智通财经APP获悉，招商证券发布研报称，2026年医药板块在创新出海持续兑现、医疗内需分化的产业 趋势下，有望出现结构行情。创新药产业链仍是主线，除观察二代IO、减重、ADC板块的临床数据 外，尤其关注小核酸技术方向的加速发展；同时关注CXO、上游、原料药中具备景气度与业绩兑现的 公司。此外，院内外医疗需求有望温和复苏，关注医疗器械板块的业绩改善与海外放量，及服务、药 房、中药的个股机会。 招商证券主要观点如下： 药品板块：创新药是主线，BD是线索，重点关注小核酸等技术方向 创新及药品产业链 院内外医疗消费 医疗服务：2025年整体承压，观察2026年基数与DRGs政策稳定后刚需医疗的温和复苏、消费型医疗服 务与产品需求恢复与竞争格局优化，关注药企转型医美产品的机会，关注：爱尔眼科、通策医疗、固生 堂、海吉亚医疗等。中药：展望2026年企稳向上，看好中药OTC恢复和中药处方药创新转型，关注华润 三九、羚锐制药、众生药业、方盛制药、康缘药业等。血制品:供需关系短期波动、价格影响有望在基 数端逐步消化。药房：行业规范化整治加速集中度提升，持续探索新零售业态，关注业绩改善节奏：益 丰药房、大参林等。 风险提示：研发 ...

Core Insights - The Chinese pharmaceutical industry is entering a critical phase characterized by "innovation realization + global layout," supported by population and domestic demand, as well as comprehensive manufacturing capabilities [1] - Companies are actively exploring diversified overseas paths while strengthening supply chain security and compliance domestically [1] Group 1: Global Perspective - The value of innovation is becoming prominent, with Chinese pharmaceutical assets demonstrating global cost-effectiveness and significant collaborative potential [1] - In the first three quarters of 2025, overseas licensing of innovative drugs from China surpassed the total for the previous year, indicating a strong trend towards internationalization [1] Group 2: Domestic Value Restructuring - Focus on high-quality development through policy optimization, including collection optimization and multi-payment systems [2] - The commercialization phase for innovative drugs is underway, emphasizing the importance of supply chain security [2] - Domestic medical devices are extending into mid-to-high-end markets, with optimism surrounding overseas expansion and the implementation of new technologies [2] Group 3: Overseas Value Restructuring - The industry is entering an internationalization 2.0 era, with business development (BD) becoming a norm for innovative drugs [3] - Both domestic and overseas demand are recovering, providing opportunities for growth [3] - The raw materials sector is transitioning towards specialty raw materials and Contract Development and Manufacturing Organizations (CDMO) [3] Group 4: Investment Outlook for 2026 - Key investment themes include innovative drugs (e.g., ADC, second-generation IO, small nucleic acids) and innovative medical devices (e.g., AI healthcare, brain-machine interfaces) [4] - Companies with global clinical data and international capabilities in innovative drugs, as well as those actively expanding overseas in the medical device sector, are expected to perform well [4] - Marginal changes are anticipated from policy benefits and improvements in supply-demand dynamics, particularly in the CXO sector [4] - Integration opportunities exist for leading companies in niche medical device segments, state-owned enterprises in traditional Chinese medicine reform, and pharmaceutical companies with strong integration capabilities [4]

Summary of the Conference Call on the Pharmaceutical Industry Industry Overview - The conference call focuses on the **pharmaceutical industry**, specifically the **innovative drug sector** in China, highlighting the trends and future outlook for innovative drugs and their international expansion [1][4]. Key Points and Arguments - **Innovative Drug Market Dynamics**: The innovative drug market is catalyzed by significant **License-out transactions**, establishing clear valuation benchmarks. Chinese innovative drug companies are showcasing high-quality clinical data at international academic conferences, which enhances confidence in the sector [1][4]. - **International Expansion**: The trend of Chinese innovative drugs going overseas is expected to accelerate, with the total outbound package amount projected to reach **$51.9 billion** in 2024 and **$55 billion** in the first half of 2025. The second half of 2025 is anticipated to have an additional **$90 billion** in outbound potential [1][6]. - **Clinical Trial Advancements**: Some domestic innovative drugs have demonstrated superior efficacy in Phase III clinical trials compared to their overseas counterparts, indicating a competitive edge in clinical progress and value [1][5]. - **Market Sentiment and Valuation**: The sentiment around the innovative drug sector is influenced by the "Deep Six" concept, which initially affected the AI+Healthcare space and has now extended to innovative drugs. The current valuations of some small innovative drug companies may already reflect strong expectations for international expansion, but the actual success rate of these ventures is estimated to be below **30%** [1][5][6]. Important but Overlooked Content - **Investment Focus**: The investment focus for the second half of 2025 will remain on international expansion, with a recommendation for large pharmaceutical companies or those with strong clinical value in their products, such as **Innovent Biologics** and **China National Pharmaceutical Group** [3][8]. - **Emerging Therapeutic Areas**: Key areas to watch include the second-generation immune-oncology (IO) therapies, with the market potential estimated to reach **$100 billion to $200 billion**. Specific segments of interest include: - **Cytokine Therapies**: Expected market potential of **$400 billion** [9]. - **T-cell Engager (TCE) Therapies**: Focused on solid tumors with various innovative approaches [9]. - **Antibody-Drug Conjugates (ADC)** and **weight-loss drugs** are also highlighted as significant areas with substantial market ceilings, where Chinese companies are leading [11]. Conclusion - The innovative drug sector in China is poised for significant growth, driven by international expansion and strong clinical data. However, the actual success of these ventures will vary, and investors should focus on companies with proven clinical value and robust pipelines to navigate the evolving landscape [1][3][6].