Group 1: Company Overview - The company primarily engages in the development and utilization of tungsten mining resources, producing ammonium paratungstate (APT), tungsten oxide, tungsten powder, tungsten carbide powder, thermal spray powder, and hard alloy products, establishing a comprehensive tungsten industry chain [2][3] - The upstream business focuses on tungsten ore exploration and selection, with tungsten concentrate as the main product, and by-products including tin and copper concentrates sold externally [2][3] Group 2: Mining Operations - In the first half of 2025, the company produced 1,849.93 tons of tungsten concentrate (WO3 65%), a year-on-year increase of 3.24%; tin concentrate production was 426.12 tons, up 2.71%; and copper concentrate production was 180.61 tons, up 2.02% [5] - The company is advancing resource integration and deep mining construction, enhancing mining and selection efficiency to increase output of tungsten, tin, and copper [6] Group 3: Cost and Procurement - Mining costs are influenced by geological conditions, ore grades, management levels, and labor costs, varying across different mines [7] - The company self-produces all tungsten concentrate for internal use and procures additional tungsten concentrate and APT from external suppliers, ensuring stable supply through rigorous supplier evaluation [8] Group 4: Impact of Raw Material Prices - Rising tungsten concentrate prices positively affect the company, but significant fluctuations in procurement prices can impact production costs and overall business performance [9] Group 5: Sales Performance - In the first half of 2025, tungsten powder sales reached 2,657.83 tons, a 43.68% increase; tungsten carbide powder sales were 2,975.12 tons, up 19.25%; however, hard alloy sales decreased by 7.17% to 573.92 tons, and thermal spray powder sales fell by 1.93% to 222.59 tons [10] Group 6: Subsidiary Performance - In the first half of 2025, the subsidiary Ganzhou Aoketai achieved revenue of 353.53 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.36%, with hard alloy tool sales contributing 189.27 million yuan, up 2.26% [11][12] - Ganzhou Aoketai specializes in cutting tools for difficult-to-machine materials, providing solutions for various industries including automotive, aerospace, and energy [12]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on non-ferrous metal stocks, suggesting to buy on dips [2][3]. Core Views - The report indicates that the recent decline in metal prices has ended, leading to increased purchasing activity from downstream buyers. It emphasizes a long-term bullish view on non-ferrous resources, particularly copper, gold, silver, aluminum, rare earths, tungsten, antimony, and cobalt [1][3]. Industry Overview - The non-ferrous metal sector has seen a significant performance with a 1-month absolute return of 5.9%, a 6-month return of 24.7%, and a 12-month return of 88.3% [3]. - The report highlights the recent fluctuations in metal prices, with copper inventory increasing by 0.46 thousand tons to 148.9 thousand tons, while LME copper inventory decreased by 5,075 tons to 148 thousand tons [3][6]. - The report notes that the price of gallium has increased by 3.74% due to tight supply and demand dynamics, while molybdenum prices have decreased by 2.40% due to weakened demand [3][6]. Key Metal Insights - **Copper**: The report anticipates a decrease in copper inventory due to pre-holiday stocking, supporting copper prices in the medium to long term. Key companies to watch include Zijin Mining, China Nonferrous Mining, and Jiangxi Copper [3][6]. - **Aluminum**: The report indicates a slight increase in aluminum inventory but expects a positive trend in aluminum prices and profits due to improved downstream consumption [3][6]. - **Cobalt**: The report mentions that the Democratic Republic of Congo is considering extending its cobalt export ban for two more months, which could lead to a supply shortage and price increases for cobalt intermediates [6][3]. Stock Performance - The report identifies the top-performing stock in the non-ferrous sector as Boqian New Materials, which saw a weekly increase of 14.76%, while Xianglu Tungsten experienced the largest decline at -12.66% [3][6].

