| | | 涨跌幅 | | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | A股 | 沪深300 | 0.90% | 中债新综合全价 | -0.04% | | 红利 | 中证红利 | 2.06% | 美国20年+国债 | -0.22% | | 港股 | 恒生指数 | 1.88% | 上海金 | 1.57% | | 美国 | 纳指100 | -1.39% | | | | 德国 | 德国DAX | -0.71% | | | | 日本 | 日经225 | -2.86% | 省心债组合 | -0 20 210/0 | | 印度 | 印度sensex30 | -0.53% | 懒人一均衡组合 | 0.16% | | 越南 | 胡志明指数 | -2.25% | 睿定投全球版组合 | -0.46% | 上周全球市场表现分化，A股逆势上涨，美股下跌1.39%，日本跌2.86%，越南跌2.25%，显示出不同市场的分化格局。债市整体平稳，中国债几乎持平， 美债小幅回调。黄金上涨约1.6%，成为少数亮眼资产。 整体来看，市场短期波动明显，但避险与反弹机会并存。 睿定投全球版：稳中求进的全球配置 上周 ...

Core Viewpoint - The global market showed significant divergence last week, with A-shares continuing to rebound while US, Japanese, and Vietnamese markets experienced declines. Bonds remained stable, and gold emerged as a strong safe-haven asset, highlighting the advantages of a global allocation strategy that seeks steady progress amidst short-term volatility [1][2][3]. Market Performance Summary - A-shares (CSI 300) increased by 0.90%, while the Hang Seng Index rose by 1.88%. In contrast, the US Nasdaq 100 fell by 1.39%, Japan's Nikkei 225 dropped by 2.86%, and Vietnam's Ho Chi Minh Index decreased by 2.25%. The overall bond market remained stable, with Chinese bonds nearly flat and US bonds experiencing a slight decline. Gold prices rose approximately 1.6%, marking it as one of the few standout assets [1][2]. Global Allocation Strategy - The global allocation strategy demonstrated resilience, with a year-to-date cumulative return of 19.43%, achieving positive growth for the third consecutive year. The returns for 2023 and 2024 are projected at 13.13% and 7.87%, respectively, showcasing the compounding advantages of global allocation [6]. Balanced Investment Approach - The "Lazy Balanced" investment strategy yielded a return of 14.01% this year, exhibiting smoother performance and stronger resistance to volatility compared to last year's 5.13% return. The bond component, despite a brief decline, quickly recovered, providing a reliable foundation for the portfolio [10]. Investment Combinations - The company launched five investment combinations this week, reflecting a strategic approach to market conditions. The "Lazy Balanced" combination currently has an equity position of around 57%, allowing for sufficient capacity to capitalize on potential market corrections [16][19].

Global Market Performance - The global market has shown a positive performance this week, with major indices in A-shares, Hong Kong stocks, and US stocks all rising, reflecting an optimistic market atmosphere [1] - The A-share market, represented by the CSI 300 index, increased by 3.92%, while the Hang Seng Index rose by 2.22%, and the NASDAQ 100 gained 2.71% [2] Investment Strategies - The global allocation strategy has demonstrated strong resilience and stability, providing investors with a sense of security despite short-term fluctuations in gold prices [1] - The "Rui Global" strategy achieved a weekly increase of 1.52%, surpassing expectations with a cumulative return of over 20% for 2025 [5] - The "Lazy Balanced" strategy, which is more conservative with a higher bond allocation, recorded a cumulative return of 13.91% this year, lower than "Rui Global" but with reduced volatility [8] Performance Comparison - Over the past three years, "Rui Global" has maintained positive returns regardless of A-share market conditions, with some investors achieving cumulative returns of 25% [5] - In comparison to other funds, "Rui Global" ranks in the top 10% among fund managers, while some large funds have reported losses over the same period [5] Future Outlook - The bond market is nearing a bottom, and bonds continue to provide a stabilizing effect and risk buffer within the investment portfolio [8] - The company expresses confidence that annual returns will remain above 15% even if there are potential year-end pullbacks [5]

