Core Viewpoint - The distributed energy storage industry in China is entering a critical period of scale development and breakthrough in business models, driven by rapid growth in installed capacity and the emergence of deep-seated issues such as reliance on single profit models and inadequate safety standards [1][3]. Group 1: Industry Growth and Applications - From 2019 to Q3 2025, China's cumulative installed capacity of distributed energy storage is expected to grow from 570 MW to over 3638 MW, representing an increase of more than five times [3]. - Six main application scenarios have emerged in the distributed energy storage sector: industrial and commercial storage, distributed photovoltaic storage, green electricity direct connection, substation storage, virtual power plants, and charging and swapping stations [3]. - The industrial and commercial storage model is the most mature, primarily generating revenue through time-of-use electricity price arbitrage, with provinces like Jiangsu, Guangdong, and Zhejiang leading in installed capacity due to significant peak-valley price differences [3]. Group 2: Policy and Market Drivers - The rapid development of distributed energy storage is attributed to a dual drive from policy guidance and market mechanisms, with new application scenarios like zero-carbon parks and data centers creating a strong demand for green electricity consumption [5]. - The advancement of electricity market reforms has opened new revenue channels for distributed energy storage, allowing participation in various market transactions such as electricity spot markets and frequency regulation [5]. Group 3: Challenges and Structural Issues - The commercial viability of industrial and commercial storage projects heavily relies on peak-valley price arbitrage, making the industry vulnerable to policy changes [11]. - Key structural challenges include high development costs, safety issues due to a lack of unified standards, and low-price competition leading to inconsistent product quality [12]. - The economic viability of typical 2-hour lithium battery storage projects is projected to decline, with investment recovery periods extending from 5.4 years to 9.1 years due to recent adjustments in peak-valley pricing policies [11]. Group 4: Future Development and Recommendations - The key to overcoming current challenges lies in transforming distributed energy storage from a "policy-driven arbitrage tool" to a "flexible resource with multiple values in the electricity market" [14]. - Future developments are expected to focus on technological advancements, market expansion, and the evolution of business models, with an emphasis on AI for better load and price forecasting [15]. - Recommendations include widening peak-valley price differences, improving demand response mechanisms, and establishing safety standards in the short term, while promoting deeper electricity market reforms and exploring capacity value in the medium to long term [16].

来源：环球网 【环球网报道 记者 齐琛冏】在"双碳"目标驱动下，分布式储能作为构建新型电力系统的关键环节，正 迎来快速发展。12月16日，自然资源保护协会与中关村储能产业技术联盟在京合办研讨会并发布《分布 式储能发展商业模式研究》。该研究分析了我国分布式储能的商业模式和主要挑战，并结合国际经验和 我国电力市场建设现状，初步探索了分布式储能商业模式的创新方向，提出了完善配套机制的建议。 六大应用场景拉动分布式储能快速发展 其中，工商业配储最为成熟，主要依赖分时电价套利，但其经济性受省份分时电价峰谷价差政策影响显 著；分布式光伏配储分源侧与荷侧两类，源侧为全额上网项目，以参与市场交易为主，荷侧主要用于提 升自发自用率和分时电价峰谷套利；绿电直连项目含并网型与离网型，并网型绿电直连项目中的储能可 发挥减少弃电和分时电价峰谷套利的双重作用，离网型绿电直连项目中的储能兼具减少弃电和保障供电 的功能；台区储能以动态增容为核心，多为电网主导的示范项目；虚拟电厂通过聚合储能提升调节能 力，参与需求响应、电能量市场和辅助服务市场；充换电站配储聚焦变压器扩容与峰谷套利。 自然资源保护协会能源转型项目高级主管黄辉分析，在具体场景应 ...

21世纪经济报道记者雷椰 北京报道 其中，工商业配储最为成熟，主要依赖分时电价套利，但其经济性受省份分时电价峰谷价差政策影响显著；虚拟电厂通过聚合 储能提升调节能力，参与需求响应、电能量市场和辅助服务市场。 尽管行业增速亮眼，但商业模式仍处于探索阶段。报告明确当前核心挑战：政策持续性不足、收益来源单一、安全标准与运维 体系不健全、成本疏导机制缺失。 多位专家指出，当前分布式储能盈利仍高度依赖峰谷价差，而部分省份电价政策波动、市场准入门槛等因素，进一步制约了行 业盈利能力。 为提升分布式储能的利用率及经济性，报告提出分阶段发展路径：2025—2027年，通过合理拉大分时电价峰谷价差、完善需求 响应机制、健全安全标准与强化财税支持等方式，保障分布式储能项目的基本收益与安全运行；在2028—2030年，则致力于深 化电力市场改革，通过完善分时电价动态调整机制、推动分布式储能参与现货市场、探索兑现分布式储能的容量价值和辅助服 务价值，深入挖掘其在绿电、绿证和碳市场等环境价值方面的潜力，最终构建多元化的收益渠道，全面提升分布式储能的经济 性与市场竞争力。 虚拟电厂作为分布式储能聚合载体，其发展备受关注。 中国电力科学研 ...

