Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The gaming business remains stable, and the company is building a comprehensive ecosystem for short videos [5] - The company reported a significant decline in revenue for the first three quarters of 2025, with a year-on-year decrease of 24.42% [7] - The company is focusing on optimizing its revenue structure and enhancing its high-margin business segments [7] - The establishment of the Shanghai International Short Video Center aims to create a full industry chain ecosystem around short videos and short dramas [7] Financial Performance Summary - For 2025, the company expects revenue of 3,440 million yuan, a 5.16% increase from 2024 [6] - The projected net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 is 612 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 13.61% [6] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is estimated at 1.47 yuan [6] - The company’s gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 44.46%, an increase of 6.61 percentage points year-on-year [7] - The net profit margin for the same period was 19.44%, up by 3.55 percentage points year-on-year [7] Business Development - The company has established multiple teams in the casual puzzle game segment to ensure continuous production of quality content [7] - The core products, such as "Fishing Blast" and "Finger Fishing," have shown strong player retention over the years [7] - The company is also involved in the issuance and secondary trading of sports culture collectible cards through its investment in Shanghai Luda Consulting Management Co., Ltd. [7] - The company has become the agent for the Pokémon TCG (Simplified Chinese version) in mainland China [7]

Group 1: Electronic Components - The report highlights that DeepSeek will accelerate the penetration of domestic AI applications and boost the demand for domestic computing power [2][25]. - Investment recommendations include companies such as Cambrian-U, Haiguang Information, SMIC, Zhaoyi Innovation, and Shengke Communication-U, with related companies like Chipone [2][25]. - The AI narrative is evolving rapidly, with token usage increasing exponentially, indicating a strong growth trajectory for the sector [23]. Group 2: Overseas Technology - The semiconductor industry is experiencing accelerated upgrades driven by AI and data center construction, with a forecasted 5.4% growth in global silicon wafer shipments in 2025, reaching 128.24 billion square inches [3]. - The demand for AI is a major driver for this growth, particularly in data centers and edge computing, which will benefit silicon wafer manufacturers and equipment suppliers [3]. - The report notes that the current supply of silicon wafers is recovering from a downturn, and if AI demand materializes as expected, capacity utilization for related manufacturers will continue to rise [3]. Group 3: China National Airlines - The company demonstrated strong profitability in Q3 2025, achieving a net profit of 3.7 billion yuan despite a 11% year-on-year decline, showcasing resilience and potential for growth [7][8]. - The company plans to raise 20 billion yuan through a private placement to optimize its capital structure and reduce leverage, which is expected to enhance financial stability [9][10]. - The airline's network and customer quality are among the best in the industry, and the ongoing optimization is likely to drive an increase in profitability [10].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][18]. Core Views - The company experienced a decline in revenue and net profit in the first half of the year, with revenue at 1.438 billion yuan and net profit at 256 million yuan, representing year-on-year decreases of 24.64% and 9.98% respectively [1][8]. - The decline in performance is attributed to short-term fluctuations in the digital marketing and playing card businesses, although the gross margin has improved [1][2]. - The company is focusing on new business opportunities in card collectibles and has made strategic investments in related sectors, indicating potential for future growth [3][17]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of the year, the company achieved operating revenue of 1.438 billion yuan and a net profit of 256 million yuan, down 24.64% and 9.98% year-on-year, respectively, with a diluted EPS of 0.61 yuan [1][8]. - For Q2 2025, the company reported revenue of 660 million yuan and a net profit of 115 million yuan, reflecting declines of 28.8% and 13.7% year-on-year, respectively [1][8]. Business Segments - The gaming business generated revenue of 481 million yuan, down 6.33% year-on-year, with a stable gross margin of 96.39% [2][15]. - The digital marketing segment saw a significant revenue drop of 40.76% to 520 million yuan, but the gross margin improved to 8.16% [2][15]. - The playing card business reported revenue of 429 million yuan, down 12.72%, with a gross margin of 29.93% [2][15]. Future Outlook - The company maintains its profit forecast, expecting net profits of 617 million yuan, 669 million yuan, and 701 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding diluted EPS of 1.49 yuan, 1.61 yuan, and 1.69 yuan [3][18]. - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 19, 18, and 17 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, indicating a favorable valuation [3][18].

Core Viewpoint - Shanghai Yaoji Technology Co., Ltd. maintains a stable credit rating of A+ for both its corporate entity and the "Yaoji Convertible Bond" with a stable outlook, reflecting its strong market position and financial stability despite some revenue decline [1][4][10]. Company Overview - The company, originally established as Shanghai People's Printing Factory, has evolved into a well-known manufacturer of playing cards and is publicly listed since 2011 [10][11]. - As of March 2025, the company has a total share capital of 415 million shares, with the controlling shareholders holding 49.95% of the shares [10][11]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported total revenue of 32.71 billion yuan, a decrease of 24.05% year-on-year, while the total profit was 6.81 billion yuan [4][11][24]. - The company has a strong cash position with cash assets amounting to 10.81 billion yuan by the end of 2024, and total assets of 50.69 billion yuan [9][11]. - The company's gross profit margin improved to 43.44% in 2024, up by 5.81 percentage points from the previous year [24]. Business Segments - The playing card business remains stable, while the mobile gaming segment experienced a decline in revenue due to a decrease in active users [4][24]. - The digital marketing segment saw a revenue drop but an increase in gross margin due to adjustments in client cooperation and reduced inefficient spending [4][24]. Industry Analysis - The playing card industry in China is characterized by stable demand and intense competition, with the country being a major producer and consumer of playing cards globally [14][15]. - The mobile gaming market in China reached a sales revenue of 325.78 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 7.53%, indicating a shift from user expansion to increased per capita spending [15][16]. - The internet marketing sector is also growing, with the market size reaching 776.5 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a 15.04% increase [19]. Risks and Challenges - The company faces risks related to high supplier concentration in its playing card business, which could impact cost control and operational performance [25][26]. - The mobile gaming industry is under pressure from regulatory scrutiny and increased competition, which could affect revenue growth [15][16].