日前，日本首相高市早苗称，将以年内修订"安保三文件"为目标。据日媒披露，此次修订的重点内容包 括增加防卫费、修改"无核三原则"、取消武器出口限制和大力发展进攻性军事力量等。1月6日，外交部 发言人毛宁表示，这反映出日本加速推进"再军事化"的危险动向，势必损害地区和平，国际社会必须高 度警惕。 2026财年防卫预算超过9万亿日元，再创历史新高；拟取消对武器出口的5种类型限制、为武器出口大 幅"松绑"；宣扬"核武装"论，试探"自主拥核"可能……最近，日本强军扩武步伐加快，进一步突破"和 平宪法"和"专守防卫"原则，引发国际社会对其军国主义回潮的担忧。 与往届政府相比，日本现政府加紧强军扩武有哪些新动作？动因何在？将对日本自身和地区局势带来哪 些危险？本报采访中国社科院日本研究所综合战略研究室主任卢昊，就此进行评点。 【军费暴涨战力升级】 【观察】日本2026财年防卫预算再创新高，引发广泛关注。日本《赤旗报》近日发表社论指出，2022财 年防卫预算为5.4万亿日元，仅4年时间便激增3.6万亿日元。这一数字与2026财年预算案中3.5万亿日元 的少子化对策费和3.8万亿日元的护理给付费规模相当。日本民众愤怒地将这一造 ...

日本"和平"纪念馆战争史展示研究学者 山边昌彦：我并不认为增加防卫费是为了和平，更像是为了让日本能够进行战争而强化防卫力量。这样做可能会把 日本一步步引向战争，我认为这是危险的。 日本政府将在2026年1月召开的国会例会上提交预算案，由国会审议。 日本政府在2022年底正式通过新"安保三文件"。文件指出，将在2023至2027财年将日本防卫费总额增至约43万亿日元。自2023财年以来，日本防卫预算连续 突破6万亿日元、7万亿日元、8万亿日元、9万亿日元。 防卫预算连续创下新高，引发日本各界担忧。 日本军事评论家 小西诚：日本政府将军费提高到GDP比重的2%、2.5%甚至3%，日本正在以惊人的速度推进军国主义化。 日本政府26日批准2026财年，也就是2026年4月至2027年3月的预算案。据日本财务省公布的文件，预算规模达122.3万亿日元，约合5.5万亿元人民币，再创 历史新高。其中，防卫预算更是连续14年上涨，达9.04万亿日元，约合4053亿元人民币。防卫预算持续走高，引发日本社会各界普遍担忧。 据悉，日本2026财年防卫预算的重点包括构建以大量无人机为核心的沿岸防卫体系"盾牌"，采购高超音速导弹和改进 ...

新华社东京12月26日电（记者陈泽安 李子越）日本政府26日批准2026财年（2026年4月至2027年3月） 预算案，其中防卫预算约9.04万亿日元，再创历史新高。 据日本时事社报道，预算重点包括构建以大量无人机为核心的沿岸防卫体系"盾牌"，采购高超音速导弹 和改进型12式反舰导弹等。在组织架构调整上，日本航空自卫队将更名为日本航空宇宙自卫队；新设规 模在880人左右的"宇宙作战集团"；驻扎在冲绳县那霸市的日本陆上自卫队第15旅团将升级为师团。 日本政府将在2026年1月召开的国会例会上提交预算案，由国会审议。 日本政府在2022年底正式通过新"安保三文件"。文件指出，将在2023至2027财年将日本防卫费总额增至 约43万亿日元。自2023财年以来，日本防卫预算连续突破6万亿日元、7万亿日元、8万亿日元、9万亿日 元。防卫预算连续创下新高，引发日本各界担忧。 责编：卢思宇、李萌 ...

