文 | 新声Pro冯 勇（上海） 编辑 | 张一童（上海） 2025年以来，短剧行业的流量红利逐渐见顶，全行业进行破圈探索的同时，也开始经历必然的市场分层，一批制作方不再继续追求大制作、精品化而转向 下沉市场寻求新机会。下沉剧主要面向农村乡镇和四五线城市，以中老年为主要受众，单剧成本压缩至10-30万元区间。 这一下沉趋势源自两个维度原因，一方面短剧需要拉新，除了通过精品作品向上破圈，在下沉市场还有很大的未挖掘空间；另一方面是头部效应凸显，许 多中腰部制作方的利润空间被压缩，必须寻找新的生存路径。 虽然《好一个乖乖女》《十八岁太奶奶驾到，重整家族荣耀》《盛夏芬德拉》等作品接连爆火，打破播放量纪录；但对于绝大多数资金和内容能力不足的 制作方，精品赛道则成为一场高投入、高风险的「豪赌」，平台保底金额的缩减更切断了小微团队的退路。 于是，从前更多被市场忽略的下沉剧开始展现出独特的竞争力：拥有尚未饱和的新市场，内容制作难度降低，投资风险较小，能实现基本稳定的资金回 笼。 执行层面，下沉短剧也将短剧的降本增效推向极致工业化。通过大幅精简剧组人员，弃用在榜高价明星，2-3天连轴转拍摄压缩周期，十余部连拍套拍， 以及AI高 ...

同样探究情感叙事的《盛夏芬德拉》，打开"先婚后爱"序章的时候，却出乎意料地聚焦成年人爱情的克 制与救赎。它细腻的情感流动，藏在细节中的温柔，是当代人对真诚亲密关系的渴求，10天播放量突破 30亿。 作为短剧创作的高热题材，穿越剧也在今年拿出了一部大流量作品。《十八岁太奶奶驾到，重整家族荣 耀》减少了穿越题材的猎奇和爽感"钩子"，女主乖巧形象与"太奶奶"身份形成反差，以"整顿家族"为 引，表达对家风传承、亲情羁绊的渴望，创新性叙事，为其获得上线首日破亿的观看热度。同样是乖巧 形象，但《好一个乖乖女》却不走寻常路，女主在顺从表象下隐藏的不甘和挣扎，打破了观众对"乖巧 女主"的刻板思维，也用掌声和数据肯定了女主对于"自我价值"的重新定义。 从情绪到艺术的进阶 曾经以"短平快"为标签的短剧，于2025年，在用户对叙事、情感深度和艺术表达的高要求下，不再是流 量剧情的堆砌，而开始用精炼的叙事编织情感，完成品质蜕变，虽有"爽感输出"，却饱含情感重量和文 化纵深。《家里家外》的年代烟火气尚未退去，《盛夏芬德拉》便带着高品质画面示爱而来……精品短 剧频出，哪部短剧让你念念不忘？ 2025年岁末，封面新闻、华西都市报推出"20 ...

2025年，短剧行业在高速发展中迎来了价值拐点。 今年10月底，红果短剧总编辑在公开场合表示，2025年微短剧市场规模有望接近1000亿门槛。与之形成鲜明对比的是，截至12月13日，中国电影票房总额 才破500亿。同时，QuestMobile数据也显示，截至9月，红果短剧月活已达2.36亿，在在线视频APP中位列第四，超过B站、接近芒果。 除了惊人的市场增幅，更深层的变化也正在发生。随着短剧跨过规模化与工业化门槛，其在观众心目中终于不再是流水线上的快消品，而是作为一种新型 内容形态，在大众文化中占据了一席之地。 那么，今年短剧市场涌现了哪些爆款作品？短剧行业发生了哪些变化，谁在上桌又是谁在定义未来？ 全面"升咖" 2025年，短剧行业最深刻的变革，莫过于市场规模、播放量、制作水准、演员的全方位"升咖"。 最直观的标志，是行业大盘的迅速扩张，曾经代表天花板的"10亿播放量"，如今却成为了爆款作品的平均线。 根据DataEye《2024年微短剧行业白皮书》，去年抖音端原生短剧中，播放量破亿作品仅占总量的4.3%，近半数（45%）作品累计播放量仍停留在100万以 下，超过六成（63%）作品不足500万。 但在今年， ...

