日本十年期国债

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日本10年期国债需求创14个月新高 市场聚焦周四30年期国债发售
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-06-03 07:04
Group 1 - The demand for Japan's 10-year government bonds has unexpectedly strengthened, providing a boost to the recently volatile bond market, with a key demand indicator reaching a new high since April 2024 [1] - The 10-year government bond futures rose slightly to 139.14 yen, corresponding to a yield decrease of 2.5 basis points to 1.48%, despite rising yields in major global economies [1][4] - The upcoming 30-year government bond auction is seen as a critical test of market sentiment towards ultra-long-term bonds, with traders remaining cautious [1][4] Group 2 - Senior interest rate strategist Miki Den from Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Securities noted that the 1.5% yield level is attractive for allocation funds, which is key to the recovery in demand [4] - However, he warned that the downward yield potential may be limited due to the upcoming 30-year bond issuance, indicating that the market needs to digest the supply pressure from ultra-long-term bonds [4] - The global bond market is currently experiencing a crisis of confidence, with concerns over large fiscal deficits in major economies increasing debt burdens, compounded by the Bank of Japan's gradual exit from large-scale bond purchases [4][5] Group 3 - Recent auction data shows that the subscription multiple for the 2.6 trillion yen 10-year government bonds significantly increased to above the one-year average, despite yields rising over 50 basis points from the 2023 low [5] - The attractiveness of Japanese bonds relative to other developed countries is a primary reason for the influx of allocation funds [5] - The upcoming 30-year bond auction is expected to be a crucial observation point, as its yield has reached the highest level since issuance, which will directly impact global investors' risk assessment of the Japanese bond market [5]