瞄准"智造"合作 "故友新朋"相聚南京 □ 南京日报/紫金山新闻记者 张甜甜 "我们应该面对面，多走动！"西班牙巴斯克产业发展署（SPRI）产业集群发展主任大卫·费尔南德斯的这句话，道出了双方共同的心声。 提前一天半抵达，在短短两天内精准对接12家智能制造领域重点企业——11月19日，由市投促局、江宁开发区、南京西班牙海外协同创新中心（智欧研究 院）组织的西班牙机床与先进制造技术协会（AFM）代表团合作交流活动在南京举行，代表团一行甫抵南京，便开启了一场争分夺秒、务求实效的合作洽 谈。此次访问，距离西班牙研究与创新院与SPRI代表团7月到访仅相隔数月。频繁的互动背后，是两地产业界基于共同发展需求的"双向奔赴"。作为代表西 班牙800余家先进制造企业、营业额约占行业92%的权威组织，AFM此行目标明确：深化在智能制造领域的务实合作。 迈新步，交流互访升温 人流中有信息流，"你来我往"为民心相通注入新动力，让世界认识南京、更了解南京。 西班牙代表团提前一天半抵达，密集对接12家宁企 埃斯顿从南京走向世界的成功实践，成为南京产业环境与开放活力的生动印证。座谈会上，市投促局与江宁开发区相关负责人也借此向西班牙嘉宾系统 ...

Core Viewpoint - The special steel industry is positioned as a key player in China's strategic development, focusing on technological innovation and structural optimization to achieve high-quality growth and resilience in a complex environment [1] Industry Development - The special steel industry has shown a steady improvement in quality since the beginning of the year, with accelerated high-end transformation and significant improvement in efficiency indicators [2] - From January to September, the production of special steel reached 58.55 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 1.1%, with key varieties like gear steel and spring steel seeing growth rates of 11.2% and 16.5% respectively [2] Price Trends - The average price index for special steel decreased by 0.67% year-on-year, while the price index for special quality steel increased by 0.51%, indicating a divergence in market dynamics [3] - The price index for premium steel dropped by 6.86%, highlighting the need for the industry to optimize product structure to mitigate price volatility risks [3] Export Challenges - The export of special steel faced challenges, with a total export volume of 5.77 million tons from January to September, a decline of 1.3% year-on-year [3] - The industry needs to proactively plan for international market strategies to overcome external pressures [3] Profitability Improvement - The total profit of key member enterprises reached 16 billion yuan, with an average sales profit margin of 4.30%, an increase of 2.63 percentage points year-on-year [4] - The reduction in the loss ratio to 20% indicates a successful transition from scale expansion to quality and efficiency [4] Future Opportunities and Challenges - The industry is at a critical juncture with both opportunities and challenges, including global economic slowdown and increased competition [4] - Opportunities arise from national manufacturing strategies and the push for high-end transformation, as well as the demand for intelligent and green development [4] Strategic Directions - The industry aims to leverage technological innovation and talent development to drive high-quality growth, focusing on high-end, brand-oriented, international, intelligent, and green development [5] Key Work Areas - The industry association plans to enhance market ecology through self-discipline and collaboration, improve innovation capabilities, and expand international market presence [7][8] - Specific initiatives include establishing a data platform for industry insights, promoting digital transformation, and enhancing brand visibility through major events [8]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Cautious Accumulate" investment rating with a target price of 6.56 CNY, compared to the current price of 5.56 CNY [5]. Core Insights - The company is positioned in advanced steel materials, benefiting from the trend of manufacturing upgrades in China. Its industrial layout mitigates cyclical fluctuations, leading to superior profitability within the sector. There is an expectation of reduced competition in the steel industry by 2026, and the company enjoys advantages in valuation and dividend yield [2][11]. Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to be 72.5 billion CNY in 2023, decreasing to 61.8 billion CNY in 2024, with a gradual recovery to 67.9 billion CNY by 2027. Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to grow from 2.1 billion CNY in 2023 to 3.2 billion CNY in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 21.7% from 2025 to 2026 [4][45]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to increase from 0.34 CNY in 2023 to 0.51 CNY in 2027, with a net asset return rate projected to remain around 10% [4][45]. Company Positioning and Strategy - The company has a clear strategic focus on advanced steel materials, with significant R&D investments that exceed the industry average. In 2024, R&D expenses are expected to account for 3.94% of revenue, indicating a strong commitment to innovation [15][17]. - The company has successfully transitioned its product mix, with less than 10% of its steel products used in real estate and infrastructure, focusing instead on high-end manufacturing sectors [17][18]. Market Dynamics - The company is well-positioned to benefit from growth in downstream industries, with approximately 90% of its products utilized outside real estate and infrastructure, including automotive, marine, and renewable energy sectors [28][29]. - Export volumes and proportions are increasing, with export margins significantly higher than domestic sales margins, enhancing overall profitability [34]. Financial Health - The company maintains a stable debt ratio around 60%, with a strong cash flow from operations. The dividend payout ratio has consistently exceeded 50% since 2019, with a projected dividend yield of approximately 4% based on 2025 earnings [39][40]. Profitability Outlook - The report forecasts net profits for 2025-2027 to be 2.752 billion CNY, 3.006 billion CNY, and 3.156 billion CNY respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.45 CNY, 0.49 CNY, and 0.51 CNY. The company’s valuation is considered advantageous compared to peers, with a potential 20% increase in valuation expected [45][48].

