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金禾实业(002597):一季度业绩表现突出,三氯价格低位已翻倍
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-06-24 09:12
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price not specified [6] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 5.303 billion yuan in 2024, a slight decrease of 0.1% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 556.73 million yuan, down 20.9% year-on-year. However, the first quarter of 2025 showed a revenue increase of 7.2% year-on-year to 1.301 billion yuan and a significant net profit increase of 87.3% year-on-year to 242 million yuan [1][4] - The average prices of key products such as Acesulfame, Sucralose, Methyl Maltose, and Ethyl Maltose in 2024 were 38,500 yuan/ton, 154,200 yuan/ton, 88,900 yuan/ton, and 72,500 yuan/ton respectively, reflecting a decline compared to 2023. The price of Sucralose saw a significant rebound, increasing over 100% from its low point [2][3] - The company’s export volume of Sucralose in 2024 reached 18,700 tons, marking a year-on-year increase of 13.9%, indicating strong demand in the sugar substitute market [3] Financial Performance - The company’s revenue is projected to grow significantly in the coming years, with estimates of 6.631 billion yuan in 2025, 8.074 billion yuan in 2026, and 8.349 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting growth rates of 25.03%, 21.76%, and 3.41% respectively [5][10] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to rebound to 1.171 billion yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 110.40%, and further increase to 2.118 billion yuan in 2026 and 2.365 billion yuan in 2027 [5][10] - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) is projected to rise from 0.98 yuan in 2024 to 2.06 yuan in 2025, and further to 3.73 yuan in 2026 [5][10] Project Developments - The company completed the production of its second phase project in Dingyuan in 2024 and successfully built an 80,000-ton electronic-grade hydrogen peroxide project. Additionally, it is expanding into sodium hydroxide and potassium hydroxide products [4] - A new project for producing 10,000 tons of next-generation lithium battery electrolyte precursors has received all necessary approvals, indicating a strategic move towards high-end chemical materials [4]
金禾实业:Q1业绩超预期增长,看好利润持续修复-20250418
CSC SECURITIES (HK) LTD· 2025-04-18 10:23
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, indicating a potential upside of 15% to 35% [7][12]. Core Insights - The company has shown a significant recovery in Q1 2025, with expected net profit growth of 78% to 94% year-over-year, driven by a rebound in sweetener prices [8]. - The company’s 2024 annual report revealed a revenue of RMB 5.303 billion, a slight decrease of 0.15% year-over-year, and a net profit of RMB 557 million, down 21% year-over-year [8]. - The company is expected to benefit from the successful launch of its new production capacity and the recovery of sweetener prices, which will enhance profit margins moving forward [13]. Company Overview - The company operates primarily in the food and beverage sector, with a market capitalization of RMB 13.601 billion and a share price of RMB 23.78 as of April 17, 2025 [1]. - The major shareholder is Anhui Jinrui Investment Group Co., Ltd., holding 43.95% of the shares [1]. Financial Performance - The company’s revenue for 2023 was RMB 5.311 billion, with projections of RMB 5.303 billion for 2024 and RMB 6.997 billion for 2025 [15]. - The net profit is projected to recover to RMB 865 million in 2025, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 55% [11][15]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) is expected to rise from RMB 0.98 in 2024 to RMB 1.52 in 2025 [11]. Product Mix - The company’s product portfolio consists of 53.2% food additives, 35.1% bulk chemical raw materials, and 4.4% functional chemical intermediates [3]. Institutional Ownership - Institutional investors hold 8.4% of the circulating A-shares, while general corporations hold 46.1% [4].