山海：没有什么撤退而言，黄金继续保持看涨不变！ 上周由于美国政府停摆，失业金数据，非农数据都未能按时公布，导致美元市场，黄金市场都没有太大的变动，但是周末市场消息面也很多，不 确定因素也很多，今天早间开盘，日经225指数高开，首次站上47000点，日元对美元汇率调整，报149.52，黄金持续大涨，再次刷新历史高点， 轻松突破3900高点，至3920点位，白银再次走高至48.2高点。行情既如此，我们既要尊重市场，接受事实，本周保持多头趋势上涨不猜顶原则， 继续以回落做多的节奏对待现在的行情。 先说结论，黄金继续保持多头趋势看涨，交易依旧是回落做多，不追多。现在行情，每天都是历史性时刻，每个交易日都会创造历史，上周黄 金，周一，周二出现单边上周，周三，周四，周五出现震荡上涨，我们基本抓住了多头趋势交易空间，取得了不错的成绩。本周继续保持多头趋 势，看涨不变，周内维持看涨不猜顶，回落做多原则即可。现在黄金已经破位3900高点，继续看涨的话也就看到4000高点，当然这是一个预期， 并没有什么具体的理由。周期性行情的节奏大概率保持上周不变，周一，周二看单边上周，周三，周四看震荡上涨或者市场有变盘的可能，周五 则看修复性 ...

山海：节前黄金走出预期调整，但趋势不变看数据影响！ 沪银（2512合约）收盘在10920，没有夜盘没有体现出白银这波下跌的空间，现在停盘空仓观望，周中众多数据影响，变化较大，等节后开盘再给 分析。 十一节前的走势跟山海预期的一样，走出了一波抛盘性的大跌空间，黄金，白银在强势中都有所调整，其中，黄金从3872跌至3793，全盘下跌79 美金，白银从47.2下跌至45.7，全盘下跌1.5美金。山海强调，重点关注调整后是否有延续性，如果不能延续，多头占优，那么，在调整后会立刻走 出上涨空间，所以，调整结束后还是做趋势多。因此，周二山海给出了黄金3798的多单，白银45.5支撑多单，再次抓到了趋势利润。从今天开始， 关注本周非农数据周的影响，看数据行情的变化，大家注意风险控制。 先说结论，黄金继续保持多头趋势看涨，并且不猜顶，交易原则以回落做多为主。本周截至目前为止，周一，周二的行情都复制了上周的走势， 周一单边上周刷新高点，周二继续上涨后出现回落的大跌空间，但在趋势作用之下，空头不死，多头不止，黄金再次走出大涨空间，所以收盘在 3860高点，那么，今天的思路也较为明确，继续保持多头趋势，等待回落做多即可。今天另外要 ...

Group 1: Gold Market Analysis - The gold market is currently in a bullish trend with high-level fluctuations, maintaining strong support at 3715 despite a recent drop to around 3722 [1][2] - The recent high point for gold reached 3792, indicating that the upward momentum remains strong, and the market is not expected to peak at 3800 [2] - Traders are advised to wait for pullbacks to key support levels, such as 3750 and 3715, before entering long positions to maximize profits [2][3] Group 2: Silver Market Insights - International silver prices have reached a new high of 45.2, with a strong upward trend, but traders are cautioned against chasing prices at this level [3] - Support for silver is identified at 44.5, and if prices pull back to this level, it may present a buying opportunity [3] - The domestic silver market is also experiencing upward movement, with a focus on maintaining positions without attempting to short the market [3] Group 3: Oil Market Overview - International crude oil prices are on the rise, with a temporary high of 65.2, and traders are advised to take profits on long positions if prices reach 66 [4] - The domestic fuel oil market has shown significant gains, reaching around 2960, with a target of 3000 in sight [4] - Traders are encouraged to adjust positions as the market approaches the 3000 target, with a focus on maintaining bullish sentiment [4]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes a bullish outlook on gold, suggesting that after recent adjustments, there is still potential for upward movement, but caution is advised against chasing prices too aggressively [3][5]. Gold Market Analysis - Gold is currently in a bullish trend, with recent adjustments showing a low of 3717 and a high of 3780, indicating a potential trading range for the day [5]. - The article suggests that traders should wait for pullbacks to key support levels (3715 and 3680) before entering long positions, rather than chasing highs [5][6]. - The technical indicators show a consolidation phase, with Bollinger Bands tightening and moving averages converging, suggesting a period of high-level fluctuation [5][6]. Silver Market Analysis - Silver has experienced a pullback after reaching a high of 44.5, with current support at 43.5. The article advises against chasing prices and suggests monitoring the support level for potential rebounds [7]. - If silver holds above 43.5, there may be opportunities for long positions, but a break below this level could indicate a further decline [7]. Oil Market Analysis - International crude oil prices have risen to a high of 45, with a target of 66 for the week. The article advises against chasing prices and suggests holding onto profitable positions [8]. - Domestic fuel oil has also seen an increase, currently around 2915, with a target of 3000. Traders are encouraged to adjust positions as they approach this target [8].

