Core Viewpoint - Recent policies have emphasized the need to address "involutionary" competition, specifically targeting the governance of low-price disorderly competition and promoting the exit of backward production capacity [1] Group 1: Policy Impact - The supply-side clearing driven by policies is expected to improve the industry landscape, with the first phase of the market rally initiated by policy expectations [1] - The previous round of excess capacity was mainly concentrated in upstream resource industries, while the current round is focused on midstream and downstream industries [1] Group 2: Investment Strategies - Two main investment lines are suggested: 1. Industries with a longer supply-side clearing time and potential for supply-demand balance improvement, such as agricultural chemicals, general machinery, and components [1] 2. Industries undergoing policy-driven clearing, such as cement and photovoltaic sectors [1]

Group 1 - The report emphasizes the need to regulate low-price disorderly competition among enterprises and promote the orderly exit of backward production capacity, aiming to address the issue of "involution" in market competition [2][8] - Historical cases show that supply-side clearance driven by policy typically begins with market expectations, while the main upward trend requires improvements in industry structure to support cash flow and balance sheet recovery [8][10] - The current round of overcapacity is primarily concentrated in mid- and downstream industries, unlike the previous cycle which was focused on upstream resource sectors [9][10] Group 2 - The report suggests focusing on two main strategies: industries that have experienced prolonged supply-side clearance and are likely to see improvements in supply-demand dynamics, and industries that may benefit from policy-driven accelerated clearance [10][11] - For natural clearance, the report recommends monitoring demand-side indicators for upstream industries and supply-side indicators for mid- and downstream sectors, highlighting sectors such as agricultural chemicals, general machinery, pharmaceuticals, and components [10] - For policy-driven clearance, attention should be given to industries mentioned in recent policies aimed at addressing "involution," including photovoltaic, lithium batteries, automobiles, and cement [10][17]