中金研究 在全球股市经验的首篇 《股市长牛之美国经验：呵护成长性》 ，我们复盘了1980年代以来美国股市长牛的历史经验。本篇作为系列报告的第二篇，我 们回顾1990年代资产泡沫破灭后的十多年间，日本股市结构性上涨的历史启示。 点击小程序查看报告原文 Abstract 摘要 1990年后，日本经历"失落的二十年"。但我们认为，仅从整体角度看日本宏观经济基本面和股市，忽视了其中的结构性转变和投资机会，这二十年中，日 本股市出现明显的"结构性"行情。 日本结构性上涨背后反映的是日本经济的结构性转变，是企业出海、高技术主导和公司治理改善共同作用的结果。 如果把日本对国内地产和通缩暴露较 多的"老经济"行业去除，"新经济"行业指数在90年代后趋势走强。其中，工业、科技、通信，甚至大消费板块表现较好。除资产端外，稳定的资金，尤其 是长线资金和海外资金入市，对日本结构性上涨形成资金端支撑。 海外暴露： 90年代日本出口保持高增，对外直接投资增加。制造业，特别是高端制造业，是日本对外投资的主要方向，带动日本海外生产和销售占比提 升。日本海外投资具有更高的利润率，改善企业整体盈利能力。 高技术主导： 日本国内宏观层面长期低迷并 ...

Core Viewpoint - Titan Technology (688133.SH) aims to enhance its strategic development and expand its business scope by leveraging the investment experience and financial advantages of professional investment institutions [1] Group 1: Strategic Investment - The company plans to invest 29 million yuan as a limited partner in Shanghai Tailijingyuan Venture Capital Partnership (Limited Partnership), tentatively named "Relay Fund Phase VII" [1] - The fund will primarily focus on early-stage technology startups in industries related to new materials and scientific services [1] Group 2: Business Development - This strategic investment is expected to optimize and improve the company's industrial layout, providing better industry resources, technical support, and investment target selection for future strategic investments and mergers and acquisitions [1] - The initiative aims to promote business development, collaborative innovation, and ecosystem construction [1]

Core Viewpoint - Titan Technology (688133.SH) aims to enhance its strategic development and expand its business scope by leveraging the investment experience and financial advantages of professional investment institutions [1] Group 1: Strategic Investment - The company plans to invest 29 million yuan as a limited partner in Shanghai Tailijingyuan Venture Capital Partnership (Limited Partnership), tentatively named "Relay Fund Phase VII" [1] - The fund will primarily focus on investing in early-stage technology startups related to new materials and scientific services [1] Group 2: Business Development - This strategic investment is expected to optimize and improve the company's industrial layout, providing better industry resources, technical support, and investment target selection for future strategic investments and mergers and acquisitions [1] - The initiative aims to promote business development, collaborative innovation, and ecosystem construction [1]

Group 1 - Titan Technology's stock price has declined for eight consecutive days, with a total drop of 19.16%, currently trading at 24.38 CNY per share and a market capitalization of 4.009 billion CNY [1] - The company, established in October 2007 and listed in October 2020, provides integrated technical solutions for scientific services, including research reagents, biological consumables, analytical consumables, laboratory instruments, and specialized chemicals [1] - The revenue composition of Titan Technology includes 25.08% from proprietary specialty chemicals, 20.48% from proprietary high-end reagents, and 15.65% from third-party research instruments and consumables [1] Group 2 - Rongtong Fund holds 1.161 million shares of Titan Technology in its Rongtong Healthcare Industry Mixed Fund A/B, representing 3.28% of the fund's net value, making it the ninth largest holding [2] - During the eight-day decline, the fund has incurred a floating loss of approximately 670.98 thousand CNY [2] - The Rongtong Healthcare Industry Mixed Fund A/B has achieved a year-to-date return of 22.05% and a one-year return of 33.89% [2] Group 3 - The fund managers of Rongtong Healthcare Industry Mixed Fund A/B are Wan Minyuan and Liu Xiyang, with Wan having a tenure of nearly 10 years and a best fund return of 157.54% during his management [3] - Liu Xiyang has been managing the fund for about 1.5 years, with a best fund return of 4.17% during his tenure [3]

