海 外 征 伐 ， 户 储 军 团 的 崛 起 户用储能（即家庭储能系统） ，是一种针对家庭用户的模块化能源存储装置，可以帮助家庭实现能源自给、降低电费支出，并提升用电可靠 性。 户用储能市场是一个典型的 外向型市场 ，主要集中在高电价的国家，在欧洲、美国、日本、澳大利亚等发达市场已然成熟，并正逐步向东南 亚、非洲、南美等新兴区域拓展。 依托完善的光伏与储能产业链， 一批中国户储品牌凭借产品力与渠道力成功出海， 奠定了自身的市场地位。从2025年上半年业绩看，这支"海 外军团"依然表现亮眼： 派能科技 ，上半年营收11.49亿元，同比增加33.75%，产品销售量达1328MWh，同比增长132.57%。 文 | 中关村储能产业技术联盟 在能源转型的十字路口，一批凭借海外户储市场崭露头角的中国储能企业，正面临一道关乎未来命运的战略选择题。 当海外市场从蓝海变为红海，当国内储能商业模式逐步跑通，是继续深耕熟悉的海外战场，还是也要争夺国内已成规模的储能大市场？ 固德威 ，上半年营收40.86亿元，同比增长29.80%。逆变器销量约为39.95万台，其中储能逆变器销量约为3.32万台，占比约8.31%。 德业股份 ， ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the industry [1] Core Views - The acquisition of Precision Energy by Longi Green Energy is a significant move, enhancing its position in the energy storage sector [5] - The independent storage capacity pricing mechanism is being refined, indicating a supportive policy environment for energy storage development [6] Summary by Sections Wind Power - Wind turbine exports are progressing, with Goldwind's new factory in South Africa marking its sixth overseas facility, aimed at providing comprehensive services for renewable projects in the region [5][9] - The wind power index fell by 3.17% this week, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 2.09 percentage points, with a current PE_TTM valuation of approximately 25.97 times [4][10] Photovoltaics - Longi Green Energy's acquisition of Precision Energy aims to strengthen its foothold in the energy storage market, which includes a range of lithium-ion battery storage systems [5][6] - The photovoltaic equipment index decreased by 2.12%, with the current PE_TTM valuation around 50.33 times [4] Energy Storage & Hydrogen - The National Development and Reform Commission and the Energy Administration have introduced guidelines to improve the pricing mechanism for new energy storage, recognizing its value in the new power system [6] - The compensation standard for independent new energy storage stations in Inner Mongolia for 2026 is set at 0.28 yuan/kWh, down from 0.35 yuan/kWh in 2025, but still favorable [6] Investment Recommendations - For wind power, focus on companies like Goldwind, Mingyang Smart Energy, and Yunda shares due to their potential for profit recovery and overseas market expansion [6] - In photovoltaics, attention is drawn to structural opportunities within the industry, with recommended stocks including Dier Laser, Aiko Solar, and Longi Green Energy [6] - In energy storage, companies like Sungrow Power Supply and Haibo Technology are highlighted for their strong market positions and overseas expansion efforts [6]

