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白酒寒冬!省内失守6%,南京市场溃退,今世缘的江苏王座还稳吗?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-08 09:05
前言 各位老酒友最近可能发现了,请客吃饭时桌上的今世缘高档酒越来越少见。如果只是别的地区还可以理 解,毕竟经济下滑带来的所有行业都不景气。 但南京当地市场同样暴跌,就令人有些意外了。要知道南京可是省会重点,当年今世缘靠这里打开高端 市场,如今连自家门口都守不住了。 更扎心的是,江苏六大销售区全军覆没。苏南地区直接跌掉11%,无锡、苏州这些富庶之地,往年都是 高档酒的粮仓,现在连仓库都快堆不下了。 有经销商私下吐槽:"现在商务宴请能省则省,去年饭局上摆高档一点儿的今世缘V3是排场,今年连便 宜一档的四开酒都觉得贵了。" 请客的人手头紧,酒桌档次也跟着降级。 白酒行业的寒风终于吹到了江苏老二身上。 2025年上半年,今世缘在江苏大本营收入下滑6.07%,省会南京市场更是暴跌7.94%,苏南地区跌幅高 达11%。 曾经稳坐省内第二把交椅的今世缘,如今六大销售区全线飘红,全是刺眼的负增长。 当高端酒在仓库积灰,百元档产品成了救命稻草,这场寒冬里的王座保卫战,打得异常艰难。 南京城头旗倒了 最要命的是和洋河的正面对决。这两家江苏酒企就像两个武林高手,在巷子里贴身肉搏。 当300多块的V系列在仓库吃灰时,有个意外发现:1 ...
今世缘谈不再纠结于业绩绝对增长:整体降度是大势所趋
Cai Jing Wang· 2025-09-04 23:51
Core Viewpoint - The company is shifting its focus from absolute growth targets to enhancing market share, adapting to the current market environment and consumer trends in the liquor industry [3][4]. Group 1: Company Strategy - The company has adjusted its annual performance goals, emphasizing relative market positioning rather than fixed numerical growth targets, which reflects a broader trend in the liquor industry [2][3]. - The management highlighted that the initial economic indicators set at the beginning of the year were based on available information and not firm commitments, indicating a flexible approach to market conditions [3][4]. - The company plans to increase its focus on mid-range and low-alcohol products, responding to changing consumer preferences and market dynamics [5][6]. Group 2: Financial Performance - In the first half of the year, the company reported a revenue decline of 4.84% to 6.95 billion yuan and a net profit decrease of 9.46% to 2.229 billion yuan, deviating from its original growth targets of 5%-12% [3][4]. - The company’s Q2 financial report indicated a rise in total expense ratios by 9.07 percentage points, with sales and management expense ratios at 19.02% and 5.65%, respectively, reflecting increased promotional spending [4][5]. Group 3: Market Trends - The overall trend in the liquor industry is moving towards lower alcohol content, with the company acknowledging that this shift is likely to continue [6][7]. - The company’s product "Danya Guoyuan" has seen significant growth, with an expected shipment of over 31 million bottles in 2024, indicating a successful strategy in the mid-range price segment [6][8]. - The management noted that the competitive landscape is intensifying, particularly in the high-end segment, prompting the need for strategic pricing adjustments to maintain market share [5][6].
