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山海:黄金在没有突破关键点前,还是震荡走势!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-04 01:57
Core Viewpoint - The market is expected to experience a breakout in gold prices around Wednesday or Thursday, with a slow upward trend anticipated on Monday and Tuesday [1][2]. Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - On Monday, gold fluctuated significantly within the range of 3960 to 4030, with a clear trend observed [2]. - The recommendation is to maintain a low long strategy, with specific buy targets set at 3985 and 3998, aiming for 4020, while cautioning against excessive expectations of upward momentum until a break above 4050 occurs [2]. - The current market is characterized as a weak oscillation state, requiring a daily close above the Bollinger middle track to establish a strong upward trend [2]. Group 2: Domestic Gold Performance - Domestic gold prices showed minor fluctuations, with the Shanghai gold contract closing at 920 and the Rongtong gold at 912, indicating a recovery from previous declines [3]. - The focus for the week is on breaking key resistance levels at 955 for Shanghai gold and 950 for Rongtong gold to confirm continued upward movement [3]. Group 3: Silver Market Insights - International silver prices have not stabilized above the 49.5 resistance point, indicating a continued oscillation trend [3]. - The strategy for silver remains to adopt a low long approach, with support levels identified at 47.5 and 45.5, waiting for a rebound at these key support points [3][4]. Group 4: Domestic Silver and Oil Market - The Shanghai silver contract is currently in a consolidation phase, with a focus on breaking the 11600 resistance level for potential upward movement [4]. - Oil prices are stable around 61, with expectations for upward continuation if the previous high of 63 is breached, targeting 66 [4].
山海:没有什么撤退而言,黄金继续保持看涨不变!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-06 02:10
Core Viewpoint - The market is currently experiencing significant movements, particularly in gold and silver, with a bullish trend expected to continue. The strategy is to buy on dips rather than chasing prices upwards [4][5]. Gold Market - Gold has broken the 3900 mark, reaching a high of 3920, and is expected to continue rising towards 4000, although this is based on speculation without concrete reasons [4][5]. - The key support levels for gold are at 3820 and 3750, with a strong upward trend expected as long as these levels hold [5][6]. - The trading strategy for gold is to wait for pullbacks to enter long positions, with a focus on maintaining a bullish outlook [4][5]. Silver Market - Silver has shown a strong upward trend, recently reaching a high of 48.3, and is expected to continue towards 49 and 50 [5][6]. - The key support levels for silver are at 46 and 45, with a bullish trend expected as long as prices remain above these levels [5][6]. Oil Market - International crude oil has seen a recent decline, reaching a low of 60.4, but is currently trading around 61.8. The strategy remains to hold long positions while monitoring for upward trends [6][7]. - The focus for oil is on potential resistance levels at 62.5, 64, and 66, with opportunities for additional positions as the market develops [6]. Domestic Markets - Domestic fuel oil is currently trading around 2900, with expectations of a downward trend following international oil prices. The strategy is to remain in cash and observe the market until new signals arise post-holiday [7].
