编号：投-006 | 投资者关系活动 | ☑特定对象调研 □分析师会议 | | | --- | --- | --- | | | □媒体采访 □业绩说明会 | | | 类别 | □新闻发布会 □路演活动 | | | | □现场参观 □其他 | | | | 东方证券、长城基金管理有限公司、博远基金管理有限公司、鹏 华基金管理有限公司、北京金百镕投资管理有限公司、北京恒德 | | | | 时代私募基金管理有限公司、东方证券股份有限公司、深圳市中 | | | | 欧瑞博投资管理股份有限公司、东方证券自营部、华泰资产管理 | | | | 有限公司、中泰证券研究所、华富基金管理有限公司、东莞证券 | | | | 股份有限公司自营、平安证券、杭州优益增私募基金管理有限公 | | | | 司、西南证券、前海开源基金管理有限公司、上海丹羿投资管理 | | | | 合伙企业（普通合伙）、中信建投基金管理有限公司、上海域秀 | | | 参与单位名称及 | 资产管理有限公司、颐和久富投资管理有限公司、西部利得基金 | | | 人员姓名 | 管理有限公司、鸿运私募基金管理（海南）有限公司、上海伊诺 | | | | 尔实业集团有限公司、 ...

Core Viewpoint - 泰恩康, a well-known pharmaceutical company in China, is facing challenges in revenue and profit growth despite having a diverse product line and technical service capabilities [1][5]. Group 1: Business Overview - 泰恩康 was established on January 22, 1999, and went public on March 29, 2022, on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, with its headquarters in Shantou, Guangdong Province [1]. - The company specializes in the agency operation, research and development, production, and sales of pharmaceutical products, medical devices, and health materials, along with providing pharmaceutical technology services and technology transfer [1]. Group 2: Financial Performance - For Q3 2025, 泰恩康 reported revenue of 526 million yuan, ranking 78th out of 110 in the industry, significantly lower than the top competitors, 华东医药 (32.664 billion yuan) and 复星医药 (29.393 billion yuan) [2]. - The net profit for the same period was 21.9682 million yuan, placing it 73rd in the industry, again trailing behind leading companies like 恒瑞医药 (5.76 billion yuan) and 复星医药 (3.056 billion yuan) [2]. Group 3: Financial Ratios - 泰恩康's debt-to-asset ratio stood at 24.84% in Q3 2025, an increase from 20.18% year-on-year, but still below the industry average of 35.26%, indicating better solvency compared to peers [3]. - The gross profit margin was reported at 55.61%, down from 61.41% year-on-year and below the industry average of 57.17%, reflecting challenges in profitability [3]. Group 4: Management and Shareholder Information - The chairman, 郑汉杰, received a salary of 437,100 yuan in 2024, a decrease of 50,100 yuan from the previous year [4]. - As of September 30, 2025, the number of A-share shareholders increased by 9.32% to 12,000, while the average number of circulating A-shares held per account decreased by 8.53% to 25,400 [5]. Group 5: Business Highlights and Future Outlook - Despite a decline in revenue and profit, 泰恩康 has several promising developments, including the upcoming clinical trials for CKBA for vitiligo and rosacea, and the orderly review of high-potential products like复方硫酸钠片 and 和胃整肠丸 [5]. - The company is projected to have earnings per share of 0.22, 0.48, and 0.85 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with a target price of 32.64 yuan based on a 68x P/E ratio for 2026 [5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [3][6]. Core Insights - The company is experiencing pressure on profitability, but progress on research and development (R&D) products is on track [2]. - Revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 was 526 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 8.1%, with a net profit attributable to the parent company of 31 million yuan, down 73.0% year-on-year [12]. - The company is expected to see a gradual recovery in revenue growth, with projections of 754 million yuan in 2025, 964 million yuan in 2026, and 1.308 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting growth rates of 4.6%, 27.8%, and 35.8% respectively [5][12]. Financial Forecasts - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 0.22 yuan, 0.48 yuan, and 0.85 yuan respectively, revised down from previous estimates [3]. - The company’s gross margin is expected to improve from 57.0% in 2025 to 70.8% in 2027, while the net profit margin is projected to increase from 12.3% to 27.6% over the same period [5][12]. - The target price for the company is set at 32.64 yuan based on a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 68 times for 2026 [3][6]. Clinical Development Progress - The company is set to initiate Phase III clinical trials for CKBA for vitiligo and Phase II/III trials for rosacea by the end of 2025 [12]. - Several high-potential products are progressing through the review process, with expectations for approvals either by the end of this year or next year [12].

