行业集中度有望提升。 保险方面，负债端开门红表现亮眼，头部险企凭借产品结构优化和市场集中度优势，为全年业绩增长奠定良好基础。与此同时，资产端弹 性持续显现，一方面，市场春季躁动有望带动险企投资收益改善，进一步提振利润预期；另一方面，去年一季度低基数效应有望放大今年 业绩同比增速。负债端与资产端双重利好共振，强化了保险板块的估值修复动力。 受盘面影响，证券保险相关ETF跌约2%。 | 代码 | 类型 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌 涨跌幅 ▲ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 512070 主 证券保险ETF易方达 | | 0.962 | -0.023 -2.34% | | 513090 跨 | 香港证券ETF易方达 T+0 | 2.160 | -0.049 -2.22% ...

元旦之后A股"牛气"持续，到1月7日沪指实现14连阳，并创出本轮牛市新高。市场向上的背后，是投资 者对股市参与热情的持续高涨。 上证所数据显示，2025年全年A股新开账户数同比增长9.75%。其中个人投资者一年增加2733.24万户， 同比增长9.67%；而机构新开A股账户10.4539万户，同比增长34.91%。 散户、机构都在入场 2025年12月份A股新开户259.67万户，环比增长9%，较2024年12月的198.91万户增长30.55%。由此， 2025年A股新开户总数出炉，达到2743.69万户，同比增长9.75%。 在12月份新开的A股账户中，个人投资者新开258.56万户，机构新开1.11万户，继2025年9月份之后重回 1万户以上。 2025年全年，个人投资者合计新开A股账户2733.24万户，同比增长9.67%；机构新开A股账户10.4539万 户，同比增长34.91%。截至2025年底，A股市场累计总户数为39742.96万户，其中个人投资者总户数为 39617.2159万户。 从2025年每个月A股新开户情况来看，3月份开户数最多，也是唯一单月开户数超过300万户的月份，开 户数达到3 ...

2025年12月份A股新开户259.67万户，环比增长9%，较2024年12月的198.91万户增长30.55%。由此， 2025年A股新开户总数出炉，达到2743.69万户，同比增长9.75%。 在12月份新开的A股账户中，个人投资者新开258.56万户，机构新开1.11万户，继2025年9月份之后重回 1万户以上。 2025年全年，个人投资者合计新开A股账户2733.24万户，同比增长9.67%；机构新开A股账户10.4539万 户，同比增长34.91%。截至2025年底，A股市场累计总户数为39742.96万户，其中个人投资者总户数为 39617.2159万户。 个人投资者一年增加2733.24万户，同比增长9.67%；机构新开A股账户10.4539万户，同比增长34.91%。 元旦之后A股"牛气"持续，到1月6日沪指实现13连阳，并创出本轮牛市新高。市场向上的背后，是投资 者对股市参与热情的持续高涨。 上交所数据显示，2025年全年A股新开账户数同比增长9.75%。其中个人投资者一年增加2733.24万户， 同比增长9.67%；而机构新开A股账户10.4539万户，同比增长34.91%。 散户、机构都 ...

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced a volatile adjustment last week, with significant divergence among major indices and notable structural characteristics in the market [1] - Technology applications strengthened, while the oil and petrochemical sectors saw consecutive weeks of gains; the commercial sector continued to boost the military industry, but the new energy sector faced a pullback [1] Macro Analysis - In December, the domestic manufacturing PMI showed a seasonal rebound, rising to 50.1%, an increase of 0.9 percentage points from November, marking the first time since April that it entered the expansion zone [2] - Among 21 surveyed industries, 16 reported a PMI increase compared to November, driven by improved trade conditions, increased external demand, and domestic policy adjustments [2] - Key macro policies include early issuance of local government debt limits for 2026 and a total of approximately 295 billion yuan allocated for early construction projects, aimed at accelerating fund disbursement [2] Overseas Economic Data - Recent U.S. economic data exceeded expectations, with pending home sales in November rising by 3.3%, significantly above the anticipated 0.9% [3] - Initial jobless claims unexpectedly fell to 199,000, compared to the expected 218,000 [3] - The December FOMC meeting minutes indicated a hawkish tone, with most participants supporting potential rate cuts if inflation trends downward, while also acknowledging risks of rising inflation [3] Investment Strategy - The company is optimistic about technology growth, non-bank financials, and cyclical assets as the Chinese stock market is expected to stabilize and surpass significant thresholds in 2026 [4] - Factors supporting this outlook include anticipated U.S. interest rate cuts, continued inflow of incremental capital, and policy measures aimed at stabilizing the real estate market [4] - The focus is on sectors benefiting from AI and emerging market industrialization trends, as well as cyclical valuation opportunities under domestic demand expansion [4] Sector-Specific Insights - In the technology growth sector, there is potential in domestic internet, electronics, media, and computing, particularly with the ongoing chip technology breakthroughs and storage price increases [5] - Non-bank financials are expected to benefit from increased wealth management demand and capital market reforms, with a focus on insurance and brokerage sectors [5] - Cyclical sectors are showing marginal improvements in valuation and are likely to benefit from policies aimed at expanding domestic demand and stabilizing the real estate market, including tourism, hospitality, and commodities [6]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the significant growth in China's public fund management industry, with total net asset value reaching a historical high of 37.02 trillion yuan by the end of November, marking eight consecutive months of growth [1] - As of the end of November, there are 165 public fund management institutions in China, including 150 fund management companies and 15 asset management institutions with public qualifications [1] - The growth in public fund size in November was primarily driven by money market funds, which increased by nearly 130 billion yuan, and bond funds, which grew by over 30 billion yuan compared to the end of October [1] Group 2 - Despite a nearly 2% decline in the A-share market in November, the net value of equity funds saw a decrease, with the total size of equity funds reaching 5.8 trillion yuan, down 2.2% from the previous month [2] - The latest data shows that the total share of equity funds at the end of November reached 3.82 trillion shares, reflecting a month-on-month growth of 2.09% [2] - Investor interest in equity and mixed funds remains strong, with both categories seeing significant share increases of 783.11 billion shares and 108.46 billion shares, respectively, compared to the end of October [2]

