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铁合金日报-20260324
Yin He Qi Huo· 2026-03-24 09:58
Group 1: Report Information - Report date: March 24, 2026 [1] - Researcher: Zhou Tao [2] - Futures practice certificate number: F03134259 [2] - Investment consulting certificate number: Z0021009 [2] - Contact information: zhoutao_qh1@chinastock.com.cn [2] Group 2: Market Information Futures - SF main contract: closing price 6100, daily change -20, weekly change 172, trading volume 284,622, daily change -39,161, open interest 181,930, daily change -3,897 [3] - SM main contract: closing price 6480, daily change -76, weekly change 240, trading volume 897,615, daily change 229,414, open interest 406,591, daily change 1,558 [3] Spot - Silicon iron: 72%FeSi in Inner Mongolia, Ningxia, and Qinghai had a spot price of 5750, with daily changes of 80, 100, and 100 respectively, and weekly changes of 100, 150, and 170 respectively. In Jiangsu and Tianjin, the spot prices were 6200 and 6100, with weekly changes of 150 and 50 respectively [3] - Manganese silicon: The spot price of silicon manganese 6517 in Inner Mongolia, Ningxia, and Guangxi was 6200, 6150, and 6350 respectively, with daily changes of 50 and weekly changes of 270, 240, and 300 respectively. In Jiangsu and Tianjin, the spot prices were 6400 and 6300, with weekly changes of 300 [3] Basis/Spread - Silicon iron: The basis of Inner Mongolia, Ningxia, and Qinghai relative to the main contract was -350, with daily changes of 100, 120, and 120 respectively, and weekly changes of -72, -22, and -2 respectively. The spread between Jiangsu and Inner Mongolia was 450, with a daily change of -80 and a weekly change of 50. The SF - SM spread was -380, with a daily change of 56 and a weekly change of -68 [3] - Manganese silicon: The basis of Inner Mongolia, Ningxia, and Guangxi relative to the main contract was -280, -330, and -130 respectively, with daily changes of 126 and weekly changes of 30, 0, and 60 respectively. The spread between Guangxi and Inner Mongolia was 150, with a weekly change of 30 [3] Raw Materials - Manganese ore (Tianjin): The prices of Australian lumps, South African semi - carbonates, and Gabonese lumps were 47.5, 44, and 48 respectively, with daily changes of 2.5, 1.5, and 1.5 respectively, and weekly changes of 3.7, 4, and 3.5 respectively [3] - Blue charcoal small materials: The prices in Shaanxi, Ningxia, and Inner Mongolia were 705, 805, and 695 respectively, with no daily or weekly changes [3] Group 3: Market Judgment Trading Strategy - On March 24, ferroalloy futures prices declined overall. The silicon iron main contract closed at 6100, down 0.33%, with open interest decreasing by 3,897 lots. The manganese silicon main contract closed at 6480, down 1.16%, with open interest increasing by 1,558 lots [5] - Silicon iron: On the 24th, the spot price was stable with a slight upward trend, with some regional spot prices rising by 80 - 100 yuan/ton. On the supply side, the recent price recovery has led to the restoration of manufacturers' profits, and the output of sample enterprises has continued to increase, with the resumption speed exceeding the seasonal average. On the demand side, Steel Union data shows that the steel inventory has reached an inflection point, and the apparent demand and output of steel continue to rise, which still drives the demand for raw materials. On the cost side, the electricity price is stable with a slight upward trend. Silicon iron is still in a positive feedback loop of demand and cost in the short term, but as an energy - intensive variety, it is greatly affected by large fluctuations in energy prices such as crude oil and coal. Long positions need to pay attention to position control [5] - Manganese silicon: On the 24th, the manganese ore spot prices rose overall, with each spot in Tianjin Port rising by 1.5 - 2.5 yuan/ton - degree. The manganese silicon spot price was stable with a slight upward trend, with some regional prices rising by 50 yuan/ton. On the supply side, the output within the sample has decreased slightly recently, and some industry associations have called for self - discipline in production cuts, but the actual implementation needs to be monitored under the background of profit restoration. On the demand side, the steel inventory has reached an inflection point, and the apparent demand and output of steel continue to rise, which still drives the demand for raw materials. On the cost side, the sharp rise in crude oil has led to an increase in freight rates. Currently, Hurricane Narelle has not caused serious damage to South32's shipping infrastructure, and the actual impact on the subsequent shipments of Australian manganese ore needs to be monitored [6] - Unilateral: Driven by energy costs, it is still in a positive feedback loop of demand and cost, and the price fluctuates with an upward trend; Arbitrage: Wait and see; Options: Sell out - of - the - money put options [7] Important Information - On the 24th, the semi - carbonate Mn36.5% at Tianjin Port was traded at 44.2 yuan/ton - degree, the Gabonese lump Mn46% was quoted at 48 yuan/ton - degree, and the semi - carbonate powder Mn34.48% was quoted at 39 yuan/ton - degree [8] - According to research by Ferroalloy Online, Tropical Cyclone "Narelle" has weakened to a tropical depression and has passed through Groote Eylandt. It has not caused large - scale damage to the mining infrastructure. Currently, some employees of South32 are preparing to return to work [8] Group 4: Relevant Attachments - The report includes multiple figures, such as the trend of ferroalloy main contracts, the spread between the main contracts of SF and SM, the monthly spread of silicon iron and manganese silicon, the basis of silicon iron and manganese silicon, the spot price of silicon manganese, the electricity price of ferroalloy, and the cost and profit of silicon iron and manganese silicon [17][19]
铁合金日报-20260323
Yin He Qi Huo· 2026-03-23 10:12
Group 1: Report Overview - Report Date: March 23, 2026 [1] - Report Type: Black Metal Daily Report (Ferroalloy Report) [1] - Researcher: Zhou Tao [2] - Futures Practitioner Certificate Number: F03134259 [2] - Investment Consulting Certificate Number: Z0021009 [2] - Contact Information: zhoutao_qh1@chinastock.com.cn [2] Group 2: Market Information Futures - SF Main Contract: Closing price of 6120, daily change of 188, weekly change of 248, trading volume of 323,783 (down 85,765), open interest of 180,829 (up 1,101) [3] - SM Main Contract: Closing price of 6556, daily change of 156, weekly change of 394, trading volume of 668,201 (down 723,548), open interest of 405,033 (down 23,648) [3] Spot - Silicon Iron: Spot prices in different regions showed varying degrees of increase, with some areas rising by 50 - 150 yuan/ton [3][5] - Manganese Silicon: Spot prices in different regions increased by 40 - 150 yuan/ton, and manganese ore prices in Tianjin Port rose by 0.5 - 1.5 yuan/ton degree [3][6] Basis/Spread - Silicon Iron: Basis differences between different regions and the main contract showed changes, and the SF - SM spread was -436, with a daily change of 32 and a weekly change of -146 [3] - Manganese Silicon: Basis differences between different regions and the main contract also changed [3] Raw Materials - Manganese Ore (Tianjin): Prices of different types of manganese ore increased, with daily changes of 0.5 - 1.5 yuan/ton degree and weekly changes of 1.5 - 2.7 yuan/ton degree [3] - Semi - coke: Prices in different regions remained stable [3] Group 3: Market Analysis and Trading Strategies Market Analysis - Silicon Iron: On March 23, the spot price increased. The supply side saw an increase in production after the price recovery, and the demand side was driven by the increase in steel production and demand. The cost side had a stable and slightly strong electricity price. In the short term, it was in a positive feedback of demand and cost, and was affected by the rise in energy prices, showing a short - term upward trend [5] - Manganese Silicon: On March 23, the manganese ore and manganese silicon spot prices increased. The supply side had a slight decline in production, but there was an expectation of an increase in the future. The demand side was also driven by the increase in steel production and demand. The cost side was affected by the increase in sea freight and the short - term disruption of manganese ore shipments due to the hurricane [6] Trading Strategies - Unilateral: Driven by energy costs, in the positive feedback of demand and cost, the price showed a volatile upward trend [7] - Arbitrage: Wait and see [7] - Options: Sell out - of - the - money put options [7] Group 4: Important Information - On March 23, the price of semi - carbonate Mn35.8% in Tianjin Port was 44 yuan/ton degree, the price of Gabon block was 47 - 48 yuan/ton degree, and the price of Australian block Mn42% was 46 - 47 yuan/ton degree [8] - The intensity of Hurricane "Narelle" has significantly weakened, and the actual impact on mining facilities is limited. The mining area is conducting a复产 assessment [8] Group 5: Related Attachments - Figures include the price trends of ferroalloy main contracts, the spread between SF and SM main contracts, the monthly spread of silicon iron and manganese silicon, the basis of silicon iron and manganese silicon, the spot price of silicon manganese, the electricity price for ferroalloys, the cost and profit of silicon iron and manganese silicon, etc. [16][18][21][23][26]
铁合金日报-20260316
Yin He Qi Huo· 2026-03-16 10:05
