供需格局优化，农药价格企稳反弹。自2022 年开始，多数农药价格从高点持续回落，价格有较大幅度 的调整。伴随海外库存持续去化，国内低效产能的出清，农药市场供需格局持续优化。2024 年以来农 药产量增速开始回落，2025 年增速维持在10%以内。农药PPI也从2024 年开始从底部反弹。根据中农立 华数据，原药指数已有反弹趋势，除草剂等品类也有所改善。政策端持续收紧，一品一证政策落地，行 业规范进行中，登记证丰富的龙头企业有望受益。 产业链布局完善，优创项目巩固龙头地位。菊酯：菊酯关键中间体贲亭酸甲酯供给扰动，菊酯现货偏紧 价格反弹，公司农药中间体配套完善，叠加优创项目投产产能增加，有望充分受益菊酯价格修复。草甘 膦：2025 年行业供给相对平稳，下游需求回暖，草甘膦价格持续修复；麦草畏：美国复批麦草畏，需 求有望逐步打开。杀菌剂：3000 吨吡唑醚菌酯技改项目推进中，有望贡献增量。 ab推le荐_S逻u辑mm：a农ry药] 价格逐步复苏，公司优创项目开始放量，有望迎来量价齐升：1）公司 是国内农药龙头企业，产品布局完善，优创一期规划15650 吨农药原药产能，未来增量可期；2）2025 年以来农药价格逐步修 ...

证券日报网12月16日讯扬农化工（600486）在12月12日回答调研者提问时表示，近期菊酯产品市场价格 有所上调，主要受供需关系变化及原材料成本等因素影响。公司拥有完整的菊酯系列产品产业链和配套 能力，有助于更有效地应对市场波动，把握价格修复机遇。此前功夫菊酯、联苯菊酯等产品价格已处于 历史低位，本轮价格回调有利于改善行业整体盈利水平，促进行业持续健康发展。公司将密切关注市场 供需变化，结合自身产能与订单情况，动态优化销售策略，在维护客户关系与市场份额的同时，积极争 取合理盈利空间。长远来看，产品价格仍将由市场供需关系决定。公司将继续依托产业链优势，通过技 术创新与成本管控提升竞争力，积极参与市场化竞争。 ...

证券日报网讯长青股份（002391）11月26日在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，公司功夫菊酯及联苯菊 酯的产品价格稳定。 ...

（记者 胡玲） 长青股份（002391.SZ）11月26日在投资者互动平台表示，目前公司年产2000吨功夫菊酯装置生产负荷 约为50%，年产1000吨联苯菊酯装置为满负荷生产。 每经AI快讯，有投资者在投资者互动平台提问：公司功夫菊酯、联苯菊酯产品超能利用率如何？ ...

Group 1: Company Operations and Production - The relocation of the company's riverside plant has been completed, with nine new raw material production facilities now fully operational, achieving an annual production capacity of over 10,000 tons [2] - The company has a supporting production line for 4,000 tons/year of benzoic acid methyl ester, and price fluctuations of this intermediate have minimal impact on the company's pyrethroid production line [2][3] - In 2025, the company expects significant growth in performance compared to the previous year, driven by internal efficiency improvements, technological advancements, and enhanced management practices [2][3] Group 2: Financial Performance and Market Trends - The production cost in the new plant is lower than that of the old facility, contributing to improved profit margins from high-gross-margin products [3] - The company has seen an increase in exports to the U.S. despite high tariff levels, with exports growing compared to the same period last year [3] - The sales of glyphosate have increased as overseas market inventories return to normal levels, although prices remain low, the profitability of this product has improved [3] Group 3: Regulatory Impact and Market Strategy - The upcoming "one certificate, one product" policy in 2026 is expected to benefit leading pesticide companies by enhancing product quality and brand differentiation in the market [3] - The company has adhered to information disclosure regulations during investor communications, ensuring no significant undisclosed information was leaked [3]

Core Insights - The basic chemical industry shows significant profit differentiation among its sectors, with the pesticide sector expected to lead in net profit growth by Q3 2025 due to price increases and a low performance base from previous years [1] - Hongtaiyang, a leading company in the pesticide industry, reported a 73.47% reduction in net profit loss in Q3, driven by effective cost control and technological upgrades [1] - The company is advancing new projects, including L-Glufosinate and various pyrethroid products, which are expected to provide new growth momentum [2] Financial Performance - Hongtaiyang achieved a gross profit margin of 9.76% in Q3, a significant recovery from a negative margin in Q2, alongside a 15.05% reduction in management expenses and a 68.51% decrease in financial costs [1] - The company is positioned to benefit from the recovery of the pesticide industry, with the price of its key product, Paraquat, stabilizing and expected to rise [1] Strategic Initiatives - The company has launched a restricted stock incentive plan to enhance its long-term incentive mechanisms, aiming to align the interests of shareholders, the company, and core team members [2][3] - Following a judicial restructuring, the company is focused on integrating quality industrial resources and enhancing its management team to drive high-quality development [3] - The incentive plan targets up to 247 individuals, including board members and key personnel, to foster a sense of responsibility and mission towards the company's sustainable growth [3]