（文章来源：第一财经） 天风证券研报表示，近期，随着海外货币政策等不确定性因素落地，A股面临的外部环境趋于平稳，市 场正进入布局"春季躁动"的关键窗口。关注方向：被提及较多的主线包括：科技成长：关注AI（算力、 应用端）、商业航天、机器人等。顺周期/价值：关注工业金属、化工、非银金融等。高股息：短期性 价比突出，有望迎来反弹。 ...

今日，A股强势上攻，上证指数收复3900点，创业板指、科创50均大涨超2%，深证成指、中证500等亦 涨超1%，市场成交温和增加至1.88万亿元。 盘面上，海南本地股、通信设备、贵金属、电机制造等板块涨幅居前，影视院线、房地产、电信服务、 医药商业等板块跌幅居前。 今日，部分前期热门股出现剧烈震荡走强。此前连续3涨停的中天服务（002188），早间继续以涨停开 盘，但封盘仅持续了约5分钟就开始大幅跳水，盘中一度触及跌停。 连续2涨停的华体科技（603679）今日同样再度以涨停开盘，但开盘即闪崩，仅以比跌停高1分钱的价格 报收，博纳影业、洛凯股份、苏利股份、南京商旅等均以跌停报收。 Wind实时监测数据显示，电子行业获得逾254亿元主力资金净流入，通信获得逾119亿元净流入，电力 设备获得逾97亿元净流入，基础化工、有色金属均获得超60亿元净流入，机械设备、交通运输、汽车也 都获得超40亿元净流入。银行遭主力资金净流出逾22亿元，传媒、公用事业均净流出逾10亿元。 展望后市，华福证券认为，在消费带动下，跨年行情或已启动。市场风偏和流动性改善，科技主线或仍 占优，建议重点关注国产算力的相关机会。此外，商业航天产业 ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced a decline influenced by the significant drop in the AI technology sector in the US, but the non-bank financial sector, particularly insurance and brokerage stocks, showed resilience and upward movement due to favorable policy changes and market dynamics [1][3][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - The A-share market indices closed down, with the Shanghai Composite, Shenzhen Component, and ChiNext falling by 0.55%, 1.1%, and 1.77% respectively, with a total market turnover of 1.79 trillion yuan, a decrease of 324.6 billion yuan from the previous trading day [1]. - Despite the overall market decline, sectors such as food and beverage, retail, and insurance saw significant gains, with the securities insurance ETF (512070) rising by 2.02% and 7.18% over the past week [1]. Group 2: Non-Bank Financial Sector - The non-bank financial sector has become a focal point for investors, particularly following a recent policy announcement from the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) that aims to expand capital space and leverage limits for quality brokerages, enhancing capital efficiency [5][6]. - The current leverage ratio in the brokerage industry stands at 4.42 times, and the policy easing is expected to boost the scale of margin financing and proprietary trading, leading to optimistic expectations for the industry's return on equity (ROE) [6][7]. Group 3: Insurance Sector Developments - The insurance sector received a significant boost from a recent notification by the Financial Regulatory Administration, which lowered risk factors for insurance companies' investments in stocks, particularly for long-term holdings in major indices [8][9]. - This reduction in risk factors is expected to release substantial capital for investment, potentially injecting 108.6 billion yuan into the stock market if fully allocated to the CSI 300 index [10][11]. - The insurance sector's stock prices surged by 5.8% in a single day following the announcement, reflecting strong market expectations for the industry [15]. Group 4: Long-Term Investment Opportunities - The insurance and brokerage sectors are seen as attractive long-term investment opportunities due to their relatively low valuations compared to historical averages, with the insurance industry's average price-to-embedded value (PEV) ranging from 0.60 to 0.95 times [25]. - The ongoing policy support and the shift towards long-term capital inflows into the market are expected to further enhance the appeal of these sectors, especially in a low-interest-rate environment [32][33]. - The insurance sector has increasingly diversified its investments into high-growth technology stocks, indicating a shift in asset allocation strategies that could yield higher returns [35].