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - On March 16, ferroalloy futures prices rose and then fell. The silicon iron (SF) main contract closed at 5872, down 0.27%, with a decrease of 1006 in positions; the manganese silicon (SM) main contract closed at 6162, down 0.23%, with a decrease of 968 in positions [5]. - For silicon iron, on the 16th, spot prices were stable to weak, with spot prices in some regions falling by 20 - 50 yuan/ton. Supply is expected to increase in the future. Demand from the steel industry is expected to drive raw material demand. The cost side is strong, but the valuation has risen significantly, and crude oil fluctuations affect market sentiment, so long - position holders need to control positions [5]. - For manganese silicon, on the 16th, manganese ore spot prices were generally stable, and manganese silicon spot prices were stable to strong, with spot prices in some regions rising by 30 - 50 yuan/ton. Supply is expected to continue to increase. Demand from the steel industry is expected to drive raw material demand. The cost side is strong due to rising sea - freight, but crude oil fluctuations affect market sentiment. In the short - term, the market is in positive feedback, with high - level volatile operation. For trading strategies, it is recommended to hold a wait - and - see attitude for arbitrage and sell out - of - the - money put options [6]. Group 3: Summary by Directory First Part: Market Information - **Futures Market**: The SF main contract closed at 5872, down 16 from the previous day and up 4 from the previous week, with a trading volume of 118,885 (down 10,211) and an open interest of 173,143 (down 1006). The SM main contract closed at 6162, down 14 from the previous day and up 30 from the previous week, with a trading volume of 151,573 (down 54,491) and an open interest of 364,751 (down 968) [3]. - **Spot Market**: For silicon iron, 72% FeSi prices in different regions had different changes, with some regions seeing price drops. For manganese silicon, 6517 manganese silicon prices in some regions rose. For example, 72% FeSi in Inner Mongolia was 5650 yuan/ton, unchanged from the previous day and down 120 from the previous week; 6517 manganese silicon in Inner Mongolia was 5930 yuan/ton, up 30 from the previous day and up 30 from the previous week [3]. - **Basis/Spread**: The basis and spread of silicon iron and manganese silicon in different regions had different changes. For example, the Inner Mongolia - main contract basis of silicon iron was - 222, up 16 from the previous day and down 124 from the previous week [3]. - **Raw Materials**: Manganese ore (Tianjin) prices were generally stable, with slight changes in some varieties. Lanthanum charcoal small materials prices in different regions were unchanged [3]. Second Part: Market Judgement - **Trading Strategies**: For silicon iron and manganese silicon, the short - term market is in positive feedback, but crude oil fluctuations affect market sentiment, with high - level volatile operation. For arbitrage, it is recommended to hold a wait - and - see attitude; for options, it is recommended to sell out - of - the - money put options [5][6]. - **Important Information**: From January to February 2026, China's pig iron production was 137.7 million tons, a year - on - year decrease of 2.7%; crude steel production was 160.34 million tons, a year - on - year decrease of 3.6%; steel production was 221.19 million tons, a year - on - year decrease of 1.1%. From January to February, fixed - asset investment increased by 1.8% year - on - year, real estate development investment decreased by 11.1% year - on - year [7]. Third Part: Related Attachments - The report provides multiple figures, including the trend of ferroalloy main contracts, the spread between SF and SM, the monthly spread of silicon iron and manganese silicon, the basis of silicon iron and manganese silicon, spot prices, electricity prices, production costs, and production profits [8][10][15]
铁合金日报-20260309
Yin He Qi Huo· 2026-03-09 09:58
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core View of the Report - On March 9th, ferroalloy futures prices rose and then fell. The silicon - iron (SF) main contract closed at 5868, with a 0.00% increase and a decrease of 24,798 in positions. The manganese - silicon (SM) main contract closed at 6132, with a 0.03% increase and a decrease of 37,804 in positions [5]. - For silicon - iron, on the 9th, the spot price was stable with a slight upward trend, rising by 150 - 320 yuan/ton in some regions. Supply - side sample enterprise operating rates and output decreased slightly, but recent price increases have led to profit recovery, and some supply has started to resume production. Steel output is increasing steadily, and it is expected to continue to climb slowly in March. The electricity price is firm, and the market is in a positive feedback loop between the cost side and the demand side. Due to the sharp rise in crude oil prices, the price opened higher, but the transmission to domestic ferroalloy energy costs is long - term, and the short - term