、证券研究报告 | 行业周报 2025 年 08 月 25 日 非银行金融 美联储降息或已在路上，流动性驱动市场走强格局将持续-非银周观 点 近期市场交易定价反应了公募考核新规基准回补效应、去产能、高层会议经 济定调及美国关税及美国降息预期提升等政策影响，市场明显放量，两融波 动新高，银行、保险板块高位波动，券商、多元金融有所走强。交易节奏而 言，经济数据走弱下流动性驱动市场走强的趋势或有望延续，可能要重点聚 焦关注内部问题、居民存款搬家持续效应及美国经济可能衰退引发的降息效 应，中期具体或要看包括四中全会等重磅会议。需要高度重视券商及金融 IT 板块走强趋势，并购线建议重点关注以信达证券、首创证券、浙商证券、国 联民生、中国银河等为代表个股；具有估值扩张空间的公司，推荐关注综合 能力强、风险资本指标优化、受益 ETF 发展的东方证券、华泰证券、中金公 司等；同时从赔率弹性角度，建议逢低关注布局金融 IT 板块，建议重点关注 财富趋势、同花顺、九方智投（2025 年中报预告净利润中枢为 8.5 亿元，子 公司方德证券在港展业；控股旗下九方智擎入驻"模速空间"，抢滩 AI 创新 高地，股价历史高位区间）等；互金 ...

Summary of Conference Call on Stablecoins Industry Overview - The focus of the conference call is on the stablecoin industry, which is characterized by significant potential, novelty, and multiple catalysts for growth. The implementation of stablecoin regulations in Hong Kong and the potential IPOs of overseas cryptocurrency companies are highlighted as key catalysts for the market [1][5]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Theme Investment Trend**: The current market trend favors theme investments, driven by the development stages of industries. The dominant industry, AI, has released its upstream computing power, while downstream applications are yet to see systematic investment. This has led to a focus on themes such as humanoid robots, controlled nuclear fusion, new consumption, and stablecoins [2]. - **Investment Logic for Stablecoins**: The investment logic for stablecoins includes: 1. The implementation of stablecoin regulations in Hong Kong starting August 1, which is expected to drive business developments [5]. 2. Potential IPOs of overseas cryptocurrency companies, such as Circle, which could influence the stablecoin market [5]. 3. Numerous catalysts from both industry and policy perspectives warranting close tracking [5]. - **Key Beneficiaries**: Companies involved in the technical infrastructure for stablecoins, such as blockchain technology and issuance support, digital wallets, and cross-border payment companies, are expected to benefit as stablecoin applications become more prevalent [6][7]. Important but Overlooked Content - **Financial IT Relevance**: The stablecoin market is closely linked to financial IT, including banking IT systems, non-bank institution IT systems, and third-party payment services. Companies with a strong presence in these areas, especially those with international operations, are likely to have significant growth potential [8]. - **Highlighted Companies**: - **Jinbeifang Bank IT Company**: Recognized for its leading software development revenue among bank IT companies, with deep involvement in the digital RMB infrastructure and strategic partnerships in Hong Kong, making it a key recommendation in the stablecoin context [9][10]. - **Changliang Technology**: Noted for its high overseas revenue share and experience in virtual asset trading and digital currency system construction, with significant backing from Tencent [11]. - **Hengsheng Electronics**: Gained a substantial market share in Hong Kong's brokerage trading systems and is well-positioned to benefit from the growing virtual asset market [12]. - **New Guodu**: Established a strong global payment network and is well-prepared to expand virtual asset trading in cross-border payments [13]. - **RWA Companies**: Companies like Longxin Technology and Jieshun Technology are positioned to explore the digital asset value chain, including stablecoin issuance and compliance trading [14].

Group 1: Company Overview - Beijing Jinyi Culture Development Co., Ltd. has a subsidiary in Hong Kong, but currently does not conduct any business there [2] - The company is exploring overseas business opportunities that could be managed by its Hong Kong subsidiary in the future [2] Group 2: Financial Technology Insights - Domestic financial institutions are experiencing a slowdown in IT budget growth, but the overall trend remains positive [2] - 90% of the financial business for Kaike Weishi comes from loyal existing clients, mitigating the impact of budget cuts [2] Group 3: Client Composition and Revenue - Major clients in wealth management and payment clearing are primarily joint-stock banks, contributing approximately 40% to the company's revenue [2] - Project-based business constitutes about 70%-80% of the overall revenue [2] Group 4: AI and Technology Initiatives - Kaike Weishi is developing AI-related projects for banks, focusing on intelligent marketing, wealth management, and customer service [3] - The company has partnered with Alibaba on large model projects and is integrating deep learning technologies into its services [3] Group 5: Cross-Border Payment and Stablecoin Plans - The company is developing a digital RMB product utilizing blockchain technology for cross-border payments [3] - A stablecoin service system version 1.0 is under development, with expectations for it to enhance the cross-border payment ecosystem [3] Group 6: Future Growth Projections - Projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are expected to be no less than 66.6 million, 75.6 million, and 85.6 million respectively [3] - The average annual revenue growth rate is anticipated to be between 10%-15% [3] Group 7: Workforce Stability and Expansion Plans - The company currently employs over 1,800 staff members, indicating a stable workforce [3] - Plans for business expansion include deepening cooperation with existing clients and signing new contracts with major banks [3]

