文 | 银行螺丝钉 （转载请注明出处） 远一批伍倡肽的股票纳入，把上涨任值局 的股票剔除。 相当于自带低买高卖的策略。 那一年后,这些指数的估值,就会比一年 前低一截。 这也是为何价值风格指数比较少到高估的 原因。 不过比较少到高估，不是说历史上没有到 过高估。 例如2007年、2009年、2015年这几次1-2 星级别牛市高位的时候,很多价值风格指 数也是达到高估泡沫的。 只是平时一些小的牛市行情，价值风格指 数到高估相对较少。 如果没到高估，也并不妨碍价值风格指数 上涨。 例如在2018年5星，当时咱们也定投过中 证红利、红利机会等基金。 假设红利、价值等指数，在某个点数，维 持横盘震荡一整年。 (2) 红利指数每年4%-5%的股息率。 (3) 剩下的收益,来自指数背后公司盈利 增长。 不过这种自带低买高卖，主要在价值风格 当时定投的一些红利类、低波动类基金, 持有到现在，也有60%-70%的收益率。 指数基金净值=估值*盈利+分红。 (1) 期间红利指数没有到过高估。 2018年到2025年8月，中证红利大约从8倍 上下，提升到10倍上下的市盈率。 「估值提升」 贡献了25%上下的回报。 ▼点击阅读原 ...

Market Overview - The market opened lower today but the decline narrowed by the close, indicating low volatility and maintaining a five-star rating [1] - Large, mid, and small-cap stocks exhibited similar volatility [2] - Value stocks showed little fluctuation, with the 300 Value index slightly up, demonstrating resilience during market volatility [3] - Growth style stocks experienced a slight decline [4] Hong Kong Market Insights - The Hong Kong stock market also saw a decline during the day, but the drop significantly reduced by the close, resulting in a slight decrease [5] - Technology stocks in Hong Kong remained relatively stable with low volatility [6] - Recent weeks have seen Hong Kong tech stocks return to a normal low valuation, with current valuations not far from being undervalued [7] - The performance growth rate of tech stocks in Q1 was strong, and if this trend continues into Q2, there is potential for further upward movement in tech stocks [8] Investment Strategies - The article promotes a limited-time discount on investment books as part of a promotional event [9][10][12] - A systematic investment plan is introduced, with specific amounts allocated for different investment strategies, such as the Index Enhanced Advisory Portfolio and Active Selection Advisory Portfolio [14] - The systematic investment strategy follows a "regular but variable" approach, investing more when valuations are lower [18] - Two methods for following investment strategies are outlined: manual and automatic [20][22] Pension Fund Investment - A personal pension fund investment plan is detailed, including specific funds and their current prices [23] - A valuation table for personal pension index funds is provided, offering insights into various indices and their financial metrics [29] Bond Market Insights - A bond valuation table is included, showing various bond indices and their respective metrics such as yield and duration [38] - The article indicates that the bond market is being monitored for valuation updates and insights [41]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current market trends, highlighting the performance of various sectors, particularly technology, pharmaceuticals, and consumer goods, while emphasizing the importance of valuation and earnings growth in determining market indices [4][5][6][9]. Market Performance - The major indices, including the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300, experienced slight declines, with small-cap stocks declining more significantly [2]. - Value styles showed slight increases, particularly in banking and value indices, while growth styles faced declines [3]. Sector Analysis - Technology and pharmaceuticals have been performing strongly, whereas consumer sectors are currently underperforming [4]. - The article notes that the pharmaceutical index has returned to normal valuation levels, while the A-share pharmaceutical sector remains undervalued [7][8]. Earnings and Valuation Dynamics - The relationship between index points, valuation, and earnings is emphasized, indicating that a slowdown in earnings growth can lead to declining valuations and bear markets, while a recovery in earnings growth can boost valuations and indices [5]. - Historical examples are provided, such as the Hong Kong technology sector experiencing a 60% drop from 2021 to 2022 due to slowing earnings growth, followed by a recovery in 2024 and 2025 [6]. Consumer Sector Outlook - The consumer sector is noted to be entering a phase of undervaluation, similar to the pharmaceutical sector two years prior, with ongoing earnings growth slowdown leading to declining valuations [9].

