杨宇轩 电子行业分析师 执业编号：S1500525010001 邮箱：yangyuxuan@cindasc.com 证券研究报告 行业研究 [行业周报 Table_ReportType] | [Table_StockAndRank] 电子 | | | --- | --- | | 投资评级 | 看好 | | 上次评级 | 看好 | [Table_Author] 莫文宇 电子行业首席分析师 执业编号：S1500522090001 邮 箱：mowenyu@cindasc.com Marvell 上调 AI 市场展望，ASIC 和 GPU 需求 共振 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 6 月 22 日 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲127号金隅 大厦B座 邮编：100031 [Table_Title] Marvell 上调 AI 市场展望，ASIC 和 GPU 需 求共振 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 6 月 22 日 本期内容提要: [Table_S [Table_Summary ummary] ] 请阅读最 ...

Group 1: SpaceX Incident - SpaceX's Starship SN36 experienced a severe explosion during a static fire test on June 18, with no reported injuries. The explosion was attributed to a potential failure in a pressure vessel known as COPV, which is used in the tail section of the spacecraft [2] Group 2: TerraPower Financing - TerraPower, a nuclear energy company founded by Bill Gates, announced the completion of a $650 million financing round, with participation from existing investors and new investor NVentures, a venture capital arm of NVIDIA [3] Group 3: Zoox Factory Opening - Amazon's autonomous driving company, Zoox, has opened its first dedicated mass production factory for autonomous taxis in California, aiming to expand its services to multiple markets, starting with Las Vegas and San Francisco [4] Group 4: Yushu Technology Financing - Yushu Technology confirmed the completion of its Series C financing round, led by major investors including China Mobile's fund, Tencent, and Alibaba. The pre-financing valuation exceeded 10 billion RMB, with a post-financing valuation of 8 billion RMB [5] Group 5: E-commerce Performance - Various platforms reported strong performance during the 618 shopping festival, with Tmall noting a 24% year-on-year increase in sales for 453 brands. JD.com reported over 22 billion orders, with a user growth exceeding 100% [6][7] Group 6: Land Acquisition by Xiaomi - Xiaomi's subsidiary, Jingxi Technology, acquired an industrial land parcel in Beijing's Yizhuang New City for approximately 635 million RMB, covering an area of 485,100 square meters [8][9] Group 7: Cloud and AI Market Outlook - Marvell raised its 2028 market outlook for customized AI chips from $43 billion to $55 billion, an increase of nearly 28%, citing new customer opportunities and partnerships [12] Group 8: Intel Leadership Changes - Intel announced several key leadership appointments, including Greg Ernst as Chief Revenue Officer and Srinivasan Iyengar as Senior Vice President overseeing the new Customer Engineering Center [13] Group 9: SSD Market Challenges - TrendForce reported that the average selling price of enterprise SSDs dropped nearly 20% in Q1 2025 due to inventory issues and challenges in AI product assembly, leading to revenue declines for the top five brands [14] Group 10: IPO and H-Share Listings - Yitang Co. initiated its IPO process, planning to list on the Shanghai Stock Exchange's Sci-Tech Innovation Board, while Zhaoyi Innovation submitted an application for H-share listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [15][17] Group 11: Acquisitions in AI and Semiconductor Sectors - Black Sesame Intelligence announced intentions to acquire an AI chip company focused on low-power AI SoCs, while Kanda New Materials plans to acquire at least 51% of Chengdu Zhongke Huami Electronics to expand in the semiconductor field [18][19] Group 12: Haipuri Financing - Haipuri completed a B+ round of financing supported by major investors, focusing on the development and production of ultra-pure valves and systems for semiconductor manufacturing [20]

Core Viewpoint - Marvell Technology (MRVL.US) has seen a significant stock price increase due to positive evaluations from top Wall Street analysts regarding its customized AI ASIC chip activities and potential market announcements [1][3] Group 1: Market Opportunities - Analysts from Evercore ISI predict that the new AI ASIC chip designs could ramp up quickly between 2026 and 2027, indicating strong future demand [1] - Marvell expects each customized AI chip design win to generate billions in lifecycle revenue within 1.5 to 2 years, while each XPU Attach win could contribute hundreds of millions within 2 to 4 years [2] - The total addressable market (TAM) for customized data center chips has been raised to $94 billion, a 26% increase from last year's AI activities [3] Group 2: Financial Projections - Marvell has raised its financial targets, with analysts noting that the potential earnings per share could reach $8 by 2028, exceeding Wall Street estimates by 60% [4] - The company aims to capture at least 20% of the TAM, with over 50% of its data center revenue expected to come from AI ASIC-related demands [3][5] Group 3: Competitive Landscape - Broadcom (AVGO.US) is identified as the long-term beneficiary of Marvell's AI activities, holding a dominant market share of approximately 60% in the AI ASIC sector, while Marvell holds 13% to 15% [6][7] - The AI ASIC market is expected to grow significantly, with major tech companies like Google, Microsoft, and Amazon investing heavily in AI ASIC chips, indicating a shift in market dynamics away from GPU dominance [7]

Core Insights - The article highlights the resurgence of AI investment logic, driven by positive trade negotiations and support from major financial institutions like BlackRock and Oppenheimer, emphasizing the long-term growth potential of AI investments [1][2] - Tesla is identified as a key player in the AI and manufacturing integration, with its advancements in AI-driven technologies such as Full Self-Driving (FSD) and Robotaxi contributing to its stock price rebound [1][2][3] Group 1: AI and Manufacturing Integration - Morgan Stanley's report suggests that the combination of AI and traditional manufacturing could revitalize the long-stagnant U.S. manufacturing sector, with Tesla being the prime example of this synergy [2][3] - The report outlines Tesla's competitive advantages through a "six-dimensional moat" framework, highlighting its unique position in the AI and manufacturing landscape [3][9] Group 2: Tesla's Competitive Advantages - The six dimensions of Tesla's moat include Data, Robotics, Energy, AI, Manufacturing, and Space, which collectively enhance its market position and operational efficiency [9][10] - Tesla's ability to gather extensive data from its fleet of 7 million vehicles, projected to exceed 100 million by 2040, provides a significant edge over competitors [9] - The integration of advanced manufacturing techniques and a robust domestic supply chain positions Tesla favorably against global trade challenges [10] Group 3: Future Outlook - Morgan Stanley maintains a bullish outlook on Tesla, reiterating an "overweight" rating with a target price of $410, reflecting confidence in its growth trajectory [3][10] - The report emphasizes the importance of manufacturing as a core component of Tesla's strategy, likening its role to that of books for Amazon, indicating a closed-loop system of data and product development [10][12]