impact is limited. As the price reaches a high level, the risk - return ratio decreases, so it is recommended to partially take profits on previous long positions [5]. - For manganese - silicon, on the 9th, the manganese ore spot price was stable with a slight upward trend, with the semi - carbonate at Tianjin Port rising by 0.5 yuan/ton degree, and the manganese - silicon spot price also showed a similar trend, rising by 50 - 150 yuan/ton in some regions. The sample output decreased slightly, and after the commissioning of some new production capacities, the overall supply is expected to be stable. Steel output is increasing steadily and is expected to continue to climb slowly in March. The manganese ore spot price is strong, and overseas mines' April quotes continue to rise. The short - term market is in a positive feedback loop. Similar to silicon - iron, the impact of crude oil on manganese - silicon costs is indirect, and at the current valuation level, the risk - return ratio is not high, so it is recommended to partially reduce positions and take profits [6]. - Trading strategies: For unilateral trading, the risk - return ratio is not high after the price has risen significantly, so it is recommended to partially take profits on previous long positions; for arbitrage, it is advisable to wait and see; for options, sell out - of - the - money put options [7]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 Market Information - **Futures**: The SF main contract closed at 5868, with no daily change and a weekly increase of 104. The trading volume was 404,791, with a daily increase of 246,840, and the open interest was 223,284, with a daily decrease of 24,798. The SM main contract closed at 6132, with a daily increase of 2 and a weekly increase of 50. The trading volume was 629,224, with a daily increase of 411,545, and the open interest was 396,316, with a daily decrease of 37,804 [3]. - **Spot**: For silicon - iron, the 72%FeSi in Inner Mongolia was priced at 5770 yuan/ton, with a daily increase of 270 and a weekly increase of 370; in Ningxia, it was 5750 yuan/ton, with a daily increase of 270 and a weekly increase of 350; in Qinghai, it was 5800 yuan/ton, with a daily increase of 320 and a weekly increase of 450; in Jiangsu, it was 6050 yuan/ton, with a daily increase of 150 and a weekly increase of 300; in Tianjin, it was 6200 yuan/ton, with no daily change and a weekly increase of 350. For manganese - silicon, the 6517 manganese - silicon in Inner Mongolia was priced at 5900 yuan/ton, with a daily increase of 50 and a weekly increase of 150; in Ningxia, it was 5900 yuan/ton, with a daily increase of 150 and a weekly increase of 200; in Guangxi, it was 6050 yuan/ton, with a daily increase of 150 and a weekly increase of 230; in Jiangsu, it was 6000 yuan/ton, with a daily increase of 50 and a weekly increase of 150; in Tianjin, it was 5950 yuan/ton, with a daily increase of 50 and a weekly increase of 150 [3]. - **Basis/Spread**: The basis between Inner Mongolia and the main contract for silicon - iron was - 98, with a daily increase of 270 and a weekly increase of 266; for manganese - silicon, it was - 232, with a daily increase of 48 and a weekly increase of 100. The SF - SM spread was - 264, with a daily decrease of 2 and a weekly increase of 54 [3]. - **Raw Materials**: For manganese ore in Tianjin, the Australian lump was priced at 43 yuan/ton degree, with no daily change and a weekly increase of 0.7; the South African semi - carbonate was 39 yuan/ton degree, with a daily increase of 0.5 and a weekly increase of 1; the Gabonese lump was 43.8 yuan/ton degree, with no daily change and a weekly increase of 0.6. For semi - coke small materials, in Shaanxi, it was 705 yuan/ton, with no daily or weekly change; in Ningxia, it was 805 yuan/ton, with no daily or weekly change; in Inner Mongolia, it was 695 yuan/ton, with no daily or weekly change [3]. 3.2 Market Judgement - **Trading Strategies**: Unilateral trading: Partially take profits on previous long positions; Arbitrage: Wait and see; Options: Sell out - of - the - money put options [7]. - **Important Information**: On the 9th, the semi - carbonate at Tianjin Port was quoted at 40 yuan/ton degree, the Gabonese lump at 45 yuan/ton degree, the CML Australian lump at 46 yuan/ton degree, and the South32 Australian lump at 44 yuan/ton degree. Starting from March 10, 2026, Shagang raised the scrap steel price by 50 yuan/ton [8][9]. 3.3 Related Attachments - The report provides multiple charts, including the trend of ferroalloy main contracts, the spread between SF and SM on the disk, the monthly spread of silicon - iron and manganese - silicon, the basis of silicon - iron and manganese - silicon, the spot price of silicon - manganese, the electricity price of ferroalloys, the production cost and profit of silicon - iron and manganese - silicon [11][13][15][18][20][23].