山海：黄金大涨后走出调整，保持看涨趋势回落多！ 沪银（2512合约）经过上个交易日的上涨，到达了山海预期的高点10450附近，实际最高在10480，在冲高后也走出了较大的调整力度，目前最低在 10300附近，上下有150个点空间，虽然有力度，但并没有改变暂时的多头趋势，维持看涨不猜顶，回落做多原则，调整之后还是要做有效多单。周内支 撑在10200附近，看周三，周四是否能回落至此点位再做有效多单。当然，还是要注意一点，在国庆节前沪银也有可能会走出较大调整空间，跌破10200 后再看9900之下。 国际原油符合预期，在61.5支撑点走出了预期的大涨空间，目前高点在64附近，实现了山海看涨的第一目标点位，那么，周三就关注这波多头是否能延 续，如果能走出延续力度，上方就看66高点，如果没有走出延续力度，那么，就以震荡来看。所以，今天可以适当出局掉61.5的多单，如果能走出延 续，那么，这波可以在63继续做多，周三，周四看到66高点即可。 国内燃油一直强调在2700支撑上做多看涨，这波目前已经冲高至2900附近，距离预期目标3000只差100个点，如果还有2700支撑的多单可以适当调整仓 位，再继续持有，周期性如果到了 ...

对于日内行情而言，虽然现在黄金不断刷新高点，但是还是要按照趋势继续看涨，周一提示大家本周黄金继续看涨的话可以看到3750，3780，现在高点在 3760，那么，今天继续看涨的话看到3780，甚至更高。维持看涨做多，不猜顶原则看待现在的行情即可，另外强调一点，绝对不要做空。现在市场环境是地 缘局势不稳定，黄金避险情绪高涨，市场还在炒作美联储降息影响，所以，黄金短期内还是没有办法走出有效的大跌空间。那么，今天行情简单看，按照趋 空头不死，多头不止，虽然多头的趋势明显，但是也没办法看这波黄金，白银有如此大的上涨空间，截至到目前，黄金已经上涨至3750本周的第一目标点， 白银已经上涨至44高点，再向上涨的话，黄金在本周可能要去3780高点了。其实，现在交易很难做，比如周一黄金开盘就上涨，按照技术面根本做不了多 单，除非无脑追多，周一单日单边又走出接近80美金空间，所以，看似市场很活跃，但稍微谨慎点就无法做出有效交易。这波黄金上涨在本周的驱动力还是 在降息的环境中，在地缘局势推高的表现走出来。大家切记猜顶。 山海：黄金极强上涨不猜顶，但调整做多才合理！ 国际原油周一在回落中触及61.5附近，比较符合预期，在61.5支撑 ...