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - The company plans to continue using part of the idle raised funds for cash management, ensuring that it does not affect the investment projects and the safety of the raised funds, while aiming to increase returns for the company and its shareholders [1][4][6]. Fundraising Basic Situation - The company raised a total of RMB 1,003,512,562.56 from the issuance of 7,624,896 A shares at a price of RMB 131.61 per share, with a net amount of RMB 985,184,001.46 after deducting related issuance costs [1]. Previous Use of Idle Funds - The company approved the use of up to RMB 400 million of idle funds for cash management, focusing on high-security and liquid investment products, with a rolling usage period of 12 months [2][3]. Current Cash Management Plan - The company intends to use up to RMB 400 million of idle funds for cash management, with a focus on safe and liquid investment products, maintaining the same 12-month usage period [3][4]. Investment Purpose - The goal is to improve the efficiency of fund usage and increase returns for the company and shareholders without affecting the investment projects [3][4]. Investment Products - The company will invest in high-security and liquid products such as agreement deposits, structured deposits, time deposits, notice deposits, and large certificates of deposit, ensuring these funds are not used for pledging or securities investment [3][4][7]. Decision Validity Period - The decision is valid for 12 months from the date of board approval [3][4]. Authorization Matters - The board authorizes the management to make investment decisions and sign relevant documents within the approved limits and validity period [4][6]. Information Disclosure - The company will comply with relevant regulations for timely information disclosure and will not change the purpose of the raised funds [4][8]. Cash Management Income Distribution - Income from cash management will be used to supplement investment project funding and daily operational liquidity, with funds returned to the special account upon maturity [4][6]. Impact on the Company - The cash management plan will not affect the normal operation of the company or the investment projects, and it aims to generate additional returns for the company and shareholders [4][6][7]. Independent Director and Supervisory Board Opinions - Both the independent directors and the supervisory board agree that the cash management plan is compliant with regulations and beneficial for the company and shareholders, ensuring no harm to the interests of minority shareholders [6][7][8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the pharmaceutical and biotechnology industry, expecting the industry index to outperform the market index by over 10% in the next six months [6][26]. Core Insights - The SW pharmaceutical and biotechnology industry underperformed the CSI 300 index, declining by 5.05% from June 13 to June 26, 2025, which is approximately 6.43 percentage points lower than the index [13][26]. - All sub-sectors within the industry recorded negative returns during the same period, with medical consumables and hospital sectors experiencing the least decline at 0.17% and 0.4%, respectively. In contrast, chemical preparations and offline pharmacy sectors saw larger declines of 6.12% and 6.11% [14][26]. - Approximately 16% of stocks in the industry recorded positive returns, while around 84% experienced negative returns during the reporting period [15][18]. - The overall price-to-earnings (PE) ratio for the SW pharmaceutical and biotechnology industry was approximately 47.76 times as of June 26, 2025, which is 3.83 times relative to the CSI 300 index. The industry valuation has decreased and is currently at a relatively low level compared to recent years [19][26]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Review - The SW pharmaceutical and biotechnology industry underperformed the CSI 300 index, with a decline of 5.05% from June 13 to June 26, 2025 [13]. - All sub-sectors recorded negative returns, with the least affected being medical consumables and hospitals [14]. - About 16% of stocks in the industry had positive returns, with the highest gainers and losers identified [15][18]. 2. Industry News - The report highlights significant developments in the industry, including the implementation of centralized procurement for traditional Chinese medicine across 25 provinces, set to take effect from July 1, 2025 [24]. 3. Company Announcements - Notable announcements include a licensing agreement by Rongchang Biopharmaceuticals, which will receive $125 million in cash and potential milestone payments up to $4.105 billion from Vor Biopharma for the development and commercialization of a product [25]. 4. Weekly Industry Perspective - The report suggests continued focus on investment opportunities within the innovative drug sector, particularly as domestic companies begin to reap the benefits of years of research and development [26][28].

