数据中心供配电设备
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数据中心供配电设备行业跟踪:AI及数据中心维持高景气,电力设备需求旺盛
Shanghai Aijian Securities· 2025-12-16 08:32
Investment Rating - The report rates the industry as "Outperform" [3] Core Insights - The data center industry has become a core incremental application scenario for the power equipment sector, directly driving demand growth and technological iteration in power equipment [3][7] - The report emphasizes the need to incorporate multi-dimensional indicators from the AI industry to accurately gauge the demand for power distribution equipment in data centers, given the capital expenditure scale and long investment return cycles in the data center sector [3][7] - The demand side is driven by capital expenditures from leading cloud providers, which serve as a direct "barometer" for short-term demand potential for power distribution equipment [3][8] Summary by Sections Demand Side - Capital expenditures from overseas cloud providers reached $99.617 billion in Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 80.39% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 9.54% [4][9] - Domestic capital expenditures from Alibaba and Tencent showed a slowdown, with Alibaba's expenditure at 31.501 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 80.10% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 18.55% [4][14] - The report highlights that the investment rhythm of data centers is constrained by GPU supply, necessitating tracking of key supply chain data to validate demand progress [3][7] Supply Chain - Nvidia's revenue reached 362.571 billion yuan in Q3 2025, marking a historical peak with a quarter-on-quarter growth of 24.63% and a year-on-year growth of 62.49% [4][18] - TSMC reported revenue of 343.614 billion New Taiwan dollars in November 2025, a year-on-year increase of 24.5% [4][24] - The CPU price index rose to 98.20 in October 2025, while DRAM spot prices surged over 200% from $12.85 to $38.76 within two months, indicating strong server demand [4][27] Application Side - The report notes a steady increase in the number of AI models and application deployments, which directly influence the capital expenditure cycle of data centers [4][29] - The OpenRouter platform recorded a token call volume of 5.78 trillion from December 2 to December 8, 2025, reflecting a week-on-week decrease of 6.62% [4][37] - The prices for tokens of models scoring over 40 on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index dropped by over 50% in Q3 2025 [4][47]
数据中心供配电设备行业跟踪:数据中心及AI景气上行,电力设备需求持续增长
Shanghai Aijian Securities· 2025-12-12 11:32
Investment Rating - The report rates the electric power equipment industry as "stronger than the market" [3]. Core Viewpoints - The demand for electric power equipment is driven by the growth of data centers, which are becoming the core incremental application scenario for the industry. The report emphasizes the need to incorporate AI industry indicators to accurately gauge the demand for power distribution equipment [3][6]. - Capital expenditures from major cloud providers are a direct indicator of demand potential for power distribution equipment, with significant growth observed in overseas capital expenditures [9][12]. - The supply chain remains robust, with companies like NVIDIA and TSMC showing strong revenue growth, indicating a healthy supply of GPUs essential for data center operations [18][24]. - The application layer is witnessing an increase in AI model deployments, which directly impacts capital expenditure cycles and long-term demand for power distribution equipment [29][30]. Summary by Sections Demand Side - The report highlights that overseas cloud providers' capital expenditures reached $99.617 billion in Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 80.39% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 9.54% [9]. - Domestic capital expenditures from Alibaba and Tencent showed a slowdown, with Alibaba's capital expenditure at 315.01 million yuan, up 80.10% year-on-year but down 18.55% quarter-on-quarter [12][15]. Supply Chain - NVIDIA's data center product revenue reached 362.571 billion yuan in Q3 2025, marking a historical peak with a quarter-on-quarter growth of 24.62% and a year-on-year growth of 66.44% [18]. - TSMC's revenue in November 2025 was 343.614 billion New Taiwan dollars, a year-on-year increase of 24.5% [24]. Application Layer - The report notes a steady increase in AI model updates and application deployments, which are crucial for determining the strength and sustainability of capital expenditure cycles [29]. - The price of tokens for AI models has decreased by over 50% following the release of new models, indicating a competitive market [46]. Key Recommendations - The report recommends investing in companies like Sunshine Power (300274.SZ) and suggests paying attention to Keda Data (002335.SZ), Kstar (002518.SZ), and Kelon Electronics (002121.SZ) as beneficiaries of the growing demand for power distribution equipment driven by data centers [3].