Summary of Hilda Company Conference Call Industry and Company Overview - **Company**: Hilda Company - **Industry**: Stablecoin and Cross-Border Payment Solutions Core Points and Arguments 1. **Stablecoin Technology Integration**: Hilda aims to integrate stablecoin technology with business scenarios to promote the internationalization of the Renminbi (RMB) and cross-border transactions [2][4][6] 2. **Global Payment Rule Development**: Hilda seeks to participate in the formulation of new global payment rules, leveraging its advantages in RMB internationalization and cross-border payments [4][5] 3. **Multi-Role Service Model**: The company plans to serve four key stakeholders: issuers, custodians, trading platforms, and end-users, under the regulatory framework in Hong Kong [5][6] 4. **Impact on Chinese Financial System**: The development of stablecoins is expected to maintain currency sovereignty, promote RMB internationalization, and innovate payment systems, enhancing China's voice in the global financial market [6][26] 5. **Competitive Advantages**: Hilda's advantages include extensive financial IT experience, investment in leading cross-border payment firms like Pingpong, and a favorable policy environment [7][26] 6. **Future Development Directions**: Hilda plans to deepen technology research and application, expand partnerships, and increase market coverage, particularly in cross-border payment and settlement scenarios [8][9] Additional Important Content 1. **International Business Expansion**: Hilda has established a subsidiary in Hong Kong to focus on overseas business, including payment settlement and cross-border RMB clearing, and has accumulated significant international business experience [10] 2. **Collaboration with Pingpong**: Hilda collaborates with Pingpong to facilitate payment settlements for merchants on platforms like Amazon, leveraging its connections with domestic financial institutions [21][25] 3. **Market Positioning**: Hilda holds a nearly 50% market share in the domestic international settlement market, serving major state-owned and joint-stock banks [16] 4. **Challenges in International Banking**: Hilda faces challenges in connecting with foreign banks due to varying local IT standards, but finds it easier to work with Chinese institutions abroad [23] 5. **Regulatory Environment**: The company benefits from the evolving regulatory landscape in Hong Kong regarding stablecoins, which presents new collaboration opportunities [15][26] 6. **Digital RMB and Cross-Border Settlement**: Hilda focuses on using the CIPS system for RMB internationalization rather than directly on digital RMB [27] This summary encapsulates the key insights from Hilda Company's conference call, highlighting its strategic focus on stablecoins and cross-border payment solutions within the evolving financial landscape.

Summary of the Conference Call on Jingbeifang's Stablecoin Business Industry Overview - The stablecoin management regulations in Hong Kong will take effect on August 1, 2025, with further policy developments expected in the first half of 2025. Participants need to prepare for technical construction and product planning to seize market opportunities [2][18]. - Jingbeifang is positioned as a core player in financial IT, with extensive experience in digital currency and digital RMB sectors [2][3]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Stablecoin Ecosystem**: Jingbeifang views stablecoins as the starting point of an ecosystem involving various participants, including issuers, operators, financial institutions, and merchants. The company aims to leverage its experience in financial IT to create opportunities in this space [3][7]. - **Technological Preparedness**: The company has a 7-8 year history in building digital currency ecosystems, focusing on issuance, operation, and collaboration layers. It has developed technologies such as issuance technology, smart contracts, and custody services [5][6]. - **Regulatory Compliance**: Jingbeifang emphasizes strict adherence to regulatory requirements in stablecoin system development, including independent asset custody solutions and information disclosure interfaces [3][9]. - **Market Opportunities**: The company identifies significant opportunities in supply chain finance, where stablecoins can enhance transparency and address financing challenges for SMEs [3][15]. Key Advantages of Jingbeifang - **Client Relationships**: The company benefits from a wide range of historical client collaborations, providing a competitive edge in the stablecoin ecosystem [5]. - **Reusable Solutions**: Jingbeifang offers reusable solution products that can be quickly applied to new projects, enhancing operational efficiency [5]. - **Diverse Business Models**: The company has experience in various business models, allowing it to adapt flexibly to market changes [5]. Research and Development - Jingbeifang has established a dedicated research team focused on blockchain and AI technologies, resulting in innovations such as the digital RMB unified access system and smart operation systems [6][12]. Future Trends and Applications - **Public Trust and Usability**: The company believes that stablecoins must address public trust issues through regulatory compliance and user-friendly wallet systems to enhance usability [7][13]. - **Cross-Border Payments**: Stablecoins are expected to significantly reduce cross-border payment costs and improve efficiency, making them attractive for international transactions [7][28]. - **Potential Applications**: The company is exploring various application scenarios, including cross-border payments and supply chain finance, while ensuring compliance and security [22][30]. Conclusion - Jingbeifang is well-positioned to capitalize on the emerging stablecoin market, leveraging its technological capabilities and regulatory compliance to meet the evolving needs of clients in Hong Kong and beyond [31][32].

Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive outlook for C-end stock trading software companies and recommends focusing on companies like Zhina Zhen and Jiufang Zhitu Holdings, while also highlighting the potential recovery of IT investments in securities firms and banks, recommending attention to companies such as Hengsheng Electronics, Top Point Software, and Yuxin Technology [1][3]. Core Viewpoints - The capital market IT sector showed signs of recovery in 2024, with a notable increase in A-share average daily trading volume by 21.2% year-on-year, leading to improved trading sentiment and revenue growth for C-end trading software companies [9][11]. - The banking IT sector faced challenges, with a decline in financial technology investments from major state-owned banks and a drop in revenue for listed banking IT companies [24][26]. - The report identifies three main growth drivers for financial IT companies in 2025: Xinchuang (domestic innovation), AI, and international expansion [1][3]. Summary by Sections 1. Capital Market IT Performance - In 2024, 150 securities firms achieved a total revenue of 451.2 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.2%, with net profit rising by 21.3% to 167.3 billion yuan [9][11]. - C-end capital market IT companies performed well, with total revenue of 23.58 billion yuan, although B-end companies faced revenue declines [22][23]. - The overall revenue for 10 capital market IT companies decreased by 3.3% year-on-year, while net profit fell by 28.7% [22][23]. 2. Banking IT Sector - The total revenue for 19 banking IT companies in 2024 was 67.459 billion yuan, down 4.55% year-on-year, with a decline in net profit by 47.61% [30][26]. - The report notes a slowdown in IT investment growth among major state-owned banks, with total financial technology investment at 124 billion yuan, a slight decrease of 0.15% [25][26]. - The number of banking IT employees increased by 3.66% to 168,109, but revenue per employee decreased by 7.35% [27][30]. 3. Growth Drivers for 2025 - Financial IT companies are actively exploring growth points in Xinchuang, AI, and international markets, with a positive outlook for the first quarter of 2025 [1][3]. - The report anticipates that 2025 will be a pivotal year for AI commercialization, with financial IT companies focusing on integrating AI capabilities into existing products [38][39]. - Companies like Yuxin Technology and Tianyang Technology are developing integrated AI solutions to enhance operational efficiency and customer engagement [38][39].

Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive outlook for C-end stock trading software companies and recommends focusing on companies like Zhinancai and Jiufang Zhituo Holdings, while also highlighting the potential recovery in IT investments for securities firms and banks, recommending attention to companies such as Hengsheng Electronics, Dingdian Software, and Yuxin Technology [1]. Core Viewpoints - The capital market IT sector showed signs of recovery in 2024, with a notable increase in A-share average daily trading volume by 21.2% year-on-year, leading to improved trading sentiment and revenue growth for C-end trading software companies [9][11]. - The banking IT sector faced challenges, with a decline in financial technology investments from major state-owned banks and a decrease in revenue for listed banking IT companies [24][26]. - The financial IT companies are expected to leverage new growth drivers such as domestic innovation (Xinchang), AI, and international expansion in 2025 [1][32]. Summary by Sections 1. Capital Market IT Performance - In 2024, the total revenue of 150 securities firms reached 451.2 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.2%, with net profit rising by 21.3% to 167.3 billion yuan [9][11]. - The average daily trading volume of A-shares was 1,063.4 billion yuan, reflecting a significant improvement in trading activity [9]. - C-end capital market IT companies performed well, with revenue growth exceeding 15% for companies like Zhinancai and Tonghuashun, while B-end companies faced revenue declines [22][23]. 2. Banking IT Sector Overview - The total revenue of 19 listed banking IT companies in 2024 was 67.459 billion yuan, down 4.55% year-on-year, indicating a slowdown in revenue growth [26][30]. - The overall IT investment from the six major state-owned banks slightly decreased to 124 billion yuan, with a year-on-year decline of 0.15% [25][24]. - The number of IT personnel in banking IT companies increased by 3.7% to 168,109, but revenue per employee decreased by 7.35% [27][30]. 3. Growth Drivers for Financial IT Companies - Financial IT companies are actively exploring growth opportunities in domestic innovation, AI, and international markets, with expectations for significant demand growth in 2025 [1][32]. - The report identifies three categories of AI deployment: providing integrated machines for rapid model deployment, enhancing existing product lines with AI capabilities, and developing code assistants to improve efficiency [38][39]. - The report highlights the ongoing progress in domestic innovation projects, with several companies achieving significant milestones in adapting their products to meet domestic standards [36][37].