（记者 王瀚黎） 每经AI快讯，有投资者在投资者互动平台提问：贵司是否有生产研发人形机器人产品反向式行星滚柱 丝杠与旋转执行器产品？ 西菱动力（300733.SZ）9月25日在投资者互动平台表示，公司无反向式行星滚柱丝杠与旋转执行器产品 生产研发。 ...

近日，特斯拉动作频频，先是发布"宏图计划"第四篇章完整文件，将人工智能与人形机器人置于战略核心，然 后又是疑似Optimus新型号人形机器人曝光，金色涂装+人机对话+精巧拟人的灵巧手引发热议，随后又开通 了"TeslaAI"微博账号，马斯克又在最近的All-In上表示特斯拉目前正在设计的Optimus V3将解决手部灵活 性、拥有AI大脑，并且有望实现量产。 特斯拉的这一系列消息，无疑再度引发了市场对其人形机器人发展的关注。特斯拉在人形机器人领域的持续投 入——Optimus的迭代与量产，离不开其供应链体系。 本文盘点了部分有望在特斯拉供应链上发力的企业。 ▍ 三花智控 浙江三花智能控制股份有限公司成立于1994年公司秉持"专注领先、创新超越"的经营战略，以热泵技术和热 管理系统产品的研究与应用为核心，专注于冷热转换、温度智能控制的环境热管理解决方案开发，致力于建筑 暖通、电器设备和新能源汽车热管理领域的专业化经营。 三花智控自成立以来，始终专注于热管理技术的研发、推广和应用，业务主要分为制冷空调电器零部件业务和 汽车零部件两大板块。 制冷空调电器零部件业务方面，三花智控主要从事控制元器件、子系统和技术解决方 ...

Core Viewpoint - A leaked research report suggests that certain companies are Tier 1 suppliers for Tesla's humanoid robot, impacting stock prices of related firms in the market [2][5]. Group 1: Companies Involved - The report identifies Top Group and Sanhua Intelligent Controls as the two main Tier 1 suppliers for Tesla's humanoid robot [5]. - Other companies like Zhejiang Rongtai, Zhenyu Technology, and Yinlun Co. are also considered potential Tier 1 suppliers, with their stock prices showing significant fluctuations [2][9]. Group 2: Stock Market Reactions - On September 10, stocks of Sanhua Intelligent Controls and Yinlun Co. experienced slight declines, while Zhenyu Technology dropped by 4.64%. In contrast, Zhejiang Rongtai's stock rose by 6.47% [2]. - Since 2025, stock price increases for Yinlun Co., Zhejiang Rongtai, and Zhenyu Technology have been 93%, 355%, and 198% respectively [11]. Group 3: Company Responses - Sanhua Intelligent Controls declined to comment on the report, citing confidentiality regarding client information [7]. - Zhejiang Rongtai has indicated that it is progressing well with humanoid robot projects but cannot disclose specific details due to confidentiality [7]. Group 4: Material Insights - The report claims that Tesla does not use PEEK material but instead relies heavily on magnesium-aluminum alloys for its humanoid robots [11]. - Baowu Magnesium Industry stated that their supply of aluminum-magnesium alloy products for humanoid robots is currently limited [11]. Group 5: Shareholder Activities - Recent shareholder activities at Zhejiang Rongtai show significant reductions in holdings by major shareholders, while notable investors like Zhang Jianping have increased their stakes [12][14]. - Zhejiang Rongtai has been active in expanding its business, including acquiring a majority stake in a precision machinery company and establishing a new subsidiary focused on robotics [14].

Core Insights - The company achieved revenue of 4.05 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 29.2%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 210 million yuan, up 61% year-on-year, and a non-recurring net profit of 200 million yuan, up 65% year-on-year [1] - In Q2 2025, the company reported revenue of 2.25 billion yuan, with year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter growth of 34% and 26% respectively; net profit attributable to shareholders was 140 million yuan, with year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter increases of 75% and 90% respectively [1] - The gross margin for H1 2025 was 14.9%, an increase of 0.59 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 5.2%, up 1 percentage point year-on-year [1] Revenue and Profitability - The precision structural components business saw a revenue increase of 29% year-on-year in H1 2025, with lithium battery structural components expected to grow by 44% year-on-year, and a nearly 30% increase quarter-on-quarter in Q2 [1] - The company’s capacity utilization rate has improved, contributing to the recovery of profitability, with gross margins expected to be close to 13% in H1 2025, up 1 percentage point year-on-year, and net margins rising to over 5% [1] - Revenue from iron cores slightly declined, but improvements in raw materials, processes, and an increase in the proportion of adhesive products led to gross margins exceeding 20% [1] Cost Management and R&D - The expense ratio for H1 2025 was 9.2%, a decrease of 0.8 percentage points year-on-year, reflecting the company's scale effect and increased investment in robotics R&D, with R&D expense ratio up by 0.23 percentage points [2] - The humanoid robot business is rapidly developing, with several products achieving mass production and direct engagement with overseas major clients [2] Production Capacity - The company has established two semi-automated production lines for planetary roller screws with a daily capacity of 120 sets, and is expanding its flexible assembly line for linear actuators based on demand [2] Investment Outlook - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 9.5 billion, 12 billion, and 15.1 billion yuan in 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits of 570 million, 810 million, and 1.1 billion yuan, and corresponding EPS of 3.3, 4.6, and 6.6 yuan per share [3] - The company is given a "recommended" rating based on these projections [3]