Core Viewpoint - The recent market rally has led to significant stock price increases, yet major shareholders and executives are engaging in share reduction plans, raising questions about the implications of these actions for ordinary investors [1][2]. Group 1: Shareholder Actions - In 2023, Zhangyuan Tungsten's stock price has been on the rise, nearing historical highs, but the company has seen significant share reductions by its controlling shareholders and executives [3]. - On September 12, Zhangyuan Tungsten announced that its controlling shareholder, Chongyi Zhangyuan Investment Holdings, plans to reduce its holdings by up to 24 million shares (2% of total shares) within three months, potentially cashing out approximately 334 million yuan at a closing price of 13.93 yuan per share [3]. - Several executives, including the CFO and vice presidents, have also announced plans to reduce their holdings, with a total of 1.34 million shares sold at an average price of 8.26 yuan per share, resulting in over 10 million yuan in cash [4][5]. Group 2: Industry Context - Zhangyuan Tungsten is primarily engaged in the development and utilization of tungsten resources, producing various tungsten-based products, and is classified under the mining and manufacturing sectors [7]. - The tungsten market has been experiencing price increases due to supply constraints and strong downstream demand, with prices for tungsten concentrate and tungsten powder doubling compared to the beginning of the year [8]. - The company’s stock price movements have closely mirrored tungsten price fluctuations, particularly during significant price increases in May, July, and August [9]. Group 3: Financial Performance - Despite a revenue increase of 32.27% year-on-year to 2.399 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, Zhangyuan Tungsten reported a decline in net profit, contrasting with competitors who saw both revenue and net profit growth [12]. - The company's low self-sufficiency in tungsten concentrate (approximately 20%) necessitates external procurement, which may have increased costs amid rising tungsten prices [13]. - The gross margins for key products such as tungsten powder and carbide have decreased, indicating that rising raw material costs are impacting profitability [14]. Group 4: Competitive Landscape - Competitors like Zhongtung High-tech have reported significant profit increases due to their integrated business model, which allows for better cost control and raw material supply management [15].

Group 1: Company Overview - The company primarily engages in the development and utilization of tungsten mining resources, producing ammonium paratungstate (APT), tungsten oxide, tungsten powder, tungsten carbide powder, thermal spray powder, and hard alloy products, establishing a comprehensive production system across the tungsten industry chain [1][2] - The upstream business focuses on tungsten mining resource exploration and selection, with tungsten concentrate as the main product, and by-products including tin and copper concentrates sold externally [1][2] Group 2: Mining Operations - In the first half of 2025, the company produced 1,849.93 tons of tungsten concentrate (WO3 65%), a year-on-year increase of 3.24%; tin concentrate production was 426.12 tons, up 2.71%; and copper concentrate production was 180.61 tons, up 2.02% [3] - The company is advancing resource integration and enhancing mining efficiency through mechanization, aiming to increase the output of tungsten, tin, and copper [3][4] Group 3: Raw Material Procurement - The company self-produces all tungsten concentrate for internal use and procures additional tungsten concentrate and APT externally, evaluating suppliers based on management capabilities and quality to ensure stable raw material supply [7] - Fluctuations in tungsten concentrate prices can impact production costs and overall business performance, especially given the high proportion of externally sourced raw materials [8] Group 4: Sales Performance - In the first half of 2025, tungsten powder sales reached 2,657.83 tons, a 43.68% increase year-on-year; tungsten carbide powder sales were 2,975.12 tons, up 19.25%; however, hard alloy sales decreased by 7.17% to 573.92 tons, and thermal spray powder sales fell by 1.93% to 222.59 tons [9] - The subsidiary, Ganzhou Aoketai, achieved revenue of 353.53 million yuan, a 15.36% increase, with hard alloy tool sales contributing 189.27 million yuan, up 2.26%, and bar sales reaching 143.40 million yuan, up 28.30% [10]

Core Insights - The U.S. defense officials are alarmed by China's export controls on tungsten, a critical metal for both military and civilian applications [1][4] - China dominates the global tungsten supply, producing 80% of the total output, which increases to 90% when including allies like Russia and North Korea [2][3] - China's technological superiority in tungsten extraction and processing poses a significant challenge for other countries attempting to reduce reliance on Chinese supplies [3][7] Industry Impact - The automotive and aerospace industries are particularly vulnerable, with companies like Volkswagen and Boeing assessing risks related to tungsten supply disruptions [4][6] - Japan's electronics sector, including major firms like Sony and Panasonic, is facing urgent procurement challenges due to their heavy dependence on tungsten [6][7] - The U.S. government's "Mineral Security Partnership" aims to create a supply chain independent of China, but lacks the necessary processing capabilities to be effective [7][9] Market Dynamics - Following China's export control announcement, there has been a notable increase in demand for tungsten, with a reported 26% year-on-year growth in export value for the first two months of the year [8] - A black market for tungsten products is emerging as companies seek to circumvent Chinese export restrictions [8] - China's strategic control over tungsten resources is part of a broader plan to reshape the global supply chain for critical minerals, enhancing its economic influence [9][10]

