Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Insights - The company is expected to perform better in Q4 compared to Q3, with the main business of inflatable mattresses experiencing a turning point in inventory reduction, alongside new customer orders contributing to growth. However, the business in Cambodia remains under pressure due to tariff impacts [5] - The company has adjusted its revenue and net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 downwards, reflecting a more cautious outlook, but maintains a "Buy" rating based on projected earnings growth [5] Financial Performance Summary - In Q3 2025, the company's revenue, net profit attributable to the parent, and net profit excluding non-recurring items were 133 million, 37 million, and 8 million yuan respectively, showing year-on-year declines of 30.38%, 40.63%, and 68.23% [2] - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported revenue of 818 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.48%, and net profit attributable to the parent of 182 million yuan, up 12.06% [2] - The gross margin and net profit margin for Q3 2025 were 28.23% and 27.80%, down 1.07 and 4.80 percentage points year-on-year [3] Inventory and Receivables - As of Q3 2025, the company's inventory was 231 million yuan, an increase of 11.31% year-on-year, with inventory turnover days rising to 130 days [4] - Accounts receivable decreased by 3.24% year-on-year to 158 million yuan, with turnover days increasing to 56 days [4] Future Outlook - Short-term prospects for Q4 are positive, with expectations of double-digit growth in the inflatable mattress segment and continued strong performance in water sports products, supported by the new manufacturing base in Vietnam [5] - Long-term growth is anticipated in the new materials sector, with a focus on TPU penetration and expansion in overseas outdoor equipment markets [5] Earnings Forecast - The company forecasts revenues of 1,155 million, 1,314 million, and 1,476 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 15.2%, 13.8%, and 12.3% [8] - Net profit attributable to the parent is projected to be 213 million, 254 million, and 286 million yuan for the same years, with growth rates of 15.0%, 19.3%, and 12.5% [8]

Core Viewpoint - Zhejiang Natural is a leading outdoor sports goods manufacturer with a strong vertical integration advantage, focusing on inflatable mattresses and outdoor bags, and has shown impressive financial performance in the industry [1][2]. Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, Zhejiang Natural reported revenue of 818 million yuan, ranking 7th in the industry, while the top competitor, Tianyuan Pet, achieved 2.323 billion yuan [2]. - The net profit for the same period was 183 million yuan, leading the industry, with the second-place competitor, Yuanfei Pet, at 158 million yuan [2]. Financial Ratios - The company's debt-to-asset ratio stood at 10.80% in Q3 2025, down from 15.70% year-on-year and significantly lower than the industry average of 30.49% [3]. - The gross profit margin was 34.00%, slightly down from 35.30% year-on-year but still above the industry average of 23.75% [3]. Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of A-share shareholders decreased by 1.60% to 11,000, while the average number of shares held per shareholder increased by 1.62% to 12,700 [5]. - New significant shareholders include Huatai PineBridge Value Selection Mixed Fund and Agricultural Bank Research Selection Mixed Fund, while some previous major shareholders exited [5]. Management Compensation - The chairman and general manager, Xia Yonghui, received a salary of 913,400 yuan in 2024, an increase of 206,400 yuan from 2023 [4]. Future Outlook - Tianfeng Securities projects net profits for 2025-2027 to be 250 million, 330 million, and 410 million yuan, with corresponding P/E ratios of 15, 11, and 9 times, maintaining a "buy" rating [5]. - Zheshang Securities anticipates revenues of 1.27 billion, 1.87 billion, and 2.40 billion yuan for the same period, with net profits of 250 million, 380 million, and 490 million yuan, maintaining a "buy" rating as well [6].

