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#跟Jenny學窩輪# 李寧(02331)到期日vs最後交易日,別踩錯時間坑
Ge Long Hui· 2025-12-16 03:41
李寧(02331)股價近期呈現明確的向上突破態勢。截至14点30分,股價收報18.7元,大漲5.77%,成交額顯著放大至4.30億元。技術指標發出複雜但偏積極 的信號:多項趨勢指標如MACD、保力加通道及牛熊力量指標均給出買入信號,與股價強勢突破所有短期主要均線(10天線17.28元,30天線17.42元,60天 線17.34元)形成共振。然而,部分震盪指標如CCI及隨機震盪指標已進入超買區間,相對強弱指數(RSI)升至56,提示短線可能面臨技術性調整壓力。整 體上升概率為54%,配合高達10.8%的5日振幅,顯示市場波動劇烈,交投情緒極為活躍。 關鍵的技術位為交易提供了清晰的框架。隨著股價突破,新的關鍵支持區域已上移至17.4元(支持1) 與17.2元(支持2),這與突破前的均線密集區重合, 預計將成為重要的回調支撐。上方目標則聚焦於19.4元(阻力1) 及19.9元(阻力2)。市場普遍認為,股價在完成「收窄三角」形態向上突破後,短期目標 區間可看至19至20元。預計股價將在17.4元至19.4元的區間內震盪上行,以消化獲利盤並積蓄動能。 | | | 市場催化劑與投資者觀點:基本面動能與技術預期共振 推動本 ...
信达国际港股晨报快-20251128
Xin Da Guo Ji Kong Gu· 2025-11-28 01:37
Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index has short-term support at the 25,000 point level, with recent hawkish signals from the Federal Reserve indicating less room for interest rate cuts than previously expected. The meeting between the US and Chinese leaders in October has temporarily eased tensions, but core issues remain unresolved. The Chinese economy showed further signs of cooling in Q3, with the 15th Five-Year Plan emphasizing the expansion of domestic demand and technological self-reliance, aligning with expectations. However, there are no strong signals for short-term policy adjustments, making it difficult for Hong Kong companies to see significant profit improvements. The Hang Seng Index has seen substantial gains this year, leading to profit-taking incentives as year-end approaches [2][4]. Company Focus - Meituan's performance is a key focus for the market today [3]. Macro Focus - In October, industrial profits in mainland China fell by 5.5%, with total profits for the first ten months reaching 5.95 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.9%. The mining sector saw a significant profit decline of 27.8%, while manufacturing profits grew by 7.7% [4][8]. - The State Administration for Market Regulation is enhancing antitrust enforcement in key areas to promote fair competition and optimize the business environment [8]. - In November, 178 domestic online games were approved, including titles from Baidu and Bilibili [8]. - OPEC+ is expected to maintain its oil production policy unchanged in the first quarter of next year [9]. Company News - Anta Sports is reportedly considering a bid for Puma, but has not commented on the speculation [10]. - Bosideng reported a mid-term net profit of 1.189 billion yuan, an increase of 5.3%, aligning with expectations [10]. - Luk Fook Holdings announced a mid-term net profit of 619 million yuan, up 42.5%, meeting profit guidance [10]. - UBTECH Robotics secured an order worth 143 million yuan for humanoid robots, bringing total orders for the year to 1.3 billion yuan [10]. - Vitasoy's mid-term profit fell by 68%, leading to a dividend cut [10]. - DYNAM JAPAN reported a mid-term net profit of 3.072 billion yen, an increase of 40.3% [10]. - Alibaba and ByteDance are training AI models overseas to circumvent US export restrictions, utilizing Nvidia chips [10].