今世缘谈不再纠结于业绩绝对增长:淡雅国缘去年出货量超3100万瓶,白酒整体降度是大势所趋
Cai Jing Wang· 2025-09-04 10:44
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that the company is shifting its focus from absolute revenue growth targets to enhancing market share amidst a challenging industry environment [2][3] - The company reported a revenue decline of 4.84% to 6.95 billion yuan and a net profit decrease of 9.46% to 2.229 billion yuan in the first half of the year [2][5] - The management emphasized that the initial economic indicators set at the beginning of the year were predictions based on available information, not firm commitments, and they are adapting to market changes [2][3] Group 2 - The company plans to increase its market share in the domestic market while achieving revenue growth in overseas markets, having established a presence in over 10 countries and regions [3][5] - The management acknowledged that the industry may not see substantial improvement until the second half of 2026 [3] - The company is focusing on the "Danyuan" product line, which is expected to see significant growth, with projected sales exceeding 31 million bottles in 2024 [9][10] Group 3 - The company is experiencing increased sales and management expenses, with a sales expense ratio of 19.02% and a management expense ratio of 5.65%, reflecting heightened promotional activities [5][6] - The management indicated that the overall trend in the industry is moving towards lower alcohol content products, aligning with changing consumer preferences [10][11] - The company aims to maintain a balance between volume and price for its key products, ensuring stable pricing in the market [9][10]
今世缘“狂飙”终结:高端产品下滑,二季度业绩大跌
Xin Jing Bao· 2025-08-29 06:01
Core Viewpoint - Jiangsu Jinshiyuan Liquor Co., Ltd. has experienced a significant decline in performance, with its 2025 semi-annual report showing a decrease in both revenue and net profit for the first time since 2021, indicating a potential shift in the company's growth trajectory [1][2] Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company reported revenue of 6.95 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.84%, and a net profit of 2.23 billion yuan, down 9.46% [2] - The second quarter of 2025 saw a sharp decline in revenue to 1.85 billion yuan, a 29.69% drop year-on-year, and net profit fell to 585 million yuan, down 37.06% [1][2] - The company had previously enjoyed consistent double-digit growth from 2021 to 2024, with revenue increasing from 6.41 billion yuan to 11.55 billion yuan and net profit rising from 2.03 billion yuan to 3.41 billion yuan [2] Product Performance - Revenue from high-end products, particularly those priced above 300 yuan, decreased by 7.37% to 4.31 billion yuan in the first half of 2025 [4] - The company reported a significant decline in sales of its premium products, with the revenue from the high-end "Guoyuan" series being particularly affected [4][5] - Inventory levels increased to 5.72 billion yuan, reflecting challenges in selling high-end products [5] Market Dynamics - The company remains heavily reliant on its home market in Jiangsu, where approximately 90% of its revenue is generated, while revenue from outside Jiangsu is only about 10% [6] - Despite an increase in the number of distributors outside Jiangsu, the revenue generated from these distributors is significantly lower compared to those within the province, indicating challenges in brand recognition and market penetration [6] - The company plans to focus on core markets surrounding Jiangsu, such as Anhui, Shandong, Shanghai, and Zhejiang, to enhance its competitive position [6]
省内市场收缩+省外未能破圈 今世缘半年净利跌近一成
Nan Fang Du Shi Bao· 2025-08-28 23:10
Core Viewpoint - The company, Jinshiyuan, reported a decline in both revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, aligning with the overall contraction in the industry, raising questions about its ability to meet its growth targets for the year [1][2]. Financial Performance - Jinshiyuan's revenue for the first half of 2025 was 6.95 billion yuan, with a net profit of 2.228 billion yuan, representing year-on-year declines of 4.84% and 9.66% respectively [1]. - In Q2 2025, revenue dropped to 1.852 billion yuan, and net profit fell to 584.7 million yuan, with year-on-year decreases of 29.68% and 37.05% respectively [2]. Market Dynamics - The second quarter is traditionally a slow season for liquor sales, but recent policy changes have negatively impacted public consumption and business receptions, leading to a pessimistic outlook for the liquor market [2]. - Jinshiyuan's management believes that the impact of current policies is short-term, expecting a return to normal consumption patterns in the future [3]. Product Performance - The company's high-end products have seen a significant decline, with revenue from premium products (priced above 300 yuan) dropping by 7.37% to 4.311 billion yuan [3]. - Mid-range products (100-300 yuan) showed slight growth, with revenue of 2.232 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.74%, while lower mid-range products (50-100 yuan) experienced a 10.04% decline [4]. Regional Market Challenges - Jinshiyuan's performance is heavily influenced by the contraction of the Jiangsu provincial market, where it primarily operates, with external market revenue at 627 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.78%, but still lower than the provincial revenue from the Huaihai region [5]. - The company has faced challenges in expanding its market presence outside Jiangsu, despite previous claims of efforts to do so [5]. Future Outlook - The company remains optimistic about a potential recovery in the industry, projecting a substantial improvement by the second half of 2026 [6].