Core Insights - The rise of car camping and the use of car mattresses during holidays is significantly impacting the hotel industry, as more travelers opt for sleeping in their vehicles instead of booking hotel rooms [1][5][6] - The competition landscape for hotels has shifted, with traditional competitors now including not only other hotels but also higher-end hotels, car camping options, and even tents [3][8] - The self-driving travel trend is growing rapidly, with a notable increase in rental car orders and self-driving tourism demand, indicating a shift in consumer preferences [4][5][6] Industry Impact - During the recent National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival holidays, many hotels reported higher vacancy rates despite high tourist traffic, attributed to the increasing number of travelers choosing to sleep in their cars [3][5] - The hotel industry is facing intense competition due to an oversupply of hotel rooms, with over 600 new hotel rooms added in the vicinity of one hotel, leading to a significant diversion of guests [8][10] - The average daily room rates for high-end hotels have dropped significantly, with some hotels reducing prices from around 1300 yuan to as low as 500 yuan to attract customers [8][9] Consumer Behavior - The trend of "living in cars" is becoming more popular, with many travelers sharing their experiences on social media, highlighting the cost-effectiveness and convenience of car camping [1][3] - The demand for camping-related products, such as inflatable mattresses and outdoor gear, has surged, indicating a shift in consumer spending towards self-sufficient travel options [4][6] - The demographic of self-driving travelers is diversifying, with significant growth among younger generations and older adults, suggesting a broadening appeal of this travel style [4][6] Market Dynamics - The hotel industry is experiencing a supply-demand imbalance, with the number of hotels increasing faster than the growth in customer demand, leading to heightened competition [10][11] - High-end hotels are adopting aggressive pricing strategies to maintain occupancy, which is adversely affecting mid-range hotels and local brands [9][10] - The shift towards self-driving and car camping is prompting hotels to rethink their value propositions and service offerings to better meet evolving consumer needs [11][12]

Core Insights - The rise of car camping and the use of car mattresses during holidays is significantly impacting the hotel industry, as more travelers opt for sleeping in their vehicles instead of booking hotel rooms [1][5][6] - The competition landscape for hotels has shifted, with hotels now competing not only with each other but also with higher-end hotels, cars, and even tents for customers [3][8] - The self-driving travel trend is growing, with a notable increase in rental car orders and self-driving tourism demand, indicating a shift in consumer preferences [4][5][6] Industry Trends - During the recent National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival holidays, the reading volume of car camping topics on social media platforms reached 110 million, with related discussions on electric vehicle camping increasing by 50 million [1] - The Ministry of Transport reported that by 2025, 80% of travelers are expected to choose self-driving as their mode of transport during holidays [1] - The demand for self-driving travel has increased by 6.7% year-on-year during the holiday period, with significant growth in various age groups, particularly among younger generations and families [4] Hotel Industry Impact - Hotel occupancy rates are declining, with many hotels experiencing higher vacancy rates during peak seasons, attributed to the rise of car camping and increased hotel supply [3][5][8] - The hotel industry is facing intense competition due to an oversupply of rooms, with over 600 new hotel rooms added in the vicinity of one hotel alone [8] - High-end hotels are engaging in price wars, significantly lowering their rates to attract customers, which is squeezing the middle-tier hotels [8][9] Consumer Behavior Changes - Consumers are increasingly seeking privacy, safety, and comfort in their travel experiences, leading to a rise in the popularity of customized car camping products [6] - The trend of "living in a car" is becoming more common, with many travelers opting for car mattresses and camping gear instead of traditional hotel accommodations [3][5] - The market for camping-related products, such as inflatable mattresses and portable power supplies, has seen substantial sales growth, indicating a shift in consumer spending habits [4][6]

Group 1 - The stock of Zhejiang Natural increased by 5.08% on October 15, reaching a price of 25.86 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 51.34 million CNY and a turnover rate of 1.45%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 3.661 billion CNY [1] - Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Products Co., Ltd. was established on September 4, 2000, and went public on May 6, 2021. The company specializes in the research, design, production, and sales of outdoor sports products, including inflatable mattresses, outdoor bags, and headrest cushions, with 100% of its revenue coming from product sales [1] Group 2 - According to data from the top ten holdings of funds, one fund under Western Li De has a significant position in Zhejiang Natural. The Western Li De Quantitative Preferred One-Year Holding Mixed A Fund (010779) held 50,700 shares in the second quarter, accounting for 0.46% of the fund's net value, ranking as the eighth largest holding. The estimated floating profit today is approximately 63,400 CNY [2] - The Western Li De Quantitative Preferred One-Year Holding Mixed A Fund (010779) was established on January 19, 2021, with a current scale of 227 million CNY. Year-to-date returns are 40.6%, ranking 1374 out of 8161 in its category; the one-year return is 55.35%, ranking 574 out of 8015; and since inception, the return is 48.97% [2]