Weekend Major Events - AI trading concerns were triggered by Broadcom's disappointing sales guidance, leading to an 11% drop in its stock and a 5% decline in the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index, marking the largest drop in months. This anxiety was initially sparked by Oracle, which saw its stock decline due to rising capital expenditures and delays in data center projects [2] - The Central Financial Office's Han Wenshu announced that China's economic indicators for 2025 are expected to exceed expectations, with a projected GDP of around 140 trillion yuan. Incremental policies will be implemented in 2026 based on changing circumstances [4] - The government is encouraging local business departments to utilize existing funding channels to promote consumption, emphasizing collaboration with financial support to stimulate consumer potential [5] - The People's Bank of China reiterated its commitment to a moderately loose monetary policy to maintain financial market stability, focusing on promoting economic growth and reasonable price recovery [6] - SpaceX's valuation has reached $800 billion, with plans for an IPO in 2026, indicating serious preparations for public listing [7] - The National Medical Insurance Administration aims to achieve "no out-of-pocket" expenses for childbirth within policy scope by 2026, contingent on the fund's capacity [8] - Moutai plans to halt the issuance of off-plan quotas this year and reduce non-standard products next year, focusing on core products [9] - More threads regarding idle fundraising cash management by Moer Technology clarified that it will not affect project implementation [10] - Vanke's three extension proposals were not approved, but there is a five-day grace period for negotiations [11] - The Financial Regulatory Bureau supports stabilizing the real estate market and aims to create a new development model for real estate [12] Major Securities Firms' Latest Insights - CITIC Securities suggests a focus on both domestic and foreign demand, indicating that while external demand may face challenges, internal demand shows increasing potential for recovery [14] - Shenwan Hongyuan notes that the macro environment has reverted, but upward space for A-shares remains limited due to concerns over tech capital expenditures [15] - Guojin Securities emphasizes that fluctuations in financial market expectations will not halt the real economy's progress, and investors should focus on fundamental changes [17] - CITIC Jiantou believes that the market has completed its adjustment phase and anticipates a new wave of market activity driven by structural trends and capital market reforms [18] - Xinda Securities discusses the sustainability of the growth sector's rebound, suggesting that the current environment may limit the rebound potential of tech stocks [19] - Dongfang Caifu advises caution regarding external disturbances and suggests patience in market positioning, especially with upcoming economic data releases [20] - Huazhong Securities highlights the importance of turnover rates in assessing the growth sector's market opportunities [21][22] - Huaxi Securities recommends low-cost positioning for the upcoming cross-year market, supported by recent key meetings and improved market sentiment [23] - Dongwu Securities notes that the market is currently stabilizing after previous adjustments, with a focus on policy and data in the upcoming spring market [24] - Everbright Securities anticipates a favorable cross-year market supported by new policy deployments, with a focus on TMT and advanced manufacturing sectors [25]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the non-bank financial sector [7]. Core Insights - The non-bank financial sector has shown strong overall performance this week, with brokerage firms experiencing an increase in market activity, maintaining historical highs. It is expected that the sector will continue to see high growth trends in earnings through 2025, suggesting a focus on the sector's future allocation value [2][4]. - In the insurance sector, the third-quarter reports have confirmed the logic of deposit migration, increased equity allocation, and improved new policy costs. The long-term return on equity (ROE) is expected to improve, leading to a potential acceleration in valuation recovery. The overall cost-effectiveness of allocations is gradually increasing, indicating a revaluation of the sector is underway [2][4]. - Recommendations include focusing on companies with stable earnings growth and dividend rates, such as Jiangsu Jinzu, China Ping An, and China Pacific Insurance, which have clear advantages in business models and market positions. Additionally, companies like Xinhua Insurance, China Life, Hong Kong Stock Exchange, CITIC Securities, Dongfang Wealth, Tonghuashun, and Jiufang Zhitu Holdings are also recommended based on their performance elasticity and valuation levels [4]. Market Performance - The non-bank financial index increased by 0.8% this week, with an excess return of 0.9% relative to the CSI 300, ranking high in the industry [5]. - Year-to-date, the non-bank financial index has risen by 6.7%, but with an excess return of -9.7% compared to the CSI 300, ranking lower in the industry [5]. - The average daily trading volume in the two markets reached 19,530.44 billion yuan, a week-on-week increase of 15.14%, with a daily turnover rate of 2.03%, up by 26.88 basis points [5]. Key Industry News & Company Announcements - China Life's cumulative total premium income has exceeded 700 billion yuan [6]. - Guosen Securities plans to distribute cash dividends totaling approximately 1.024 billion yuan, accounting for 11.21% of the net profit attributable to shareholders for the first three quarters [6]. - Industrial Securities announced a mid-term profit distribution plan, with a total cash dividend of 432 million yuan based on a total share capital of 8.636 billion shares [6].