Core Viewpoint - Ukraine has publicly showcased its new cruise missile "Neptun-d," which is an upgraded version of the existing Neptun missile, aimed at enhancing missile technology performance and expanding operational capabilities during wartime [1][3]. Design Improvements - The Neptun-d missile features significant design changes, including large fairings on both sides of the missile body, effectively doubling its maximum width and increasing internal volume. This design is speculated to enhance fuel storage for extended flight range and allow for heavier warheads to improve damage effectiveness [3]. - The missile is equipped with a turbojet engine for subsonic flight, with a claimed range of several hundred kilometers. It retains the original control system of inertial navigation combined with terminal radar guidance, ensuring stable navigation and guidance [3]. Performance Limitations - Despite improvements, the Neptun-d missile still lags behind international counterparts in several aspects. The basic Neptun model has a publicly stated range of approximately 300 kilometers, with the Neptun-d potentially reaching 400-500 kilometers, which remains significantly lower than advanced missiles like the AGM-158C LRASM with ranges exceeding 555 kilometers and the new LRASM1.1 with a range of 1000 kilometers [6]. - The guidance system of Neptun-d is considered single-mode and vulnerable to interference, as it relies on a combination of inertial navigation and terminal radar, which is less effective in environments with strong electromagnetic interference compared to newer missiles that utilize composite guidance systems [6]. - The missile's survivability is also questioned, as it maintains a subsonic flight profile without significant stealth features, making it susceptible to interception by enemy radar systems before reaching its target [7]. Systemic Challenges - The Neptun-d represents a "small steps, quick runs" approach to technological improvement, highlighting systemic shortcomings in Ukraine's missile industry. Unlike projects with complete domestic supply chains, Ukraine's missile development heavily relies on imported components and technology, particularly in critical areas like engines and smart guidance systems [10]. - The lack of comprehensive support systems, such as electronic countermeasures and multi-wave saturation attacks, limits the missile's effectiveness in highly defended environments. Additionally, budget constraints hinder long-term technological iterations and system innovations [10]. Future Implications - The Neptun-d missile's development reflects the urgent need for Ukraine to enhance its weaponry amid ongoing conflict. While it may provide limited improvements in long-range strike capabilities, its overall effectiveness against well-defended targets remains constrained [12]. - The future of missile development should focus on integrating weapons into a comprehensive operational framework, emphasizing autonomous innovation and system integration to maintain a competitive edge in military engagements [11][12].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the 80th anniversary of Japan's unconditional surrender, highlighting the ongoing issues of historical revisionism and militarization in Japan, particularly by right-wing factions [1][2][3]. Political Trends - The political landscape in Japan has shifted towards the right, with a noticeable decline in the acknowledgment of Japan's wartime actions. The statements made by past prime ministers have gradually weakened over the years, moving from explicit apologies to attempts to downplay historical grievances [2][3]. - The rise of extreme right-wing parties in Japan's recent elections indicates a growing influence of revisionist history perspectives, which may further entrench militaristic ideologies within the political sphere [3]. Historical Narrative - The current narrative in Japan emphasizes victimhood, particularly regarding the atomic bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki, while neglecting the country's wartime aggressions against other nations. This selective memory is becoming more prevalent in Japanese society [4][6][7]. - Recent polls show a significant portion of the Japanese population either does not recognize or is unaware of Japan's role in wartime aggression, with only 35% acknowledging it as an invasion [6]. Military Expansion - Japan is moving towards a more militarized stance, with plans to significantly increase defense spending and develop offensive military capabilities. The government aims to raise defense expenditures to approximately 43 trillion yen over the next five years [8]. - The procurement of advanced weaponry, including cruise missiles, indicates a shift from a defensive posture to one that includes offensive capabilities, raising concerns about Japan's military intentions [8][9]. Economic Implications - The potential intertwining of Japan's economy with military production and exports poses significant concerns. The recent decision to export advanced warships marks a notable shift in Japan's post-war defense policy [9].