山海:节前黄金走出预期调整,但趋势不变看数据影响!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-01 02:19
Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that gold maintains a bullish trend, with a strategy focused on buying on dips rather than chasing highs [5][6][7] - Gold prices have shown volatility, with a drop from 3872 to 3793, a total decline of 79 USD, while silver fell from 47.2 to 45.7, a decrease of 1.5 USD [3][7] - The market is advised to monitor the impact of upcoming non-farm payroll data on price movements, emphasizing risk control [3][6] Group 2 - The domestic gold market has experienced a decline as anticipated, with prices dropping from 873 to 855, nearly a 20-point decrease, but has shown a recovery to around 870 [7] - International silver prices have also decreased, reinforcing the strategy of waiting for pullbacks to enter long positions, with current support identified around 46 [7] - The international crude oil market is advised to avoid bullish positions unless prices stabilize above 66, with a focus on potential support levels at 61.5 [8]
山海:今天黄金是否能重复上周五大涨的走势?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-26 01:58
Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - The gold market is currently in a bullish trend with high-level fluctuations, maintaining strong support at 3715 despite a recent drop to around 3722 [1][2] - The recent high point for gold reached 3792, indicating that the upward momentum remains strong, and the market is not expected to peak at 3800 [2] - Traders are advised to wait for pullbacks to key support levels, such as 3750 and 3715, before entering long positions to maximize profits [2][3] Group 2: Silver Market Insights - International silver prices have reached a new high of 45.2, with a strong upward trend, but traders are cautioned against chasing prices at this level [3] - Support for silver is identified at 44.5, and if prices pull back to this level, it may present a buying opportunity [3] - The domestic silver market is also experiencing upward movement, with a focus on maintaining positions without attempting to short the market [3] Group 3: Oil Market Overview - International crude oil prices are on the rise, with a temporary high of 65.2, and traders are advised to take profits on long positions if prices reach 66 [4] - The domestic fuel oil market has shown significant gains, reaching around 2960, with a target of 3000 in sight [4] - Traders are encouraged to adjust positions as the market approaches the 3000 target, with a focus on maintaining bullish sentiment [4]
山海:不用怀疑,黄金调整之后继续看上涨空间!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-25 03:01
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes a bullish outlook on gold, suggesting that after recent adjustments, there is still potential for upward movement, but caution is advised against chasing prices too aggressively [3][5]. Gold Market Analysis - Gold is currently in a bullish trend, with recent adjustments showing a low of 3717 and a high of 3780, indicating a potential trading range for the day [5]. - The article suggests that traders should wait for pullbacks to key support levels (3715 and 3680) before entering long positions, rather than chasing highs [5][6]. - The technical indicators show a consolidation phase, with Bollinger Bands tightening and moving averages converging, suggesting a period of high-level fluctuation [5][6]. Silver Market Analysis - Silver has experienced a pullback after reaching a high of 44.5, with current support at 43.5. The article advises against chasing prices and suggests monitoring the support level for potential rebounds [7]. - If silver holds above 43.5, there may be opportunities for long positions, but a break below this level could indicate a further decline [7]. Oil Market Analysis - International crude oil prices have risen to a high of 45, with a target of 66 for the week. The article advises against chasing prices and suggests holding onto profitable positions [8]. - Domestic fuel oil has also seen an increase, currently around 2915, with a target of 3000. Traders are encouraged to adjust positions as they approach this target [8].
山海:黄金大涨后走出调整,保持看涨趋势回落多!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-24 08:40
Group 1 - The current market trend for gold and silver is bullish, with a strategy of buying on dips rather than chasing highs emphasized [2][3] - Gold experienced a significant drop to 3752 after reaching a peak of 3792, but this does not alter the overall bullish trend as long as support at 3715 holds [3][4] - Silver has shown a similar pattern, with a recent high of 44.5 and a current low around 43.8, suggesting a buy-on-dip strategy remains effective [2][4] Group 2 - Domestic gold prices are rising, with the Shanghai gold contract reaching a high of approximately 862, but caution is advised against chasing prices without a pullback [4][5] - The international silver market has seen adjustments after reaching 44.5, with a focus on buying at support levels around 43.5 [4][5] - The domestic fuel market has shown strong performance, with prices climbing to 2900, nearing the target of 3000, indicating a potential exit point for existing long positions [6]
山海:黄金极强上涨不猜顶,但调整做多才合理!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-23 02:36