Summary of the Conference Call for Zhangyuan Tungsten Industry Company Overview - Zhangyuan Tungsten Industry reported nearly 2.4 billion yuan in revenue for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 32% [2][4] - The net profit attributable to the parent company was 115 million yuan, with a staggering year-on-year growth of 2,954% [2][4] - Excluding tax incentives, operating profit and net profit attributable to the parent company increased by 15.94% and 16.87% respectively [2][4] - The company has an integrated production system covering upstream tungsten mining, midstream smelting and powder production, and downstream deep processing [2][6] Industry Insights - The tungsten market in the first half of 2025 experienced a continuous upward trend due to tightening supply, rigid downstream demand, and international geopolitical factors [3] - Average prices for tungsten products such as tungsten concentrate, ammonium paratungstate, tungsten powder, and tungsten carbide powder increased by over 11% year-on-year [3] Business Segments Upstream Operations - The company owns 10 exploration rights and 6 mining rights, with tungsten resource reserves of 79,400 tons [2][7] - Main upstream products include tungsten concentrate, which is used internally for producing ammonium paratungstate, and by-products like tin and copper concentrates [7] Midstream Operations - The midstream business focuses on producing various specifications of powder products, including ultrafine, medium, and coarse powders [8] - The company ranks first in ultrafine powder production and second in medium powder production as of the end of 2024 [8] Downstream Operations - Downstream operations consist of the main company, wholly-owned subsidiary Ganzhou Aokai, and Zhangyuan Spraying [9] - Ganzhou Aokai reported revenue of 350 million yuan in the first half of 2025, a 15% increase, and turned a profit from a previous loss [10] Production and Supply Chain - Tungsten ore production for the first half of 2025 was approximately 1,840 to 1,850 tons, with expectations for stable production in the second half [11] - The company received a national quota of 2,615 tons for the first half of 2025, with expectations for similar levels in the second half [11] - Ongoing resource integration at the Taoxikeng tungsten mine is expected to be completed by the first half of 2026 [11] Market Dynamics - The increase in tungsten prices is attributed to tightening supply and a seller's market, with significant price hikes observed recently [5][17] - Despite rising raw material prices, downstream demand for hard alloys has not been sufficient to support such rapid increases [17] Future Outlook - The company plans to maintain a stable dividend policy, adjusting based on performance [5][23] - Ongoing waste recycling projects are being explored, with the company possessing the technology for powder recovery [5][24] - The company is open to acquiring new mining assets if suitable opportunities arise [13] Additional Considerations - The overall self-sufficiency rate for tungsten may decline despite increased tungsten powder production [19] - The company’s tungsten inventory is sufficient for daily needs, with minimal changes compared to previous years [20] - There is no clear indication of joint resistance or procurement restrictions within the industry regarding current tungsten price hikes [21]

Group 1: Research Basic Information - The research object is Zhangyuan Tungsten Co., Ltd., belonging to the minor metals industry. The reception time was August 27, 2025. The listed company's reception staff included Zhang Cui, the representative of the securities affairs department, and Liu Min from the board of directors' office [17]. - The detailed research institutions included Zhongtai Securities (securities company with representatives Ren Heng and Li Runting), Huian (fund management company with representative Yang Kunhe), Guangdong Zhengyuan Private Equity (fund management company with representative Chen Zemin), and Yuanxin Yongfeng (fund management company with representative Ma Hongli) [18]. Group 2: Company's Business and Performance - The company is mainly engaged in the development and utilization of tungsten mine resources and the production and sales of ammonium paratungstate (APT), tungsten oxide, tungsten powder, tungsten carbide powder, thermal spray powder, and cemented carbide. It has an integrated production system covering upstream exploration and mining, mid - stream smelting and powder - making, and downstream deep processing of the tungsten industry [23]. - In