华润啤酒上半年净利增长23%:新零售合作出拉格爆品,白酒承诺给经销商兜底,将发力100-200元价位
Cai Jing Wang· 2025-08-19 13:36
Core Viewpoint - The high-end beer market still has significant growth potential, and the company will continue to prioritize high-end strategies while also exploring personalized and niche products [1][3][14] Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company reported revenue of RMB 239.42 billion, a year-on-year increase of 0.8% [2] - The company's pre-tax profit and net profit attributable to shareholders were RMB 76.91 billion and RMB 57.89 billion, reflecting year-on-year growth of 20.8% and 23.0% respectively [2] - Beer business revenue reached RMB 231.61 billion, with a year-on-year increase of 2.6% [2] Market Position - The company has surpassed Budweiser APAC in revenue, which declined by 5.6% to USD 31.36 billion (approximately RMB 225.63 billion) in the same period [2] - High-end products such as Heineken, Old Snow, and Red Duke saw sales growth exceeding 20%, 70%, and 100% respectively in the first half of the year [3] New Retail Strategy - The company has experienced significant growth in online and instant retail, with overall transaction value increasing by 40% and 50% year-on-year [5] - Collaborations with major platforms like Alibaba, Meituan, JD.com, and Ele.me have been established to enhance consumer engagement and product development [5] Product Innovation - The company is focusing on flexible supply and personalized products, with new offerings such as 1L craft beers and various flavored lagers [6] - The introduction of local brands and products is seen as a way to meet consumer demand for personalization [7] Industry Trends - The beer industry is witnessing a shift towards high-end and personalized products, while the low-end segment faces challenges from both high-end and budget brands [6] - The company acknowledges the competitive landscape and the need for continuous innovation to maintain market relevance [6][14] Consumer Behavior - Changes in consumer purchasing behavior have been noted, with a shift towards online and instant retail channels, particularly among younger demographics [5][8] - The company is adapting to these changes by enhancing its product offerings and marketing strategies to cater to evolving consumer preferences [5][8]
今世缘:经销商库存率约20%,大约相当于2.5个月销量,预计行业实质性好转在2026年下半年
Cai Jing Wang· 2025-08-06 03:21
Core Viewpoint - The company is adapting its market strategies in response to changing consumer behavior and competitive pressures, while maintaining its strategic direction and focusing on product quality and market share growth [1][2][4]. Group 1: Market Strategy Adjustments - The company plans to accelerate the launch of its "Danyan" product in response to current market pressures, which may become a key consumer segment [1]. - There will be an increase in promotional efforts to address competition, potentially leading to a slight decrease in actual transaction prices [1]. - The company is committed to investing in high-end products to build consumer trust while adjusting prices to enhance product value [1]. Group 2: Sales Performance and Market Conditions - Since late May, the consumption environment has changed significantly, with high-end product sales declining sharply, particularly for products priced at "Four Open" and above [1]. - Despite a general decline in revenue, the company is still gaining market share, especially in the "Danyan" and lower-tier product lines [1][2]. - The company reports that the inventory rate among distributors is approximately 20%, equating to about 2.5 months of sales, indicating a healthy inventory level [2]. Group 3: Future Outlook and Consumer Trends - The company is observing a potential increase in sales due to upcoming graduation banquets, with families showing interest in higher-end products [3]. - The industry is expected to see substantial improvement by the second half of 2026, with potential for better performance in Q4 2025 [3]. - There is a possibility of introducing lower-alcohol products in the future, contingent on technological advancements to maintain taste and quality [3]. Group 4: Long-term Goals and Dividend Policy - The company emphasizes that its growth targets are part of operational plans and not binding commitments, with respect for market conditions [4]. - The "15th Five-Year Plan" goals have not yet been established and will be determined based on future market environments [4]. - Dividend policies will be discussed at shareholder meetings, with management expressing support for a more proactive dividend approach [4].
营销翻车!洋河光瓶酒卖爆,"劲敌"今世缘急了
Guo Ji Jin Rong Bao· 2025-07-31 06:28
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses a marketing conflict between two Chinese liquor companies, Yanghe and Jinshiyuan, sparked by provocative advertising campaigns that target each other, indicating a competitive landscape in the liquor industry. Group 1: Marketing Strategies - Yanghe's recent marketing campaign features a poster with the message emphasizing self-improvement and patience, which is seen as a response to Jinshiyuan's earlier ads that contained pointed references to Yanghe [1][3]. - Jinshiyuan's two recent ads focus on the quality of their liquor, questioning the importance of aging and promoting a communal drinking experience, which are perceived as direct jabs at Yanghe's offerings [5][8]. - The controversy escalated when it was revealed that Jinshiyuan's ads were not officially sanctioned, leading to internal communications about managing the fallout and avoiding negative comments about competitors [7][8]. Group 2: Financial Performance and Goals - Jinshiyuan's flagship brand, Guo Yuan, achieved over 10.84 billion yuan in revenue last year, accounting for 94.5% of the company's total revenue, highlighting its significance in the company's national expansion strategy [9]. - The company aims to increase its market share outside its home province, with a target of over 20% by 2025, but current progress suggests this goal may be difficult to achieve [15]. - Despite a revenue increase of over 27% in provincial markets last year, Jinshiyuan's overall market share remains below 9%, indicating challenges in scaling operations [15]. Group 3: Cost and Profitability Challenges - Jinshiyuan's push into the high-end liquor market has resulted in increased costs, with the cost of goods sold rising significantly compared to revenue growth, leading to a decline in gross margins for its premium products [15]. - The projected gross margins for Jinshiyuan's premium products are lower than previously anticipated, indicating potential profitability challenges in the near future [15].