Core Viewpoint - Company has significantly increased production and sales of steel in 2024 compared to the previous year, indicating a strong operational performance despite the overall industry challenges [2][8]. Production and Sales - In 2024, the company produced 1.2768 million tons of iron, a year-on-year increase of 90.25% - Steel production reached 1.3969 million tons, with an increase of 89.17% - Steel product output was 1.3571 million tons, reflecting a 94.63% increase, showcasing a significant improvement in capacity utilization [2]. Government Support - The company has received substantial support from local government, including tax incentives and subsidies [3]. Business Expansion Plans - The company is open to asset injection plans to expand its steel business, adhering to regulatory disclosure requirements [4]. Product Development - The company has adjusted its product mix in response to changing customer demands, focusing on eight main categories of steel products [5]. - There is a growing emphasis on product quality, with the company investing in quality assurance to meet higher customer expectations [6]. Equipment and Investment - The company is progressively updating its equipment according to an annual plan, with specific investment details available in public announcements [7]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 5.717 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 15.75% - The company reported a net loss of 959 million yuan, although this represents a significant narrowing of losses compared to the previous year [8]. Market Strategy - The company is implementing strategies to enhance profitability and operational vitality, including the restoration of various production lines [9]. - The company currently does not own any mines and is focusing on cost control through management optimization and procurement strategies [10]. Environmental Initiatives - The company is committed to environmental upgrades and aims to reduce pollution as part of its corporate social responsibility [13]. Industry Context - The steel industry is facing complex challenges, but there are opportunities for high-end steel demand growth due to the rise of advanced manufacturing sectors [12]. - The company is positioned as a significant player in the special steel market in the western region, despite ongoing losses due to industry-wide downturns [12].

Export Business Performance - The company's export revenue reached 556 million CNY in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 90.22%, accounting for 3.86% of total revenue [2][3] - The company aims to maintain export growth by optimizing product structure and developing high-value specialty steel, while diversifying market presence beyond Southeast Asia [2][3] Industry Outlook and Demand - The steel industry is currently in a cyclical adjustment phase, with a cautiously optimistic outlook for 2025 demand driven by major projects under the "14th Five-Year Plan" and structural growth in downstream sectors like new energy and automotive [3][4] - The company plans to enhance production capacity through smart upgrades and technical innovations, focusing on high-end products to balance capacity utilization and profitability [3][4] Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported total revenue of 14.416 billion CNY, a decrease of 7.69% year-on-year, with a net profit of 163 million CNY, down 27.75% [4][5] - The net cash flow from operating activities improved to 412 million CNY, reversing from a negative 139 million CNY in 2023 [4][5] Research and Development - The company invested 582 million CNY in R&D in 2024, which is 4.04% of total revenue, focusing on specialty steel and automotive steel [3][4] - Significant breakthroughs in core processes have led to 18 invention patents, and the company aims to continue investing in high-end steel for new energy vehicles and wind power applications [4][5] Strategic Focus - The company is prioritizing quality improvement and transformation during the steel industry's "stock optimization" phase, emphasizing equipment upgrades, green low-carbon transformation, and high-value product development [4][5] - Future growth drivers include optimizing product structure, enhancing supply chain collaboration, and advancing smart manufacturing to reduce costs and improve efficiency [5][6] Environmental Initiatives - The company has invested 3.08 billion CNY in eliminating outdated equipment and upgrading to efficient electric furnaces, achieving a 100% compliance rate for pollutant emissions [6][7] - The company is actively exploring opportunities in energy-saving technologies and has established a nearly 60MW solar project, generating approximately 52 million kWh of green electricity annually [6][7] Competitive Advantages - The company has established a unique competitive advantage in the specialty steel sector, leveraging its location in the Yangtze River Delta and advanced production capabilities to meet diverse customer needs [8][9] - The company’s export growth rate of 90% significantly outpaces the industry average of 22.7%, indicating strong international market competitiveness [8][9]