Core Viewpoint - Titan Technology has established a smart production base in Yichang, Hubei, which represents a significant shift in China's scientific service industry, moving from reliance on imported reagents and equipment to a strong domestic presence [1][2]. Company Development - Titan Technology was founded by a group of university students aiming to provide better services for laboratories, focusing on the reliability of reagents and equipment [2][3]. - The company received initial funding of 200,000 yuan from the Shanghai University Student Science and Technology Entrepreneurship Fund, which has supported numerous entrepreneurial projects since its inception in 2006 [2]. Business Strategy - The company has shifted its strategy from merely pursuing scale to focusing on profitability, with a significant increase in the sales and gross margin of its proprietary brands [4][5]. - In 2024, the sales revenue from proprietary brands accounted for 63.23% of total sales, with a gross margin of 84.74%, indicating a strong competitive position in the market [4]. Mergers and Acquisitions - Titan Technology has actively pursued mergers and acquisitions to expand its proprietary brand portfolio, completing acquisitions of three companies and establishing two joint ventures in 2024 [5][6]. - The acquisition of Anhui Tiandi High-Purity Solvent Co., Ltd. significantly increased its production capacity from 3,800 tons to 13,800 tons after modernization [5]. Product Development - The company has launched new high-end scientific instruments, such as the IVScope8000Pro small animal imaging system, and developed gold standard chromatographic solvents, which have received positive market feedback [6][7]. - The gold standard chromatographic solvents have been upgraded to significantly reduce impurities, meeting or exceeding the standards of imported brands [6]. Digital Transformation - Titan Technology emphasizes digitalization and modeling in its operations to enhance efficiency and reduce costs, including the development of an intelligent warehousing and logistics system [7][8]. - The company has implemented a full inventory QR code digital management system, improving inventory management efficiency and traceability [7]. Future Outlook - The smart production base is designed to operate with minimal human intervention, utilizing advanced AI algorithms for real-time data analysis and predictive maintenance, which will enhance product quality and operational efficiency [8].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [1] Core Viewpoints - The report indicates that the turning point has been reached, and there is optimism regarding the elasticity of the scientific services sector [3][6] - The sector has experienced significant adjustments in funding, and with the combination of fundamental turning points and policy support, a valuation reversal is expected [4] Summary by Sections 1. Funding Situation - As of Q1 2025, the total market value of institutional holdings in the scientific services sector is 3.286 billion, accounting for 0.11% of total fund holdings, indicating a low allocation by institutions [4][12] - From January 1, 2025, to May 7, 2025, the average increase in the scientific services sector was 9%, outperforming the pharmaceutical index by 7.7 percentage points [4][13] 2. Fundamentals - **Revenue**: The average year-on-year revenue growth for core scientific service targets in 2024 is 7.17%, with significant recovery in low-consumption categories [5][23] - **Gross Margin**: The average gross margin for core targets in 2024 is 47.99%, with a gradual recovery expected as cost control and capacity utilization improve [5][25] - **Capital Expenditure**: The total capital expenditure for the sector in 2024 is 4.643 billion, a decrease of 35% year-on-year, indicating a shift towards an investment harvest period [5][29] - **Inventory**: The average inventory turnover rate for core targets in 2024 is 3.7 times, showing an optimization trend [5][39] - **Net Profit Margin**: The average net profit margin for core targets in 2024 is 5.22%, with a slight increase to 5.47% in Q1 2025, indicating a recovery in profitability [5][50] 3. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies with strong growth certainty and clear trends in profitability improvement, highlighting Titan Technology, Haoyuan Pharmaceutical, Bid Medical, and Nanwei Technology as key recommendations [7][53]

导读： 下游增长不足，存量竞争激烈，营收微增但净利润大幅下滑。整体来看，泰坦勇于在危机中寻找机会，执行力也很强，如果能够在二级市场得到新的资金 补充，相信会有更好的表现。 特别提示 微信机制调整，点击顶部"仪器信息网" → 右上方"…" → 设为 ★ 星标，否则很可能无法看到我们的推送。 泰坦科技于近日发布2 0 2 4年年报，报告期内，公司实现营业收入2 8 . 8 4亿元，同比增长4 . 11%；归属于上市公司股东的净利润为1 2 8 9 . 2 9万元， 同比下降8 2 . 2 3%；扣除非经常性损益后的净利润为5 7 2 . 0 9万元，同比下降8 8 . 8 7%。财务费用3 5 1 9 . 2 8万元，同比增长6 4 . 3 8%。 泰坦科技——下游增长不足，存量竞争激烈，营收微增但净利润大幅下滑 2 0 2 4年毛利率2 0 . 1 5%，净利率0 . 2 7%。毛利率下滑的不多，但是净利率下降得非常厉害 公 司 成 立 于 2 0 0 7 年 ， 2 0 2 0 年 上 市 ， 公 司 通 过 提 供 科 研 试 剂 、 特 种 化 学 品 、 科 研 仪 器 及 耗 材 和 实 验 室 建 ...