Group 1 - Zhejiang Natural's stock price increased by 5.08% to 25.86 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 51.34 million CNY and a turnover rate of 1.45%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 3.661 billion CNY [1] - Zhejiang Natural Outdoor Products Co., Ltd. was established on September 4, 2000, and went public on May 6, 2021. The company specializes in the research, design, production, and sales of outdoor sports products, including inflatable mattresses, outdoor bags, and headrest cushions, with 100% of its revenue coming from product sales [1] Group 2 - Among the top ten circulating shareholders of Zhejiang Natural, Hai Fu Tong Fund's Hai Fu Tong Reform Driven Mixed Fund (519133) entered the list in the second quarter, holding 458,500 shares, which accounts for 0.33% of the circulating shares. The estimated floating profit today is approximately 573,100 CNY [2] - Hai Fu Tong Reform Driven Mixed Fund (519133) was established on April 28, 2016, with a latest scale of 2.914 billion CNY. Year-to-date returns are 42.54%, ranking 1180 out of 8161 in its category; the one-year return is 33.13%, ranking 2090 out of 8015; and since inception, the return is 303.87% [2]

Group 1: Report Overview - The report is about a research on Zhejiang Natural in the textile and apparel industry on September 26, 2025 [1][2][17] Group 2: Research Basic Information - Research object: Zhejiang Natural [17] - Industry: Textile and apparel [2][17] - Reception time: 2025 - 09 - 26 [17] - Company reception staff: Chairman and General Manager Xia Yonghui, Deputy General Manager, Secretary of the Board, and Director Dong Yimin, Director and Chief Financial Officer Xia Xiuhua, Independent Director Chen Weibo [17] Group 3: Detailed Research Institutions - Reception object: All shareholders [20] - Reception object type: Not specified [20] - Institution - related personnel: Not specified [20] - Others: Not specified [20] Group 4: Main Content 1. Company's Business Performance - In the reporting period, the company achieved an operating income of RMB 685.4795 million, a year - on - year increase of 14.22% compared to the first half of 2024, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of the listed company of RMB 145.5869 million, a year - on - year increase of 44.53% [25] 2. AI Application - The company is currently in the AI application stage, using AI to empower R & D and production, accelerating the implementation of the digital and intelligent strategy, assisting data analysis and simulation, optimizing the product design process, and realizing intelligent allocation of equipment and resources in production scheduling to improve production flexibility and response speed. It will continue to look for AI projects that fit its own industry [26] 3. Moroccan Subsidiary - The construction of the company's Moroccan subsidiary's factory is progressing in an orderly manner, and it is expected to complete all inspections and be put into use within 2026 [28] 4. External Investment Plan - In the reporting period, the company invested in the establishment of Singapore Ripple Private Limited with a shareholding ratio of 65%, which is mainly responsible for the water sports products division project. The company also has an insulation box division and a water sports products division to expand the business of insulation box products and water sports products respectively. Future external investment matters will be disclosed in a timely manner [28] 5. Shareholder Number - As of September 19, 2025, the company's latest number of shareholders is 11,210. The company will disclose the number of shareholders at corresponding time points in regular reports [28]

