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光大证券:维持百胜中国“买入”评级 两大核心品牌在渠道下沉方面仍具备一定增长空间
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-11-06 06:41
Core Insights - The report from Everbright Securities maintains the net profit forecast for Yum China (09987) at $1.002 billion and $1.074 billion for 2026-2027, translating to EPS of $2.53, $2.77, and $2.97 for 2025-2027, with a "buy" rating due to strong digital and supply chain capabilities [1] Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of $3.21 billion, a year-on-year increase of 4% (or 4% excluding foreign currency effects), with adjusted net profit of $282 million and core operating profit of $399 million, reflecting an 8% increase (excluding foreign currency effects) [1][2] - The core operating profit margin was 12.5%, up by 0.4 percentage points year-on-year [1] Same-Store Sales and Expansion - Same-store sales increased by 1% in Q3 2025, with KFC and Pizza Hut showing growth of 2% and 1% respectively; KFC's same-store transaction volume rose by 3% [2] - The company opened 536 new stores in Q3 2025, with a total of 17,514 restaurants at the end of the quarter [2] Operational Efficiency - In Q3 2025, food and packaging costs accounted for 31.3% of restaurant revenue, benefiting from supply chain efficiency and lower raw material prices [3] - The restaurant profit margin improved to 17.3%, up by 0.3 percentage points year-on-year, with KFC and Pizza Hut margins at 18.5% and 13.4% respectively [3] New Business Initiatives - The company has made significant progress with new business initiatives, including over 1,800 KFC coffee stores and more than 100 KPRO locations in high-tier cities [4] - The WOW Pizza Hut stores expanded to 250 locations, entering 40 new cities without a Pizza Hut brand [4] Product Strategy - The focus on core products, limited-time offerings, and entry-level products has driven sales growth, with KFC's new crispy chicken wings and Pizza Hut's new thin-crust pizza performing well [5] - Entry-level products from KFC and Pizza Hut saw double-digit sales growth in the first three quarters of 2025, with KFC exploring options for meals under 20 yuan to attract more customers [5]