铁合金日报-20260305
Yin He Qi Huo· 2026-03-05 10:53
Group 1: Market Information - SF main contract closed at 5828, up 10 (0.17%) daily and 290 weekly, with a trading volume of 159,825 (down 67,616) and an open interest of 207,380 (up 742). SM main contract closed at 6092, down 28 (0.46%) daily and up 174 weekly, with a trading volume of 242,409 (down 143,602) and an open interest of 435,845 (down 8,150) [3] - 72% FeSi spot prices in Inner Mongolia, Ningxia, Qinghai, and Tianjin increased by 50, 20, 50, and 50 yuan/ton respectively, while the prices in Jiangsu remained unchanged. For 6517 SiMn, the prices in Inner Mongolia, Guangxi, Jiangsu, and Tianjin remained unchanged, and the price in Ningxia decreased by 20 yuan/ton [3] - The price of manganese ore in Tianjin Port increased slightly, with Australian lump ore up 0.3 yuan/ton degree, South African semi - carbonate up 0.2 yuan/ton degree, and Gabon lump ore up 0.1 yuan/ton degree. The prices of semi - coke small materials in Shaanxi, Ningxia, and Inner Mongolia remained unchanged [3] Group 2: Market Analysis and Trading Strategies - **Core View**: After the significant increase in ferroalloy prices, the risk - return ratio has decreased. It is recommended to partially take profits on the previously suggested long positions [5][6] - **Silicon Iron**: On March 5, the spot price was stable with a slight upward trend. The supply has slightly increased recently. Steel production has started a seasonal recovery, but the recovery speed is slow due to the increasing steel inventory. The cost - demand positive feedback is in place, but there are signs of production resumption in other regions. It is advisable to partially take profits on long positions [5] - **Silicon Manganese**: On March 5, manganese ore spot prices were stable with a slight upward trend, while SiMn spot prices were stable with a slight downward trend. The supply has slightly increased due to new capacity and price increases. The demand recovery of steel is slow. The manganese ore spot is strong, and overseas mines' April quotes continue to rise. It is recommended to partially reduce positions and take profits [5] - **Trading Strategies**: For unilateral trading, partially take profits on previous long positions; for arbitrage, stay on the sidelines; for options, sell out - of - the - money put options [6] Group 3: Important News - Comilog announced its April 2026 offer price for Gabon lump ore to China at $5.25/ton degree, a month - on - month increase of $0.27/ton degree [7] - The Government Work Report proposed that the main expected target for economic growth this year is 4.5% - 5%, and efforts will be made to achieve better results in actual work [7] Group 4: Related Attachments - **Graphs Included**: Ferroalloy main contract price trends, SF - SM price spreads, monthly spreads of silicon iron and silicon manganese, basis of silicon iron and silicon manganese, spot prices of silicon manganese, ferroalloy electricity prices, production costs and profits of silicon iron and silicon manganese [10][11][12]
铁合金日报-20260303
Yin He Qi Huo· 2026-03-03 13:12
Group 1: Market Information - SF main contract closed at 5786, up 22 from the previous day and 316 from the previous week, with a trading volume of 227,583 (down 47,756) and an open interest of 207,578 (up 1,181) [3] - SM main contract closed at 6118, up 36 from the previous day and 380 from the previous week, with a trading volume of 437,375 (down 3,007) and an open interest of 445,082 (down 9,758) [3] - Spot prices of ferrosilicon in some regions rose by 20 - 150 yuan/ton, and those of silicomanganese rose by 30 - 50 yuan/ton [3] - Tianjin Port manganese ore spot prices rose by 0.3 - 0.4 yuan/ton degree [3] Group 2: Market Analysis and Trading Strategies - On March 3, ferroalloy futures prices rose overall. SF main contract rose 0.38%, and SM main contract rose 0.59% [5] - For ferrosilicon, supply is slightly increasing, demand may be affected by steel de - stocking, and cost is pushed up in Shaanxi. Previous long positions can be partially taken profit [5] - For silicomanganese, supply is increasing due to new capacity and price rise, demand is supported by seasonal resumption of short - process steel mills, and cost is pushed up by manganese ore. Previous long positions can be partially reduced [5] - Trading strategies: Partially take profit on previous long positions, hold off on arbitrage, and sell out - of - the - money put options [6] Group 3: Important Information - On March 3, Tianjin Port semi - carbonate Mn36.5% was traded at 38 yuan/ton degree, Australian lump Mn42.2% was quoted at 43.3 yuan/ton degree, and Gabon lump Mn44% was quoted at 44 yuan/ton degree [7] - The Fourth Session of the 14th National Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference will be held from March 4 to March 11 [7] Group 4: Cost and Profit - Ferrosilicon production costs in Inner Mongolia, Ningxia, Shaanxi, Qinghai, and Gansu are 5500, 5401, 5505, 5849, and 5687 yuan/ton respectively, with corresponding profits of - 150, - 81, - 205, - 549, and - 387 yuan/ton [19] - Silicomanganese production costs in Inner Mongolia, Ningxia, Guangxi, and Guizhou are 6020, 5986, 6286, and 6170 yuan/ton respectively, with corresponding profits of - 270, - 286, - 466, and - 400 yuan/ton [22]