Core Viewpoint - The global home energy storage market is projected to grow significantly, with a forecasted shipment of 27.8 GWh in 2024, representing a 19% year-on-year increase, and expected to reach 180 GWh by 2030, a growth of 547% compared to 2024 [2][33]. Global Market Characteristics and Driving Factors - Europe is the largest market for home energy storage, with a shipment of 13 GWh in 2024, but it faces a 10% decline due to falling electricity prices and reduced subsidies [4][27]. - The United States is experiencing rapid growth, with a projected shipment of 3.5 GWh in 2024, up 48% year-on-year, driven by tax incentives and rising electricity prices [7][29]. - Ukraine is emerging as the fastest-growing market, with a shipment of 2.5 GWh in 2024, expected to see a growth rate exceeding 300% [8][29]. - Japan's home storage market is also growing, with a forecasted shipment of 2 GWh in 2024, up 38% year-on-year, supported by substantial government subsidies [9][10]. - Australia is expected to ship 1.5 GWh in 2024, with a growth rate of over 20%, driven by federal and state subsidies [11][12]. - Africa's market is projected to reach 1.2 GWh in 2024, with South Africa leading and Nigeria emerging as a significant player [13][14]. Demand-Driven Core Factors - In Ukraine, over 60% of power plants have been damaged, leading to a surge in demand for home energy storage systems due to prolonged power outages and rising electricity prices [8][9]. - In Japan, the expiration of feed-in tariff contracts is driving households to adopt self-consumption models with storage systems [9][10]. - In Australia, federal subsidies are set to support over 1 million households by 2030, enhancing the economic viability of home storage systems [12][29]. Global Home Energy Storage Supply and Competitive Landscape - In 2024, China is expected to dominate the global market with a shipment of 21 GWh, accounting for 75% of total shipments, with major players including Huawei and BYD [16][29]. - The competitive landscape is characterized by significant players such as Huawei Digital Energy, BYD, and Tesla, with Huawei leading the market with a 21.6% share [29][33]. Policy Support for Home Energy Storage Industry - Various countries are implementing supportive policies for renewable energy and home storage systems, creating a favorable environment for industry growth [34][36]. - The European Union's "REPowerEU" plan aims to expand solar energy capacity, while the U.S. has extended tax credits for storage systems [17][34]. Emerging Market Growth - Regions like Southeast Asia, South Africa, and Ukraine are witnessing explosive demand for home storage systems due to unstable power grids and high electricity prices [35][36].

Core Insights - Guoxia Technology, a rising star in the energy storage sector, is preparing for its IPO on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange after a significant valuation increase [1][3][6] Company Overview - Founded in 2019, Guoxia Technology has rapidly grown, with its valuation reaching 6 billion RMB after a recent investment round [3][4] - The company initially focused on residential energy storage but has successfully transitioned to large-scale energy storage systems, with revenue from this segment increasing to 76.6% by 2024 [4][5] Financial Performance - Guoxia Technology's revenue has shown a steep growth trajectory, with figures of 1.42 billion RMB in 2022, 3.14 billion RMB in 2023, and projected 10.26 billion RMB in 2024 [4][6] - The company's profit margins have declined significantly, with gross margins dropping from 25.1% in 2022 to 12.5% in 2025 [7][8] Investment and Valuation - The company's valuation surged from 16.32 billion RMB to 60 billion RMB in just 20 days, raising regulatory scrutiny regarding the fairness of the investment pricing [3][6] - The influx of capital from investors like Shenzhen Ningqian and Kaibo Hongcheng is seen as a strategic move to enhance liquidity and attract mainland investors post-IPO [6][9] Strategic Partnerships - Guoxia Technology has established a strategic partnership with Zhongchuang Xinhang, which plays multiple roles as both a major customer and supplier [9][10] - The partnership includes a three-year agreement prioritizing procurement and project orders, indicating a mutually beneficial relationship [10]

Core Viewpoint - The company aims to strengthen its energy storage business by expanding into large-scale and overseas markets, while also enhancing product applications in residential and commercial energy storage systems [1] Group 1 - The company will continue to grow its energy storage business, focusing on large-scale and overseas market development [1] - The company plans to accelerate the application of residential and commercial energy storage systems to achieve full-scenario coverage in energy storage [1] - The company intends to maintain its position in the domestic high-power energy storage PCS market [1] Group 2 - The company is committed to continuous technological innovation in energy storage products [1] - The company will implement cost reduction for mainstream products and expand its energy storage product family [1] - The company aims to enhance the market competitiveness of its energy storage products [1]