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the need for Japan to deeply reflect on its history of aggression, especially as the 80th anniversary of its unconditional surrender approaches, while highlighting the rise of right-wing forces that seek to downplay this history and portray Japan as a victim [1][2]. Group 1: Political Trends - The political landscape in Japan has shifted towards the right, with notable changes in the tone of official statements regarding historical reflection, moving from the strong apologies of the past to a more diluted acknowledgment of wartime actions [2][3]. - The rise of extreme right-wing parties in Japan's recent elections indicates a growing influence of revisionist historical perspectives, which may further entrench these views in the political discourse [3]. Group 2: Public Sentiment and Historical Narrative - A recent NHK poll revealed that only 35% of respondents recognized Japan's actions during the war as aggression against Asian countries, with a significant portion of the population either unsure or denying this perspective [4][5]. - The narrative of Japan as a "victim" of war, particularly in the context of the atomic bombings, has overshadowed the acknowledgment of its own wartime aggressions, leading to a skewed historical understanding among the populace [5][6]. Group 3: Military Expansion - Japan's government has been progressively loosening its post-war pacifist stance, with plans to significantly increase defense spending and develop offensive military capabilities, reflecting a shift towards a more militarized posture [6][7]. - The recent decision by Australia to procure upgraded Japanese warships marks a significant step in Japan's military exports, indicating a potential merging of its economy with military production, which raises concerns about the implications of such a trend [7].

Core Viewpoint - Japan's largest live-fire exercise, "Fuji Comprehensive Firepower Exercise 2025," was launched, showcasing advanced weaponry and emphasizing the country's shift towards enhancing its defense capabilities, particularly in terms of offensive capabilities and island defense [1][4][15]. Group 1: Exercise Overview - The exercise involved 3,000 personnel and included various military equipment such as 45 tanks and armored vehicles, 64 artillery pieces, and multiple types of missile launchers, utilizing nearly 77 tons of ammunition [3]. - This year's exercise featured the debut of the "Type 24 General Tactical Vehicle," which has three variants designed for troop transport, fire suppression, and reconnaissance, indicating preparations for rapid island seizure [6]. Group 2: Advanced Weaponry - The "Improved Type 12 Anti-Ship Missile" was highlighted, with a modified launch vehicle design that has a larger launch box and a maximum range exceeding 1,000 kilometers [9][10]. - The hypersonic missile, developed by Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, can fly at speeds over Mach 5 and has a range of 900 kilometers, with plans for operational deployment accelerated to next year [12]. Group 3: Strategic Implications - The exercise reflects Japan's strategic shift towards enhancing its preemptive strike capabilities, aligning with the new security strategy introduced in late 2022, which emphasizes the development of capabilities for attacking enemy bases [15]. - Japan's focus on long-range firepower and larger operational platforms is expected to impact regional strategic balance and stability negatively [16].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses Japan's largest live-fire exercise, "Fuji Comprehensive Firepower Exercise 2025," highlighting the introduction of advanced weaponry and its implications for regional security dynamics [1][2][4]. Summary by Sections Exercise Overview - The "Fuji Comprehensive Firepower Exercise 2025" involved 3,000 personnel and utilized nearly 77 tons of ammunition, showcasing various military assets including 45 tanks and armored vehicles, 64 artillery pieces, and multiple types of missile launchers [1]. Advanced Weaponry - The exercise featured the debut of the "Improved Type 12 Anti-Ship Missile," which has a maximum range exceeding 1,000 kilometers and employs a multi-faceted stealth design [2]. - The "Hypersonic Missile," developed by Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, can travel at speeds over Mach 5 and has a maximum range of 900 kilometers, with plans for operational deployment accelerated to next year [3]. Strategic Implications - Experts interpret the exercise as a demonstration of Japan's shift towards a more proactive defense strategy, emphasizing the development of preemptive strike capabilities and long-range firepower [6][7]. - The focus on "firepower long-range" and larger operational platforms indicates a more offensive posture, potentially destabilizing regional security and strategic balance [7].

Core Viewpoint - Japan's Ground Self-Defense Force has launched its largest live-fire exercise, "Fuji Comprehensive Firepower Exercise 2025," which includes advanced missile systems and focuses on island seizure tactics [1] Summary by Categories Exercise Details - The exercise involves 3,000 personnel and includes both daytime and nighttime operations [1] - A total of 45 tanks and armored vehicles, 64 artillery pieces, and various missile launch vehicles are deployed [1] - The exercise utilizes nearly 77 tons of ammunition [1] Advanced Weaponry - The exercise showcases the "improved Type 12 anti-ship missile" and hypersonic missiles for the first time [1] - Various types of armed helicopters, MV-22 Osprey transport aircraft, and drones are also part of the exercise [1]