Core Viewpoints - The current market environment shows similarities to the end of 2014, with a potential for policy changes aimed at stimulating domestic demand and addressing "involution" [5][4]. Economic Indicators - China's June CPI rose by 0.1% year-on-year, marking the first increase after four months of decline; core CPI increased by 0.7%, the highest in 14 months. PPI fell by 0.4% month-on-month and 3.6% year-on-year, with the decline expanding by 0.3 percentage points compared to the previous month [2]. - The shift in CPI is attributed to a recovery in industrial consumer goods prices, which saw a reduction in the year-on-year decline from 1.0% to 0.5% [2]. Equity Market Insights - A-shares are driven by capital rather than traditional macro factors, with significant inflows expected from insurance and public funds, particularly into the technology sector [4]. - Hong Kong stocks are viewed as having high cost-effectiveness and potential for growth, supported by expected inflows from Southbound capital and a favorable earnings outlook [6][7]. Industry Research - The "involution" policy is driving sectors like steel and new energy, while AI is enhancing the performance of technology leaders, suggesting a focus on high-quality stocks and sectors with significant growth potential [9][10]. - The introduction of Grok-4 is expected to significantly enhance AI reasoning capabilities, leading to new investment opportunities in the computing industry [10]. Macro and Fixed Income - The bond market is anticipated to experience a slowdown in the downward trend of interest rates, with a focus on the 10-year government bond yield remaining stable [18]. - The current high valuation of convertible bonds limits their upward potential, with a recommendation to focus on lower-priced strategies [19]. Asset Allocation Strategies - A "dividend base + small-cap growth" strategy is recommended, focusing on high dividend and cash flow assets to mitigate external risks while also investing in high-volatility new stocks [22].

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that dividend yields from funds are currently more stable and attractive compared to bank deposit interest rates, which are below 1% [1] Summary by Sections Dividend Fund Trends - Between 2006 and 2016, Japan saw a continuous increase in the asset scale of fixed dividend fund products [1] - Higher dividend frequency correlates with larger fund sizes, with monthly and quarterly dividends being particularly significant for cash flow needs of both young homeowners and retirees [5] Quarterly Dividend Fund List - A list of 21 quarterly dividend funds was compiled from 33 dividend indices as of May 2025 [6] - The article provides a detailed table of these funds, including their codes, names, management fees, and total dividend yields for 2025 [8][24] Dividend Yields of Specific Funds - As of May 2025, several funds reported their cumulative dividend yields: - China Merchants CSI Dividend ETF: 1.01% - E Fund CSI Dividend Low Volatility ETF: 0.79% - Bosera CSI Dividend Low Volatility 100 ETF: 1.17% - E Fund Hang Seng Stock Connect High Dividend Low Volatility ETF: 1.98% - Fortune Central Enterprises Dividend ETF: 0.62% [11][12][13][14][15] - For off-exchange funds, notable yields include: - Harvest CSI 300 Dividend Low Volatility ETF: 5.32% - Harvest CSI 300 Dividend Low Volatility ETF Class C: 5.04% - Invesco Great Wall Hong Kong-Shanghai Stock Connect Dividend Growth Index A: 4.12% - Invesco Great Wall Hong Kong-Shanghai Stock Connect Dividend Growth Index C: 4.01% [16][17][18] Fee Structure and Selection Criteria - The article suggests prioritizing funds with low management and custody fees (around 0.2%) alongside high dividend yields [21][23] - The combination of high dividends and low fees is presented as a strategy to ensure cash dividends while minimizing investment costs [23]

Core Viewpoints - Global capital allocation is shifting from an over-concentration in US stocks to a more balanced approach, with Hong Kong stocks transitioning from value investment to growth investment [1][7] - The recent easing of US-China tariff tensions has led to a recovery in market risk appetite, with significant reductions in bilateral tariffs [3][17] Focused Commentary - The US and China have made substantial progress in trade negotiations, reducing tariffs by 91% on both sides, which has boosted market confidence and led to a rally in both US and Hong Kong stock markets [3][4] - The easing of tariffs is expected to benefit export-oriented companies, particularly in sectors like consumer electronics and automotive parts [5][6] Equity Market Insights - In the context of tariff reductions, export-oriented companies are likely to see improved performance, with a focus on sectors such as consumer electronics, components, machinery, and automotive parts [5] - The manufacturing sector's dominance in the economy is expected to continue, with a shift towards resource and utility dividend stocks, as well as banks and steel [6][7] - Hong Kong stocks are anticipated to attract more domestic investment, leading to a shift in investment logic towards growth stocks, particularly in the mid-cap and small-cap segments [7] Industry Research - The pharmaceutical sector is expected to experience a dual boost in performance and valuation due to policy optimization and technological innovation, with a focus on innovative drugs and medical devices [12] - The automotive industry is showing signs of recovery, with increased orders and strong performance in the new energy vehicle export sector [14] Macro and Fixed Income - The easing of US-China tariff tensions may lead to a cautious outlook for the bond market, with limited upward movement in long-term interest rates [17] - Continued monetary policy easing is anticipated, which may support the bond market despite a lack of effective financing demand in the real economy [18][19] Asset Allocation - A barbell strategy is recommended for asset allocation, balancing investments in technology and cyclical sectors with long-term dividend stocks, while also considering short-duration bonds due to potential declines in bond yields [21]