丨证券研究报告丨 公司研究丨点评报告丨紫光股份（000938.SZ） [Table_Title] AI 驱动增长提速，海外业务拓展发力 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 25H1 公司核心子公司新华三高速增长，政企与海外业务齐驱动，ICT 基础设施收入占比提升， 服务器增长强劲；毛利率受收入结构调整影响有所下降，同时收购带来阶段性财务费用压力， 对净利润造成一定拖累。公司坚定推进"算力×联接"战略，持续引领技术创新；积极推进 H 股上市，有望优化资本结构，为长期发展提供有力支持。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 紫光股份（000938.SZ） cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title2] AI 驱动增长提速，海外业务拓展发力 [Table_Summary2] 事件描述 于海宁 黄天佑 SAC：S0490517110002 SAC：S0490522050005 SFC：BUX641 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 近日，公司发布 2025 年半年度报告，25H1 实现营业收入 474.2 亿元，同比+25.0%；归母净 ...

机构：东吴证券 研究员：王紫敬 亚太领先的ICT 行业解决方案商：公司成立于1991 年，2002 年在中国香港主板上市。公司是亚太地区 领先的专注ICT 行业解决方案的科技平台，是科技产品进入中国及东南亚市场的主要通路，为合作伙伴 提供全品类、一站式、全链路的信息化服务，以提升运营效率，降低交易成本，推动科技企业数智化转 型，加快信息化产业数智化进程。业务涵盖企业系统、消费电子和云计算三大板块，业务覆盖云计算/ 大数据、人工智能、数据存储、数据分析、基础建设、网络安全、方案交付、移动互联、游戏娱乐、物 联应用、可穿戴设备及虚拟现实产品等十二大领域，在云生态建设、IT 运维服务、供应链金融、信创 产业等拓展出全新版图。公司服务市场覆盖中国、泰国、新加坡、印度尼西亚、菲律宾、马来西亚、柬 埔寨、缅甸及老挝9 个国家，全亚太供给87 个分支机构、携手50000家渠道机构，服务19 亿人群。伟仕 佳杰是华为、新华三、阿里巴巴、腾讯、曙光、联想等300 多家世界500 强科技企业。 从云计算到AI，业务规模大幅攀升：2013 年公司成立云计算事业部，开始布局云计算业务。2015 年开 始陆续与微软、阿里云、亚马逊、华 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance in the near term [1]. Core Insights - The company is a leading ICT solutions provider in the Asia-Pacific region, focusing on digital transformation through cloud computing and AI technologies [8][13]. - The Southeast Asian market is experiencing rapid growth, with projected revenue growth of approximately 74% in 2024, contributing to a significant portion of the company's overall revenue [32]. - The company has established strong partnerships with major tech firms, enhancing its market position and service offerings [18][19]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - The company was founded in 1991 and listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange in 2002, serving as a key channel for ICT products in Southeast Asia [8][13]. - It operates across nine countries in the region, with a network of 87 branches and partnerships with over 50,000 channel institutions [15]. 2. Business Growth - Revenue from the Southeast Asian market is expected to increase significantly, with a forecasted growth rate of 34.41% in 2024 [32]. - The company has seen steady revenue growth from 2020 to 2024, with total revenues projected to reach HKD 102.31 billion in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 14.85% [61]. 3. Cloud Computing and AI Expansion - The company has been actively expanding its cloud computing and AI services since establishing its cloud division in 2013, collaborating with major cloud providers [37]. - AI-related revenue is projected to reach HKD 3.78 billion in 2024, marking a 42% increase year-on-year [54]. 4. Financial Projections - The company anticipates total revenues of HKD 1,023.11 billion, HKD 1,170.77 billion, and HKD 1,334.02 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [61]. - The expected net profit for the same period is projected to be HKD 1.3 billion, HKD 1.5 billion, and HKD 1.8 billion, with corresponding growth rates of 20%, 22%, and 15% [60].

