Core Insights - The article discusses the significant price increase of down jackets due to rising raw material costs, particularly duck down and goose down, which have surged since October [2][4][6]. Price Trends - Duck down prices have skyrocketed, with 90% white duck down reaching approximately 580,000 yuan per ton, up from 170,000 yuan [4]. - Goose down prices are now around 980,000 yuan per ton [4]. - As of November 19, the price for 90% white duck down was 559.32 yuan per kilogram, a year-on-year increase of 7.6%, while 90% gray duck down was priced at 541.94 yuan per kilogram, up 9.58% year-on-year [4]. Market Dynamics - The down processing industry typically experiences a seasonal price increase during autumn, known as "golden September and silver October" [6]. - The decline in pork prices has led to reduced duck and goose production, contributing to the scarcity of down and subsequent price hikes [6]. - Extreme cold weather this winter could further exacerbate the price increases in down products [6]. Cost Structure - The cost of raw materials for a down jacket filled with 90% white duck down and 150 grams of filling ranges from 63 to 82.5 yuan, leading to a core cost of 126 to 247.5 yuan [8]. - The reasonable selling price of such a jacket is unlikely to be below 300 yuan when considering additional costs [8]. Consumer Guidance - The article emphasizes the importance of understanding key indicators when purchasing down jackets, such as down content, filling amount, and compliance with the new national standard (GB/T 14272-2021) [12][13]. - Consumers are advised to check for the down content percentage, with higher percentages indicating better warmth [17]. - The filling amount (in grams) is crucial for determining the jacket's insulation effectiveness [18].

Price Trends - Downstream demand for down products has surged, with prices increasing since October. As of November 19, the price for 90% white duck down reached 559.32 RMB per kilogram, a year-on-year increase of 7.6%, while 90% grey duck down was priced at 541.94 RMB per kilogram, up 9.58% year-on-year [1] - The price of 90% white duck down has escalated from 170,000 RMB per ton to approximately 580,000 RMB, while goose down is now priced at 980,000 RMB per ton. The cost of producing a short adult down jacket has risen significantly, requiring down from about 100 ducks, pushing factory prices close to 1,000 RMB [1] Market Dynamics - The down processing industry experiences a seasonal peak in demand during autumn, leading to continuous price increases. This year's price surge is attributed not only to seasonal demand but also to the decline in pork prices, which affects the profitability of duck and goose farmers, leading to reduced production and consequently higher down prices [1] - If extreme cold weather occurs this winter, it is likely that down prices will continue to rise [1] Consumer Insights - A recent discussion highlighted that consumers are struggling to find genuine down jackets priced below 300 RMB, with some retailers claiming that such low-priced items are not made from real down [5] - According to the China Down Industry Association, the price for standard 90% white duck down ranges from 420 RMB to 550 RMB per kilogram, while white goose down is priced between 840 RMB and 1,200 RMB per kilogram. The core cost of a down jacket filled with 150 grams of 90% white duck down is estimated to be between 126 RMB and 247.5 RMB, indicating that a reasonable selling price for such products cannot be below 300 RMB [5]

Group 1 - The price of down feathers has reached last year's peak levels, with 90% down priced at 550,000 yuan per ton [1] - The increase in down prices is attributed not only to seasonal demand but also to the decline in pork prices, which affects the overall meat market [1] - Farmers raising ducks and geese are sensitive to pork price fluctuations; reduced profitability may lead to decreased production, resulting in lower supply of duck and goose feathers, thus driving up prices [1] Group 2 - If extreme cold weather occurs this winter, it is expected that down prices may rise further [1]