Summary of the Pyrethroid Industry Conference Call Industry Overview - The pyrethroid industry is experiencing significant price fluctuations due to rising raw material costs, particularly for benzyl triphosphate, which has increased from 37,000-37,500 CNY/ton to 53,000 CNY/ton, with expectations to reach 60,000 CNY/ton [1][5] - Major players in the industry, such as Yangnong, are implementing measures like halting quotes and controlling order volumes to manage rising costs [1][6] Key Points and Arguments - **Price Adjustments**: Yangnong has slightly increased the prices of Kungfu pyrethroid from 105,000 CNY/ton to 108,000 CNY/ton and phenobarbital pyrethroid from 125,000 CNY/ton to 128,000 CNY/ton, indicating a gradual price increase trend [3][6] - **Supply and Demand Dynamics**: The total production capacity of major domestic pyrethroid manufacturers is approximately 15,000 tons, with an actual achievement rate of about 70%. This indicates a relatively balanced supply-demand relationship, although there is still some oversupply [4][11] - **Impact of Raw Material Prices**: The increase in raw material prices is expected to directly raise the costs of downstream products like Kungfu pyrethroid and phenobarbital pyrethroid, creating significant pricing pressure [5][10] - **Market Strategy**: Yangnong's strategy includes a cautious approach to pricing amid raw material shortages and low inventory levels, with expectations of continued price increases in the near future [6][9] Additional Important Insights - **Market Concentration**: The pyrethroid market is highly concentrated, with only a few companies dominating production. If one company halts production, it can lead to supply shortages and subsequent price increases [15] - **Export Market Trends**: The domestic market has seen a clear upward price trend, while the export market has not fully adjusted yet. However, due to rising raw material costs, export prices are expected to increase, potentially surpassing domestic price increases [12] - **Production and Sales Outlook**: November and December are critical production periods leading into the March sales peak of the following year. Companies are expected to ramp up production and stockpiling in anticipation of increased demand [13] Conclusion - The pyrethroid industry is currently facing significant challenges due to raw material price increases and supply chain constraints. Major players like Yangnong are strategically managing their pricing and production to navigate these challenges, while the overall market dynamics suggest a potential for continued price increases in the coming months.

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for Yangnong Chemical (600486) with a target price of 79.2 CNY per share [2][7]. Core Views - The agricultural chemical industry is gradually improving, and the company's performance in the off-season meets expectations. The company is expected to show strong earnings elasticity as the agricultural chemical cycle begins to recover [2][7]. - The company's revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 reached 9.156 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 14.23%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 1.055 billion CNY, up 2.88% year-on-year [7][8]. - The report highlights the steady growth in raw material sales and an increase in glyphosate prices, indicating a positive trend in the agricultural chemical market [7][8]. Financial Summary - **Revenue Forecast**: Total revenue is projected to be 10.435 billion CNY in 2024, increasing to 12.702 billion CNY in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 21.7% [3][8]. - **Net Profit Forecast**: The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 1.202 billion CNY in 2024, with a slight increase to 1.267 billion CNY in 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 5.4% [3][8]. - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: EPS is forecasted to be 2.97 CNY in 2024, increasing to 3.13 CNY in 2025 [3][8]. - **Valuation Ratios**: The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 22 in 2024 to 21 in 2025, and further down to 16 in 2026 [3][8]. Market Performance - The report notes a significant recovery in agricultural chemical exports, with a 17.63% increase in export value from January to September 2025, particularly in insecticides, fungicides, and herbicides [7][8]. - The company is advancing its Huludao project, which is expected to contribute to sustained growth and profitability as production ramps up [7][8].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and it is maintained [10]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 9.16 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 14.2%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.06 billion yuan, up 2.9% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 1.04 billion yuan, an increase of 5.8% year-on-year. In Q3 alone, the revenue reached 2.92 billion yuan, a significant year-on-year increase of 26.1%, although the net profit for the quarter decreased by 5.0% to 250 million yuan [2][7]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company is a key high-tech enterprise in China and a leading player in the domestic agrochemical sector, being a core supplier of pyrethroid raw materials globally. The company is advancing its Huludao project with a focus on early production and profitability [7][10]. Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, the company achieved a gross margin of 19.6% and a net margin of 8.5%, reflecting a slight year-on-year decline of 3.9 percentage points and 2.8 percentage points, respectively. The sales volume of raw materials and formulations was 30,000 tons and 5,000 tons, showing a year-on-year increase of 13.5% and a decrease of 17.6%, respectively [7][10]. Market Dynamics - The prices of the company's raw materials have shown fluctuations, with a year-on-year increase of 3.1% for raw materials and 0.8% for formulations in Q3 2025. The company anticipates continued sales growth as production capacity from its northern base is released [10][12]. Future Outlook - The company expects to maintain its growth trajectory, with projected net profits of 1.30 billion yuan, 1.44 billion yuan, and 1.59 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively. The fourth quarter is expected to benefit from the North American pesticide demand peak [10][12].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Yangnong Chemical (600486) [2] Core Views - The Q3 performance of Yangnong Chemical is in line with expectations, with the Huludao project gradually entering the release phase, indicating a new growth cycle for the company as the industry recovers [1][7] - The agricultural chemical industry is expected to continue its recovery, with the company’s Huludao project progressing steadily, marking the beginning of a new growth phase [7] Financial Data and Earnings Forecast - For Q3 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 9.156 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14% [7] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for Q3 2025 was 1.055 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3% [7] - The company’s total revenue forecast for 2025 is 11.951 billion yuan, with a projected net profit of 1.304 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 8.5% [6][8] - The gross profit margin for Q3 2025 was 19.61%, with a net profit margin of 8.54% [7] - The company plans to invest 4.238 billion yuan in the Huludao project, which aims to produce 15,650 tons of pesticide active ingredients and 7,000 tons of pesticide intermediates annually [7] Market Comparison - The closing price of Yangnong Chemical on October 29, 2025, was 68.11 yuan, with a market capitalization of 27.516 billion yuan [2] - The stock has a price-to-book ratio of 2.4 and a dividend yield of 1.35% [2]