铁合金日报-20260204
Yin He Qi Huo· 2026-02-04 09:42
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the report 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - On February 4, the ferroalloy futures prices rose overall. The silicon iron (SF) main contract closed at 5654, up 0.6% with a decrease of 12,529 in positions; the manganese silicon (SM) main contract closed at 5868, up 0.55% with a decrease of 6,808 in positions [5]. - For silicon iron, the spot prices on the 4th showed mixed trends. The supply is expected to decline in the future, demand may decrease due to seasonal production cuts by steel mills, and the cost support is strong. The previously recommended long positions can be held [5]. - For manganese silicon, the manganese ore spot was generally stable on the 4th, and the manganese silicon spot was slightly weak. The supply is stable, demand may decrease due to steel mill production cuts, and the cost support is also strong. The previously recommended long positions can be held [5]. - For trading strategies, the sentiment in the commodity market has eased, and the alloy cost support is strong. The previously recommended long positions can be held; for arbitrage, it is advisable to wait and see; for options, sell out - of - the - money put options [6]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Market Information - **Futures Market** - SF main contract: closed at 5654, up 34 from the previous day and 22 from the previous week, with a trading volume of 93,117 (down 10,574 from the previous day) and an open interest of 102,056 (down 12,529 from the previous day) [3]. - SM main contract: closed at 5868, up 32 from the previous day and 36 from the previous week, with a trading volume of 118,851 (down 16,005 from the previous day) and an open interest of 354,221 (down 6,808 from the previous day) [3]. - **Spot Market** - Silicon iron: The spot prices in different regions showed different changes. For example, the price in Tianjin increased by 50 yuan/ton, while that in Ningxia decreased by 50 yuan/ton [3][5]. - Manganese silicon: The spot prices in some regions decreased by 30 yuan/ton [3][5]. - **Basis/Spread** - Silicon iron: The basis between different regions and the main contract showed different changes. For example, the basis between Inner Mongolia and the main contract was - 234, down 34 from the previous day and up 48 from the previous week [3]. - Manganese silicon: Similar to silicon iron, the basis and spread also had corresponding changes [3]. - **Raw Materials** - Manganese ore: The prices of different types of manganese ore in Tianjin were relatively stable, with only a slight change in the price of South African semi - carbonate [3]. - Lanthanum charcoal small materials: The prices in different regions remained unchanged [3]. 3.2 Market Judgement - **Trading Strategies** - Unilateral: Hold the previously recommended long positions as the commodity market sentiment has eased and the alloy cost support is strong [6]. - Arbitrage: Wait and see [6]. - Options: Sell out - of - the - money put options [6]. - **Important Information** - On the 4th, the quotes of different types of manganese ore at Tianjin Port were provided [7]. - In January, the electricity prices in production areas continued to show a widening gap, with the electricity price in Qinghai rising again [7]. 3.3 Related Attachments - Multiple charts were provided, including the trend of ferroalloy main contracts, the spread between SF and SM, the inter - monthly spread of silicon iron and manganese silicon, the basis of silicon iron and manganese silicon, the spot prices of silicon manganese, the electricity price of ferroalloy, the production cost and profit of silicon iron and manganese silicon [8][9][12][14][16][17][19][22]
铁合金日报-20260203
Yin He Qi Huo· 2026-02-03 12:18