Market Overview - The market experienced a slight decline at the opening but rebounded by the close, with large, medium, and small-cap stocks all rising, maintaining a high rating of 5 stars, close to 4.9 stars [1] - Both growth and value styles saw increases, indicating a positive sentiment across different investment strategies [3] - Technology and healthcare sectors led the gains in the market, showcasing strong performance in these industries [4] Hong Kong Market - The Hong Kong stock market also showed overall gains, with dividend and technology stocks leading the charge [5][6] - The Hong Kong dividend index has been performing robustly, supported by a noticeable decrease in the Hong Kong dollar interest rates, which benefits high dividend yield stocks [7] Investment Strategies - The article discusses a systematic investment plan using a "regular but variable" strategy, where more is invested when valuations are lower [11] - Two methods for following investment strategies are outlined: manual tracking and automatic tracking, allowing investors to choose based on their preferences [12][13] Fund Performance - Specific fund performance metrics are provided, including the current prices of various indices such as 中证A500 at 134 yuan and 中证红利 at 125 yuan [15] - A valuation table is presented, detailing various indices' price-to-earnings ratios, price-to-book ratios, dividend yields, and return on equity, which can guide investment decisions [19][20][21] Investor Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of maintaining a long-term investment plan and the value of patience in the face of market volatility [22] - A shared sentiment from an investor highlights the significance of a stable mindset in achieving investment success [23]

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market has been on an upward trend, continuing to rise for four consecutive weeks since early April [6] - A-shares also experienced a rebound, closing at a rating of 5.1 stars [1][28] - Both large, medium, and small-cap stocks saw increases, with small-cap stocks showing a more significant rise [2] Investment Style Performance - Value style showed a slight increase, while growth style experienced a more substantial rise [3] - During upward market movements, small-cap and growth styles exhibit greater elasticity [4] Investment Strategies - The article discusses a systematic investment strategy using a "periodic but irregular" approach, where more funds are allocated when valuations are lower [10] - Two methods for following investment strategies are outlined: manual and automatic [14][16] Pension Fund Investment - The article presents a personal pension fund investment plan, detailing specific funds and their current prices [18] - A valuation table for various indices is provided, highlighting metrics such as price-to-earnings ratio and dividend yield [24][25] Monthly Income Strategy - The "Monthly Salary Treasure" investment strategy has lowered its minimum investment threshold to 200 yuan, now offering a systematic investment option [27] - This strategy aims to meet regular cash flow needs, suitable for long-term holding [27][28] Valuation Insights - A valuation table is included, indicating various indices' earnings yield, price-to-earnings ratio, and other financial metrics, with color coding to indicate investment suitability [33][36]

文 | 银行螺丝钉 （转载请注明出处） 昨晚美股又出现较大波动。 受此影响，今天开盘大盘下跌，不过随后大盘反弹，到收盘微涨微跌，波动不大，还在5.1星。 沪深300、中证500等微跌，波动不大。 昨天低迷的红利等价值风格微涨。 创业板等成长风格下跌。 港股开盘也一度下跌。不过随后港股逐渐上涨。 港股红利、港股科技等上涨超1%。 1. [大吉大利，今天吃基] 第361期的螺丝钉定投实盘来啦。 时间：2025年4月22日 方案：定投买入 品种： 指数增强投顾组合：11512元 主动优选投顾组合： 12877元 点击下图，即可立即跟投买入： 点击下图，即可立即跟投买入： PS：组合底层投资基金、各自比例等都是透明的，可以在公众号底部对话框回复「 发车方案 」查看。 2. 两种组合跟车方式，可以自由选择。 【方式一】： 手动跟车 点击上方投顾组合的图片，即可进入页面进行跟车。 进入跟车页面后，可以根据自己的资金量情况，按图示选择相应的跟投比例（页面会自动显示对应的投资金额），复制「定期不定额」的跟投 效果。 【方式二】：自动跟车 定投 金额采用的是 「定期不定额」的策略，估值越低投入越多。 实际使用参考金额的时候，可 ...

小盘股前几天下跌多，今天反弹上涨也略多。 文 | 银行螺丝钉 （转载请注明出处） 昨天微涨的银行等价值风格，今天微跌。 今天大盘整体微涨，截止到收盘，还在5星。 大中小盘股都上涨。 成长风格上涨较多。 医药行业今天上涨较多。医药的几个子行业，医疗、生物科技、创新药等也整体上涨。 这轮熊市底部上涨，科技股率先反弹。 例如恒生科技，在2022年10月触底，之后上涨超1倍。 医药行业2024年5.9星触底，之后反弹，比科技股晚了一年多。 不过今年也有继续上涨的迹象了。 低估品种总会有上涨的阶段。 港股也整体上涨，港股红利股、医药股领涨。 1. [大吉大利，今天吃基] 第358期的螺丝钉定投实盘来啦。 时间：2025年4月1日 方案：定投买入 品种： 指数增强投顾组合：11127元 主动优选投顾组合： 12086元 定投 金额采用的是 「定期不定额」的策略，估值越低投入越多。 实际使用参考金额的时候，可以根据自己的资金，按照一定比例来定投。 例如资金较少的情况下，可以按照10%的金额来投资。 还不了解组合发车计划的朋友，可以点击阅读介绍： 螺丝钉发车计划 PS：组合底层投资基金、各自比例等都是透明的，可以在公众号底部 ...