Core Insights - The Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region is enhancing its status as an international down processing trade center by introducing a new rapid customs clearance model for imported washed feathers and down, which is the first of its kind in China [1][2] Group 1: Industry Development - The down industry is a traditional advantage for Guangxi, with local enterprises requiring significant imports of raw materials from countries like Thailand [1] - The new customs model allows imported washed feathers and down to be cleared directly at Qinzhou Port, reducing logistics distance by approximately 1500 kilometers and cutting overall clearance time by 70% [1] - The first batch of 18.5 tons of imported washed feathers and down from Thailand achieved seamless "port to factory" delivery in just 8 days [1] Group 2: Economic Impact - Since the implementation of the reform, Qinzhou Port has imported over 44 batches and 1068.2 tons of washed feathers and down, valued at over 40 million yuan [2] - The new model is expected to reduce logistics costs for enterprises by approximately 10 million yuan annually and increase the annual import volume of non-epidemic area washed feathers and down from 10,000 tons to between 30,000 and 60,000 tons [2] Group 3: Future Plans - The Guangxi Free Trade Zone plans to deepen reforms, expand the range of pilot enterprises, and optimize the cross-border trade ecosystem [2] - There are intentions to upgrade the down testing center to a regional international certification platform, further enhancing Qinzhou Port's role as a core channel for raw material imports from ASEAN [2]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [37] Core Views - The company, Guqi Down Material, focuses on the research, production, and sales of high-specification down products, primarily goose and duck down, used in clothing and bedding [29][7] - The company has established a strong customer base, including leading brands in the down clothing and bedding sectors, and has been recognized as a key player in the domestic down processing industry [30][29] - The company is expected to benefit from the growing demand in military applications for down products, as well as the overall growth in the down clothing and bedding markets due to rising consumer income and preferences [31][27] Summary by Sections Basic Financial Status - The company achieved revenues of 667.2 million yuan, 830.4 million yuan, and 966.7 million yuan for the years 2022, 2023, and 2024, respectively, with year-over-year growth rates of 11.99%, 24.46%, and 16.42% [4][8] - The net profit attributable to the parent company was 97 million yuan, 121.8 million yuan, and 168.2 million yuan for the same years, with year-over-year growth rates of 26.30%, 25.53%, and 38.11% [4][8] - For the first quarter of 2025, the company reported revenues of 193 million yuan, an increase of 18.53% year-over-year [8] Industry Situation - The down products market is large and mature, with a significant number of well-known enterprises ensuring stable demand growth [17] - The domestic down clothing market has a high concentration of brands, with a market potential driven by consumption upgrades and a growing middle class [18][23] - The down bedding market has substantial growth potential, with low current penetration rates compared to developed countries [27] Company Highlights - The company is a leader in the down materials sector in China, focusing on the mid-to-high-end market and maintaining a strong customer base [29][30] - The company has expanded its product applications to military needs, which is expected to provide new growth opportunities [31] - The company has received various accolades, including recognition as an excellent enterprise in the down industry [7][29] Fundraising Project Investment - The company plans to invest in two projects through its IPO, including a functional down manufacturing project and an upgrade of its technology and R&D center [32][33] - The total investment for these projects is approximately 50.1 million yuan [32] Peer Comparison - In comparison to similar companies, Guqi Down Material's revenue for 2024 is projected at 966.7 million yuan, with a net profit of 168.2 million yuan, indicating a strong growth trajectory [35][34] - The average revenue of comparable companies is 2.728 billion yuan, with an average PE-TTM of 22.20X, while Guqi's gross margin is positioned in the mid-to-high range among peers [34][35]

以下文章来源于东四十条资本 ，作者黎曼 东四十条资本 . 聚焦股权投资行业人物、事件、数据、研究、政策解读，提供专业视角和深度洞见 | 创投圈有趣的灵魂 将投中网设为"星标⭐"，第一时间收获最新推送 一年营收近10亿。 作者丨黎曼 随着波司登、海澜之家、森马、鸭鸭等知名羽绒服品牌的销量上涨，隐藏在这些品牌背后的供应商也要IPO了。 在羽绒行业的江湖中，谢玉成父女的名字正成为一段传奇。 2012年，以安徽"羽绒之乡"为基点，谢玉成父女凭借对高规格羽绒技术的深耕，将"古麒绒材"，一家地方小厂打造为年营收近 10亿元的行业龙头，并在近期再度冲刺深交所主板。 从最初的鹅绒、鸭绒加工到如今手握海澜之家、波司登等头部品牌订单，谢玉成在10余年间编织了一张横跨服装与寝具的羽绒 版图。 从"羽绒之乡"走出的家族企业 上世纪70年代末，安徽无为的羽绒产业还处于空白状态，部分人从事鹅毛、鸭毛的收购和贩卖工作。80年代初，受苏浙沪地区 商人收购羽毛的启发，当地人开始涉足羽毛羽绒加工。随着加工技术的推广和返乡创业人员的增多，家庭作坊如雨后春笋般涌 现，逐渐形成了产业集聚效应，无为也逐渐成为全国羽毛羽绒贸易集散中心，成为"中国羽毛羽绒 ...