Group 1: Report Overview - The report is a black metal daily report for February 3, 2026, focusing on ferroalloys [1] Group 2: Market Information Futures Market - SF主力合约 closed at 5620, down 4 for the day and up 16 for the week, with a trading volume of 103,691 (down 27,839) and an open interest of 110,111 (down 8,055) [3] - SM主力合约 closed at 5836, up 2 for the day and up 18 for the week, with a trading volume of 134,856 (down 51,389) and an open interest of 361,029 (up 948) [3] Spot Market - For ferrosilicon, prices in Inner Mongolia, Ningxia, Qinghai, Jiangsu, and Tianjin showed various daily and weekly changes, with most remaining stable on the day [3] - For silicomanganese, prices in Inner Mongolia, Ningxia, Guangxi, Jiangsu, and Tianjin also had different daily and weekly changes, with some areas seeing price drops [3] Basis/Spread - Ferrosilicon basis and spread showed different daily and weekly changes in different regions [3] - Silicomanganese basis and spread also had various daily and weekly changes in different regions [3] Raw Materials - Manganese ore prices in Tianjin showed minor changes, with the Gabon block up 0.1 yuan/ton degree [3] - Lanthanum charcoal small material prices in Shaanxi, Ningxia, and Inner Mongolia remained stable [3] Group 3: Market Analysis Ferrosilicon - On February 3, the spot price of ferrosilicon was generally stable. The output of sample enterprises was still at a low level, and there was an expected decline in supply due to technical transformation requirements from differential electricity prices in Shaanxi. Short - term steel output was stable, but steel inventories began to accumulate, with expected seasonal production cuts before the Spring Festival. The electricity price in the main production areas was stable. With the commodity market's leading varieties rebounding, market sentiment eased, and ferrosilicon had a low valuation and strong cost support, so it could be a long - side configuration [6] Silicomanganese - On February 3, the manganese ore spot price was slightly stronger, with the Gabon block in Tianjin Port up 0.1 yuan/ton degree, while the silicomanganese spot price was slightly weaker, with prices in some areas dropping by 10 - 50 yuan/ton. The开工率 of sample enterprises decreased slightly, but new production capacity was put into operation recently, keeping the supply stable. Similar to ferrosilicon, short - term steel output was stable with expected seasonal production cuts before the Spring Festival. The manganese ore port inventory increased slightly but was still at a low level, and the port spot price was firm, with overseas mines' March quotes rising slightly. Silicomanganese also had strong cost support and could be a long - side configuration [6] Group 4: Trading Strategies - Unilateral: As the commodity market sentiment eases, ferroalloys have a low valuation and strong cost support, so they can be long - side configured [7] - Arbitrage: Hold a wait - and - see attitude [7] - Options: Sell out - of - the - money put options [7] Group 5: Important Information - On the 3rd, manganese ore prices in Tianjin Port were reported as follows: semi - carbonate Mn36.2% at 36.5 yuan/ton degree, low - grade semi - carbonate Mn32%Fe5.1% at 32 yuan/ton degree, Gabon block Mn44% at 43 yuan/ton degree, and Australian block Mn47% at 43.5 yuan/ton degree [8] - In February, HBIS's 75B ferrosilicon tender price was 5,760 yuan/ton, the same as the previous round. The tender quantity was 2,150 tons, a decrease of 1,163 tons compared to the previous round [8]
铁合金日报-20260129
Yin He Qi Huo· 2026-01-29 10:46
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the report 2. Core View of the Report - On January 29, ferroalloy futures prices rose overall. The silicon iron (SF) main contract closed at 5736, up 1.85% with a decrease of 33,983 in positions; the manganese silicon (SM) main contract closed at 5926, up 1.61% with a decrease of 12,587 in positions. The previous recommended long positions can be held. For arbitrage, it is recommended to wait and see, and for options, it is recommended to sell out - of - the - money put options [5][6] 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Market Information - **Futures Market**: The SF main contract closed at 5736, with a daily change of 104 and a weekly change of 126. The trading volume was 228,839, with a daily change of 106,016, and the open interest was 172,651, with a daily change of - 33,983. The SM main contract closed at 5926, with a daily change of 94 and a weekly change of 112. The trading volume was 256,191, with a daily change of 116,337, and the open interest was 362,400, with a daily change of - 12,587 [3] - **Spot Market**: Silicon iron spot prices were stable to strong, with prices in various regions rising by 50 - 100 yuan/ton. Manganese silicon spot prices were also stable to strong, with some regions rising by 50 - 60 yuan/ton [5] - **Basis/Spread**: The basis and spread of silicon iron and manganese silicon showed different changes. For example, the SF - SM spread was - 190, with a daily change of 10 and a weekly change of 14 [3] - **Raw Materials**: Manganese ore prices in Tianjin were stable, with slight weekly decreases. Lanthanum charcoal small materials prices in some regions decreased [3] 3.2 