机构：华福证券 研究员：姚婧/张望 投资要点： 创新药业务25H1 实现收入0.58 亿元，同比提升96.6%。子公司轩竹生物已储备10+款在研创新药产品， 至25H1 已获批上市安奈拉唑钠肠溶片（国内唯一一个PPI 创新药）、吡洛西利片共2 款创新药。至2025 年7 月，吡洛西利片已完成全国首发、首批处方落地，未来商业化进度可期。惠升生物核心产品德谷门 冬双胰岛素产品新增覆盖医院1800 家，借助带量采购政策实现销量200%同比增长，预计德谷胰岛素注 射液全年覆盖超500 家目标医院，有序推进线下渠道布局。 盈利预测与投资建议 四环医药基本面修复持续推进，中报业绩扭亏强化未来的增长信心。当前医美与创新药新品均已上市， 有望加强管线协同力与业绩兑现度。我们预计公司2025-2027 年实现营收24.3/37.1/50.8 亿元（前值为 23.2/34.4/47.3 亿元），预计增速为28%/53%/37%，归母净利润为1.8/6.8/10.2 亿元（前值为0.6/5.3/7.8 亿 元），对应2026 年业绩PE 为18倍，维持"买入"评级。 风险提示 医美业务25H1 实现收入5.9 亿元，同比增长81. ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative price increase of over 20% against the market benchmark within the next six months [19]. Core Insights - The company has shown a significant turnaround in its financial performance, achieving a net profit of 0.66 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, compared to a loss in the previous year [3][7]. - The revenue for the first half of 2025 reached 1.15 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 20.7%, driven by the high-margin medical aesthetics business [3]. - The company has a strong cash position with total cash and equivalents amounting to 3.89 billion yuan, ensuring robust cash flow and payment capabilities [3]. Summary by Sections Medical Aesthetics - The medical aesthetics segment generated 0.59 billion yuan in revenue for the first half of 2025, marking an impressive year-on-year growth of 81.3%, with segment profit increasing by 215.3% to 0.31 billion yuan [4]. - The company has expanded its partnerships, adding 44 key cooperative groups and penetrating over 1,000 high-end medical aesthetics institutions [4]. Generic Drugs - The generic drug business experienced a revenue decline of 15.8% to 0.50 billion yuan in the first half of 2025 due to national procurement policies, but operating profit increased by 1.2% to 0.17 billion yuan [5]. Innovative Drugs - The innovative drug segment saw a revenue increase of 96.6% to 0.058 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, with significant growth in sales of diabetes medications and the launch of new oncology drugs [6]. - The company has a pipeline of over 10 innovative drug products under development, with two already approved for market [6]. Financial Forecast and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 2.43 billion yuan, 3.71 billion yuan, and 5.08 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with growth rates of 28%, 53%, and 37% [7]. - The forecasted net profit for 2025 is 0.18 billion yuan, with significant increases expected in subsequent years [7].

Core Viewpoint - The significant surge of over 200% in the stock price of Sinovant Pharmaceuticals on its debut in the Hong Kong stock market is attributed to the market's high recognition of its first domestically produced long-acting GLP-1 receptor agonist and strong confidence in the vast potential of the weight loss drug market [1] Investment Opportunities - The rise of innovative drug sectors presents potential investment opportunities, as exemplified by the stock performance of Four Seasons Pharmaceuticals, which has increased nearly 150% this year, primarily due to the high growth of its medical aesthetics business [2] - The value of Four Seasons' innovative drug segment remains significantly underestimated, indicating further growth potential [2][5] Product Development - Four Seasons Pharmaceuticals' subsidiary, Huisheng Biopharma, has received acceptance for the market application of its long-acting GLP-1 receptor agonist, Semaglutide, for improving blood sugar control in type 2 diabetes patients, with its weight loss indication entering the follow-up phase of clinical trials [4] - Semaglutide's unique mechanism and clinical value position it as a key player in managing both blood sugar and weight, aligning with global treatment guidelines [6][10] Market Dynamics - The global diabetes and obesity epidemic presents a significant challenge, with the International Diabetes Federation projecting that the number of adults with diabetes will reach 589 million by 2024, with China having the highest number of patients [8] - Traditional treatment options are limited, making GLP-1 therapies a breakthrough direction for diabetes treatment and a key solution for metabolic diseases [10] Competitive Landscape - Huisheng Biopharma has established itself as a leading player in the diabetes treatment sector, with a comprehensive product matrix that includes nearly 20 approved drugs for diabetes and its complications [14] - The company operates a full industry chain model that enhances its ability to respond to market demands and ensures product quality and supply chain stability [16] Global Expansion - Huisheng Biopharma has made significant strides in global expansion, with partnerships in various countries to promote its diabetes medications, and has completed FDA registration for Semaglutide [16] Conclusion - The innovative drug segment of Four Seasons Pharmaceuticals is poised for continued growth, supported by a robust cash reserve of nearly 4 billion and the commercialization of key products like Semaglutide [17]

Core Insights - In 2024, Zhifei Biological achieved a revenue of 26.07 billion yuan and a net profit of 2.018 billion yuan despite industry challenges, showcasing its resilience and long-term development potential [1][2][3] Financial Performance - The company reported a 14.98% year-on-year increase in revenue from self-developed products, totaling 1.182 billion yuan, while agency products faced significant demand fluctuations, with a 95.49% drop in the issuance of Merck's quadrivalent HPV vaccine [2][3] - Accounts receivable decreased from 27.059 billion yuan at the beginning of 2024 to 14.645 billion yuan in Q1 2025, indicating effective financial risk management [3] - The net cash flow from operating activities in Q1 2025 was 304 million yuan, a 107.12% increase year-on-year, reflecting a shift from expansion to refined operations [3] Strategic Initiatives - Zhifei Biological restructured core partnerships to enhance market resilience, extending the exclusive distribution rights for the shingles vaccine with GSK until 2035 and exploring a 10-year collaboration for RSV vaccines [2][3] - The company is adjusting the delivery schedule for Merck's products to optimize inventory management while meeting consumer demand [2][3] Research and Development - In 2024, R&D investment reached 1.391 billion yuan, with cumulative investment exceeding 5.1 billion yuan over five years, leading to significant advancements in its innovation pipeline [4][5] - The company has 34 self-developed projects, with 19 in clinical and registration stages, indicating a potential peak in product launches in the next 3-5 years [7] International Expansion - Zhifei Biological's overseas operations are gaining traction, with its tuberculosis diagnostic reagent "Yika" approved for use in Indonesia and other markets, and the 23-valent pneumonia vaccine receiving GMP certification in the Philippines [6][7] - The company is positioned to benefit from the approval of male indications for Merck's quadrivalent and nine-valent HPV vaccines, expanding its market reach [6][7] Future Outlook - The company aims to continue its commitment to social benefits while pursuing technological innovation and market promotion, positioning itself to play a significant role in public health and the vaccine industry [7][8]