山海：黄金陷入大范围震荡中，暂时难以突破区间！ 沪银（2602合约）本周的11950多单提示在12200出局，目前11840多单还在持有中，不过今天白银再次回落，力度有点大，现在收盘在11730附近，按照走势 来看，白银大概率还是震荡，只要维持在11500支撑上，就难以大跌，所以，建议可以以11500为防守继续做多看涨沪银，今天短线看上方压制在12000，大 力度的话看12300即可。近期走不出区间，就以震荡看待。 国际原油还是没有涨上去，目前再次下跌到58附近，前面提示在58支撑附近做多看涨，虽然前面有部分利润，但是还是没有延续上涨，所以，现在也就只能 继续持有58的多单不变，本周大概率没有什么表现了，主要看周内尾盘的收盘变化，如果能起来下周再看上涨。 国内燃油（2602合约）微跌了一点，但是力度不大，收盘还是在2510附近，目前还是没有确定筑底，但可以尝试性加仓做多，看看这个周期的变化，本周确 定筑底的话，下周再看上涨空间，现在就多观察市场变化。 撰文/山海 (以上文章由山海原创，转载请注明出处。山海温馨提示，投资有风险，入市需谨慎。以上仅代表山海个人观点，不作操作依据，据此操作风险自担） 黄金周期性还是 ...

国际原油波动不是很大，经过两个交易日的涨跌，暂时收盘在59.5附近，前面提示在58支撑附近做多看涨，现在有部分利润，如果执行了多单可以继续持 有，看本周的变化，周期看涨的话，关注62.5低点的得失，不破看震荡，破位再看单边力度。 国内金经过三天的上涨，沪金最高在950（2602合约），融通金最高在942，前面布局的沪金925多单，融通金922的多单走出了预期的上涨空间，并且提示了 适当的调整仓位，虽然午夜国内金跟随国际黄金走出了下跌，但目前收盘来看，沪金收盘在941，融通金收盘在937，今天大概率不会开仓，等非农数据公布 后再开新的仓位。如果数据利多，沪金看到960，融通金过看到955。 国际白银上个交易日同样走出了上涨，最高在52.5附近，距离我们的目标53只差0.5美金，目前白银收盘在51.5，今天继续上涨的话就看53目标点，当然数据 利多的情况下，不猜高，破位53还有更大的上涨空间，所以，这个周期继续持有前期的50多单不变。 沪银（2602合约）本周的上涨力度明显，经过昨天的上涨，最高在12300附近，前面布局的11840多单，11950多单均有不错的利润，已经提示会员11950多单 获利350个点出局 ...

Core Viewpoint - The market experienced significant volatility last week, with gold and silver showing a pattern of four days of gains followed by one day of decline, indicating a struggle between bullish and bearish forces [3][5]. Gold Market Analysis - Gold reached a high of 4245 but fell to a low of 4031 on Friday, suggesting a consolidation phase rather than a strong trend [3][5]. - The outlook for gold remains bullish for the year, with expectations that any significant declines will be temporary adjustments rather than a shift to a bearish trend [5]. - The trading range for gold this week is anticipated to be between 4030 and 4250, with a focus on potential rebounds from lower levels [5][6]. Silver Market Analysis - Silver also experienced fluctuations, peaking at 54.5 before dropping to 50, with a recommendation to maintain long positions [3][6]. - The target for silver this week is set at 53, with potential for a double top formation at 54.5 [6]. Domestic Gold Performance - Domestic gold contracts showed strong performance, with specific buy signals at 935 and 930, and a recommendation to exit positions at 970 and 965 to avoid losses from the Friday drop [6]. - Current targets for domestic gold are set at 955 for the week, maintaining a bullish outlook [6]. Domestic Silver Performance - Domestic silver contracts also saw significant gains, with buy signals at 46 and 47, and a peak at 54.5, followed by a recommendation to buy at lower levels [7]. - The target for domestic silver is set at 53, with a focus on maintaining long positions [7]. Crude Oil Market Analysis - International crude oil experienced a drop to 58.1 but rebounded to close at 59.5, indicating a potential for a range-bound trading pattern [7]. - The support level is identified at 58, with resistance at 62, suggesting a strategy of trading within this range until a breakout occurs [7]. Domestic Fuel Oil Analysis - Domestic fuel oil showed little volatility, closing around 2600, with a recommendation to maintain existing long positions while monitoring for upward movement [8].

