【环球时报综合报道】"今年暑期档票房破40亿（美元）恐怕是不可能了。"《好莱坞报道者》近日撰 文，感叹今年北美暑期档原本期望热卖的好莱坞大片，表现却不及预期。业内人士认为，主要还是缺乏 像前几年《芭比》《头脑特工队2》那样的爆款大片撑起整个大盘。 美国CNBC援引好莱坞业内人士的警告，认为今年好莱坞8月至9月后将陷入颓势，缺乏重量级大片压 阵，即便10月有《创：战神》《真人快打2》等片上映，局面也不会有明显好转，可能要等到11月的 《魔法坏女巫2》和《疯狂动物城2》才会有所起色，而2025年真正的大戏，还得看年底的《阿凡达3： 火与烬》。（董铭） 在今年暑期档（北美为5至8月）开启之前，好莱坞原本对市场抱有乐观的期望，认为今年有望大幅超过 去年的37亿美元，包括《碟中谍8》《侏罗纪世界：重生》《超人》和《神奇4侠：初露锋芒》等都有望 热卖。前期在《我的世界大电影》《星际宝贝史迪奇》和《碟中谍8》的带动下，北美电影市场第二季 度成绩亮眼，票房比去年同期涨了37%。然而在7月之后，北美电影市场开始急速下落，截至8月17日票 房较去年同期下降6%，较2023年同期跌幅更是高达11%，就连漫威的重头戏《神奇4侠：初露 ...

Group 1 - The overall performance of Hollywood films in the first half of the year has shown a recovery, but the total box office is still 26% lower than the same period in 2019, with a total of $4.38 billion [1] - Family-friendly films have gained popularity, with titles like "The Super Mario Bros. Movie," "Lilo & Stitch," and "How to Train Your Dragon" contributing to a total box office of $1.72 billion, accounting for 41% of the market [1] - The superhero genre has not performed well, with disappointing box office results for "Captain America: Brave New World" and "Thunderbolts," despite upcoming releases from DC and Marvel [1] Group 2 - The "Mission: Impossible 8" has grossed $576 million globally, but its high production cost of $300 million raises concerns about the return on investment for the series [2] - The film industry is facing rising costs due to the pandemic and Hollywood strikes, affecting budgets for films like "Snow White," "Captain America: Brave New World," and "Thunderbolts" [2] - The overall situation for independent films in North America is bleak, with "Materialistic" being one of the few highlights, grossing $45.62 million globally [2]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the evolution of film criticism in the internet age, highlighting how simplistic and emotionally charged language has become prevalent, overshadowing nuanced discussions about films [7][20][72]. Group 1: Language and Film Criticism - The rise of abstract terms like "嗲子文学" and "虐女" reflects a trend where emotional and sharp critiques gain more attention than thoughtful analysis [2][3][8]. - These labels create a narrow framework for evaluating films, reducing complex narratives to simplistic judgments [18][80]. - The phenomenon of "大词影评" (big word criticism) leads to a culture where identity and group alignment dictate film evaluations rather than the quality of the work itself [21][85]. Group 2: Impact on Audience Perception - The use of broad terms can obscure the actual content and themes of films, as seen in the criticism of "长安的荔枝" where the focus on male actors detracts from the portrayal of female characters [10][14][17]. - Emotional reactions to films often stem from group identity, leading to polarized views that can dismiss the film's artistic value [27][84]. - The article emphasizes that the reliance on these terms diminishes the audience's ability to engage with films on a deeper level, reducing personal interpretation [85][87]. Group 3: Broader Implications - The trend of using sharp language in film criticism mirrors a larger societal issue where complex discussions are often simplified into catchy phrases, impacting how people communicate and understand various topics [60][66]. - The article argues that this reductionist approach not only harms film criticism but also reflects a broader decline in thoughtful discourse in society [62][71]. - Ultimately, the article calls for a return to more nuanced and personal expressions in film criticism, allowing for a richer engagement with cinema [82][86].

