Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, with a target price of 19.6 yuan [2][8]. Core Views - The company experienced continued pressure in 2024, with total revenue of 6.257 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 13.84%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 227 million yuan, down 34.04% year-on-year. The fourth quarter of 2024 saw a revenue drop of 23.8% year-on-year, resulting in a net loss of 211 million yuan [2][4]. - In the first quarter of 2025, total revenue was 1.501 billion yuan, a decrease of 11.47% year-on-year, with a net profit of 120 million yuan, down 27.29% year-on-year [2][4]. - The company is actively exploring changes to improve its situation, focusing on brand upgrades, digital transformation, and lean operations. It aims to stabilize store numbers and improve same-store sales [2][8]. Financial Summary - **2024 Financial Performance**: - Total revenue: 6,257 million yuan - Year-on-year growth rate: -13.8% - Net profit: 227 million yuan - Year-on-year growth rate: -34.0% - Gross margin: 30.5% [4][9] - **2025 Financial Projections**: - Total revenue expected: 5,877 million yuan - Year-on-year growth rate: -6.1% - Net profit expected: 501 million yuan - Year-on-year growth rate: 120.4% - EPS forecast: 0.83 yuan [4][9] - **Valuation Ratios**: - PE ratio for 2025: 20 times - PE ratio for 2026: 16 times - PE ratio for 2027: 14 times [4][9] Market Performance - The company's stock price has shown significant volatility, with a current price of 16.12 yuan, reflecting a challenging market environment [4][8]. Operational Insights - The company faced challenges with store closures, estimating around 2,000 net closures in 2024, impacting revenue and same-store sales negatively [2][8]. - The company is focusing on improving operational efficiency and exploring digital applications in collaboration with Tencent to enhance its business model [2][8].