Global Market Performance - The global market shows increasing divergence, with US stocks and Indian markets leading the performance [1][3] - The A-share market has shown a decline of 1.21%, while the Indian Sensex30 has increased by 2.47% [1] - Vietnam's stock market experienced a significant drop of 7.29%, which was proactively avoided in asset allocation [1] Investment Strategies - The "Rui Ding Tou Global Version" portfolio achieved a return of 0.87% last week, bringing its total return since 2025 to 18.57% [6] - The portfolio's consistent positive returns over three years highlight the robustness and foresight of the global allocation strategy [6] - The strategy capitalizes on structural opportunities in AI-related assets, demonstrating a diversified global approach [6] Performance of Investment Combinations - The "Lazy Balanced Combination" recorded a return of 0.92% last week, with a year-to-date return of 12.87%, marking a historical high [11] - The "Rui Ding Tou Global Version" is designed for investors seeking higher returns with a tolerance for volatility, while the "Lazy Balanced Combination" is aimed at those preferring stability [12][15] - The difference in returns between the two combinations is approximately 18% versus 12%, catering to different investor profiles [12] Market Trends and Future Outlook - The overall market logic is characterized by a liquidity-driven structural differentiation [2] - The US stock market continues to show resilience despite geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainties [17] - The upcoming "Fourteenth Five-Year Plan" is expected to introduce measures to consolidate economic growth, which may positively impact the A-share market [17]

Market Overview - The market experienced a brief fluctuation last week, with some assets showing slight corrections after a strong prior performance, indicating a technical adjustment at high levels [1] - Overall, global markets maintain good resilience, with notable structural differentiation; gold and US stocks continue to lead, while bonds face slight pressure, and dividend sectors along with some emerging markets see minor declines [1] September Market Review - In September, the global market continued its strong performance, with most indices rising, except for the dividend sector, Germany, and Vietnam, which saw slight declines [2] - Gold was the standout performer, surging approximately 11% for the month, while Chinese bonds weakened, dropping about 0.6% [2] Investment Strategies Rui Ding Global Version - The Rui Ding Global Version portfolio achieved a monthly return of 4.41% in September, with a cumulative return of 15.98% year-to-date as of the end of September [5] - This portfolio has consistently delivered positive returns over the past three years, with an average annual return exceeding 10%, ranking in the top 9% among similar public funds [5] Lazy Balanced Portfolio - The Lazy Balanced Portfolio, which increases the proportion of bonds and cash to reduce volatility, recorded a monthly return of 2.84% in September, with an annual target return of 5.13% for 2024 [8] - Despite slightly lower returns compared to the Rui Ding Global Version, it exhibited significantly lower volatility, making it suitable for risk-averse investors [8] Performance Metrics - The Rui Ding Global Version has a maximum drawdown of -35.21% and an annualized volatility of 18.23%, with a Sharpe ratio of 0.77 [10] - The Lazy Balanced Portfolio has a maximum drawdown of -27.45% and an annualized volatility of 11.01%, with a Sharpe ratio of 0.02 [12] Market Sentiment - Recent US-China trade tensions are viewed as a temporary shock rather than a trend reversal, with expectations for supportive measures from the upcoming "Fourteenth Five-Year Plan" [11] - The overall market resilience remains strong, with potential for short-term adjustments due to geopolitical factors, but opportunities for strategic accumulation are anticipated [11]

