Core Viewpoint - Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Goods Co., Ltd. reported significant growth in revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, driven by increased sales and improved operational efficiency [2][6]. Company Overview and Financial Indicators - The company achieved operating revenue of approximately RMB 685.48 million, a year-on-year increase of 14.22% [6]. - The total profit reached approximately RMB 167.09 million, reflecting a 39.40% increase compared to the same period last year [6]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders was approximately RMB 145.59 million, up 44.53% year-on-year [6]. - The net cash flow from operating activities increased by 75.16% to approximately RMB 116.27 million [6]. - The company's total assets grew by 5.49% to approximately RMB 2.48 billion, while net assets increased by 6.11% to approximately RMB 2.16 billion [6]. Industry and Main Business Situation - The global camping equipment market is experiencing robust growth, with exports expected to exceed USD 2.4 billion in 2025 [4]. - The outdoor sports market in China is projected to reach RMB 3 trillion by 2025, driven by increasing consumer interest in outdoor activities [4]. - The company specializes in the research, design, production, and sales of outdoor products such as inflatable mattresses, outdoor bags, and water sports equipment [4][5]. - The company has established a vertically integrated supply chain, enhancing its competitive edge in cost, quality, and delivery [5][6]. Competitive Advantages - The company is recognized as one of the earliest high-tech enterprises in China engaged in the development and production of outdoor inflatable mattresses [6]. - It has developed key technologies such as TPU film and fabric composite technology, polyurethane foam technology, and high-frequency welding technology [5][6]. - The integration of AI in product design and production processes has positioned the company as a leader in innovation within the industry [6][7]. Operational Analysis - The company has maintained stable operations in its inflatable mattress business while expanding into new markets such as luxury camping and water sports [6]. - The increase in research and development expenses by 30.16% reflects the company's commitment to maintaining technological leadership [6]. - The company has optimized its supply chain and production processes to enhance flexibility and responsiveness to market demands [6][7].

Group 1 - The stock price of Zhejiang Natural fell by 5.01% to 29.19 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 141 million CNY and a turnover rate of 3.39%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 4.133 billion CNY [1] - Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Products Co., Ltd. was established on September 4, 2000, and went public on May 6, 2021. The company specializes in the research, design, production, and sales of outdoor sports products, including inflatable mattresses, outdoor bags, and headrest cushions [1] - The main revenue composition of the company includes inflatable mattresses (58.48%), bags (20.37%), other products (13.34%), headrest cushions (6.95%), and supplementary items (0.86%) [1] Group 2 - In the top ten circulating shareholders of Zhejiang Natural, a fund under Invesco Great Wall, specifically the Invesco Great Wall Consumer Select Mixed A (010104), entered the top ten shareholders in the first quarter, holding 870,000 shares, which accounts for 0.61% of the circulating shares [2] - The Invesco Great Wall Consumer Select Mixed A fund was established on September 24, 2020, with a current scale of 1.117 billion CNY. Year-to-date returns are 6.82%, ranking 6149 out of 8259 in its category, while the one-year return is 23.73%, ranking 5102 out of 8023. Since its inception, the fund has experienced a loss of 24.03% [2] Group 3 - The fund manager of Invesco Great Wall Consumer Select Mixed A is Deng Jingdong, who has been in the position for 5 years and 104 days, with a total fund asset size of 1.872 billion CNY. The best fund return during his tenure is 47.9%, while the worst is -25.56% [3] - Liu Su, another fund manager, has been in the position for 13 years and 245 days, managing a total fund asset size of 12.507 billion CNY. The best fund return during his tenure is 129.48%, with the worst being -25.56% [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company Zhejiang Natural (605080) with a target price based on the last closing price of 31.97 [1][7]. Core Insights - The company's Q1 performance exceeded expectations, driven by new product launches and capacity releases, with a revenue of 3.6 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 30.4%, and a net profit of 0.96 billion yuan, up 148.3% year-on-year [4][7]. - The outdoor sports industry is experiencing rapid growth, with the company positioned to benefit from the increasing penetration of TPU materials over PVC products and the emergence of new product categories [7]. - The company has established three core business segments: inflatable mattresses, waterproof/thermal bags, and water sports products, with a focus on expanding into new markets and customer bases [7]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 1 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 21.7%, and a net profit of 190 million yuan, up 41.7% year-on-year [4][9]. - The gross margin for 2024 was 33.7%, with a net profit margin of 18.5%, reflecting significant improvements in profitability due to effective cost control and operational efficiency [6][9]. - The company expects continued growth in net profit, projecting 270 million yuan in 2025, 380 million yuan in 2026, and 494 million yuan in 2027, with corresponding PE ratios of 17, 12, and 9 [7][9].