Group 1 - Gold has reached a high point of 4200, achieving the second target set by the analysis for this week, with all long positions taken this week profiting near 4200 [2][4] - The next target for gold is projected to be 4300, which may be reached by Thursday or Friday, indicating a continued bullish outlook for these days [2][4] - Silver has also met the expected target of 53, with a current high of 53.6, and is anticipated to reach a previous high of 54.5 this week, suggesting a short-term bullish strategy [2][5] Group 2 - The domestic gold market has seen prices reaching 970 for Shanghai gold and 960 for Rongtong gold, with successful long positions yielding significant profits [5] - The support levels for Shanghai gold are noted at 958 and for Rongtong gold at 952, with recommendations to continue buying on dips [5] - International silver has achieved a phase target of 53, and while the bullish trend continues, it is advised to wait for a pullback to around 52.8 before considering further long positions [5][6] Group 3 - The Shanghai silver contract has successfully reached the target of 12350, with previous long positions gaining 500 to 600 points [6] - Current prices for silver are around 12550, and the recommendation is to continue buying on dips, with support noted at 12300 [6] - The international crude oil market has shown significant pullback, with a current closing price of 58.1, suggesting a cautious approach to trading in this sector [6]

Group 1 - The bullish trend in gold has reached the first target level of 4150, with expectations for further upward movement towards 4200 and eventually 4300 [2][4] - Silver has also shown an upward trend, closing at 51.3, with a target of 52 in sight [2][6] - Domestic gold (Shanghai Gold) is expected to rise to 970, with current support levels adjusted to 945 and 940 for further buying opportunities [5] Group 2 - International silver has reached its first target of 51, with a potential adjustment in positions as it aims for a target of 52, and a maximum target of 53 for the week [6] - Domestic fuel oil has shown signs of bottoming out, with current prices around 2700 and potential targets of 2800 and 2900 [7] - International crude oil has maintained a bullish outlook, currently around 61, with expectations for further upward movement towards 62.5 [6]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that gold has entered a phase of sustained upward movement, with expectations for continued price increases towards 4150 and 4300 levels [3][5]. Gold Market Analysis - Following a previous low of 3888, the market was advised against overly bearish sentiment, anticipating a rebound that has now seen gold prices rise to around 4130, marking a significant single-day increase of over 100 USD [3][5]. - The breakout above 4050 is seen as a confirmation of a bullish trend, with further targets set at 4150 and 4300 [5][6]. - Technical indicators suggest that the upward momentum is just beginning, with the Bollinger Bands indicating potential for further gains [5][6]. Silver Market Analysis - The silver market shows a strong foundation for upward movement, with previous positions established at 46, targeting 51 and 53 as potential highs [3][6]. - The domestic silver market (沪银) is expected to reach 12000, with further targets at 12380, indicating a robust bullish trend [7]. Domestic Gold Market - The domestic gold market (沪金) is projected to reach 955, with potential for further increases to 970, reflecting a strong bullish sentiment [6][7]. - The article advises maintaining long positions in both domestic gold and silver, as the upward trend appears solid [6][7]. Oil Market Analysis - The oil market is currently experiencing limited volatility, with expectations of a gradual upward trend, potentially reaching 62.5 [7]. - The article suggests maintaining long positions in oil, with a focus on a slow increase towards the 2800 high for domestic fuel [7].

