周期成长轮动演绎，冲突政策交织影响 公募基金指数跟踪周报（2026.02.24-2026.02.28） 分析师：孙书娜 分析师登记编码：S0890523070001 电话：021-20321306 邮箱：sunshuna@cnhbstock.com 分析师登记编码：S0890522090001 电话：021-20321067 邮箱：wanghua@cnhbstock.com 研究助理：张琦炜 邮箱：zhangqiwei@cnhbstock.com 2026 年 03 月 02 日 证券研究报告 | 公募基金周报 021-20515355 2026/2/26》2026-02-26 2、《地缘关税扰动并存，市场结构 趋势延续—公募基金指数跟踪周报 （2026.02.09-2026.02.13）》2026- 02-24 换 — 公 募 基 金 指 数 跟 踪 周 报 （2026.02.02-2026.02.06）》2026- 02-09 2026/2/9》2026-02-09 得 期 待 — 公 募 基 金 指 数 跟 踪 周 报 （2026.01.26-2026.01.30）》2026- 02-02 投资要点 分 ...

分析师：孙书娜 登记编号：S0890523070001 分析师：王骅 登记编号：S0890522090001 研究助理：张琦炜 投资要点 权益市场回顾与展望： 春节后第一周（2026.02.24-2026.02.27）市场温和反弹，各宽基指数纷纷反弹至前期高 点附近。受节后一线城市上海地产政策松绑的提振和伊朗地缘局势的扰动，顺周期题材中地产、化工等行业在 涨价预期下上涨。AI等成长方向开始从算力紧张向外溢至上游半导体零部件等供应链环节，电子布、电容电阻 等细分行业也持续上演涨价行情。消费方向则在长假集中兑现后开始回调。 在具体政策方向落地前，市场或将围绕两会主题进行博弈，包括消费、地产和创新等领域，叠加美国总统特朗 普计划于3月底访华，在此之前宏观氛围总体偏乐观。 固收市场回顾与展望： 上周（2026.02.24-2026.02.28）债市继续震荡运行，1年期国债收益率上行0.23BP至 1.32%，10年期国债收益率下行1.46BP至1.78%，30年期国债收益率上行2.66BP至2.27%。尽管节后债市止盈卖 出意愿有所抬升、周内债市产生波动，但周六突发的地缘冲突导致资金涌入债市避险，到期收益率转而回落。 ...

Core Insights - The first batch of four mutual recognition funds has been approved by the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) following the new regulations released on January 1, 2025, marking a significant step in cross-border investment opportunities for Chinese investors [1][2][4]. Fund Details - The approved funds include two equity funds: Morgan Asia High Dividend Fund and Taiping Greater China New Power Equity Fund, both with a management fee of 1.5% [2][3]. - The two bond funds are Fidelity Global Investment Fund - Hong Kong Bond Fund and Huaxia Select RMB Investment Grade Income Fund, both with an A-class management fee of 0.75% [2][3]. - HSBC and Bank of China Hong Kong are the custodians for these funds, with specific funds assigned to each [2][3]. Regulatory Changes - The new mutual recognition fund regulations have relaxed the sales ratio limit for cross-border funds from 50% to 80%, enhancing the sales potential in the mainland market [7][8]. - The regulations also allow for a broader range of fund types to be included under mutual recognition, providing more options for investors [7]. Market Context - The approval of these mutual recognition funds is seen as a crucial step for Fidelity's cross-border business strategy in China, responding to the growing demand for global asset allocation among Chinese investors [4]. - The mutual recognition framework aims to meet the cross-border wealth management needs of investors in both mainland China and Hong Kong [5]. Market Performance - As of January 2026, Morgan's mutual recognition funds have reached a scale of 84 billion RMB, holding over 40% market share, indicating strong performance in the market [10][12]. - The market has shown a trend where equity funds are attracting significant inflows, while bond funds are experiencing outflows due to increased market risk appetite [9].