Core Viewpoint - The company held an investor meeting to discuss new drug development, dividend plans, and profit enhancement strategies, highlighting its commitment to innovation and shareholder returns [1]. New Drug Development Progress - Investors showed significant interest in the company's new drug development, particularly the Phase III clinical trial for CKBA targeting vitiligo, which is expected to start by the end of 2025 [2]. - The IIT study for vitiligo in children aged 2-12 is progressing steadily, with data expected to be released in Q4 of this year [2]. - The company plans to initiate clinical trials for CKBA in treating rosacea as soon as it receives the II/III seamless adaptive trial approval [2]. - CKBA is positioned as a first-in-class innovative small molecule drug with substantial potential in autoimmune diseases, with plans to expand research into multiple indications [2]. - The company will keep stakeholders updated on drug approval progress and will consider orphan drug application requirements for CKBA if it proves effective and safe for children [2]. Dividend and Profit Planning - The company confirmed a stable cash dividend policy, announcing a plan to distribute 2 yuan per 10 shares for the 2024 fiscal year, with future plans to adjust based on actual conditions [3]. - Due to increased market competition, the company reported a decline in revenue and gross margin, leading to short-term performance pressure [3]. - To drive profit growth, the company aims to advance CKBA's clinical trials, launch specialty generic drugs like compound sodium sulfate tablets, and accelerate the domestic production of gastrointestinal medications [3]. Employee Stock Ownership Plan Disclosure - The company is in the stock purchase phase of its employee stock ownership plan, which will be disclosed monthly for six months following shareholder meeting approval [4].

Group 1: Clinical Trials and Research Progress - The company is actively promoting the CKBA clinical trial for vitiligo, aiming to start by the end of 2025 [2] - The IIT study for vitiligo in children aged 2-12 is progressing, with data expected in Q4 of this year [2] - The company plans to initiate clinical trials for CKBA in treating rosacea once the II/III phase trial approval is obtained [3] Group 2: Financial Performance and Dividends - The company has maintained a stable cash dividend ratio, proposing a dividend of 2 CNY per 10 shares for the 2024 fiscal year [4] - Recent increases in R&D investment and declining sales in men's health products have led to short-term performance pressure [5] - The company is focusing on launching high-potential generic drugs to create new profit growth points [5] Group 3: Employee Stock Plan and Disclosure - The employee stock plan will disclose purchase details monthly for six months after approval at the shareholders' meeting [5] - The company is committed to adhering to disclosure regulations regarding the employee stock plan [5] - No undisclosed significant information was revealed during the earnings presentation [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5][8]. Core Views - The company has adjusted its revenue forecasts for sexual health and ophthalmic medications, predicting earnings per share (EPS) of 0.27, 0.53, and 0.92 yuan for 2025-2027, down from previous estimates of 0.33, 0.61, and 1.01 yuan [5]. - The target price is set at 37.10 yuan based on a 70x price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for 2026 [5]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue (in million yuan) is projected to be 782 in 2025, with a growth rate of 8.4%, followed by 999 in 2026 (27.8% growth) and 1,350 in 2027 (35.1% growth) [7]. - Operating profit is expected to be 121 million yuan in 2025, with a growth of 11.0%, increasing to 239 million yuan in 2026 (98.4% growth) and 428 million yuan in 2027 (78.9% growth) [7]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted at 116 million yuan in 2025 (6.8% growth), 224 million yuan in 2026 (94.0% growth), and 391 million yuan in 2027 (74.5% growth) [7]. - The gross margin is expected to improve from 57.5% in 2025 to 71.0% in 2027 [7]. - The net profit margin is projected to rise from 14.8% in 2025 to 29.0% in 2027 [7]. - Return on equity (ROE) is anticipated to increase from 6.3% in 2025 to 17.9% in 2027 [7]. Business Segment Insights - The sexual health segment is facing increased competition, leading to a significant revenue decline of 48.75% year-on-year [11]. - The gastrointestinal medication segment is expected to grow positively, with a year-on-year increase of 11.04% in the first half of 2025, aided by the domestic production of Hewei Zhengchang Wan [11]. - The clinical progress of CKBA is promising, with ongoing trials for multiple indications, including vitiligo and rosacea, which could open new growth avenues for the company [11].

Core Insights - The company reported a total revenue of 347 million yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year decline of 12.23% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 37.08 million yuan, down 56.75% year-on-year, with basic earnings per share at 0.09 yuan [1] - The core business segment of gastrointestinal drugs saw revenue growth, while sales in sexual health and ophthalmic drugs declined [1] R&D and Product Development - R&D investment reached 48.64 million yuan in the first half of 2025, with significant progress in innovative drug development and key product industrialization [1] - The II phase clinical trial for CKBA ointment targeting vitiligo has completed data organization and unblinding, showing positive efficacy and safety in non-segmental vitiligo patients [1] - The application for breakthrough therapy status for CKBA has been submitted to CDE, with preparations for the III phase clinical trial underway [1] Product Pipeline and Market Strategy - The application for the II/III phase seamless adaptive clinical trial of CKBA cream for rosacea has been officially accepted, confirming its development potential in the autoimmune field [2] - The domestic production registration application for Hewei Zhengchang Wan has been accepted, with production line modifications completed for rapid commercialization upon approval [2] - New gastrointestinal products, including Compound Sodium Sulfate Tablets, have completed clinical research and received market acceptance, enhancing the product matrix [2] Strategic Focus - The year 2025 is identified as a critical year for the company's dual strategy of innovation and brand promotion [3] - Increased investment in brand promotion aims to establish a solid foundation for the commercialization of core potential products like Hewei Zhengchang Wan and others [3] - The company targets significant sales growth in its three core segments: gastrointestinal, ophthalmic, and sexual health over the next 3-5 years [3]