Core Viewpoint - The company has accumulated significant expertise in precision manufacturing technology, particularly in the design and manufacturing of precision components, which positions it well for future applications in humanoid robotics [1] Group 1 - The company has developed a foundation in reverse planetary roller screw technology, which is essential for linear drive applications in humanoid robots [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a strong potential for stock price appreciation relative to the benchmark index [5]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 1.894 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 8.12%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 75 million yuan, with a slight increase of 0.31% year-on-year [1]. - The company is focusing on expanding its presence in the high-value markets, particularly in the new energy vehicle bearing market and high-end equipment sectors such as aerospace and gas turbines [4]. - The company plans to invest 1.05 billion yuan in the development and industrialization of core components for embodied intelligent robots and automotive intelligent driving, which is expected to enhance its core competitiveness [4]. Revenue and Profitability - In the first half of 2025, the company reported a gross margin of 16.34% and a net profit margin of 3.97%, with slight year-on-year declines of 0.24 and 0.31 percentage points respectively [3]. - The revenue breakdown for the first half of 2025 shows that bearing products accounted for 52.53% of total revenue, followed by automotive parts at 12.87% and air conditioning pipe fittings at 32.42% [2]. Financial Forecast - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 3.631 billion yuan, 4.028 billion yuan, and 4.468 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 140 million yuan, 175 million yuan, and 235 million yuan for the same years [5][10]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to be 0.38 yuan, 0.48 yuan, and 0.64 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 103.33, 82.44, and 61.58 [5][10]. Business Strategy - The company is adjusting its overseas bearing resource allocation and reducing the scale of its Mexican plant to improve profitability in international operations. It is also focusing on the development of new products such as the reverse planetary roller screw and micro ball screw for robots [4]. - The company has received small batch orders for its reverse planetary roller screw products, leveraging its technological advantages and market positioning [4].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [3] Core Views - The company reported strong performance in the first half of 2025, with revenue, net profit attributable to the parent, and net profit excluding non-recurring items reaching approximately 4.047 billion yuan, 211 million yuan, and 198 million yuan, respectively, representing year-on-year growth of 29%, 60.45%, and 64.9% [1] - The company's lithium battery structural components are showing significant revenue growth and improved profitability, with Q2 2025 estimated revenue of 1.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of about 49% [7] - The company is making rapid advancements in humanoid robot products, establishing close connections with major clients and preparing for mass production [7] - The company's niche businesses in molds and iron cores are maintaining industry leadership, contributing over 60 million yuan in profits [7] - The company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to the parent of 500 million yuan in 2025, maintaining the "Accumulate" investment rating [7] Financial Data and Valuation - Total revenue is projected to grow from 6.019 billion yuan in 2023 to 13.677 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 19% [8][14] - The company's net profit is expected to increase significantly from 43 million yuan in 2023 to 1.179 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a strong recovery in profitability [14] - The price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is projected to decrease from 572.7 in 2023 to 20.8 in 2027, indicating improved valuation as earnings grow [14] - The return on equity (ROE) is expected to rise from 1.7% in 2023 to 21.0% in 2027, showcasing enhanced profitability [14] Business Segments - Molds revenue is expected to grow from 313.44 million yuan in 2023 to 643.9 million yuan in 2027, with a stable gross margin above 48% [8] - Revenue from lithium battery structural components is projected to increase from 3.266 billion yuan in 2023 to 8.929 billion yuan in 2027, with gross margins improving from 8.6% to 18.0% [8] - The iron core business is expected to see revenue growth from 1.711 billion yuan in 2023 to 2.448 billion yuan in 2027, with gross margins around 25% [8]