Group 1 - The current trend in gold and silver is bullish, with gold reaching a target of 3750 and silver hitting a high of 44, with potential further increases to 3780 for gold and 44.5 for silver [2][4][6] - The market is influenced by a dovish interest rate environment and geopolitical tensions, which are driving up safe-haven demand for gold [2][4] - Technical analysis indicates that gold is experiencing a strong upward momentum with limited correction space, suggesting a continued bullish outlook [5][6] Group 2 - Domestic gold futures (沪金) have reached 855, with a recommendation to avoid chasing prices and instead wait for pullbacks to enter long positions [5] - The silver market (沪银) is also showing bullish signs, having broken previous highs and suggesting a focus on buying during pullbacks [6] - The oil market is currently at a relative low, with a support level at 61.5, and potential for a rebound if this level holds [6][7] Group 3 - The domestic fuel market is experiencing a range-bound movement, with a key support level at 2700, and potential for upward movement if this level is maintained [7] - The overall sentiment in the commodities market is cautious, with an emphasis on not over-leveraging and waiting for favorable entry points [5][7]
山海:美联储利率决议来袭,黄金将何去何从?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-17 01:03
Group 1 - The current gold market is influenced by geopolitical factors and the upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate decision, leading to a bullish trend in gold prices, with significant increases observed on Monday and Tuesday [2][4] - Gold prices have recently surpassed the 3700 mark for the first time, indicating a strong upward trend, although the market is expected to experience fluctuations and pullbacks, providing opportunities for buying [2][4] - The Federal Reserve is anticipated to announce a 25 basis point rate cut, which is expected to have a substantial impact on both gold and silver markets, necessitating careful risk management [2][4] Group 2 - The trading strategy for the Asian and European sessions is to focus on buying during pullbacks, with key support levels identified at 3685 and 3675, while aiming for targets around 3710 and potentially 3750 [4][5] - The market sentiment suggests that after the Federal Reserve's decision, there may be a significant downward adjustment in gold prices, with a critical support level at 3620 to watch for potential changes in the current bullish trend [5][6] - In the silver market, a bullish outlook is maintained, with a focus on buying near the 42 support level, while caution is advised against chasing prices higher due to potential volatility [6][7] Group 3 - The oil market has shown positive momentum, with recent price increases reaching around 64.5, and further upward potential is anticipated, with key resistance levels at 66 [7] - Domestic fuel prices have also risen, with targets set at 2850 and 3000, indicating a continued bullish trend, although caution against chasing prices is advised [7]
山海:地缘增加黄金避险情绪,等待美联储降息行情!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-16 02:09
Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that gold maintains a strong bullish trend, with a focus on a potential upward movement towards 3710, but trading should be approached cautiously by buying on dips [2][3] - The recent surge in gold prices is attributed to geopolitical instability, increased demand for safe-haven assets, a weaker US dollar, and declining US Treasury yields [2] - The market is advised to monitor the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, as a potential 25 basis point cut could lead to a medium-term decline in gold prices [2][3] Group 2 - Silver has shown an upward trend, reaching around 42.7, with potential resistance at 43.2, but traders are advised to avoid chasing highs and wait for a pullback to around 42 for effective buying opportunities [4] - The domestic gold market, particularly the Shanghai gold contract, has also seen upward movement, with a recommendation to buy on dips around 830 and 820 [3] - The crude oil market is advised to maintain a bullish stance, with support at 62.5 and potential upward targets at 64 and 66 [4][5] Group 3 - Domestic fuel oil has shown a bullish trend, with a recent high of 2820, and further upward movement is anticipated, with a key resistance level at 2850 [5]
山海:黄金调整走完,再看一波趋势上涨空间!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-12 02:28
Group 1 - The overall market showed little movement despite mixed CPI and unemployment claims data, with gold experiencing fluctuations but maintaining an upward trend, closing around 3640 [2][4] - Gold's bullish trend remains intact, with a focus on potential resistance levels at 3660/3665, and a support level identified at 3620 for potential buying opportunities [4][5] - Silver has broken through the resistance level of 41.5, closing at 41.7, indicating a potential upward movement towards 42, while cautioning against chasing prices too aggressively [6] Group 2 - Domestic gold contracts (e.g., Shanghai Gold) are expected to see upward movement, with support levels at 830 and 845, and traders advised to take profits near 840 and 830 [5][6] - The outlook for international silver suggests a continuation of bullish sentiment, but traders are advised to remain cautious and avoid chasing prices due to potential volatility [6] - The oil market is currently uncertain, with a critical support level at 61.5; if this level holds, there may be opportunities for upward movement, but a break below could indicate further declines [6][7]