Core Viewpoint - Guoxia Technology Co., Ltd. has submitted its second listing application to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange in 2023, with Everbright Securities International as the sole sponsor [1] Company Overview - Guoxia Technology is a provider of renewable energy solutions and products driven by platform technology and artificial intelligence, focusing on the development and provision of energy storage system solutions and products [3][4] - The company serves various application scenarios, including large power side, grid side, commercial, industrial, and residential markets, targeting both domestic and international markets [3][4] Product and Technology - The company offers a range of energy storage system products equipped with advanced management systems, including energy management systems, battery management systems, thermal management systems, and safety protection systems [4] - Key products include large-scale energy storage systems, commercial energy storage systems, and household energy storage systems [4] - Guoxia Technology integrates artificial intelligence into its products to enhance automation, safety, response speed, and operational efficiency, with AI algorithms optimizing charging and discharging strategies based on real-time data [5] Market Position and Competition - The global energy storage system market is highly competitive, with over 300 participants across upstream, midstream, and downstream segments [6] - In 2024, the top 30 companies are expected to account for over 90% of new energy storage system installations, with Chinese companies contributing over 70% of this capacity due to strong supply chains and technological capabilities [6] Financial Performance - The company reported revenues of approximately RMB 141.83 million, RMB 314.31 million, RMB 1.03 billion, and RMB 691.37 million for the years 2022, 2023, 2024, and the first half of 2025, respectively [6][7] - Profit figures for the same periods were RMB 24.28 million, RMB 28.15 million, RMB 49.12 million, and RMB 5.58 million [6][7]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the strategic partnership between Jingkong Energy and Club Solar to advance the deployment of a 2GWh residential energy storage system in the Australian market, leveraging each other's strengths for mutual benefit [2] Group 2 - Jingkong Energy will provide internationally competitive residential energy storage solutions through its strong R&D capabilities and global supply chain resources [2] - Club Solar will utilize its established channel network and localized service experience in Australia to create a comprehensive market service system [2] Group 3 - Jingkong Energy has built a service network across 52 countries and has a global production capacity of 31GWh [5]

Core Viewpoint - Jingkong Energy has achieved a significant strategic partnership with Club Solar in Australia to deploy a total of 2GWh of residential energy storage systems over the next three years, marking a key step in its global expansion strategy [2][3][12]. Group 1: Strategic Partnership - The collaboration with Club Solar was announced during the All Energy exhibition in Australia, aiming to leverage both companies' strengths to enhance market presence [3][5]. - Jingkong Energy will utilize its R&D and supply chain advantages to provide competitive residential energy storage products, while Club Solar will leverage its local market experience and channel network [5][11]. Group 2: Market Context - The Australian energy storage market is rapidly growing, with the Australian Energy Market Operator (AEMO) reporting 26.1GW of storage projects in the National Electricity Market (NEM), accounting for nearly half of all new generation and storage capacity [5]. - Since the launch of the "cheaper home battery program" in July 2025, over 100,000 battery installations have been completed, resulting in a distributed storage capacity of 2GWh for households and small businesses [5]. Group 3: Global Expansion - Jingkong Energy's global strategy is reflected in its recent orders, including the 2GWh project in Australia and additional contracts in Finland, Italy, and the United States since 2025 [12][13]. - The company aims to enhance its integrated capabilities across the entire industry chain and improve its global operations and local service collaboration [12]. Group 4: Product Offerings - Jingkong Energy showcased a comprehensive range of energy storage solutions at the All Energy exhibition, including the OmniCube-L233 and PotisFlexi-L261x systems for commercial and industrial applications, and the Nora series for residential use [14]. - The PotisBank-L6.25-AC utility-scale storage system was also introduced, featuring advanced technology to enhance safety, operational efficiency, and economic viability [14].

Core Insights - The article highlights the record-breaking attendance and performance at the 138th Canton Fair, showcasing the stability of the Chinese economy amidst ongoing US-China trade uncertainties [2] - The fair featured over 32,000 exhibiting companies, with Shenzhen's trading group achieving a transaction amount of $115 million on the first day, a fourfold increase compared to the previous autumn fair [2] Industry Overview - The energy storage market is becoming increasingly vibrant, with not only dedicated energy storage companies but also cross-industry firms presenting energy storage products [2] - Notable companies in the energy storage sector include Midea, Artas, Yishite Group, Lithium Valley, Airo Energy, and others, each showcasing innovative solutions and products [3][10][17][20][25] Company Highlights - **Midea**: Introduced the iEasy Energy Solution, integrating photovoltaic inverters and storage devices, achieving up to 90% energy self-sufficiency [5] - **Artas**: Showcased large-scale commercial and residential energy storage systems, with the SolBank 3.0 Plus battery offering a lifespan of 25 years and a 13% increase in energy throughput [10][12] - **Yishite Group**: Presented high-end UPS systems and new energy storage solutions, emphasizing AI integration for smart energy management [19] - **Lithium Valley**: Displayed industrial-grade containerized energy storage systems capable of MW-level power output and MWh-level capacity [20][22] - **Airo Energy**: Featured the ESS-TRENE liquid-cooled energy storage system, adaptable for various commercial scenarios [25] - **Huarun Power**: Showcased the NeoHome series energy storage systems, suitable for both residential and commercial applications [28] - **Huaxing New Energy**: Introduced the BATTLINK commercial energy storage solution, focusing on AI energy management and modular design [31] Market Trends - The fair indicated a strong interest from international buyers, with companies like Jule Energy and others receiving significant inquiries and orders [37] - The emphasis on innovation and technology in energy storage solutions reflects a broader trend towards sustainable energy practices and the integration of AI for efficiency [19][31]