中金公司港股晨报-20251028
Xin Da Guo Ji Kong Gu· 2025-10-28 02:20
Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index is expected to hold around 25,000 points, reflecting a forecasted P/E ratio of 12 times over the next 12 months, amid uncertainties in U.S. monetary policy and ongoing U.S.-China trade tensions [2] - The U.S. Federal Reserve's recent hawkish stance on interest rate cuts has led to reduced expectations for future rate reductions, with only one cut anticipated in 2026, which is lower than market expectations [5][10] Corporate News - Anta (2020) reported low single-digit growth in retail sales for its brand products in Q3 [12] - Cansino (6185) benefited from sales of its meningitis vaccine, with net profit increasing 842% year-on-year in Q3 [5] - China Aluminum (2600) achieved a net profit of 3.8 billion RMB in Q3, marking a 90.3% increase [5] - Meituan (3690) announced that its rider social security subsidies will now cover the entire country, becoming the first to establish a comprehensive protection system for all riders [12] - Pony.ai plans to raise over 7.56 billion HKD through its IPO, with a focus on expanding its autonomous driving services [12] - WeRide (0800) aims to raise over 3.09 billion HKD in its IPO, positioning itself as a leader in L4 autonomous driving solutions [12] Macro Focus - In September, profits of large-scale industrial enterprises in China increased by 21.6% year-on-year, with a cumulative growth of 3.2% for the first three quarters [10] - The Chinese government is set to deepen reforms in the ChiNext board to optimize financing and regulatory systems [10][11] - The Hong Kong government reported a 16.1% increase in exports and a 13.6% increase in imports in September, both exceeding market expectations [11] Sector Insights - The insurance sector is expected to benefit from strong A-share performance, leading to improved investment returns in Q3 [8] - AI concept stocks are gaining traction as mainland China accelerates the application of "Artificial Intelligence+" [8] - The report indicates that Alibaba and Baidu hold the top two positions in China's AI cloud market, with market shares of 30.2% and 22.5% respectively [11]
10月23日【港股Podcast】恆指、京東、藥明生物、百度、中國聯通、李寧
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-24 05:09
Group 1: Hang Seng Index (HSI) Analysis - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) experienced a slight increase of 0.72%, closing at 25,967 points, just below the 26,000 mark [1] - Market sentiment is mixed, with both bullish and bearish perspectives present, which is a normal market phenomenon [1] - Technical signals indicate a predominance of "sell" signals, with 8 sell signals compared to 6 buy signals, suggesting a cautious outlook [1] - The support level for HSI is around 25,400 points; if it falls below this, it may drop further to 24,600 points [2] - The resistance level is approximately 26,500 points, and investors are advised to consider bear certificates with a redemption price around 26,400 points [2] Group 2: JD Group (09618) Analysis - JD Group's stock closed at 128.7 yuan, with a support level at 124.3 yuan; a drop below this could lead to further declines to 117.7 yuan [9] - Some investors anticipate a rise to around 130 yuan before considering bearish positions, aligning with the current technical signals that favor buying [10] - The short-term resistance level for JD is approximately 135 yuan, indicating potential upward movement before any bearish actions [10] Group 3: WuXi Biologics (02269) Analysis - WuXi Biologics' stock has shown a slight decline with increased trading volume, indicating a potential buying opportunity [15] - The current support level is around 33.8 yuan; if this level is breached, the stock may drop to 30 yuan [15] - Despite the bearish sentiment, short-term technical signals are predominantly "buy," suggesting a favorable buying atmosphere [15] Group 4: Baidu Group (09888) Analysis - Baidu's stock is in a stable consolidation phase, with a support level at 111.3 yuan; a drop below this could lead to further declines to 98.4 yuan [21] - The short-term technical signals favor buying, with 10 buy signals against 5 sell signals, indicating potential for upward movement [21] - Investors are advised to consider bull certificates with a redemption price around 80 yuan for added safety [21] Group 5: China Unicom (00762) Analysis - China Unicom's stock closed at 9.39 yuan, near the upper limit of the Bollinger Bands, with a resistance level at 9.67 yuan [27] - A breakthrough of the 9.67 yuan resistance could lead to further increases towards 9.85 yuan, but reaching 10 yuan may take time [27] - The short-term technical signals are neutral, indicating no clear direction for price movement [27] Group 6: Li Ning (02331) Analysis - Li Ning's stock has shown strong performance, with a resistance level at 19.6 yuan; breaking this could lead to further increases towards 19.8 yuan [33] - The current technical signals are neutral, suggesting a lack of clear upward or downward momentum [33] - Investors are encouraged to monitor market trends and consider various sources of information for informed decision-making [33]
361度(01361) - 二零二五年第三季度营运概要
2025-10-13 00:05
香 港 交 易 及 結 算 所 有 限 公 司 及 香 港 聯 合 交 易 所 有 限 公 司 對 本 公 佈 的 內 容 概 不 負 責,對其準確性或完整性亦不發表任何聲明,並表明概不就因本公佈全部或任何 部分內容而產生或因依賴該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責任。 ( 於開曼群島註冊成立的有限公司) (股份代號: 1361) 二零二五年第三季度營運概要 本 公 佈 由 361 度 國 際 有 限 公 司(「 361° 」或「 本 公 司 」, 連 同 其 附 屬 公 司 統 稱「 本 集 團」)董事(「董事」)會(「董事會」)自願刊發。 董事會提供以下有關本集團於二零二五年第三季度的營運概要。 361° 主品牌的零售表現(線下渠道) 361° 主品牌產品於二零二五年第三季度的零售額( 以零售價值計算 )較二零二四年 同期錄得約10 %的正增長。 361° 童裝品牌的零售表現(線下渠道) 第三季度業務更新 於二零二五年第三季度(「期內」), 361° 通過產品科技創新、專業賽事贊助及多元 化合作活動,持續擴大品牌影響力及市場競爭力。公司戰略性攜手斯坦德機器人 ( 無錫)股份有限公司,為品牌注入智能基因,開啟 ...