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 47.425 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 24.96% [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.041 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 4.05% [2] - The net profit excluding non-recurring gains and losses was 1.118 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 25.10% [2] - Basic earnings per share were 0.3639 yuan [2] Revenue Breakdown - The ICT infrastructure and services segment generated revenue of 36.042 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year growth of 37.80%, and accounted for 76.00% of total revenue [2] - The company's subsidiary, Xinhua San, achieved revenue of 36.404 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 37.75% [2] - Domestic government and enterprise business revenue reached 31.035 billion yuan, growing by 53.55% year-on-year, while international business revenue was 1.919 billion yuan, up by 60.25% [2]

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 47.425 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 24.96% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.041 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 4.05% [1] - The net profit excluding non-recurring gains and losses was 1.118 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 25.10% [1] - Basic earnings per share were 0.3639 yuan [1] Revenue Breakdown - The ICT infrastructure and services segment generated revenue of 36.042 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year growth of 37.80%, and accounted for 76.00% of total revenue [1] - The company's subsidiary, Xinhua San, achieved a revenue of 36.404 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 37.75% [1] - Domestic enterprise business revenue reached 31.035 billion yuan, with a significant year-on-year growth of 53.55% [1] - International business revenue was 1.919 billion yuan, showing a robust year-on-year growth of 60.25% [1]

Group 1: Global ICT Market Overview - The global ICT market is projected to reach nearly $5.9 trillion by 2025 and $7.6 trillion by 2029, with a five-year CAGR of 7.0% [1] - China's ICT market is expected to approach $889.43 billion by 2029, also with a CAGR of 7.0% [1] - The "national subsidy" policy is driving growth in consumer product shipments, providing space for market upgrades [1] Group 2: AI's Impact on the ICT Industry - The demand for computing power driven by generative AI is a major factor in the growth of the ICT market [3] - From 2024 to 2029, China's enterprise server and storage investment is expected to have a CAGR of 21.7% [3] - The IaaS spending in China is projected to grow at a CAGR of 14.7% [3] Group 3: Enterprise ICT Market Growth - China's enterprise ICT market is expected to reach $314.7 billion by 2025, growing 14.3% from 2024, and will maintain an average annual growth rate of 12.2% from 2025 to 2029 [3] - AI and computing power deployment are identified as the core growth engines for the market [3] Group 4: Technology Segmentation - IDC's market analysis covers five major technology areas and 120 sub-technologies, indicating a broad application potential for the enterprise ICT market in China [4] - The hardware market is expected to exceed $249.55 billion in spending by 2029, making it the largest segment [4] Group 5: Software Market Dynamics - The enterprise software market is projected to have the highest growth rate, with a CAGR of nearly 13.6% [6] - The increasing focus on software for intelligent decision-making, business automation, and data governance is driving investment in related applications and technologies [6] Group 6: Lenovo's AI Strategy - Lenovo is a proponent of hybrid AI, integrating AI across its business lines to enhance competitiveness [7] - The company is developing AI-enabled smart terminals, leading the global AI PC market with over 30% of its PC shipments being AI PCs [8] - Lenovo's AI personal assistant, Tianxi, has a weekly active user rate of 40% [8] Group 7: Infrastructure and Services - Lenovo's ISG infrastructure business aims to build a comprehensive foundation for AI development, focusing on heterogeneous computing [9] - The company is expanding its AI-native services and has launched multiple solutions across various industries [9] Group 8: Future Growth Potential - Lenovo's robust growth in AI-enabled business segments is expected to yield sustained value growth [10] - The company has showcased nearly 200 AI technologies and products, indicating its entry into a "value realization period" [10] - Multiple investment banks have issued positive reports on Lenovo, indicating strong growth potential [10] Group 9: Digital Economy and AI Integration - The continuous advancement of AI technology is expected to unlock growth value for the digital economy [12] - Lenovo's comprehensive AI business layout aims to drive digital upgrades across various industries, creating greater growth opportunities [12]