Group 1 - The current gold market is influenced by geopolitical factors and the upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate decision, leading to a bullish trend in gold prices, with significant increases observed on Monday and Tuesday [2][4] - Gold prices have recently surpassed the 3700 mark for the first time, indicating a strong upward trend, although the market is expected to experience fluctuations and pullbacks, providing opportunities for buying [2][4] - The Federal Reserve is anticipated to announce a 25 basis point rate cut, which is expected to have a substantial impact on both gold and silver markets, necessitating careful risk management [2][4] Group 2 - The trading strategy for the Asian and European sessions is to focus on buying during pullbacks, with key support levels identified at 3685 and 3675, while aiming for targets around 3710 and potentially 3750 [4][5] - The market sentiment suggests that after the Federal Reserve's decision, there may be a significant downward adjustment in gold prices, with a critical support level at 3620 to watch for potential changes in the current bullish trend [5][6] - In the silver market, a bullish outlook is maintained, with a focus on buying near the 42 support level, while caution is advised against chasing prices higher due to potential volatility [6][7] Group 3 - The oil market has shown positive momentum, with recent price increases reaching around 64.5, and further upward potential is anticipated, with key resistance levels at 66 [7] - Domestic fuel prices have also risen, with targets set at 2850 and 3000, indicating a continued bullish trend, although caution against chasing prices is advised [7]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that gold maintains a strong bullish trend, with a focus on a potential upward movement towards 3710, but trading should be approached cautiously by buying on dips [2][3] - The recent surge in gold prices is attributed to geopolitical instability, increased demand for safe-haven assets, a weaker US dollar, and declining US Treasury yields [2] - The market is advised to monitor the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, as a potential 25 basis point cut could lead to a medium-term decline in gold prices [2][3] Group 2 - Silver has shown an upward trend, reaching around 42.7, with potential resistance at 43.2, but traders are advised to avoid chasing highs and wait for a pullback to around 42 for effective buying opportunities [4] - The domestic gold market, particularly the Shanghai gold contract, has also seen upward movement, with a recommendation to buy on dips around 830 and 820 [3] - The crude oil market is advised to maintain a bullish stance, with support at 62.5 and potential upward targets at 64 and 66 [4][5] Group 3 - Domestic fuel oil has shown a bullish trend, with a recent high of 2820, and further upward movement is anticipated, with a key resistance level at 2850 [5]

Group 1 - The overall market showed little movement despite mixed CPI and unemployment claims data, with gold experiencing fluctuations but maintaining an upward trend, closing around 3640 [2][4] - Gold's bullish trend remains intact, with a focus on potential resistance levels at 3660/3665, and a support level identified at 3620 for potential buying opportunities [4][5] - Silver has broken through the resistance level of 41.5, closing at 41.7, indicating a potential upward movement towards 42, while cautioning against chasing prices too aggressively [6] Group 2 - Domestic gold contracts (e.g., Shanghai Gold) are expected to see upward movement, with support levels at 830 and 845, and traders advised to take profits near 840 and 830 [5][6] - The outlook for international silver suggests a continuation of bullish sentiment, but traders are advised to remain cautious and avoid chasing prices due to potential volatility [6] - The oil market is currently uncertain, with a critical support level at 61.5; if this level holds, there may be opportunities for upward movement, but a break below could indicate further declines [6][7]

山海：降息环境主导市场，黄金在强势中看变化！ 上周黄金，白银走出极限上涨空间，连续五天均出现大幅度的上涨，这种上涨走势不是一般数据能影响出来的，市场主导因素是美联储降息预期的表 现，以及众多数据利多的影响，在目前，黄金极限上涨至3600高点后，刷新了历史高点，这已经是自有黄金交易以来，黄金价值最高的点位。那么，未 来黄金何去何从，该怎么走请看一下分析。白银依然保持在41.5的高位压制下跌，形成回落，相对来讲，白银的见顶稍微明显一点，等9月17号前后美联 储利率决议公布后预计有较大的下跌空间。本周行情重点关注周四CPI数据影响，市场会有较大变化。 沪银（2512合约）相对沪金来讲也是出现了较大幅度的调整，上周两次在9920做空，两次回落至9700关键点，虽然没有跌破9700强弱关键点，但两次向 下的试探利润空间也不错，所以，暂时的白银应该在多头趋势中，做高空低多的震荡交易。本周沪银也是保持看涨原则，另外9950这个价位依旧可以尝 试做空，只要不破9700就以震荡看待，破位9700再看强弱转换，大的下跌空间。 先下结论，本周黄金的绝对多头强势在3550，本周的多头趋势关键点在3510，关注本周CPI数据影响，以及 ...