Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the industry [2] Core Viewpoints - The global AI computing market is experiencing sustained growth, with the AI server market expected to reach $222.7 billion by 2028, driven by the increasing demand for generative AI servers [3][4] - The GPU cloud (computing rental) market is rapidly developing as a solution to the global shortage of high-end AI chips, with a projected market size of $12.8 billion by 2033 [4][73] - Domestic AI chip companies are expected to benefit from the high demand for computing power, with a projected net profit margin of around 15% for rental companies [5] Summary by Sections 1. Sustained High Demand for Computing Power - The global AI server market is projected to grow from $125.1 billion in 2024 to $158.7 billion in 2025, with a CAGR of 31% from 2025 to 2028 [14][68] - In China, the AI computing market is expected to reach $25.9 billion in 2025, with a CAGR of 31% from 2025 to 2028 [14][68] 2. Scarcity of High-End Computing Resources - The AI chip market is dominated by NVIDIA, which holds over 80% of the market share, while the ASIC market is rapidly growing [51][68] - The demand for AI chips is expected to continue to rise, with major cloud service providers contributing over 50% of NVIDIA's data center revenue [68] 3. Rapid Growth of GPU Cloud Market - Major AI companies are building large-scale GPU clusters, with Meta and Microsoft leading the way in constructing clusters with tens of thousands of GPUs [67] - The GPU cloud market is expected to expand significantly, driven by the need for flexible and cost-effective computing solutions [4][73] 4. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on domestic GPU cloud-related companies, particularly recommending companies like Runjian Co., Ltd. [5]

Investment Strategy - The recovery of H20 supply is expected to drive the AIDC hardware industry chain, alleviating domestic AI computing power shortages. The H20 chip has a peak FP16 computing power of 148 TFLOPS, significantly lower than the nearly 2000 TFLOPS of the H100, but its 96GB HBM3 memory and 4.0TB/s memory bandwidth make it suitable for applications requiring large memory capacity and high bandwidth, outperforming previous A100/A800 series [12][13] - The trend towards domestic chip replacement and technological self-sufficiency is irreversible. The Chinese government aims for a 70% self-sufficiency rate in chips by 2025. Domestic products like Huawei's Ascend 910 series and Haiguang's Deep Computing No. 3 are continuously improving their performance, with the Ascend 910C matching NVIDIA's H200 [13] - High demand for edge-side applications is expanding growth opportunities for H20 and RTX PRO. AI application monthly active users in China grew rapidly, with AI plugin applications increasing by 106% year-on-year. The high bandwidth characteristics of H20 are accelerating the large-scale implementation of AI inference scenarios [14][15] Industry News - The initial lifting of overseas computing chip restrictions allows H20 and MI308 to re-enter the Chinese market, which is expected to significantly accelerate domestic IDC construction progress. NVIDIA plans to resume sales of H20 and introduce a new compliant GPU, RTX PRO, suitable for digital twin AI applications [16] - T-Mobile's NTN service, T-Satellite, will officially launch on July 23, focusing on satellite direct-to-cellular networks to address communication challenges in areas without ground network coverage. This service has attracted over 1.8 million users during testing, indicating strong market demand [17] - OpenAI announced the launch of a general-purpose AI agent within ChatGPT, capable of assisting users with various computer-based tasks. This development is expected to drive further growth in AI applications and increase computing power demand [18][19] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology released the 2025 work priorities for the integration of information technology and industrialization, emphasizing the need for 5G and 6G technology investment and the development of industrial internet platforms [20] - SpaceX plans to launch its third-generation Starlink satellites in the first half of 2026, aiming to provide significantly higher downlink and uplink capacities compared to previous generations, potentially competing with ground cellular networks [21][22] Weekly Review and Focus - The communication sector saw a 7.02% increase this week, outperforming major indices. The IDC, optical modules, and optical communications sectors led the gains, with increases of 11.83%, 9.71%, and 6.10% respectively [23][24]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent aggressive semiconductor export control measures introduced by the U.S. Department of Commerce, which effectively bans the use of Huawei's Ascend 910 series chips globally, labeling it as a violation of U.S. export control regulations, with severe penalties for non-compliance [2][4]. Group 1: U.S. Export Control Measures - The U.S. Department of Commerce has issued guidelines that classify the use of Huawei's Ascend chips as a violation of export controls, threatening legal consequences for any organization or individual that complies with these measures [4][6]. - The measures are described as unilateral bullying and protectionism, which undermine the stability of the global semiconductor supply chain and infringe on the rights of other countries to develop advanced computing and AI technologies [4][8]. Group 2: China's Response - China firmly opposes the U.S. measures, asserting that they violate international law and the basic principles of international relations, and emphasizes the need for cooperation and mutual benefit in technological development [4][8]. - The Chinese government warns that any organization or individual that assists in enforcing U.S. measures may face legal repercussions under Chinese law, specifically referencing the Anti-Foreign Sanctions Law [4][8]. Group 3: Implications for Global Semiconductor Industry - The article highlights the potential disruption to the global semiconductor industry caused by U.S. actions, which could lead to a significant impact on supply chains and technological collaboration [4][9]. - It notes that the U.S. accusations against Huawei's chips are seen as unfounded and part of a broader strategy to maintain technological dominance and suppress China's advancements in the semiconductor sector [9][11].