Group 1 - The Trump administration is conducting a significant tariff investigation on furniture imports, with tariffs to be determined within 50 days [2] - The imposition of tariffs across various sectors, including furniture, is expected to have profound impacts on inflation and global supply chains [3] - Canadian Prime Minister Carney announced the cancellation of several retaliatory tariffs on U.S. goods, while maintaining tariffs on U.S. automobiles, steel, and aluminum, indicating a complex trade relationship between the U.S. and Canada [3] Group 2 - Fitch Ratings reported that U.S. consumer spending is expected to slow significantly in the first half of 2025, influenced by trade policy uncertainty and stock market volatility [4] - Despite a rebound in Q2 GDP data, the underlying growth structure is not ideal, with consumer and investment growth showing signs of slowing down due to ongoing tariff impacts [4] - The potential for continued downward pressure on U.S. consumer spending and private investment growth is anticipated as a result of Trump's tariff policies [4] Group 3 - The Federal Reserve's actions are closely monitored by global capital markets, with calls for a 100 basis point rate cut this year from a prominent candidate for the Fed chair position [5] - Fed Chair Powell's recent comments suggest a potential shift towards a more dovish stance, opening the door for rate cuts in September [6] - Concerns about an aging population impacting economic growth and inflation have been raised, with labor shortages potentially leading to increased wage demands [8]

Core Viewpoint - The recent increase in tariffs on 407 derivative products related to steel and aluminum by the Trump administration is a strategic move aimed at protecting domestic industries while also serving political interests in an election year [1][3]. Group 1: Tariff Impact on Industries - The newly added 407 products include items closely related to steel and aluminum, such as alloy wheels for cars and cold-rolled steel sheets for appliances, effectively extending the tariff to a wide range of industries [3]. - Domestic automotive manufacturers that previously relied on imported specialty steel will face increased costs, potentially leading to reduced profit margins or price hikes for consumers [3]. - The tariffs are expected to provide short-term benefits to U.S. steel and aluminum companies, increasing their orders and production [4]. Group 2: Political and Economic Context - The stated purpose of the tariffs is to protect the struggling domestic steel and aluminum industries, which have been facing low capacity utilization rates [3]. - The tariffs may also be a strategic move to secure votes from workers in the "Rust Belt," a key demographic for Trump, as increased orders could lead to job stability [3]. - European countries have threatened retaliatory tariffs on U.S. agricultural products, which could impact U.S. exports of soybeans and corn, indicating a potential escalation in trade tensions [3]. Group 3: Investment Opportunities - Investors should monitor U.S. steel and aluminum companies that may benefit from the tariff-induced demand increase, but caution is advised regarding the sustainability of this policy [4]. - Companies with manufacturing facilities in Mexico or Canada that can circumvent tariffs by processing materials before exporting to the U.S. may find new opportunities [4]. - High-end steel and aluminum manufacturers in China could gain market share in Southeast Asia and South America if they can enhance their technological competitiveness [4]. Group 4: Long-term Investment Strategy - Trade tensions are likened to a prolonged arm-wrestling match, suggesting that investors should focus on companies with strong technology and market presence rather than getting caught up in tariff fluctuations [5].

据央视新闻，美国白宫3日发布声明称，美国总统特朗普签署命令，将进口钢铁和铝的关税从25%提高 至50%，从4日起开始生效。 同时，有记者就美方对华采取新限制措施进行提问，何咏前表示，5月12号《中美日内瓦经贸会谈联合 声明》发布后，中方本着负责任的态度，认真对待、严格落实中方义务，积极维护日内瓦经贸会谈共 识。 "反观美方，在日内瓦会谈后，对华采取一系列限制措施，严重破坏既有共识，严重损害中方正当权 益。中方对此强烈不满、坚决反对，要求美方立即停止。如果美方一意孤行，继续损害中方利益，中方 将坚决采取有力措施维护自身正当权益。"何咏前表示。 6月5日，商务部举行例行新闻发布会。商务部发言人何咏前表示，中方已多次强调，232关税是典型的 单边主义和保护主义行径，早已被世贸组织争端解决机制裁定违反世贸规则。此次美方再一次提高钢铝 及其衍生制品关税，不仅损人害己，无助于维护产业安全，还将严重扰乱全球产业链供应链稳定。 何咏前称，美方做法已遭到多个国家反对。中方敦促美方尊重经济规律，摒弃零和思维，停止泛化和滥 用"国家安全"概念，与各方一道维护以规则为基础的多边贸易体制，通过平等对话解决各自关切，共同 维护全球产业链 ...

Domestic News - The Ministry of Commerce spokesperson stated that the U.S. has continuously provoked new trade frictions, increasing uncertainty and instability in bilateral economic relations, and has unjustly accused China of violating agreements from the Geneva trade talks [1] - From May 26 to June 1, national freight logistics operated in an orderly manner, with national railways transporting 77.638 million tons of goods, a decrease of 0.16% month-on-month; highway freight traffic reached 52.008 million vehicles, down 6.14%; monitored ports completed a cargo throughput of 277.418 million tons, an increase of 2.24%, while container throughput was 6.517 million TEUs, down 0.72% [1] - On June 2, the national railway is expected to send 17.9 million passengers, with 1,279 additional passenger trains planned [1] Strategic Mineral Control - Various regions in China are implementing measures to prevent the illegal outflow of strategic minerals, with the National Export Control Coordination Mechanism issuing a deployment plan for comprehensive control of strategic mineral exports [2] - Guizhou will strictly follow the deployment plan, while Hunan will conduct systematic inspections of local strategic mineral export enterprises and guide them to enhance compliance awareness [2] - Guangxi will intensify supervision of strategic mineral exploration and mining, cracking down on illegal mining activities [2] Real Estate Market - In May, the total transaction volume of new and second-hand housing in Shanghai reached 2.23 million square meters, a year-on-year increase of 17% [2] - The real estate market in Shanghai has shown characteristics of "increased volume and stable prices" from January to May this year [2]