Market Judgment - **Trading Strategy** - **Unilateral**: Due to the good overall sentiment in the commodity market, ferroalloys followed the upward trend, and the previously recommended long positions could be held [5][6] - **Arbitrage**: It is recommended to wait and see [6] - **Options**: Sell out - of - the - money put options [6] - **Important Information** - On January 29, the prices of manganese ore in Tianjin were reported. For example, the price of Australian lump ore (Mn42.2%Fe3.6%) was 41.5 yuan/ton - degree [7] - Hebei Iron and Steel Group launched the February silicon iron tender. The tender quantity of FeSi75 - B silicon iron was 2,150 tons, a decrease of 1,163 tons compared with 3,313 tons in January [7] 3.3 Related Attachments - The report provides multiple charts, including the trend of ferroalloy main contracts, the spread between SF and SM, the monthly spread of silicon iron and manganese silicon, the basis of silicon iron and manganese silicon, spot prices, electricity prices, production costs, and production profits [8][11][12]
铁合金日报-20260127
Yin He Qi Huo· 2026-01-27 10:17
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Core Views of the Report - On January 27, ferroalloy futures prices declined overall. The silicon - iron (SF) main contract closed at 5604, down 0.43% with a decrease of 10,700 in positions; the manganese - silicon (SM) main contract closed at 5818, down 0.17% with an increase of 11,862 in positions [6]. - The valuation levels of both silicon - iron and manganese - silicon are low. They can be considered as long - side allocation when the price is low. For trading strategies, it is recommended to hold long positions when the price is low, wait and see for arbitrage, and sell out - of - the - money put options [6][7][8]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market Information - **Futures Market** - SF main contract: closed at 5604, daily change - 24, weekly change + 52, trading volume 112,403 (down 35,305 from the previous day), open interest 196,604 (down 10,700 from the previous day) [3]. - SM main contract: closed at 5818, daily change - 10, weekly change + 20, trading volume 103,945 (down 28,433 from the previous day), open interest 371,448 (up 11,862 from the previous day) [3]. - **Spot Market** - Silicon - iron: Spot prices in some regions decreased by 20 - 50 yuan/ton. For example, 72%FeSi in Inner Mongolia was 5350 yuan/ton, down 50 yuan/ton daily and up 30 yuan/ton weekly [3]. - Manganese - silicon: Spot prices were generally stable. For example, the price of silicon - manganese 6517 in Inner Mongolia was 5680 yuan/ton, with no daily or weekly change [3]. - **Basis/Spread** - Silicon - iron: The basis between Inner Mongolia and the main contract was - 254, with a daily change of - 26 and a weekly change of - 22 [3]. - Manganese - silicon: The basis between Inner Mongolia and the main contract was - 138, with a daily change of 10 and a weekly change of - 20 [3]. - SF - SM spread: - 214, daily change - 14, weekly change + 32 [3]. - **Raw Materials** - Manganese ore (Tianjin): The price of Australian lump ore decreased by 0.1 yuan/ton - degree to 41.5 yuan/ton - degree, and the price of South African semi - carbonate ore remained unchanged at 36.2 yuan/ton - degree [3]. - Blue charcoal small materials: The price in Shaanxi was 755 yuan/ton, with no daily change and a weekly decrease of 15 yuan/ton [3]. Market Judgement - **Silicon - iron** - Supply: The output of sample enterprises continued to decline at a low level, and there is an expectation of a further decline in the future due to the technical transformation expected from the differential electricity price in Shaanxi [6]. - Demand: The steel output is generally stable. Based on blast furnace maintenance data, the future hot - metal output is expected to increase slightly, which will support the demand for raw materials [6]. - Cost: The electricity price in the main production areas is stable with a weak trend, but there is still an expectation of an increase in some areas [6]. - **Manganese - silicon** - Supply: The output of sample enterprises decreased slightly, but some new production capacities are still being put into operation, and the supply is generally stable [7]. - Demand: Similar to silicon - iron, the future hot - metal output is expected to increase slightly, providing short - term support for raw material demand [7]. - Cost: The port inventory of manganese ore has increased slightly but remains at a low level. The port spot is generally firm, and the overseas mine quotes continue to rise [7]. Relevant Attachments - The attachments include multiple charts showing the trends of ferroalloy main contracts, spreads, basis, spot prices, electricity prices, production costs, and production profits [10][14][16][17]