今世缘营销海报引争议 加速冲刺全国化
Core Viewpoint - The recent marketing strategies and advertising campaigns by Jiangsu-based liquor companies, particularly Jinshiyuan and Yanghe, have sparked significant industry discussions, highlighting the competitive landscape in the Chinese liquor market [2][4]. Group 1: Marketing Strategies - Jinshiyuan's recent advertisements, which include slogans that indirectly reference Yanghe's new product launch, have been interpreted as a direct challenge to Yanghe's marketing approach [3][4]. - Yanghe's new product, priced at 59 yuan, has gained rapid market traction, with reports of immediate sell-outs and high demand from distributors [3][4]. - Jinshiyuan has been actively increasing its marketing efforts, with a 50.88% year-on-year increase in sales expenses in 2023, reaching 2.097 billion yuan [8]. Group 2: Financial Performance - In 2024, Yanghe's revenue in Jiangsu province is projected to decline by 11.43% to 12.748 billion yuan, while Jinshiyuan is expected to achieve a 16% growth, reaching 10.553 billion yuan [6]. - The revenue gap between Yanghe and Jinshiyuan in Jiangsu is narrowing, currently standing at 2.2 billion yuan, indicating intensifying competition [6]. Group 3: National Expansion Plans - Jinshiyuan has set ambitious national expansion goals, aiming for 2 billion yuan in revenue from outside Jiangsu by 2025, which would account for approximately 13.3% of total revenue [9][10]. - Despite the slow progress in national expansion, Jinshiyuan's revenue from outside Jiangsu was 926 million yuan in 2024, making up only 8.02% of total revenue [10]. - The company plans to leverage its strong brand presence in Jiangsu to penetrate surrounding markets and establish itself as a well-known liquor brand nationally [10].
今世缘“内涵”洋河营销翻车?董事长顾祥悦紧急表态:可以讲自己好话,不允许讲别人坏话!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-27 11:00
Core Viewpoint - The competition between Jiangsu's leading liquor companies, Yanghe and Jinshiyuan, intensifies amid industry adjustments, with marketing strategies and product offerings becoming focal points of rivalry [2][3]. Group 1: Company Performance - In 2022, Yanghe's revenue surpassed 30 billion yuan, with net profit exceeding 10 billion yuan in 2023, although it has shown a declining trend in recent years [3]. - In 2024, Yanghe's revenue decreased by 12.83% to 28.876 billion yuan, and net profit fell by 33.37% to 6.673 billion yuan; in contrast, Jinshiyuan's revenue grew by 14.32% to 11.544 billion yuan, and net profit increased by 8.8% to 3.412 billion yuan [3]. - Yanghe has achieved national expansion, with revenue from outside Jiangsu exceeding that from within, while Jinshiyuan remains primarily focused on its home market [3]. Group 2: Product Strategy - Jinshiyuan emphasizes "relationship" culture in its branding, positioning its flagship product, Guoyuan, as a key player in both local and national markets [4]. - Yanghe has adapted to market demands by launching the Yanghe Daqu high-line light bottle liquor, which has seen significant sales success, indicating a strong consumer response [4][5]. - Yanghe's product strategy leverages its extensive old liquor reserves and production capacity, while Jinshiyuan's old liquor strategy is still in the preparatory phase [5]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The recent marketing campaigns from both companies reflect a competitive landscape, with Jinshiyuan's ads perceived as a subtle critique of Yanghe's offerings [2]. - Industry analysts suggest that Yanghe is restructuring for future growth, while Jinshiyuan is rapidly trying to capture market share, though it faces challenges in governance and production capacity [6].