Core Viewpoint - The global market remains resilient despite recent fluctuations, with structural differentiation evident, particularly in the performance of gold and U.S. stocks, while bonds face slight pressure [1]. Market Overview - In September, the global market continued its strong performance, with most indices rising, except for the dividend sector, Germany, and Vietnam, which saw slight declines. Gold was the standout performer, surging approximately 11% for the month, while Chinese bonds fell about 0.6% [2]. Investment Strategies - The "Rui Ding Tou Global Version" portfolio achieved a monthly return of 4.41% in September, with a cumulative return of 15.98% year-to-date. Despite a minor decline of 0.17% during a recent market adjustment, the portfolio maintains a strong upward trend. Over the past three years, it has consistently delivered positive returns, averaging over 10% annually, ranking in the top 9% among similar public funds [6]. - The "Lazy Balanced Portfolio" aims to reduce volatility by increasing the proportion of bonds and cash. In September, it recorded a monthly return of 2.84%, with a projected annual return of 5.13% for 2024. Although its returns are slightly lower than the Rui Ding Tou Global Version, it exhibits significantly lower volatility, making it suitable for risk-averse investors [10]. Performance Metrics - The Rui Ding Tou portfolio has a maximum drawdown of -35.21% and an annualized volatility of 18.23%, with a Sharpe ratio of 0.77, indicating a balanced risk-return profile [12]. - The Lazy Balanced Portfolio has a maximum drawdown of -27.45% and an annualized volatility of 11.01%, with a Sharpe ratio of 0.02, reflecting its stability in turbulent market conditions [14]. Market Sentiment - Recent U.S.-China trade tensions are viewed as a temporary shock rather than a trend reversal, with expectations for supportive measures from the upcoming "Fourteenth Five-Year Plan" meeting. The overall market resilience suggests potential for further investment opportunities despite short-term volatility [13][22].

Market Overview - The last trading week of September showed a continuation of the "strong stocks, weak bonds" structure, with stocks performing well while bonds remained under pressure [1][3] - Gold emerged as a standout asset during the holiday period, indicating a risk-on sentiment in the market [1][3] Weekly Performance Review - A-shares, represented by the CSI 300, increased by 2.15%, while the Hang Seng Index rose by 1.06%. The NASDAQ 100, however, experienced a decline of 0.60% [2] - The overall bond market continued to decline, but U.S. Treasuries saw a slight rebound after a period of decline [3] Investment Strategies - The "Rui Ding Tou Global Version" has achieved positive returns for three consecutive years, with the potential to exceed 15% this year. Investors who started regular investments last year have seen cumulative returns of over 10% [4][7] - The strategy focuses on global multi-asset allocation, emphasizing high-quality sectors such as AI, technology, and renewable energy [7] Risk-Adjusted Investment Options - The "Lazy Balanced" strategy, suitable for risk-averse investors, has shown a modest increase of 0.05% in the past week, with a year-to-date return of nearly 11% [9][12] - This strategy incorporates more bond assets, resulting in lower volatility and a more stable performance compared to the Rui Ding Tou Global Version [12] Future Outlook - The market is expected to continue its slow bull trend post-holiday, supported by positive economic indicators and policy expectations [16] - The current investment strategies are designed to maintain a balanced risk profile, allowing for adjustments based on market conditions [18]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the performance of global investment strategies, particularly the "Rui Ding Tou Global Version" and "Lazy Balanced Portfolio," which have outperformed the A-share market and demonstrated consistent gains over several weeks, showcasing the advantages of global asset allocation [1][9]. Market Performance Summary - A-shares (CSI 300) decreased by 0.23%, while the dividend index fell by 1.40%. Hong Kong stocks (Hang Seng Index) also dropped by 0.39%. In contrast, U.S. stocks (Nasdaq 100) rose by 1.92%, and Japanese stocks (Nikkei 225) increased by 1.62% [2][6]. - Overall, the Asia-Pacific market showed weak performance, while the strong rise in U.S. stocks provided support. The bond market continued to be sluggish, with both Chinese and U.S. bonds declining, while gold prices increased, becoming a highlight [4]. Rui Ding Tou Global Version Performance - The "Rui Ding Tou Global Version" achieved positive returns despite the decline in A-shares and has recorded four consecutive weeks of gains. Over the past three years, it has maintained positive returns, ranking among the top performers in risk-adjusted returns compared to 3,570 stock and mixed funds [9]. Lazy Balanced Portfolio Performance - The "Lazy Balanced Portfolio" has adopted a global allocation strategy, achieving a cumulative return of 16.13% in 2023, with a high probability of exceeding 10% for the year. It ranks in the top 18%-20% for returns, with a maximum drawdown controlled at 8% and a risk-return ratio in the top 9% [10]. - This portfolio has also recorded a return of 10.7% year-to-date, despite a challenging bond market where both Chinese and U.S. bonds have declined. The balanced distribution of stocks, bonds, and gold has helped reduce overall volatility and find support for returns [13].

