Market Overview - The market is currently focused on two main aspects: the stability of geopolitical situations following US-Russia talks and expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September [1][2] - The outcome of the US-Russia talks remains unclear, which may reduce market demand for gold as a safe haven [1] Gold Market Analysis - Gold has broken below the key support level of 3330, indicating a shift to a bearish trend [2][3] - The current support levels for gold are identified at 3300 and 3280, with 3300 being a trendline support and 3280 being the lower Bollinger Band support [2] - If gold maintains above these support levels, there may still be potential for a bullish reversal [2] Silver Market Analysis - Silver has also transitioned from a strong consolidation phase to a bearish trend, with a recent close below 37.5 [3][4] - The next support level for silver is at 36.5, and the overall long-term trend remains bullish despite the current adjustments [3] Domestic Market Insights - In the domestic market, the Shanghai gold contract closed around 773, indicating limited downside potential in the short term [3] - The domestic silver market has shown a significant decline, with the Shanghai silver contract reaching a low of 9050 [4] Oil Market Analysis - The international oil market has seen a contract change to oilV25, with a current close around 62, and a critical support level at 61.2 [4] - If oil prices remain above 61.2, there is potential for a rebound, while a break below this level could lead to further bearish trends [4] Fuel Market Insights - The domestic fuel market has experienced a slow decline without significant momentum, closing around 2710 [4] - There is a need to observe if the market can establish a bottom and regain levels above 2800 for potential upward movement [4]

Group 1 - The Federal Reserve decided to maintain interest rates, aligning with expectations, while Powell emphasized that inflation is close to 2% but it is too early to determine if a rate cut will occur in September [1] - The current policy is slightly restrictive but has not suppressed the economy, leading to a strengthening of the US dollar and a decline in gold and silver prices, with gold hitting a low of 3268 and silver at 36.7 [1] - Market sentiment has been influenced by data, with gold and silver showing a weak trend, and key resistance levels for gold at 3300 and 3330, while silver faces resistance at 37.5 [1][2] Group 2 - The dollar has reached a critical level above 100, while gold has been affected by market data, showing an overall weak trend [2] - Gold has dropped from 3438 to 3268, a decline of 170 points, and the market is currently at a critical juncture for potential bullish reversal [2][3] - The upcoming unemployment claims and non-farm payroll data are crucial for market direction, with a focus on whether gold can maintain above 3300 and 3330 for potential upward movement [3] Group 3 - International silver has shown significant volatility, breaking below 37.5, and its future direction remains uncertain, dependent on upcoming data [4] - Domestic silver has also seen a decline, with the Shanghai silver contract falling below 9100, indicating potential for further downward movement unless it stabilizes above 9150 [4] - Crude oil has successfully risen to 770, with previous long positions yielding profits, and the overall bullish trend remains intact, with potential targets above 72 [4][5] Group 4 - Domestic fuel oil has seen a rise to around 3000, with previous long positions being adjusted or exited for profit, while the overall trend remains bullish [5] - The focus remains on monitoring support levels and potential upward targets for both domestic and international commodities [5]

Group 1 - The gold market has shown volatility this week, with fluctuations around the 3285 level, indicating a potential upward trend after testing lower levels [2][4] - The highest price reached was 3322, with a trading range of 40 dollars, confirming a bullish sentiment despite some adjustments [2][4] - The focus for Thursday is on whether the upward momentum can continue, with key resistance levels at 3345 and potential targets of 3365 and 3400 if broken [4][5] Group 2 - Silver has not yet shown a significant upward movement, maintaining a support level at 36 and resistance at 37.3, suggesting a cautious approach to trading [2][5] - The domestic gold market has seen a rebound, with specific contracts like the Shanghai Gold (2512 contract) showing potential targets of 785 and 795 [5] - The international oil market has reached a target of 69, with further upward potential if this level is broken, indicating a bullish trend [6]