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Hold" rating for the company, Zhejiang Natural [1] Core Views - The company has shown strong performance with a continuous expansion of its product matrix, achieving a revenue of 1 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 21.7%, and a net profit of 190 million yuan, up 41.7% year-on-year [6][17] - The company is actively expanding its market share and optimizing its product structure, with significant growth in overseas production capacity [6][30] - The outdoor equipment market is expected to grow steadily, providing ample opportunities for the company [16] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for 2024A, 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E are 1002.35 million yuan, 1380.00 million yuan, 2009.16 million yuan, and 2439.80 million yuan respectively, with growth rates of 21.75%, 37.68%, 45.59%, and 21.43% [2] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be 185.13 million yuan in 2024A, increasing to 471.49 million yuan by 2027E, with growth rates of 41.67%, 51.24%, 37.55%, and 22.43% [2] - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to rise from 1.31 yuan in 2024A to 3.33 yuan in 2027E [2] Product and Market Insights - The company has a diverse product matrix, with significant revenue contributions from inflatable mattresses, outdoor bags, and other main businesses, achieving respective revenue growth rates of 13.9%, 30.9%, and 48.0% in 2024 [6][27] - The company has established long-term stable partnerships with over 200 global brands, including Decathlon and REI, enhancing its market presence [7][18] - The overseas sales accounted for 79.8% of total revenue in 2024, reflecting the company's strong international market position [18] Growth Strategy and Outlook - The company is focusing on expanding its overseas production capacity, particularly in Cambodia and Vietnam, which is expected to contribute significantly to revenue and profit in the coming years [29][30] - The outdoor equipment market is projected to grow from approximately 26.29 billion USD in 2024 to 34.9 billion USD by 2029, indicating a favorable market environment for the company [16][19] - The company aims to maintain high growth rates in its key product categories, with expectations of continued revenue and profit increases driven by its global expansion strategy [30][47]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong revenue and profit growth for 2024, with significant improvements in various financial metrics, driven by market expansion and optimization of product structure [1][2][5] Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 1.002 billion yuan, net profit attributable to shareholders of 185 million yuan, and net profit excluding non-recurring items of 171 million yuan, representing year-over-year increases of 21.75%, 41.67%, and 25.04% respectively [1] - For Q4 2024, the company recorded revenue of 212 million yuan, a year-over-year increase of 39.44%, and net profit attributable to shareholders of 22 million yuan, reversing a loss from the previous year [1][2] - The gross margin for 2024 was 33.72%, with a slight decrease of 0.12 percentage points year-over-year, while the net profit margin increased by 2.6 percentage points [2] Product Performance - The company saw significant growth in overseas production capacity, particularly in the luggage segment, with production and sales increasing by 83.6% and 56.3% year-over-year respectively [3] - Revenue from various product categories for 2024 included air beds at 586 million yuan, luggage at 204 million yuan, headrest cushions at 70 million yuan, and others at 134 million yuan, with respective year-over-year growth rates of 13.9%, 30.9%, 15.7%, and 48% [2] Cost Management - The company maintained stable gross and expense ratios throughout the year, with a notable increase in profit margins in Q4 2024 [2] - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 357 million yuan and net profit attributable to shareholders of 96 million yuan, reflecting year-over-year increases of 30.4% and 148.29% respectively [3] Inventory and Dividends - The company experienced an increase in accounts receivable, inventory, and accounts payable in 2024, with inventory turnover days decreasing year-over-year [4] - The proposed dividend for 2024 is 0.197 yuan per share, with a cash dividend rate of 15.06%, up from 10.09% in 2023 [4] Future Outlook - The company anticipates continued improvement in overseas profit margins as production capacity ramps up, with adjusted net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 of 260 million yuan and 352 million yuan respectively, indicating year-over-year growth of 40.6% and 35.1% [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance relative to the market index [7]. Core Views - The company is expected to achieve significant revenue growth in 2024, with a projected revenue of CNY 1.0 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 22%, and a net profit of CNY 190 million, reflecting a 42% increase [1]. - The company is actively expanding its product categories, with new products anticipated to drive rapid growth in 2025 [3]. - The company has a competitive advantage due to its integrated domestic supply chain and successful international production base expansion [4]. - The financial forecasts for 2025 to 2027 indicate strong growth in both revenue and net profit, with net profit expected to reach CNY 272 million in 2025, a 47.1% increase year-on-year [5][6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company is projected to have a gross margin of 33.7%, with a net profit margin of 18.9% [1]. - For Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of CNY 360 million, a 30% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of CNY 100 million, marking a 148% increase [2]. - The company plans to distribute cash dividends totaling CNY 28 million in 2024, with a payout ratio of approximately 15% [1]. Product and Market Expansion - The company has established stable long-term partnerships with major clients, including Decathlon, and expects its international sales to grow significantly [3]. - The revenue breakdown for 2024 shows that inflatable mattresses, bags, and other categories are expected to contribute significantly, with respective year-on-year growth rates of 14%, 31%, and 48% [3]. Operational Efficiency - The company is enhancing its production capabilities in various regions, including China, Vietnam, and Cambodia, which is expected to improve profitability [4]. - Inventory levels have increased, with a year-on-year rise of 34.4% by the end of 2024, but inventory turnover days have decreased, indicating effective inventory management [4]. Future Outlook - The company anticipates continued strong growth in its core inflatable mattress business and expects production capacity in overseas subsidiaries to ramp up smoothly [5]. - The financial projections suggest a robust growth trajectory, with expected revenues of CNY 1.37 billion in 2025, a 36.7% increase from 2024 [6].