Group 1 - The company announced that its wholly-owned subsidiary, Baoding Tianhao Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd., received approval from the Hebei Provincial Drug Administration for changes in the production scope and entrusted production situation of its Drug Production License [1] - The production license includes various forms of medications such as ointments, tablets, solutions, and capsules, with the license valid until July 7, 2030 [1] - Changes in production lines include specific formulations such as "Oseltamivir Phosphate Oral Suspension" and "Donepezil Hydrochloride Tablets" [2][3] Group 2 - Baoding Tianhao Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. has entrusted Shandong Buchang Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. to produce Donepezil Hydrochloride Tablets, with the entrusted production valid until July 7, 2030 [3] - The changes in the Drug Production License are expected to optimize the production structure and maintain stable production capacity, positively impacting the company's future operations [4]

Core Viewpoint - The announcement highlights the approval of changes to the drug production license of Baoding Tianhao Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd., a wholly-owned subsidiary of Shandong Buchang Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd., which is expected to optimize production structure and maintain stable production capacity to meet market demand [1][4]. Summary by Sections Drug Production License Information - Baoding Tianhao Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. has received permission from the Hebei Provincial Drug Administration to change the production scope and drug commissioning details of its drug production license [1]. - The production address is located at 128 Xinghua East Road, Dingxing County, Hebei Province, and the license is valid until July 7, 2030 [1]. Changes in Production Lines - The production line at Tianjin Hanrui Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. has changed from "oral suspension" to "oral suspension (Oseltamivir phosphate dry suspension)" [2]. - The production line at Shandong Buchang Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. has changed from "tablets" to "tablets (Donepezil hydrochloride tablets)" [2]. - The production line at Yangling Buchang Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. has changed from "tablets" to "tablets (Sitagliptin and Metformin sustained-release tablets), tablets (Compound Sodium Sulfate tablets)" [2]. Commissioning Details - Baoding Tianhao Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. has commissioned Shandong Buchang Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. to produce Donepezil hydrochloride tablets, with the production address at 1566 Zhonghua West Road, Heze City, and the commissioning is valid until July 7, 2030 [3]. Impact on Future Operations - The changes in the drug production license are expected to positively impact the company's future operations by optimizing production structure and ensuring stable production capacity to meet market demand [4].

Core Viewpoint - The announcement of the second employee stock ownership plan by TianKang aims to enhance long-term incentive mechanisms, improve employee cohesion and corporate competitiveness, and deeply bind the interests of the company, shareholders, and employees [1] Summary by Relevant Sections Employee Stock Ownership Plan - The scale of the employee stock ownership plan is set between RMB 150 million and RMB 200 million, with an average purchase price based on the closing price of RMB 33.77 per share on June 20, 2025, leading to a minimum of approximately 4.44 million shares and a maximum of about 5.92 million shares, accounting for no more than 1.39% of the total share capital as of the announcement date [1] - The holding period for the stock is strictly regulated, with a minimum of 12 months required [1] Market Confidence and Stock Performance - Industry insiders highlight three key points regarding TianKang's equity incentive: the stock will be sourced through secondary market purchases, the buy-in scale is significant, and the plan reflects strong confidence in future development [2] - TianKang's stock price has surged by 130% this year, ranking fourth among innovative drug concept stocks [2] Innovation and Clinical Development - The collective rise of innovative drug leaders reflects a systematic re-evaluation of the long-term value of R&D investments, driven by expectations of industry upgrades rather than solely academic data disclosures [3] - TianKang's innovative drug CKBA for vitiligo has completed 100% subject enrollment in its Phase II clinical trial, with plans to explore additional indications in the next 3-5 years [3] Growth Areas - The company is focusing on several growth areas, including gastrointestinal drugs, sexual health, and ophthalmology [4] - In the gastrointestinal sector, TianKang aims to expedite the registration process for its product and target over RMB 1 billion in sales within 3-5 years [4] - The sexual health segment features leading products with significant market presence, and a new product is expected to enhance the company's portfolio [4] - In ophthalmology, the company is progressing with clinical trials for a product aimed at treating presbyopia, which could become the first of its kind in China [4] Overall Outlook - TianKang's employee stock ownership plan reflects the company's strong confidence in future growth, driven by innovation and clinical needs, while building high-value competitive barriers in core areas [5] - As key projects move towards commercialization, the company is expected to generate new performance growth points and enter a new growth cycle [5]