Core Viewpoint - The company is shifting its focus from absolute growth targets to enhancing market share, adapting to the current market environment and consumer trends in the liquor industry [3][4]. Group 1: Company Strategy - The company has adjusted its annual performance goals, emphasizing relative market positioning rather than fixed numerical growth targets, which reflects a broader trend in the liquor industry [2][3]. - The management highlighted that the initial economic indicators set at the beginning of the year were based on available information and not firm commitments, indicating a flexible approach to market conditions [3][4]. - The company plans to increase its focus on mid-range and low-alcohol products, responding to changing consumer preferences and market dynamics [5][6]. Group 2: Financial Performance - In the first half of the year, the company reported a revenue decline of 4.84% to 6.95 billion yuan and a net profit decrease of 9.46% to 2.229 billion yuan, deviating from its original growth targets of 5%-12% [3][4]. - The company’s Q2 financial report indicated a rise in total expense ratios by 9.07 percentage points, with sales and management expense ratios at 19.02% and 5.65%, respectively, reflecting increased promotional spending [4][5]. Group 3: Market Trends - The overall trend in the liquor industry is moving towards lower alcohol content, with the company acknowledging that this shift is likely to continue [6][7]. - The company’s product "Danya Guoyuan" has seen significant growth, with an expected shipment of over 31 million bottles in 2024, indicating a successful strategy in the mid-range price segment [6][8]. - The management noted that the competitive landscape is intensifying, particularly in the high-end segment, prompting the need for strategic pricing adjustments to maintain market share [5][6].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that the company is shifting its focus from absolute revenue growth targets to enhancing market share amidst a challenging industry environment [2][3] - The company reported a revenue decline of 4.84% to 6.95 billion yuan and a net profit decrease of 9.46% to 2.229 billion yuan in the first half of the year [2][5] - The management emphasized that the initial economic indicators set at the beginning of the year were predictions based on available information, not firm commitments, and they are adapting to market changes [2][3] Group 2 - The company plans to increase its market share in the domestic market while achieving revenue growth in overseas markets, having established a presence in over 10 countries and regions [3][5] - The management acknowledged that the industry may not see substantial improvement until the second half of 2026 [3] - The company is focusing on the "Danyuan" product line, which is expected to see significant growth, with projected sales exceeding 31 million bottles in 2024 [9][10] Group 3 - The company is experiencing increased sales and management expenses, with a sales expense ratio of 19.02% and a management expense ratio of 5.65%, reflecting heightened promotional activities [5][6] - The management indicated that the overall trend in the industry is moving towards lower alcohol content products, aligning with changing consumer preferences [10][11] - The company aims to maintain a balance between volume and price for its key products, ensuring stable pricing in the market [9][10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the food and beverage industry, particularly highlighting opportunities in the liquor sector and food products [1] Core Insights - The liquor industry is undergoing extreme pressure testing, with a significant focus on inventory clearance and bottoming out of financial reports. The second quarter has shown weak demand due to seasonal factors and regulatory impacts, leading to a notable decline in sales and pricing pressures [5][10] - High-end liquor brands like Moutai are expected to maintain growth, while mid-tier brands face challenges with declining revenues and profits. The overall industry is in a deep clearance phase, with potential for recovery as regulations stabilize [5][12] - The consumer goods sector shows mixed performance, with snacks and beverages remaining strong, while other segments like frozen foods and chain restaurants face ongoing demand pressures [20][25] Summary by Sections 1. Liquor Sector - The liquor industry is experiencing extreme pressure, with weak demand in the second quarter and significant inventory levels. Major brands like Moutai and Wuliangye are expected to show modest growth, while others like Yanghe and Luzhou Laojiao are facing declines [5][11][12] - Moutai's revenue is projected to grow by 7% in Q2, while Wuliangye is expected to see a 1% increase. In contrast, brands like Yanghe and Luzhou Laojiao are forecasted to decline by 35% and 8% respectively [11][12] 2. Consumer Goods - The overall demand for consumer goods remains weak, but segments like snacks and beverages are performing well. For instance, East Peak is expected to see a 33% increase in revenue, while other snack brands are also showing positive trends [20][25] - The beverage sector is projected to see positive growth, with major brands like Qingdao Beer and Yanjing expected to report increases in revenue and profit [25][26] 3. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on high-performing stocks in the short term while considering long-term investments in liquor brands that are currently at their bottom. Brands like Moutai and Gujing are recommended for their lower risk profiles [7][8] - For consumer goods, companies like Anqi and East Peak are highlighted for their growth potential, while traditional dairy brands like Yili and Mengniu are suggested for a bundled investment approach [7][8]

编者按：2024年，中国白酒行业步入深度调整期，市场竞争愈发激烈，行业人事变动频繁，风起云涌。面对复杂多变的行业形势和消费市场的新需求，白酒 企业纷纷将"改革"视为关键动力，积极探索新的增长点，以应对挑战、拥抱机遇。 搜狐酒业特别推出"十大酒企董事长"栏目，聚焦贵州茅台、五粮液、山西汾酒、洋河股份等具有行业影响力的酒企，深入剖析这些企业掌舵人的管理理念、 战略调整以及背后的市场考量，为行业提供参考与借鉴。 第五期关注的是今世缘酒业党委书记、董事长顾祥悦。 作者丨饶婷 编辑丨李文贤 出品丨搜狐酒业发展研究院 自2022年4月正式掌舵今世缘酒业以来，顾祥悦已带领公司走过三年征程。 作为涟水本地人，顾祥悦的职业生涯始终扎根脚下这片醇香的土地，在淮安政府部门任职30年，从涟水县农业局办事员起步，历经高沟镇党委书记、淮安市 白马湖规划建设管理办公室主任、涟水县政协主席等要职。 履新以来，顾祥悦改革动作频频，连续打出战略组合拳。 在组织结构上，2022年起今世缘营销后台从市场部（统管）和销售部（考核）转变为事业部制，设立了国缘 V 系事业部、国缘事业部、今世缘事业部和高 沟销售公司，实现多品牌专业化运营。 "在简政放权中 ...