Group 1 - The 2025 China Cultural Tourism Industry Expo opened in Wuhan, attracting over 2,000 domestic exhibitors and 50 overseas travel merchants, with more than 200,000 visitors expected to attend [1][2] - The expo showcased diverse tourism experiences, including unique travel routes and innovative tourism products, reflecting a shift in consumer preferences towards personalized and immersive travel experiences [1][5] - The event highlighted the rapid development of new tourism formats, such as outdoor camping gear and mobile housing solutions, catering to the growing demand for outdoor and adventure tourism [2][5] Group 2 - The expo featured advanced technologies in tourism, such as vertical take-off and landing vehicles and immersive multimedia experiences, indicating a trend towards integrating technology with cultural tourism [7] - The market is witnessing a shift towards smaller, less conventional travel destinations, with a growing interest in unique experiences that provide emotional and cultural enrichment [5][6] - The emphasis on sustainable development and diverse market demands reflects a broader consensus in the global cultural tourism industry regarding the need for innovation and adaptability [5][6]

Core Viewpoint - The company experienced a revenue growth of 14% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, but faced a decline in gross margin due to changes in product structure and an increase in lower-margin new product categories [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company's revenue increased by 14.2% to 690 million yuan, while net profit attributable to shareholders rose by 44.5% to 146 million yuan [1] - The gross margin decreased by 2.1% year-on-year to 35.1%, primarily due to changes in product structure and an increase in overseas production capacity [1] - The operating profit margin increased by 4.3% to 24.5%, and the net profit margin attributable to shareholders rose by 4.5% to 21.2% [1] - In the second quarter, revenue growth slowed to 0.7% year-on-year, totaling 329 million yuan, with net profit declining by 20.1% [2] - The gross margin in the second quarter fell by 5.1% year-on-year to 31.1% due to product structure changes and deferred revenue [2] Group 2: Market Dynamics - Orders returned to normal in the third quarter, with previously delayed orders completed [3] - The company is expanding its market presence by deepening cooperation in the new energy vehicle market and developing new product lines, including inflatable mattresses for automotive camping [3] - The company is also focusing on expanding its water sports products and insulated bags, with production primarily in Vietnam and Cambodia [3] Group 3: Future Outlook - The company anticipates gradual recovery in revenue growth in the second half of the year as inventory issues among downstream brands are resolved [2][3] - Profit forecasts for 2025 to 2027 have been raised, with expected net profits of 250 million, 310 million, and 380 million yuan, representing year-on-year growth of 34.2%, 26.2%, and 22.1% respectively [4] - The target price has been adjusted to 28.1-31.6 yuan, reflecting an increase in profit forecasts and maintaining an "outperform" rating [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6][34]. Core Views - The company experienced a 14% year-on-year revenue growth in the first half of 2025, with a net profit increase of 44.5% to 146 million yuan. However, the gross margin declined by 2.1% to 35.1% due to changes in product structure and an increase in the proportion of lower-margin new product categories [1][4]. - The second quarter saw a slowdown in revenue growth to 0.7% year-on-year, primarily due to tariff policy disruptions leading to delayed orders and lower production efficiency during the ramp-up of overseas capacity. The gross margin further declined by 5.1% year-on-year to 31.1% [2][3]. - Orders have returned to normal in the third quarter, with new customers and products driving growth. The company is expanding its market presence in the automotive camping sector and enhancing its product lines, particularly in water sports and insulated bags [3][33]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, revenue reached 690 million yuan, with a net profit of 146 million yuan. The gross margin was 35.1%, reflecting a decline due to product mix changes [1]. - The second quarter revenue was 329 million yuan, with a gross margin of 31.1%, down from previous periods [2]. - The company expects revenue to recover in the second half of the year as inventory issues are resolved [3]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts, expecting net profits of 250 million yuan, 310 million yuan, and 380 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 34.2%, 26.2%, and 22.1% [4][34]. - Revenue projections for 2025 to 2027 are set at 1.26 billion yuan, 1.64 billion yuan, and 2.10 billion yuan, with expected growth rates of 26%, 30%, and 28% [29][38]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is focusing on stabilizing its core business while expanding into new markets and product lines, particularly in the automotive sector and outdoor products [3][33]. - The target price has been raised to 28.1-31.6 yuan, based on improved profit forecasts, corresponding to a price-to-earnings ratio of 16-18x for 2025 [4][34].