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山海:黄金出现极强状态,但还是强调回落支撑得失!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-12 02:48
Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes that the upward trend of gold remains intact, but it is not extremely strong, suggesting that trading should focus on buying on dips with support levels at 4220 and 4200 [2][4] - Gold's recent performance showed a drop below 4220, reaching a low of 4203, but subsequently rebounded from the 4200 support level, peaking at 4285, indicating potential for further upward movement towards 4300 and 4385 [2][4] - The technical analysis indicates that the H4 cycle shows a strong upward trend, with daily volume increasing, suggesting that gold could continue to rise, with key levels to watch at 4250 and 4232 for potential buying opportunities [5][6] Group 2 - Domestic gold prices did not follow the second wave of increases, with the Shanghai gold contract reaching a low of 960 and a high of 973, indicating a cautious approach to trading [6] - International silver continues to show bullish momentum, recently reaching a high of 64.2, with expectations for further increases, suggesting a strategy of buying on dips with support around 62.5 [6][7] - The Shanghai silver contract has also reached new highs around 15000, indicating a strong upward trend, but traders are advised to refrain from chasing prices and instead wait for potential adjustments before entering positions [7]
山海:金银走出了预期上涨,关注美联储利率决议影响!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-10 01:38
Group 1 - Silver has surged to a high of 61, with an increase of 82% this year, indicating a strong bullish trend and a recommendation to avoid short positions [2][5] - Gold is experiencing a fluctuating trend, reaching a peak of 4221, but lacks the same upward momentum as silver, maintaining a bullish outlook with expectations of gradual increases [2][4] - The market is awaiting the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, which is expected to influence gold's performance, with a focus on potential price movements within the range of 4180 to 4230 [4][5] Group 2 - Domestic gold prices have shown slight increases, with Shanghai gold closing at 961 and Rongtong gold at 951, indicating a range-bound market ahead of the Federal Reserve's decision [5] - International silver has demonstrated significant upward movement, with a recommendation to avoid chasing prices and instead wait for potential pullbacks to enter long positions [5][6] - Crude oil has not stabilized above 61, continuing a slow decline, while domestic fuel oil has shown an upward trend, with expectations of reaching targets of 2600 to 2800 in the long term [6]
山海:在美联储利率决议之前,黄金保持震荡走势!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-09 02:28
Group 1 - The overall market experienced fluctuations on Monday, with a peak at 4218 and a low at 4175, indicating a mixed sentiment in trading [2][4] - The gold market is expected to maintain a bullish trend, with key resistance at 4230 and support at 4175, while the market lacks upward momentum ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision [2][3] - Domestic gold prices showed minor fluctuations, with Shanghai gold closing at 960 and Rongtong gold at 950, indicating a range-bound market ahead of the Fed's decision [3][4] Group 2 - The international silver market is expected to remain in a range between 58.5 and 57.5, with potential for a bullish trend if it holds above the support level of 56.5 [5] - Domestic silver prices are also stable, with support at 13250, and a bullish outlook as long as this level holds [5][6] - The international crude oil market has faced challenges, closing below 60.5, and is expected to remain volatile, with a focus on the 61 resistance level [5][6]
山海:没有太大意外,金银继续维持震荡上行!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-08 03:16
Group 1 - The core focus of the gold and silver market last week was on the concepts of continuation and breakout, with gold experiencing a one-sided movement on Monday but failing to maintain that momentum in the following days, resulting in a range-bound performance [2][4] - The highest price for gold last week reached 4260, while the lowest was around 4170, indicating a trading range of less than 100 USD, with expectations for continued oscillation within this range unless a breakout occurs [4][5] - The upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate decision is expected to add complexity to the market dynamics, with traders advised to follow the established strategies and rhythms [2][4] Group 2 - Silver maintained a range under the pressure of 59, with multiple retreats below this level, indicating a bearish sentiment, while the support level was noted at 56.5, suggesting potential for a bullish trend if this support holds [6] - The domestic silver market also reflected a similar oscillation pattern, with a focus on maintaining positions within established support and resistance levels, particularly around 13250 for potential bullish movements [6] - The international crude oil market showed signs of recovery, closing around 60, with expectations for further upward movement towards 64, while domestic fuel oil also demonstrated a bullish trend, closing at 2510, with targets set for 2600 and 2800 [7]
山海:黄金保持多头趋势,在震荡中等破位!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-07 08:29
Group 1 - Gold and silver continue to experience narrow fluctuations within their respective ranges, with no significant breakout observed, but effective short and long positions have been established [2][4] - The market is currently in a strong oscillation phase, with a focus on the impact of the U.S. September Core PCE Price Index on market dynamics [2][4] - Technical analysis indicates that gold remains supported by moving averages, with a trading range between 4230 and 4180, suggesting opportunities for short and long positions within this range [4][5] Group 2 - Domestic gold trading has shown clear high-level oscillation, with profits accumulated from low long positions and high short positions throughout the week [5] - International silver has reached a peak of 59, with recommendations to avoid excessive bullish positions due to potential adjustment space, and a support level at 56.5 has been established [6] - Crude oil continues to oscillate upwards, closing around 59.5, with previous bullish positions recommended to be held, targeting a potential high of 61 [7]
山海:注意节奏变化,黄金在多头趋势中有调整!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-03 02:16
Core Viewpoint - The gold market is currently experiencing a wide range of fluctuations, indicating a shift in momentum and a potential for a trading range rather than a clear trend direction [1][3]. Technical Analysis - On Tuesday, gold traded within a range of 4235 to 4166, showing a pattern of initial decline followed by a rise, which suggests a lack of strong continuation in either direction [3]. - The daily closing price for gold was 4217, while silver closed at 58.2, indicating a continuation of the bullish trend despite the observed fluctuations [3]. - The H4 timeframe shows a convergence of Bollinger Bands and moving averages around the mid-band, suggesting limited movement within the range of 4260 to 4150 [4]. - The 10-day moving average is a critical support level; if it holds, gold is likely to continue its upward trend, but a break could lead to lower targets around 4120 or lower [4]. Trading Strategy - The domestic gold market has seen two profitable trades this week, with a focus on short-term fluctuations rather than long-term positions due to the high price levels [5]. - For domestic gold, key levels to watch are 970 on the upside and 955 on the downside, while for domestic silver, the focus is on the resistance at 59 and support at 56.5 [5]. - The international silver market remains strong, with a closing price of 58.5, and traders are advised to monitor for potential changes in trend over the coming days [5][6]. Market Conditions - The international crude oil market is currently stable, closing at 58.5, with expectations of potential upward movement if it surpasses the 61 mark [6]. - Domestic fuel oil is trading at 2450, with no significant changes observed, and a focus on establishing a bottom above 2530 is emphasized [6].