Core Viewpoint - The approval of new mutual funds under the Hong Kong Mutual Recognition Fund scheme marks a significant development in cross-border investment opportunities between Hong Kong and mainland China, enhancing the asset allocation options for investors [1][3]. Group 1: New Fund Approvals - Several mutual funds, including Morgan Asia Equity High Dividend Fund and Fidelity Global Investment Fund - Hong Kong Bond Fund, have been approved under the new mutual recognition regulations effective from January 1, 2025 [1]. - This approval represents the latest batch of mutual recognition funds since the implementation of the new regulations [2]. Group 2: Fund Flow and Market Dynamics - As of January 31, 2026, the cumulative net outflow of funds from Hong Kong to mainland China reached approximately 1260.24 billion RMB, maintaining a level above 1200 billion RMB for six consecutive months [4]. - The mutual recognition mechanism has led to a diversification of asset allocation awareness among investors, allowing foreign asset management firms to introduce overseas strategies and products into the Chinese market [5][6]. Group 3: Regulatory Changes and Market Growth - The new mutual recognition regulations optimize the rules by relaxing sales ratio limits, allowing management functions to be delegated to overseas affiliates, and expanding the types of funds eligible for recognition [5]. - The sales of Hong Kong mutual funds in mainland China have seen rapid growth, with net outflows increasing from 426.65 billion RMB at the end of December 2024 to 1260.24 billion RMB by January 31, 2026 [6]. Group 4: Market Competition and Trends - The Hong Kong mutual fund market is characterized by a strong presence of leading firms, with Morgan Asset Management holding over 40% market share, while competition remains intense among mid-tier firms [8]. - The current market shows a divergence where equity products are attracting significant inflows, while bond products are experiencing outflows, indicating shifting investor preferences [8].

Core Viewpoint - The approval of the first four mutual recognition funds marks a significant step in the implementation of the revised Hong Kong Mutual Recognition of Funds regulations, which will enhance cross-border investment opportunities for mainland Chinese residents [1] Group 1: Fund Approvals - The first batch of four mutual recognition funds approved includes Morgan Asia High Dividend Fund, Fidelity Global Investment Fund - Hong Kong Bond Fund, Huaxia Select RMB Investment Grade Income Fund, and Taiping Greater China New Power Equity Fund [1] - This approval is the first since the implementation of the revised regulations on January 1, 2025, which increased the cross-border sales limit for mutual recognition funds from 50% to 80% [1] Group 2: Market Impact - The approval of these mutual recognition funds is expected to enrich the toolkit for cross-border investments, providing new options for mainland Chinese residents to participate in overseas capital markets and optimize their asset allocation [1]

Group 1 - The internationalization of public funds has accelerated in 2023, with numerous fund companies establishing subsidiaries to expand overseas operations [1][2] - Yifangda Fund has received approval from the China Securities Regulatory Commission to set up a company in Macau, aiming to enhance asset management services for investors in the Greater Bay Area [1] - The establishment of overseas subsidiaries is becoming a key vehicle for public funds to deepen international cooperation, as seen with the collaboration between Fuguo Asset Management and Malaysian entities to launch ETF products [1][2] Group 2 - The number of overseas subsidiaries for fund companies continues to grow, with Xingsheng Global Fund's Singapore subsidiary approved to enhance its research and investment capabilities [2] - ETFs are emerging as a leading product for international expansion, with several ETFs launched in overseas markets, including the first ETF tracking the CSI Dividend Index in Singapore [2] - Public funds are actively enriching their cross-border product lines, with various funds recently submitted for approval, including those focused on bonds and global investments [2] Group 3 - QDII funds are evolving their strategies, with many products now covering multiple markets, enhancing risk resilience through regional diversification [3] - The expansion of QDII quotas has provided strong support for the internationalization of public funds, with over 20 fund managers receiving new quotas in June [3]