Group 1: Industry Trends - The short drama industry is entering a period of refinement, with micro-short dramas becoming a mainstream entertainment choice by the end of 2025, leading to intensified competition and a shift in focus towards scale, quality, and copyright competition [1] - Popular short dramas such as "Good Girl" and "Eighteen-Year-Old Grandma" have broken viewership records, with "Good Girl" being the first short drama on the Hongguo platform to exceed 10 million collections [1][3] - The phenomenon of top-tier resources concentrating among leading players is evident, creating a closed loop of "high traffic - high revenue sharing - top works," which exacerbates the Matthew effect in the industry [4] Group 2: Operational Strategy Changes - In response to the concentration of resources, mid-tier production companies are adopting differentiated strategies to survive, as exemplified by the Heima Theater under Dianzhong, which saw a 99.4% year-on-year increase in monthly active users, exceeding 50 million by September 2025 [5] - Heima Theater's new partner plan 3.0 emphasizes differentiation through three major upgrades: a quantifiable revenue-sharing model, an incentive category upgrade, and a guaranteed minimum revenue for completed dramas [7][9] Group 3: Differentiation Strategy Implications - The differentiation strategy allows mid-tier players to focus on content quality rather than chasing popular genres, thus meeting diverse user needs and avoiding the pitfalls of homogenization [11] - By implementing a quantifiable revenue-sharing model and a tiered minimum revenue guarantee, mid-tier production companies can reduce trial and error costs and focus on niche topics, creating opportunities for high-quality works [13] - The differentiation strategy contributes to industry upgrades by promoting diverse themes and addressing the issues of content homogenization, leading to a virtuous cycle of "differentiated competition - quality content - revenue reinvestment in creation" [14]

Core Viewpoint - The recent trend of IP series development in the short drama sector has shown promising results, with several new series achieving significant viewership and engagement, indicating a potential for sustainable growth in this market [2][7]. Group 1: Successful Short Drama Series - The summer season has seen the emergence of multiple successful short drama series, including "Cloud Miao," "Eighteen-Year-Old Great-Grandma," and "One Piece of Cloth," which have garnered impressive viewership and popularity across various platforms [2][3]. - "Eighteen-Year-Old Great-Grandma" has set records, becoming the first short drama on Hongguo to exceed 100 million views on its first day, and has surpassed 1 billion views overall, leading the charts [3][4]. - "One Piece of Cloth" has also performed well, achieving over 1 billion views within five days of its release, despite having less promotional volume compared to its peers [3][4]. Group 2: Factors Contributing to Success - The success of these series can be attributed to their strong IP foundations, which allow for multi-season development and have already established market recognition with their initial releases [7][9]. - The narrative structure of these series, which combines familiar themes with innovative storytelling, has helped maintain viewer interest and engagement [9][11]. - The shorter format of these dramas allows for quicker production cycles, enabling timely releases that cater to existing fan bases while attracting new viewers, thus enhancing user retention and market heat [11]. Group 3: Future Prospects - The trend of IP series development in short dramas is expected to continue, with upcoming sequels and new series set to launch, indicating a growing market for this content type [6][12]. - The industry is likely to see more players entering the short drama space, leveraging the successful models established by current hit series [11][12].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the rising trend of "short drama star-making" in the entertainment industry, highlighting the efforts of platforms like Tencent and iQIYI, as well as production companies like Tinghua Island, in promoting short drama actors and their commercial potential [3][4][7]. Industry Development - The "short drama star-making" phenomenon is a direct reflection of the industry's rapid growth, indicating that only content products with sufficient consumer demand can create stars [7]. - The success of short drama actors is evidenced by the signing of popular actors like Han Yutong by Tinghua Island, which has also signed several other successful short drama actors [28][31]. Actor Development Paths - Current trends show that popular actors are generally following two paths: establishing themselves in short dramas or transitioning to long dramas. Each path presents its own challenges, such as repetitive scripts and typecasting for short dramas, and intense competition for long dramas [8][9][43]. - Despite the promising outlook, short drama actors face a period of "growing pains" in their career development, influenced by both individual choices and the broader industry environment [9][10]. Industry Dynamics - The phenomenon of "fan wars" has begun to emerge in the short drama sector, indicating a shift towards a more competitive and star-driven environment [13][16]. - The article notes that the industry is witnessing a "resource rush," with various production companies actively signing popular short drama actors to secure talent for future projects [31][32]. Platform Strategies - iQIYI has taken significant steps in the industry by signing potential star actors and hosting events like the "Glow Night" to elevate the status of short drama actors, thereby increasing their commercial viability [39]. - In contrast, Tencent and Youku's strategies appear to focus more on project-based collaborations rather than long-term commitments to short drama actors [42]. Future Considerations - The choice between signing with short drama production companies or established film and television companies reflects different future aspirations for actors, with the former focusing on short drama success and the latter aiming for opportunities in long dramas and films [43]. - The article emphasizes that while short drama actors may enjoy a close connection with fans, this can also lead to challenges in maintaining a distinct star persona as they transition to larger platforms [46].