山海:金银冲高回落,注意市场强弱节奏变化!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-02 03:50
Group 1 - The market is experiencing high volatility due to uncertainty surrounding Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's potential resignation, leading to fluctuations in the dollar, gold, and silver prices [2][4] - Gold prices initially surged to 4263 but later fell to a low of 4218, indicating a possible adjustment phase after a bullish trend [4] - Technical analysis suggests that if gold breaks below the 4200 support level, it could confirm a short-term peak at 4263, with potential further declines to 4120 [4][5] Group 2 - Domestic gold contracts are advised to watch for resistance levels at 975 and 1000, with current prices testing 974 and 963 respectively [5] - International silver has reached a peak of 58.8, but a downturn is anticipated, with a focus on the 55.5 support level for potential trend reversal [5][6] - The domestic silver market is also expected to face adjustments, with a current focus on the 13000 support level for potential bearish movements [6] Group 3 - International crude oil prices are stable around 59.5, with expectations of a potential rise to 61 if the market maintains its upward momentum [6] - Domestic fuel oil remains at 2480, with no significant changes, and a focus on the 2530 level for potential bottom formation [7]
山海:12月直线开盘,金银极强继续高歌猛进!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-01 03:14
Group 1 - The market experienced unusual volatility last week, with silver reaching a historical high of 57.3, exceeding previous expectations, while gold also rose to around 4233, indicating a strong upward trend [2] - The analysis suggests that the bullish trend for gold and silver is expected to continue this week, with potential upward targets for gold at 4300 and 4380, while maintaining a low-risk approach to trading [4][5] - The domestic gold contracts have reached significant highs, with the Shanghai gold contract at 966 and the Rontong gold at 956, reinforcing the bullish outlook for the current cycle [5][6] Group 2 - International silver has surpassed market expectations, breaking previous highs and continuing to rise, with a current high of 57.5, indicating substantial upward momentum [6][7] - The Shanghai silver contract has also reached a historical high of 13400, with a significant increase from the previous target of 12450, suggesting further upward potential [7] - The performance of international crude oil remains lackluster, closing at 59.2, with expectations of potential upward movement if it stabilizes above 61 [7]
山海:感恩美盘节休市,黄金继续看慢涨空间!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-27 04:47
Group 1 - The current trend for gold and silver is characterized by a phase of upward movement, with gold prices rising from 4040 to 4172, indicating a strong support base at 4140 and a target of 4200 for the week [2][4] - Silver has reached a high of 53.5, fulfilling the anticipated target range of 53/54, and is advised to maintain a cautious stance moving forward, with a focus on December's market conditions [5][6] - Domestic gold prices have shown slight upward movement, with expectations for further increases, particularly for contracts like沪金 and融通金, which are projected to reach 960 and 955 respectively [5][6] Group 2 - The international oil market has shown insufficient performance, currently stabilizing around 58.5, with a focus on observing the 61 level for potential upward movement [6] - Domestic fuel oil has experienced minor declines, with a current price around 2470, and the strategy remains to hold existing positions while monitoring for signs of a bottom formation [6]
山海:黄金陷入大范围震荡中,暂时难以突破区间!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-21 05:18
Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - The gold market is currently experiencing a range-bound trading pattern, with recent movements showing a slight rebound after a dip, indicating a lack of strong directional trends [1][2] - On Thursday, gold reached a high of 4107 but fell back to 4045, suggesting a significant trading range between 4040 and 4150, with traders advised to consider short positions at the upper end and long positions at the lower end [2][3] - The technical analysis indicates that both daily and H4 charts are showing clear signs of range-bound trading, with key support at 4040 and resistance at 4130 [2][3] Group 2: Silver Market Analysis - The international silver market has also entered a period of volatility, with prices fluctuating between 52.5 and 49.5, suggesting a similar range-bound trading strategy [3] - Domestic silver (沪银) has seen a recent drop, with current support at 11500, and traders are encouraged to maintain long positions as long as this support holds [3] - The short-term outlook for silver suggests potential upward movement if it can rebound from current levels, with resistance points identified at 12000 and 12300 [3] Group 3: Oil Market Analysis - The international oil market has not shown significant upward movement, currently trading around 58, with previous recommendations to hold long positions at this support level [4] - Domestic fuel oil has experienced a slight decline but remains stable, with traders advised to monitor for signs of a bottom formation before considering further positions [4]