Core Insights - The global ICT market is projected to reach nearly $5.9 trillion by 2025, with an expected increase to $7.6 trillion by 2029, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.0% over five years [1] - China's ICT market is forecasted to approach $889.4 billion by 2029, also with a CAGR of 7.0% [2] Market Overview - The enterprise-level ICT market in China is expected to reach approximately $314.7 billion by 2025, marking a 14.3% increase from 2024, outpacing GDP growth [4] - From 2025 onwards, the Chinese enterprise-level ICT market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 12.2%, reaching nearly $488.9 billion by 2029 [4] - The demand for generative artificial intelligence is a key driver of growth in the ICT market, particularly in the deployment of GPU servers by large enterprises [4] - Investment in enterprise-level servers and storage in China is expected to grow at a CAGR of 21.7% from 2024 to 2029 [4] - The IaaS spending in China is projected to grow at a CAGR of 14.7% [4] Technology Dimension - The hardware market is anticipated to be the largest segment, with spending expected to exceed $249.6 billion by 2029 [6] - The enterprise software market is projected to grow at the highest rate, with a CAGR of nearly 13.6% [6] - IT services are increasingly critical for enterprise digital transformation, enhancing operational efficiency and information security [7] Industry Insights - The software and information services sector remains a key area for ICT investment, with a projected CAGR of 22.9% starting in 2025, reaching nearly $150.7 billion by 2029 [8] - The education sector is rapidly adopting AI applications, driven by government policies and increasing demand for smart teaching solutions [8] - The wholesale and retail sector is accelerating its adoption of public cloud services, supported by government incentives and the growth of new retail formats [8] Enterprise Size Insights - Very large businesses (1000+ employees) are expected to account for nearly 30% of ICT spending in 2025 [9] - The demand for customized AI applications is creating numerous market opportunities, particularly in the service sector [9] - IDC's spending guide quantifies market potential across various dimensions, including global regions, technologies, industries, and enterprise sizes [9] IDC Spending Guide Purpose - The IDC Spending Guide aims to provide data support for IT vendors, industry users, and investment/financial institutions in strategic planning and investment decisions [10]

Core Viewpoint - The digital economy is becoming a crucial engine for high-quality development, with Yichang actively integrating into national strategies and leveraging its strengths in clean energy and data resources to foster a robust digital economy [1][2][4]. Group 1: Digital Economy Development - Yichang is accelerating the construction of "Digital Yichang" by promoting deep integration between the digital economy and the real economy, capitalizing on its advantages in clean energy and rich application scenarios [2][4]. - The collaboration with Huawei has led to significant achievements in digital transformation across various sectors, including government, healthcare, and energy [4][6]. Group 2: Technological Infrastructure - Yichang is focusing on building autonomous innovative digital infrastructure, with a strong emphasis on the synergy of hardware and software, particularly through the development of the Kunpeng ecosystem [4][5]. - The Kunpeng hardware demonstrates strong competitiveness, achieving full autonomy in components and systems, thereby establishing a solid foundation for digital Yichang [4][6]. Group 3: Talent Development - The rapid development of the digital economy highlights the importance of talent as a key driver of industrial innovation, with Yichang leveraging its quality educational resources to foster talent in collaboration with Huawei [7][8]. - Initiatives such as curriculum development, innovation competitions, and technical forums are being implemented to enhance practical skills and promote industry talent cultivation [8]. Group 4: Ecosystem Collaboration - The Kunpeng ecosystem is thriving through open collaboration, attracting numerous developers and enterprises, and facilitating the sharing of experiences and innovation [6][8]. - Successful applications of Kunpeng technology across various industries, including manufacturing, telecommunications, and finance, showcase its strength and provide new insights for Yichang's digital economy [6].

