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法国政治不确定性加剧,法国银行信用违约掉期价格上涨
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-26 15:53
由于法国政治不确定性加剧,投资者采取谨慎措施,法国银行信用违约掉期价格上涨。法国总理弗朗索 瓦·贝鲁将于9月8日面临信任投票,这引发了法国市场的不安情绪。"交易员们越来越担心新一轮的政治 动荡,这种动荡在未来几周可能会加剧,"Rostro的Joshua Mahony在一份报告中表示。标普全球市场情 报数据显示,法国巴黎银行5年期信用违约掉期利差上涨1个基点,至43个基点。法国兴业银行5年期信 用违约掉期利差上涨3个基点,至49个基点。 ...
关税冲击下美债危机逼近?从历史上五次危机看美联储何时出手?
对冲研投· 2025-04-10 14:14
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant impact of President Trump's tariff policy on the financial markets, leading to substantial losses and concerns about the stability of the financial system, prompting questions about the Federal Reserve's potential interventions [1][2]. Group 1: Market Reactions and Concerns - The stock market experienced losses amounting to trillions of dollars following the introduction of new tariff policies, causing trading stagnation on Wall Street and prompting hedge funds to liquidate high-risk trades [1]. - Concerns are rising about the potential risks within the financial system due to the scale of the market disruptions, leading to discussions on what actions the Federal Reserve might take to stabilize the situation [2]. - The Bloomberg index indicates that U.S. financial conditions have deteriorated to their worst level since May 2020, reflecting increased financial pressure across various markets [2]. Group 2: Federal Reserve's Potential Actions - The Federal Reserve is likely to intervene only when clear signs of market dysfunction appear, such as a freeze in capital flows, which could hinder trading activities [2][3]. - The Fed's decision-making is complicated by a resilient labor market and persistent inflation issues, which may limit its ability to lower interest rates or take actions that could further increase prices [3]. - Historical instances of Federal Reserve interventions highlight the need for a proactive approach in times of market distress, as seen in past crises [6]. Group 3: Historical Context of Federal Reserve Interventions - The article outlines five significant instances where the Federal Reserve intervened in the financial markets, including the 1998 hedge fund crisis, the 2001 economic turmoil post-9/11, the 2007-08 global financial crisis, the 2020 pandemic response, and the 2023 regional banking crisis [6][7][11][14][18][21]. - Each instance illustrates the Fed's role in providing liquidity and stabilizing markets during periods of extreme financial stress, emphasizing the importance of timely intervention [7][11][14][18][21].