信达国际控股港股晨报-20250828
Xin Da Guo Ji Kong Gu· 2025-08-28 01:50
Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index is currently facing resistance at 26,000 points, influenced by the extension of the US-China tariff truce and a more dovish stance from the US Federal Reserve, which may lead to interest rate cuts [2][4] - The overall market is active with capital rotating among different sectors, as investors await earnings reports from major companies [2] Short-term Sector Outlook - Focus on upcoming economic indicators such as US GDP, personal consumption, and core PCE, along with earnings from companies like Alibaba, Li Auto, ZTE, and China Pacific Insurance [3] - Anticipation of new policies in China aimed at expanding service consumption and promoting AI and IP-related sectors [3] Company News - Meituan reported a significant 89% drop in adjusted profit for Q2, falling short of expectations, while Ctrip's mid-term profit rose by 12% with a share buyback plan of 39 billion yuan [4][10] - Anta Sports experienced a 9% decline in mid-term profit but is forming a joint venture with South Korean fashion platform MUSINSA [10] - Zhuhai Gold's shareholders plan to reduce holdings to cash out approximately 2 billion yuan [10] - Kangfang Biologics is raising 3.5 billion yuan through a discounted share placement [10] Macro Focus - China's industrial profits fell by 1.7% in the first seven months, with state-owned enterprises seeing a 7.5% decline [9] - The Chinese government is set to introduce measures to boost service consumption, focusing on high-quality service supply and encouraging foreign investment in various sectors [9] - Huawei is set to launch a new foldable phone on September 4, indicating ongoing innovation in the tech sector [9] Stock Performance - The Hang Seng Index closed at 25,202, down 1.27% year-to-date, while the Hang Seng Tech Index saw a 27.52% increase [5] - Major companies like Tencent, Meituan, and Alibaba have experienced declines in their ADRs, reflecting broader market trends [5] Upcoming Developments - Zijin Mining plans to raise approximately 2 billion USD through an IPO in Hong Kong [10] - Chery Automobile is preparing for an overseas listing in Hong Kong, aiming to issue up to 699 million shares [10] - Hesai Technology is also looking to list in Hong Kong, targeting around 300 million USD [10]
恒指跌61點,滬指升4點,標普500跌25點
宝通证券· 2025-08-22 03:12
Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) fell by 61 points or 0.2%, closing at 25,104 points, after opening 50 points higher and later dropping to a low of 25,000 points[1] - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 4 points or 0.1%, closing at 3,771 points, with a total trading volume of 9,977 billion yuan[1] - The S&P 500 dropped by 25 points or 0.4%, closing at 6,370 points, marking its fifth consecutive day of decline[2] Monetary Policy and Economic Indicators - The Hong Kong Monetary Authority provided liquidity of 77 million HKD through the discount window[1] - The People's Bank of China conducted a 253 billion yuan reverse repurchase operation at a steady rate of 1.4%, resulting in a net injection of 124.3 billion yuan for the day[1] - The RMB/USD midpoint was adjusted up by 97 pips to 7.1287[1] Corporate Earnings Highlights - China Power (02380.HK) reported a revenue of 23.858 billion yuan, down 9.9% year-on-year, with a net profit of 2.587 billion yuan, a slight increase of 0.7%[2] - KANLONG (03759.HK) reported a revenue of 6.441 billion yuan, up 14.9% year-on-year, but a net profit decline of 37% to 701 million yuan due to previous year's investment gains[3] - Li Ning (02331.HK) reported a revenue of 14.817 billion yuan, up 3.3%, with a net profit decline of 11% to 1.737 billion yuan[3] - Bilibili (09626.HK) reported a net revenue of 7.338 billion yuan, up 19.8% year-on-year, and turned a profit of 219 million yuan compared to a loss of 609 million yuan in the previous year[4]
361度(01361) - 自愿公佈战略合作协议
2025-08-17 23:30
香 港 交 易 及 結 算 所 有 限 公 司 及 香 港 聯 合 交 易 所 有 限 公 司 對 本 公 佈 的 內 容 概 不 負 責,對其準確性或完整性亦不發表任何聲明,並明確表示,概不對因本公佈全部 或任何部份內容而產生或因倚賴該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責任。 (於開曼群島註冊成立的有限公司) (股份代號:1361) 自願公佈 戰略合作協議 本公 佈由 361 度國 際有限 公司(「本 公司」,連同 其附 屬公 司統 稱「本 集團」)自 願作 出,以向本公司股東及潛在投資者提供本集團的最新業務發展情況。 戰略合作協議 本公司董事(「董事」)會(「董事會」)欣然宣佈,於二零二五年八月十七日,本公司 一家全資附屬公司三六一度( 廈門 )體育科技有限公司與斯坦德機器人( 無錫 )股份 有限公司(「斯坦德」)訂立戰略合作協議(「戰略合作協議」),旨在利用雙方各自的 優勢及資源,在機器人穿用的服裝、鞋類、配飾等裝備(「機器人穿戴」)及具身智 能機器人材料領域建立戰略合作關係。 本集團一直致力於專注科技產品的功能性,前膽性地佈局了適用於人體和具身智 能機器人的特殊材料及相關設計。根據戰略合作協議,本集團將與 ...