Summary of Weishi Jiajie Group's Conference Call Company Overview - Weishi Jiajie Group reported a revenue of HKD 45.5 billion for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 13.6% [2][3] - The group achieved a shareholder return rate of 13.7% and earnings per share of HKD 44.06 [2][3] - Total assets reached HKD 40.5 billion with a cash balance of HKD 3.82 billion and a net debt to total assets ratio of 0.14 [3] Key Financial Metrics - Accounts receivable turnover days: 70 days [2][3] - Accounts payable turnover days: 65 days [2][3] - Inventory turnover days: 48 days [3] - Operating turnover days: 53 days [2][3] Market Performance - Southeast Asia emerged as a growth engine with a revenue increase of 22.5% year-on-year [2][5] - Specific country growth rates: Thailand 50.4%, Philippines 45.4%, Malaysia 31.3%, Indonesia 29.9% [2][5] - The strong growth in Southeast Asia is attributed to local digitalization trends and a 104% increase in Apple business [5] Cloud Business Growth - The cloud business experienced explosive growth with a year-on-year increase of 67.9% [2][6] - Revenue growth from major cloud services: Alibaba Cloud 156%, Huawei Cloud 29%, Amazon Cloud 293%, VMware 295% [6] - The subsidiary Jiajie Yunxing achieved a revenue growth of 63% and won multiple AI computing center projects [6] Financial Services Innovations - The company is exploring financial service innovations, including the introduction of stablecoins to enhance cross-border payment efficiency and reduce exchange rate risks [7] - Focus on creating a new IP distribution ecosystem to improve operational efficiency and digitalization [7] Future Development Strategy - Plans to expand into Vietnam and India, with considerations for entering South Korea, Japan, Taiwan, and Australia [4][13] - Aiming to become the largest ICT industry solution technology platform in China and Asia [8] - The company maintains a stable dividend policy with a payout ratio of approximately 35% [4][14] Growth Drivers - Revenue growth is primarily driven by increased demand for basic computing power and AI [9] - The cloud business segment grew by 76% due to rising AI computing power demand [9] - Collaborations with several computing ecosystem partners, including Kunpeng and Haiguang chips, have significantly boosted performance [9] AI Business Outlook - AI business is still in its early stages, but the company plans to invest heavily in AI software and related fields [12] - Achieved a 76% growth in the AI segment in 2025, exceeding expectations [12] M&A Plans - The company is actively seeking acquisition opportunities to accelerate growth [15] Performance Guidance - Expected profit and revenue growth of around 20% over the next 2 to 3 years while maintaining operational quality [16] Seasonal Business Trends - Overall business shows some seasonality, with lower activity in the first half of the year due to the Spring Festival [17]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue grew by 13.6%, reaching HKD 45.5 billion, while profit attributable to equity shareholders increased by 34.7%, reaching HKD 610 million, with an EPS of HKD 0.04406 and ROE of 13.7%, significantly higher than the Hang Seng Index average ROE of 10.94% [2] - The company has experienced a steady growth in revenue since being listed, with a CAGR of 24% and an average annual growth rate of 28% for net profit [3] Business Segment Data and Key Metrics Changes - Enterprise Systems revenue increased by 14.1%, from 22.5 billion yen to 25.7 billion yen, while Consumer Electronics grew by 7.5%, from 15.9 billion yen to 17.2 billion yen [5] - Cloud computing revenue grew exponentially by 67.9%, from 1.56 billion yen to 2.61 billion yen [6] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - North Asia revenue increased from 26.4 billion yen to 28.7 billion yen, while Southeast Asia grew by 22.5%, from 13.6 billion yen to 16.7 billion yen [6] - Southeast Asia saw significant growth in various countries: Thailand (50%), Philippines (45.4%), Malaysia (31%), and Indonesia (30%), with Singapore experiencing a revenue decrease of 19% [9][10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to become one of the largest ICT industry solutions technology platforms in the Asia Pacific region, focusing on digital construction and maintaining a leading position in the industry [14] - The strategy includes enhancing operational efficiency and digitalization while creating sustainable social values [14] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management highlighted the strong demand for AI computing, which has driven revenue growth, particularly in Southeast Asia, and expressed confidence in the sustainability of this growth [19] - The company is cautious about the operating risks due to Sino-U.S. trade conflicts but sees opportunities in domestic products for Southeast Asia [17] Other Important Information - The company maintains a stable dividend payout policy at around 35% and has no immediate plans to increase the payout ratio despite strong growth [30] - There are ongoing considerations for M&A expansions, with a strong intention to speed up the process [31] Q&A Session Summary Question: Regarding AI trends and Southeast Asia opportunities - Management noted that AI computing demand has driven revenue growth in Southeast Asia, with infrastructure computing demand being a significant factor [18] Question: Details on CloudStar's business development - Management discussed the advantages of CloudStar in multi-cloud management and scheduling, emphasizing increased investment in R&D and AI capabilities [23] Question: Future dividend strategy - The company plans to maintain a stable dividend payout ratio at around 35% and balance business development with dividend payouts [30] Question: Revenue guidance for the next few years - Management indicated that while forecasting business in China is challenging, there are many opportunities in overseas markets, particularly in Southeast Asia [32]