the first half of 2025, affected by multiple factors such as supply - side tightening, rigid downstream demand, and international situations, the price of tungsten raw materials continued to rise. The company achieved an operating income of 239,920.59 million yuan, a year - on - year increase of 32.27%; an operating profit of 13,732.88 million yuan, a year - on - year increase of 2.19%; and a net profit attributable to shareholders of the listed company of 11,510.62 million yuan, a year - on - year increase of 2.54%. Excluding the impact of additional deductions, the operating profit and net profit attributable to shareholders of the listed company in the first half of 2025 were 12,751.38 million yuan and 10,664.70 million yuan respectively, with year - on - year increases of 15.94% and 16.87% [26][27]. Group 3: Company's Mine Conditions - In the first half of 2025, the company's tungsten concentrate (WO3 65%) output was 1,849.93 tons, a year - on - year increase of 3.24%; tin concentrate (100% metal content) output was 426.12 tons, a year - on - year increase of 2.71%; and copper concentrate (100% metal content) output was 180.61 tons, a year - on - year increase of 2.02% [28]. - After completing the record - filing of the "Reserves Verification Report of Tungsten Ore Resources in Taoxikeng Mining Area (Boundary Expansion)" for the Taoxikeng Tungsten Mine and Dongfeng Prospecting Right Mining Area, the company completed the compilation of the "Development and Utilization Plan of Mineral Resources in Taoxikeng (Boundary Expansion)" in the first half of 2025 and submitted it to the Ministry of Natural Resources for review. The "Reserves Verification Report of Tungsten Ore Resources in Xin'anzi Mining Area (Boundary Expansion)" for the Xin'anzi Tungsten - Tin Mine and Longtanmian Prospecting Right Mining Area has been completed and submitted for review. The resource exploration work in the Huangzhulong Tungsten Mine and its surrounding areas is progressing as planned. The deep - resource reserves verification and reconstruction project of Dayu Shilei Tungsten Mine is advancing in an orderly manner, and the underground filling system of Xin'anzi Tungsten - Tin Mine is filling the underground goaf as planned [29][30][31]. Group 4: Company's Product Sales and Subsidiary Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company actively expanded the market, optimized the product structure, and improved product performance. The sales volume of tungsten powder was 2,657.83 tons, a year - on - year increase of 43.68%; the sales volume of tungsten carbide powder was 2,975.12 tons, a year - on - year increase of 19.25%; the sales volume of the company's cemented carbide was 573.92 tons, a year - on - year decrease of 7.17%; and the sales volume of thermal spray powder was 222.59 tons, a year - on - year decrease of 1.93% [33]. - In the first half of 2025, Ganzhou Aoketai optimized its internal management and incentive mechanism, increased the enthusiasm of the sales team and problem - solving efficiency, and further explored the market. It achieved an operating income of 35,353.30 million yuan, a year - on - year increase of 15.36%. The sales revenue of cemented carbide tools was 18,927.11 million yuan, a year - on - year increase of 2.26%; the sales revenue of bars was 14,339.83 million yuan, a year - on - year increase of 28.30%. The net profit was 138.79 million yuan, turning from a loss in the previous year to a profit [34].

Group 1: Company Overview - The company primarily engages in the development and utilization of tungsten mining resources, producing ammonium paratungstate (APT), tungsten oxide, tungsten powder, tungsten carbide powder, thermal spray powder, and hard alloy products, establishing a comprehensive production system across the tungsten industry chain [3] - The upstream business focuses on tungsten ore exploration and selection, with tungsten concentrate as the main product, and by-products including tin and copper concentrates sold externally [3] Group 2: 2025 Half-Year Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 239,920.59 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 32.27% [4] - Operating profit reached 13,732.88 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 2.19% [4] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 11,510.62 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2.54% [4] - Excluding tax incentives, operating profit and net profit would have increased by 15.94% and 16.87%, respectively [4] Group 3: Mining Production and Resource Integration - In the first half of 2025, tungsten concentrate production was 1,849.93 tons, up 3.24% year-on-year; tin concentrate production was 426.12 tons, up 2.71%; and copper concentrate production was 180.61 tons, up 2.02% [5] - The company completed the resource verification report for the Taoxikeng tungsten mine and submitted the development plan for review [6] Group 4: Product Sales Performance - Tungsten powder sales reached 2,657.83 tons, a year-on-year increase of 43.68%; tungsten carbide powder sales were 2,975.12 tons, up 19.25% [7] - Sales of hard alloys decreased by 7.17% to 573.92 tons, while thermal spray powder sales fell by 1.93% to 222.59 tons [7] Group 5: Ganzhou Aoketai Performance - Ganzhou Aoketai achieved operating revenue of 35,353.30 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.36% [9] - Sales revenue from hard alloy tools was 18,927.11 million yuan, up 2.26% year-on-year [9] - The company transitioned from a loss to a profit, reporting a net profit of 138.79 million yuan [9]