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of monitoring gold's price movements within specified ranges, suggesting a focus on fluctuations rather than a strong bullish or bearish outlook, particularly in light of the ongoing U.S. government shutdown and lack of significant market data [2][3][4]. Gold Market Analysis - Gold is currently trading around 4020, which is identified as a key resistance point. A break above 4050 could lead to a strong upward trend, with targets set at 4150 and 4300 [3][4]. - The market is advised to adopt a cautious approach, as failure to break 4050 may result in a downward correction. The support levels are noted at 4000, 3950, and 3900 [4][5]. - Technical indicators suggest a bullish trend, with a clear bottoming pattern and potential for further gains if the price breaks through the upper resistance [3][4]. Silver Market Analysis - The silver market is also viewed positively, with a focus on breaking the resistance at 49.5. If this level is surpassed, targets of 51 and 52.5 are anticipated [5][6]. - The article highlights previous successful trades in silver, reinforcing the expectation of upward movement while maintaining a watchful eye on support at 48.5 [5][6]. Domestic Gold and Silver - Domestic gold (Shanghai Gold) is experiencing a strong upward trend, with key levels to watch at 935 for Shanghai Gold and 930 for Rongtong Gold. The support levels are set at 925 and 920, respectively [5][6]. - The article suggests that traders should continue to adopt a bullish stance on domestic gold, with expectations of gradual increases in price [5]. Oil Market Analysis - The oil market is expected to remain in a range-bound state, with a current price around 60. A potential upward movement to 62.5 is anticipated if bullish momentum is strong [6]. - The article advises maintaining existing long positions in oil while monitoring for signs of upward movement [6].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current performance of gold, indicating a consolidation phase with a target of 4020 and a potential next target of 4050, while emphasizing the importance of not making premature predictions in the current market environment [1][3]. Gold Market Analysis - Gold has shown a noticeable performance this week, with four days of low volatility and oscillation, aligning with the analyst's expectations for a consolidating market [3]. - The price of gold reached the key resistance point of 4020 but experienced a corrective decline afterward, indicating a continued oscillation trend [5]. - The analyst maintains a view of a broad trading range for gold between 4050 and 3900, with a smaller range of 4020 to 3935, suggesting that the market is likely to remain within these levels unless significant breaks occur [5][6]. Technical Indicators - The daily chart shows signs of a bottoming pattern, but a clear bullish trend has not yet formed, with the analyst suggesting that a breakout above 4050 could signal a stronger upward movement [6]. - The H4 chart indicates a standard oscillation pattern, with expectations for a potential upward breakout if the price can widen the Bollinger Bands [6]. Silver Market Analysis - The silver market is also experiencing a similar oscillation trend, with a focus on whether the price can break above 49.5, which would indicate a stronger bullish sentiment [6]. - The domestic silver market (沪银) has shown a successful upward movement, with the analyst advising against chasing higher prices and suggesting a focus on the established trading range of 11100 to 11600 [7]. Oil Market Analysis - The oil market has seen a recent decline to 58.8, but the overall trend remains oscillatory, with expectations for a potential rebound towards 61 [7]. - The domestic fuel market (燃油) is advised to hold positions established around 2700, with a cautious outlook for the upcoming week [7].

Core Viewpoint - The gold market is currently in a weak oscillation state, awaiting the impact of upcoming non-farm payroll data, with key resistance at 4050 and support at 3900 [1][3]. Gold Market Analysis - Gold prices fluctuated from 3930 to 3988, showing a movement of nearly 60 USD, but ultimately did not sustain upward momentum, indicating a weak market condition [3]. - The ADP data released on Wednesday had minimal impact on gold prices, suggesting that current economic data is not a significant driver for gold's price movements [3]. - The technical analysis indicates that gold remains in a consolidation phase, with the effective trading range established between 4050 and 3900 [3][4]. Silver Market Analysis - Silver is also exhibiting a lack of trend strength, remaining in a consolidation phase with an effective trading range between 49.5 and 47 [4]. - The recent performance of silver shows a rebound without sustained momentum, closing around 47.8 [4]. Domestic Gold and Silver - Domestic gold prices showed a slight increase, closing around 917, with potential resistance at 925 and 930 depending on market strength [4]. - The Shanghai silver contract (2602) closed at 11350, within a trading range of 11000 to 11600, indicating a similar oscillation strategy as gold [5]. Oil Market Analysis - Crude oil prices have retreated to around 59.5, with a critical support level to watch; if this level breaks, it may signal an exit from long positions [5]. - The outlook for oil remains cautious, with a focus on whether it can break last week's high of 63 to confirm a bullish trend [5]. Domestic Fuel Oil - Domestic fuel oil has retraced to around 2700, presenting an opportunity for a potential long position as the market awaits further developments [5].

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. government shutdown has not negatively impacted the dollar, which has risen, leading to declines in gold and silver prices. The focus is now on the upcoming ADP employment data rather than the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision or the government shutdown [2][4]. Gold Market Analysis - Gold prices fell from around 4000 to a low of 3930, indicating a continuation of the previous downward trend. The market sentiment is cautious, with concerns about further declines [2][4]. - The current outlook for gold is characterized by a low-level consolidation rather than a clear bullish or bearish trend. The technical indicators suggest a potential for continued weakness, with the daily chart showing a bearish trend below the Bollinger middle band [4]. - A potential rebound is anticipated if gold can stabilize above 3975, with targets set at 4000 and 4050. Conversely, if it breaks below 3930, further declines to 3900 or 3880 may occur [5]. Silver Market Analysis - Domestic silver prices also experienced significant declines, with the Shanghai gold reaching a low of 907. The recommendation is to avoid chasing long positions and instead consider buying around 915 for Shanghai gold and 905 for domestic silver [5]. - International silver prices fell but remained around 47.2. A potential rebound is possible if prices can stabilize above 48, with targets set at 49.5 [5]. Oil Market Analysis - Oil prices have shown minor fluctuations, maintaining around 60. The bullish sentiment remains, with a focus on whether the price can break above last week's high of 63, which could lead to a target of 66 [6]. - Domestic fuel oil prices have remained stable, with a potential upward target of 3000 if bullish momentum continues. If not, adjustments may occur, with support seen around 2700 [6].