Core Insights - The report titled "Research on Business Models for Distributed Energy Storage Development" indicates a significant acceleration in the development of distributed energy storage in China, with installed capacity increasing over fivefold from 570 MW in 2019 to 3,638 MW by the third quarter of 2025 [1][2] Group 1: Market Trends - The six major application scenarios for distributed energy storage include industrial and commercial storage, distributed photovoltaic storage, green electricity direct connection, area storage, virtual power plants, and charging and swapping stations [1][2] - Industrial and commercial storage is the most mature model, primarily relying on time-of-use electricity price arbitrage, but its economic viability is significantly influenced by regional price difference policies [2] Group 2: Challenges and Recommendations - The current business models for distributed energy storage are still in the exploratory phase, facing challenges such as insufficient policy continuity, single revenue sources, inadequate safety standards, and lack of cost guidance mechanisms [2][3] - To enhance the utilization and economic viability of distributed energy storage, the report recommends widening the time-of-use electricity price gap, improving demand response mechanisms, and strengthening safety standards and fiscal support from 2025 to 2027 [3] Group 3: Future Development - From 2028 to 2030, the focus will shift towards deepening electricity market reforms, improving dynamic adjustment mechanisms for time-of-use pricing, and exploring the capacity and ancillary service values of distributed energy storage [3] - Experts at the seminar believe that with advancements in technology, economics, and safety, distributed energy storage will see widespread application during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, playing a crucial role in enhancing China's new power system and overall national strength [3][4] Group 4: Industry Perspectives - The value of distributed energy storage is becoming increasingly diverse, transitioning from simple peak-valley arbitrage to supporting distributed renewable energy consumption and grid stability [4] - Distributed energy storage is recognized as a key link connecting sources, grids, and loads, moving from demonstration projects to large-scale applications, thus becoming an important force in promoting energy transition and enhancing grid flexibility [4]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the rapid development of distributed energy storage in China, highlighting its importance in addressing the challenges of renewable energy consumption and the need for innovative business models to enhance its economic viability [2][6][10]. Summary by Sections Overview of Distributed Energy Storage - Distributed energy storage refers to small-scale storage systems located on the user side (homes, factories, shopping malls) or near distributed renewable energy sources, which are becoming crucial for local renewable energy consumption [2][6]. - From 2019 to the third quarter of 2025, China's cumulative installed capacity of distributed energy storage increased over fivefold, from 570 MW to 3,638 MW, with six major application scenarios identified [6][7]. Business Models and Challenges - The main business models for distributed energy storage include peak-valley arbitrage, virtual power plants, and demand-side response, with the peak-valley arbitrage model being the most stable [7][17]. - Current challenges include insufficient policy continuity, single revenue sources, lack of safety standards, and inadequate operational systems [7][8]. Recommendations for Development - To enhance the utilization and economic viability of distributed energy storage, recommendations include widening the peak-valley price difference, improving demand response mechanisms, and strengthening safety standards and fiscal support from 2025 to 2027 [8][10]. - From 2028 to 2030, the focus should shift to deepening electricity market reforms and exploring the potential of distributed energy storage in green electricity, green certificates, and carbon markets [8][10]. Future Trends - Experts predict that distributed energy storage will evolve towards market-oriented investment, diverse technology routes, microgrid integration, convenience, and AI applications [11][12]. - The future development will also focus on enhancing safety standards and operational norms to stimulate investment and ensure reliable power supply [12][15]. Market Participation and Policy Support - The role of distributed energy storage is shifting from a supportive role in the power system to a flexible adjustment resource, with various local policies being introduced to support its market participation [20][21]. - The aggregation of distributed energy storage into virtual power plants is seen as a necessary step to enhance market participation and improve bargaining power [14][24]. Application Scenarios - Key application scenarios for distributed energy storage include data centers and communication base stations, where it can provide backup power, reduce electricity costs, and ensure supply reliability [17][21]. - The integration of distributed energy storage with renewable energy sources is essential for achieving carbon reduction goals and enhancing energy efficiency [26][27].

12月16日，自然资源保护协会联合中关村储能产业技术联盟发布的《分布式储能发展商业模式研究》 (下称"报告")提出，为提升分布式储能的利用率及经济性，促进分布式储能的多元化和市场化发展，建 议在2025—2027年，通过合理拉大分时电价峰谷价差、健全安全标准与强化财税支持等方式，保障分布 式储能项目的基本收益与安全运行。 着眼于长远发展，报告建议在2028—2030年，通过完善分时电价动态调整机制、推动分布式储能参与现 货市场、探索兑现分布式储能的容量价值和辅助服务价值，深入挖掘其在绿电、绿证和碳市场等环境价 值方面的潜力，最终构建多元化的收益渠道，全面提升分布式储能的经济性与市场竞争力。 分布式储能是指分散布置在用户侧(家庭、工厂、商场等)、配电网侧或分布式新能源附近的小型储能系 统。分布式储能可就地存储富余电力、平抑出力波动，大幅提升本地新能源自用率与配网消纳能力。 政策层面，近两年国家和地方层面已密集出台多项举措支持分布式储能的发展。其中在地方层面，各省 主要通过拉大峰谷差、规范虚拟电厂准入、完善需求响应补贴等方式引导分布式储能发展，广东、浙 江、江苏等部分省市对分布式储能给予补贴。 在这样的背景下，报 ...