Summary of Tungsten Industry Conference Call Industry Overview - The tungsten industry is experiencing stable global demand growth at an annual rate of approximately 1.2%, primarily driven by high-end manufacturing sectors such as aerospace and military, consuming about 110,000 tons of pure tungsten annually, equivalent to 220,000 tons of tungsten concentrate [1][3][9] - China dominates global tungsten supply, providing around 80% of the demand, with 2024 native tungsten concentrate production expected to be 133,500 tons, which is insufficient to meet market demand [1][5][27] Key Points on Tungsten Prices - Recent supply-demand changes in the minor metals market have led to a rapid increase in tungsten prices, with 55-degree tungsten concentrate reaching 220,000 yuan per ton and APT prices nearing 330,000 yuan, marking a historical high and an increase of over 50% compared to the average price in 2024 [1][10] - Factors contributing to the price increase include reduced tungsten quotas by the Ministry of Natural Resources, strengthened export controls, significant price hikes in international markets, and increased military demand due to geopolitical conflicts such as the Russia-Ukraine war [1][11][14] Supply Chain Structure - The tungsten industry supply chain consists of upstream (mining, ore dressing, and waste recycling), midstream (tungsten smelting), and downstream (alloy manufacturing) [2] Supply and Demand Dynamics - In 2024, China's total tungsten raw material supply is projected to be approximately 204,700 tons, including 134,700 tons of native tungsten, 60,000 tons of recycled tungsten, and 10,000 tons of imported tungsten concentrate [3][16] - There exists a supply gap of about 10,000 tons in the Chinese tungsten market, with both enterprise and social inventories at historical lows [3][22][23] Military Demand Impact - The military sector's direct and indirect consumption of tungsten is significantly increasing, driven by a large-scale arms race, which is expected to further elevate demand for tungsten products [1][13][15] Recycling and Recovered Tungsten - The use of recycled tungsten materials has increased, with some factories using up to 30% recycled materials in 2024, compared to less than 10% five years ago [1][8] - The growth rate of recycled tungsten production is expected to be around 7-8% in 2025, reaching approximately 60,000 tons [17][19] Regulatory Environment - The Chinese government has intensified efforts to combat the smuggling of scrap metals, which has further tightened market conditions [12] - Strict management of over-extraction has led to cautious behavior among mining companies, impacting current and future native tungsten supply [20][24] Future Outlook - The global demand for tungsten is anticipated to continue rising, particularly due to military spending increases in Europe and other regions, which may lead to sustained price increases [15][41] - The market is expected to remain under supply constraints, with total supply projected to be around 200,000 tons in 2025, while demand is expected to reach approximately 220,000 tons [26][41] Conclusion - The tungsten industry is characterized by a complex interplay of supply constraints, rising demand driven by military needs, and significant price volatility influenced by regulatory actions and geopolitical factors. The outlook suggests continued pressure on supply and potential for further price increases in the coming years.

Core Viewpoint - The small metals sector, including tungsten and rare earths, is experiencing significant price increases driven by supply changes and emerging demand growth, with a sustained upward price trend expected in the future [5][6]. Group 1: Price Trends and Data - As of August 21, the average price of cobalt is reported at 26.3 yuan/ton, up over 50% since the beginning of the year [5]. - Tungsten concentrate prices are at 218,000 yuan/ton, reflecting a 52% increase year-to-date [5]. - The average price of praseodymium-neodymium oxide is around 650,000 yuan/ton, also up over 50% since the start of the year [5]. Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - Analysts indicate that the supply-demand imbalance in the small metals market is unlikely to change significantly in the near term, supporting continued price increases [5][6]. - The demand for small metals is expanding, while supply disruptions due to policy changes are contributing to the price rise [6]. Group 3: Company Performance - Northern Rare Earth is expected to see a year-on-year increase in net profit of over 2000% for the first half of the year [5]. - Shenghe Resources anticipates a year-on-year net profit growth of over 600% for the same period [5]. Group 4: Market Outlook - The market consensus is that the price centers for cobalt and antimony are expected to rise, supported by high penetration rates of dual-motor electric vehicles [5]. - The tungsten market is viewed positively in the short term due to demand for restocking and export recovery, while long-term supply issues are expected to drive tungsten prices higher [6].