Core Insights - The humanoid robot industry is emerging as a new competitive frontier in technology, attracting significant interest from listed companies [1] - Companies are showcasing their latest advancements in humanoid robotics through their recent semi-annual reports [1] Company Developments - Top Group (拓普集团) is expanding its robotics product line by establishing an electric drive division, focusing on key components like linear and rotary actuators, and is actively developing products such as dexterous hand motors [2] - Sanhua Intelligent Control (三花智控) is enhancing its product capabilities in the bionic robotics sector, receiving high praise from clients for its innovative developments and overall product improvements [2] - Junpu Intelligent (均普智能) has successfully developed a humanoid robot arm prototype with a load capacity of 10 kg and is constructing a production line with an annual capacity of 1,000 units [3] - Efort (埃夫特) is investing over 90 million yuan in R&D for industrial robots and humanoid robotics, emphasizing its commitment to the long-term value of the robotics industry [3] - Longsheng Technology (隆盛科技) is advancing its dual-path strategy in core component and complete machine development, achieving breakthroughs in key components [4] Industry Growth - The demand for high-end screws and bearings is expected to rise rapidly alongside the development and commercialization of humanoid robots and smart vehicles [5] - Beite Technology (北特科技) is investing 1.85 billion yuan to establish a planetary roller screw R&D and production base, with ongoing construction of the main project [5] - Zhenyu Technology (震裕科技) has delivered various micro screw components and is engaged in integrating hardware solutions for dexterous hands, with successful small-batch orders from domestic and international clients [5] - Wuzhou Xinchun (五洲新春) is focusing on reverse planetary roller screws and automotive ball screws, securing small-batch orders from several clients due to its technological advantages [6] - Fuliwang (福立旺) has developed multiple specifications of micro planetary roller screws and is in the process of sample delivery to leading industry clients [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected stock price increase of over 15% relative to the industry index in the next six months [4][16]. Core Viewpoints - The company is experiencing rapid revenue growth, with projected revenues increasing from 6,019 million yuan in 2023 to 17,292 million yuan by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 23.4% [1][8]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to rise significantly from 43 million yuan in 2023 to 1,348 million yuan in 2027, with a remarkable growth rate of 493.8% in 2024 [1][8]. - The company is actively expanding into the robotics industry, which is anticipated to become a second growth curve, leveraging its core technologies in precision components and molds [3][8]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue is projected to grow from 6,019 million yuan in 2023 to 17,292 million yuan in 2027, with year-over-year growth rates of 4.6%, 18.4%, 43.7%, 36.9%, and 23.4% respectively [1][9]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to increase from 43 million yuan in 2023 to 1,348 million yuan in 2027, with significant growth rates of -58.7%, 493.8%, 99.7%, 92.8%, and 37.9% [1][9]. - The company's return on equity (ROE) is expected to improve from 1.6% in 2023 to 23.4% in 2027, indicating enhanced profitability [1][9]. Business Segment Performance - The precision structural components business is projected to generate 32.00 billion yuan in revenue in the first half of 2025, with a year-over-year growth of 28.62% and a gross margin of 14.83% [2]. - The mold business is expected to achieve 2.31 billion yuan in revenue, reflecting a 15.22% increase, although its gross margin is projected to decline to 51.10% [2]. - The company has significantly increased its R&D investment, reaching 1.65 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, which constitutes 4.09% of its revenue [2]. Robotics Industry Development - The company has made substantial progress in the robotics sector, developing various products such as linear actuators and precision components, which are now ready for mass production [3][8]. - The company has established automated production lines for planetary roller screws and linear actuators, enhancing production capacity and efficiency [3][8]. - The integration of advanced technologies in the robotics field is expected to position the company favorably for future growth, with ongoing collaborations with major domestic and international clients [3][8].

Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 2.525 billion, a year-on-year increase of 20.07% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 287 million, up 15.73% year-on-year [1] - The non-recurring net profit saw a significant increase of 55.65%, totaling 246 million, driven by sales growth and improved gross margin [1] Group 2: Product Development and Innovation - The overall gross margin of the company's products increased by 1.44 percentage points in the first half of 2025, with the gross margin of the new energy electric drive business rising by 5.03 percentage points [1] - The company has developed a mature technical solution for the electric headrest lifting motor assembly system, which enhances comfort and safety in vehicles [2] - A joint development project for an automatic folding steering wheel actuator is underway, aimed at meeting the needs of autonomous driving [3] Group 3: Emerging Technologies and Market Expansion - The company is actively exploring the low-altitude economy, with significant progress in the development of a vehicle-mounted drone clamping actuator [3] - Plans are in place for a series of electric drive products for aircraft, with a 230KW oil-cooled product expected to deliver prototypes by the second half of 2025 [3] - The company is expanding into the humanoid robot sector, leveraging its expertise in precision manufacturing to develop key components [4] Group 4: Market Outlook and Strategic Positioning - The humanoid robot market is projected to reach a sales volume of 12,400 units and a market size of 6.339 billion in 2025, with significant growth expected by 2030 [5] - The company has strengthened its competitive advantage by acquiring a high-precision screw grinding company, enhancing its production capabilities [5] - The trend towards domestic substitution of key components in automotive and humanoid robots is expected to benefit the company, given its focus on reliability and safety [6]