Summary of the Conference Call for 德业股份 Company Overview - **Company**: 德业股份 - **Industry**: Energy Storage, specifically focusing on household and commercial storage solutions Key Points and Arguments Financial Performance and Projections - **Q3 Revenue Expectation**: Projected revenue for Q3 is between 900 million to 1 billion CNY, indicating a quarter-on-quarter growth but facing year-on-year pressure due to a high base last year [2][5] - **Q4 Outlook**: October production may remain flat or slightly decrease due to the National Day holiday, with November expected to see an increase, while December may enter a seasonal downturn [2][5] - **2026 Profit Forecast**: Anticipated profit for 2026 is expected to exceed 4 billion CNY, with a growth rate of around 20% [2][6] - **Market Valuation**: The company's valuation is expected to gradually align with its 2026 and 2027 projections, with an optimistic market capitalization outlook [2][6] Market Position and Competitive Advantage - **Market Share**: 德业股份 holds over 40% market share in Southeast Asia, with some countries reaching 50-60%. It also has significant shares in Africa, South Africa, and Pakistan [2][7] - **Core Competencies**: The company’s strengths lie in product quality, channel advantages, and cost control. It leads in low-voltage household storage with rapid product iteration and high customization capabilities [2][12][13] Industry Dynamics - **Global Household Storage Market**: The global household storage market is expected to grow at an annual rate of around 20%, with emerging markets like Africa showing even higher growth rates [2][8] - **Commercial Storage Systems**: Commercial storage systems have higher power and profit margins compared to household systems, with 德业 currently averaging 10,000 units shipped monthly, indicating significant growth potential [2][19] Inventory and Supply Chain - **Inventory Situation**: The household storage industry has seen a significant alleviation of inventory issues, with a notable demand for battery cells, which are currently in short supply [3][15] - **Impact on Orders**: The real demand is expected to be more directly reflected in future orders due to improved inventory conditions [3][15] Regional Market Insights - **Southeast Asia**: Strong export data from countries like Vietnam, the Philippines, and Thailand, with significant potential in Indonesia's distributed solar projects [9] - **European Market**: Focus on Eastern European countries where demand for low-voltage household storage is high, while Western Europe shows stable growth in commercial storage [10] Future Growth Potential - **Global Market Growth**: Despite low penetration rates, the global household storage market has a potential demand exceeding 100 million units, suggesting a robust growth trajectory for 德业股份 over the next 3 to 5 years [11] - **Financial Expectations**: Conservative estimates for 2025 project revenues of at least 3.3 billion CNY, with potential to reach 4.5 billion CNY in 2026, leading to a market cap exceeding 80 billion CNY [16] Industry Trends - **Commercial Storage Demand**: The commercial storage sector is experiencing healthy growth, with domestic installations expected to increase by 50% in 2025 [17][18] - **Advantages of Commercial vs. Household Storage**: Commercial systems offer significantly higher power and profit margins compared to household systems, indicating a strategic focus for future growth [19] Strategic Initiatives - **Diversification**: The company is also exploring opportunities in IDC and SST product lines, which may not directly impact current valuations but are expected to contribute positively to long-term growth [20][21] Conclusion 德业股份 is positioned for significant growth in the energy storage market, driven by strong financial projections, competitive advantages, and favorable industry dynamics. The company’s strategic focus on emerging markets and commercial storage solutions further enhances its growth potential in the coming years.