信达国际港股晨报快-20250724
Xin Da Guo Ji Kong Gu· 2025-07-24 02:16
Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index is expected to rise towards 26,000 points due to the postponement of tariffs by the US and a stable economic outlook in mainland China, although corporate earnings improvements are limited [2] - Active trading in the Hong Kong market reflects a positive risk appetite, with capital rotating across different sectors [2] - New trade negotiations between China and the US are set to begin, contributing to a more favorable trade environment [2] Company Insights: Xtep International (1368) - Xtep's total retail sales volume (RSV) showed a slight year-on-year slowdown in Q2 2025, with online sales performing better than offline [9] - The company plans to gradually recover 100-200 stores for direct-to-consumer (DTC) transformation starting in Q4 2025, with a total of about 500 stores targeted for recovery by FY26E [9] - Xtep's management expects a net profit growth of over 10% year-on-year for FY25E, maintaining a stable retail discount level of 25-30% [9] Company Insights: Anta Sports (2020) - Anta reported stable performance in Q2 2025, with its main brand and FILA showing low single-digit and mid-single-digit growth, respectively [14] - The company has reaffirmed its FY25E guidance, expecting growth rates of high single digits for its main brand and over 30% for other brands [14] - Anta is focusing on optimizing its offline store structure and managing online discounts to maintain brand image and profitability [14] Financial Projections - Xtep's revenue is projected to grow from 8,423 million RMB in FY23A to 11,412 million RMB in FY25E, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 7% [10] - Anta's revenue is expected to increase from 10,074 million RMB in FY24A to 12,935 million RMB in FY26E, reflecting a robust growth trajectory [10] Valuation Metrics - Xtep's FY25E price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected at 9.6x, which is significantly below its 5-year average valuation [9] - Anta's FY25E P/E ratio is estimated at 17.0x, also below its 10-year average, indicating potential undervaluation [14]
安踏體育(02020.HK)技術分析:強勢走勢顯現,技術指標一致看多
Ge Long Hui· 2025-06-06 02:19
Core Viewpoint - Anta Sports (02020.HK) shows a bullish technical trend, with various indicators suggesting potential for continued price increases, supported by market optimism [1][2]. Technical Analysis - The current price of Anta Sports is HKD 95.6, which is above key moving averages (MA10: 94.77, MA30: 93.13, MA60: 91.5), indicating a positive short to medium-term trend [1]. - The first support level is at HKD 92.3 and the second at HKD 88.4, suggesting limited downside potential. Initial resistance is at HKD 98.8, with a higher resistance level at HKD 102.8 [1]. - The stock recently experienced a single-day increase of 1.76%, indicating active buying interest in the market [1]. Volatility and Momentum Indicators - Anta's 5-day volatility is 9%, reflecting active trading and supporting upward price momentum [2]. - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 57, indicating a neutral to strong position without overheating, suggesting further upward potential [2]. - Technical indicators collectively signal a "strong buy" with a signal strength of 17 points, indicating a high-intensity bullish signal [2]. Derivative Products Performance - During the period from June 2 to 4, Anta Sports' stock price increased by 1.43%, with various derivative products showing different performances. Notably, the Societe Generale bull certificates (53978) and JPMorgan bull certificates (54458) recorded gains of 12% [4]. - Call options such as Huatai's (13440) and Macquarie's (15902) also showed positive performance, with increases of 6% and 5% respectively, reflecting stability in slightly fluctuating stock prices [4]. Investment Products Overview - Anta Sports offers a range of derivative products for investors, including call options with leverage ranging from 2.8x to 4.4x and bull certificates with leverage of 7x to 7.2x [7][8]. - Investors can choose from various products based on market expectations, considering factors such as leverage, exercise price, and premium [7]. Conclusion - Overall, Anta Sports exhibits strong technical advantages, with moving averages, momentum indicators, and market sentiment aligning to suggest potential for upward price challenges in the near term. Close attention should be paid to the resistance level at HKD 98.8 for potential breakout opportunities [1][2][4].