Core Insights - Goldman Sachs reports a significant 26% year-over-year increase in North American box office revenue for the first five months of 2025, although it remains 28% below pre-pandemic levels [1][3] - The second quarter of 2025 is projected to see a 55% year-over-year increase in box office revenue, nearing 92% of the levels seen in 2019, leading to slight upward adjustments in annual box office forecasts for 2025 and 2026 to approximately $9.5 billion and $9.6 billion respectively [1][3] - Despite the positive trends, structural challenges persist in the North American cinema industry, including a lack of blockbuster films, declining per capita viewing frequency, and cost pressures [1][6] Box Office Performance - The report highlights that while major films like "Thunderbolts," "Karate Kid," and "Mission: Impossible 8" have contributed to box office recovery, their performance has not met market expectations [1][4] - Conversely, mid-sized films such as "Sinners," "Final Destination: Bloodlines," and Disney's "Lilo & Stitch" have shown robust box office results, providing momentum to the market [1][4][5] - Cinemark's audience attendance has increased by approximately 18% year-to-date, with a significant 54% surge in May alone, driven by the release of major films and additional holiday weekends [4][5] Industry Outlook - Goldman Sachs maintains a cautious stance on North American cinema stocks, reiterating "sell" ratings for industry leaders Cinemark and IMAX, with target prices of $22 and $16 respectively, indicating potential downside [2] - The cinema industry is expected to improve as Hollywood's production capacity gradually increases and audiences continue to return, although challenges such as rising production costs and uncertainty in film release schedules remain [6]

Group 1: Market Performance - US stock indices collectively rose, with the Dow Jones up 0.08%, Nasdaq up 0.67%, and S&P 500 up 0.41% [2] - Technology stocks saw significant gains, with AMD and Meta rising over 3%, while Tesla and Google fell over 1% [2] - International gold prices surged, with spot gold increasing by 2.8% to $3380.81 per ounce, and silver rising by 5.32% [2] Group 2: Box Office Performance - The box office for the 2025 Dragon Boat Festival reached 459 million, marking a 20% increase compared to 2024 [5] - "Mission: Impossible 8" led the box office during this period with 190 million (totaling 228 million) [5] Group 3: Company Statements - Deep Blue Automotive issued a statement refuting claims that their vehicles push ads while driving, clarifying that such notifications only appear when the vehicle is in park [11][12] - The company emphasized that it has never collected user information without consent and is committed to user privacy protection [11][12] Group 4: Individual Company News - Li Yapeng denied rumors of failure regarding the Lijiang project, stating it has been successful since its launch in 2015, with sales of 7 billion in 2020 and 2021 [16] - He mentioned ongoing legal issues but asserted that the project has been profitable and that past claims of unfinished buildings were false [16]

Core Insights - The Dragon Boat Festival box office is expected to decline significantly, with the industry showing signs of extreme caution and a tendency to abandon the festival altogether [1][2][7] - The remarkable box office performance during the 2025 Spring Festival has been overshadowed by subsequent declines, with the cumulative box office of 271 billion already surpassing that of 2018 [1][2] - Historical data indicates that the Dragon Boat Festival has never been a top-tier box office period, often performing similarly to other minor holidays [3][4] Box Office Performance - The 2025 Dragon Boat Festival is projected to face a challenging market, especially after the previous years saw significant drops of over 50% in box office revenue during the Qingming and May Day holidays [2][3] - The 2023 Dragon Boat Festival saw a resurgence with the release of "The Missing Her," which set new box office records, while 2024 experienced a drastic decline to over 3 billion [3][4] Market Dynamics - The current market environment is characterized by a lack of strong domestic films, leading to a reliance on imported films to fill the Dragon Boat Festival schedule [7][20] - The presence of major Hollywood films like "Mission: Impossible 8" is expected to provide some stability, but overall, the festival still faces downward pressure [4][12] Audience Trends - The average age of moviegoers is increasing, indicating a shift in entertainment preferences among younger audiences, which may lead to decreased interest in smaller film releases during the Dragon Boat Festival [6][7] - The competition for audience attention is fierce, with animated films like "Doraemon" and "Time Traveler" vying for market share, but facing challenges against established franchises [14][16] Film Lineup - The current film lineup for the Dragon Boat Festival is heavily skewed towards imported films, with domestic offerings lacking the potential to drive significant box office revenue [7][20] - The pre-sale data shows that "Mission: Impossible 8" leads with 910 million in pre-sales, while domestic films like "Time Traveler" and "Private Detective" are struggling to gain traction [10][12][20]