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of global asset allocation, highlighting the contrasting performances of A-shares and US stocks, and validating the effectiveness of the company's portfolio strategies [1][3]. Weekly Market Review - A-shares (CSI 300) declined by 1.24%, while the dividend index rose by 0.50% [2]. - The Hang Seng Index in Hong Kong saw a slight increase of 0.06% [4]. - The NASDAQ 100 in the US increased by 1.48% [4]. - The DAX in Germany fell by 0.96% [4]. - The Nikkei 225 in Japan rose by 3.45%, and the Sensex 30 in India increased by 0.53% [4]. - The Ho Chi Minh Index in Vietnam dropped significantly by 3.43% [4]. - Overall, bond markets experienced a slight decline of 0.08%, but Chinese and US bonds rose, with US bonds increasing by 4.75% [4]. - Gold prices increased by 3.07%, with a cumulative rise of 5%-10% since the company increased its holdings [4]. Portfolio Performance - The "Rui Ding Tou Global Version" portfolio achieved a 1.32% increase, reaching a new net value high despite the decline in A-shares [7]. - This portfolio includes diverse assets such as US stocks, Indian stocks, and gold, which helped mitigate risks during A-share adjustments [7]. - The "Lazy Balanced" portfolio, with a high bond allocation, reported a cumulative return of 13.37% this year, outperforming previous years [8]. - The "Peace of Mind Bond" portfolio, which is defensive in nature, rose by 0.81% last week and has a year-to-date return of 9.32%, also reaching a historical high [13]. - The "Pure Bond" portfolio experienced a minor decline of 0.06%, demonstrating strong defensive capabilities by falling less than the market average [16]. Investment Strategy - The article suggests that the "Peace of Mind Bond" portfolio is suitable for investors seeking stability and lower volatility, serving as a "ballast" to balance equity market fluctuations [18]. - The company plans to continue optimizing its asset allocation strategies to provide stable and sustainable returns [32].

Core Viewpoint - The global market continues to exhibit a "strong stocks, weak bonds" pattern, with stock markets generally rising while bonds and gold are under pressure [1][3]. Weekly Market Review - Global stock markets saw widespread increases, with notable performances from Japan and A-shares. The Shanghai Composite Index and CSI 300 rose by 2.84%, while the Hang Seng Index increased by 1.08% [2][4]. - Non-equity assets faced downward pressure, with the overall bond market declining by 0.56% and U.S. 20-year+ Treasury bonds falling by 1.12% [4][6]. Performance of Investment Portfolios - The "Rui Ding Tou Global Version" portfolio reached a new high, with a year-to-date return of 11.19%. The portfolio has shown consistent performance, with returns of 13.13% in 2023 and 7.87% in 2024 [6]. - The "Lazy Balanced" portfolio increased by 0.53% this week, achieving a cumulative return of 7.80% year-to-date. The portfolio aims for an 8% return by year-end [9]. - The "Peace of Mind Bond" portfolio decreased by 0.42% this week, with a year-to-date return of only 0.58%. This portfolio is designed for defensive positioning and aims to mitigate significant losses during market downturns [12]. Future Outlook - The company remains cautious about future market conditions, aiming to maintain existing gains and avoid missing out on opportunities. The target is to secure a return of over 10% for the year [6][9].