今天分享的是：自然资源保护协会：2025年分布式储能发展商业模式研究报告 报告共计：38页 分布式储能发展商业模式研究报告总结 在"双碳"目标推动下，分布式储能作为新型电力系统的关键环节，正快速发展。2019年至2025年前三季度，我国分布式储能累 计装机从570MW增长至3638MW，技术上以锂离子电池为主，占比92.77%，应用场景集中于工商业配储，占比68.70%，江苏、 广东、浙江等经济发达省份因峰谷价差大领跑装机规模。 国外方面，美国加州、德国、澳大利亚等国以户用储能为主，通过强有力的财税补贴、高居民电价及虚拟电厂参与电力市场推 动发展。美国有投资税收抵免和地方补贴，德国免除增值税并提供光储充补贴，澳大利亚给予税收减免，这些政策大幅降低了 初始投资，其户用储能收益稳定，可通过多种渠道获利。 国内分布式储能探索了工商业配储、分布式光伏配储等六大核心场景商业模式。工商业配储以合同能源管理为主要模式，收益 依赖峰谷价差套利；分布式光伏配储分源侧和荷侧，峰谷价差高的地区经济性更优；绿电直连项目分为并网型和离网型，广 东、浙江等地项目经济性较好；台区储能多为示范项目，以动态增容为主要用途；虚拟电厂收益来自需求 ...

12月16日，中关村储能产业技术联盟和自然资源保护协会联合发布的报告显示，2019年到2025年9月， 国内分布式储能（接入电压等级35kV以下，功率规模≤6MW）累计装机规模从570MW增长至 3638MW。2024年以来，分布式储能增速明显加快。江苏、广东、浙江的分布式储能累计装机规模排名 前三，分别为642MW、630MW、572MW。不同应用场景中，工商业配储占比达到68.70%；其次为电 网侧分布式储能（包括变电站配储、台区储能等），占比8.30%；新能源配储占比7.09%。技术方面， 锂离子电池占国内分布式储能装机的92.77%。 ...

在电力系统中默默担当电力"配送员"角色的配电网，正迎来一场深刻的变革。 配电网，这个曾经在电力系统中默默担当电力"配送员"的角色，正迎来一场深刻的变革。过去，它主要负责将主干网的电能输送至终 端用户，是电力供应的"最后一公里"；如今，伴随新型电力系统建设的推进，配电网已逐步从单向输电的末端网络，升级为源、网、 荷、储多元融合、灵活互动，并与主干电网高效协同的智慧能源枢纽。 在国家发改委、国家能源局提出"到2025年，配电网要具备5亿千瓦分布式新能源及1200万台充电桩接入能力"的目标指引下，储能 企业、虚拟电厂、负荷聚合商等多元主体蓬勃发展。如何充分发挥这些新兴主体的调节能力与市场价值，已成为行业关注的焦点。 供需变革推动配电网角色转变 配电网角色的升级，根源在于电力供需两侧正经历深刻的结构性变化。 国家发改委能源研究所新能源与可再生能源研究中心副主任郑雅楠指出，在消费侧，伴随产业结构转型，第三产业和居民用电占比已 从2010年的约23%快速提升至目前的超过1/3。这类负荷与气温关联密切，呈现出尖峰化、强不确定性的特征，参考国际经验，预 计未来其占比将超2/3，带来负荷不确定性进一步加剧。在供应侧，新能源装机 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent issuance of the "Guiding Opinions on Promoting New Energy Consumption and Regulation" by the National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration is expected to benefit sectors such as energy storage, electrical equipment, photovoltaics, and offshore wind power, leading to a strong market response in related stocks. Group 1: Policy Implications - The "Opinions" propose differentiated strategies for the development and consumption of new energy resources based on their geographical distribution, aiming to align energy development with regional needs [1] - The document emphasizes the importance of local consumption of renewable energy, particularly in regions with high energy demand, such as the eastern coastal areas, while also promoting the conversion of green energy into hydrogen and ammonia [1] - The new pricing mechanisms aim to enhance the transmission of market price signals to end users, optimizing resource allocation and encouraging self-regulation among users [2] Group 2: Industry Trends - The new energy storage capacity in China has seen significant growth, with cumulative installed capacity exceeding 100 GW by the third quarter of this year, representing a more than 30-fold increase compared to the end of the 13th Five-Year Plan [2] - Future trends in distributed energy storage include diversification of application scenarios, support for high-energy-consuming industries in carbon reduction, and acceleration of participation in electricity market models [3] - The integration of various energy sources, including conventional hydropower, pumped storage, and new energy storage, is highlighted as a key pathway for enhancing the adaptability of the new power system to renewable energy [2]