Core Viewpoint - The current market is experiencing volatility influenced by geopolitical tensions and mixed messages from the U.S., leading to fluctuations in gold and silver prices. Investors are advised to adopt a short-term trading strategy rather than focusing on single-direction trends [2][4]. Gold Market Analysis - Gold prices have shown significant fluctuations, with a recent high of 3396 and a low of 3358. The trading range for this week is identified between 3405 and 3340, indicating that a break below 3340 could lead to further declines towards 3280, while a break above 3405 could push prices up to 3430 and 3465 [4]. - The overall trend for gold remains bullish, but the market is currently in a consolidation phase, suggesting that traders should focus on short-term gains rather than long positions [5]. Silver Market Analysis - The silver market is also experiencing a similar trend, with a focus on short-term trading strategies. Key support is noted at 35.2, while resistance is at 37. The strategy involves maintaining long positions at lower levels while considering short positions at higher levels [6]. - Domestic silver prices have shown a rebound after a drop, with a recent high around 8800. The trading strategy suggests waiting for a potential short position above 8900 while looking for buying opportunities around 8700 [6]. Oil Market Analysis - The international oil market has seen a significant increase, currently trading around 77.8. The bullish trend is expected to continue, with potential targets set at 80 and 84.5. Traders are advised to look for buying opportunities on pullbacks without attempting to short the market [7]. - Domestic fuel oil has also shown strong bullish momentum, with a recent high of 3255. The support level is identified at 3120, and traders are encouraged to buy on dips while maintaining a bullish outlook [7]. Market Outlook - The global financial market is anticipated to face multiple tests this week, with key economic indicators and central bank speeches likely to influence market volatility. Investors are advised to remain vigilant and closely monitor these developments for potential trading opportunities [2][4].

山海：市场避险情绪犹存，周内金银保持看涨趋势！ 国内燃油（2512合约）同样在2800之下走出调整，但是相对力度不大，目前收盘在2700附近，国内燃油不必看过分的调整空间，能走出力度就看2680支撑点 得失，不过可以按照趋势继续做多，再看2800高点，如果破位则看趋势调整，或有进一步下跌空间。所以，这个周期国内燃油趋势还是多，但需要看一下调 整力度和关键支撑点得失。 撰文/山海 上个周期黄金在3120确定底部以来，从3150开始上涨，目前截至最高在3365，单边上涨有210美金，很显然，在美债收益率创高，地缘局势不稳定的情况 下，黄金避险的情绪非常浓厚，短时间内只要市场风向不变，黄金还有较强的上涨空间，所以，本周黄金还是保持多头趋势，继续看上涨空间。前面讲过， 技术面内的上涨看至3350，3400，当前3350已到，那么，下一波的上涨力度可以看至3400之上，至于能否出现新高至3500，剩下的力度和空间则需要边看边 做。从技术面来看，在确定本周看涨方向后，周内的交易主思路保持低多看涨，日线周期的上涨空间就是看涨到布林上轨3400附近，如果后市能拉开布林上 轨压制点，那么布林开口就有可能会去3500高点。所以， ...

Group 1 - The news regarding the reduction of tariffs between China and the US has led to significant market reactions, with the US dollar index surging to around 101.7 and gold dropping by $80 to a low near $3207 [4] - Despite the large drop in gold prices, it did not break the key support level of $3200, indicating that the bearish sentiment may not be strong enough to sustain a downward trend [4][5] - The domestic gold market has also experienced considerable volatility, with recommendations to avoid trading in certain contracts due to uncertainty, while focusing on potential support levels around $760 for domestic gold [6] Group 2 - The international silver market showed a decline but did not exhibit sustained bearish momentum, with a rebound observed after hitting a low of $31.8, maintaining support above $32 [6] - Domestic silver has been fluctuating within a small range, with a recent drop to $8180 but still closing above $8200, suggesting a continuation of the bullish trend [7] - The oil market has shown a strong upward trend, with prices reaching a high of $63.5, and expectations for further increases towards $64.5 and $66, indicating a bullish outlook for the week [7][8]

Group 1 - The article discusses the potential for gold prices to stop declining, with a focus on the impact of the upcoming May non-farm payroll data [1][3] - Gold has experienced a significant drop, reaching a low of around 3200, but there are signs of a potential rebound, with a current price around 3245 after a midnight rebound [5] - The dollar index has risen to around 100, which serves as a critical threshold for determining the strength of gold; if the dollar weakens, gold is likely to strengthen [5] Group 2 - The non-farm payroll data is crucial, with a previous value of 228,000 and a market forecast of 130,000; a result close to the forecast could negatively impact the dollar and positively affect gold [5] - Technical analysis indicates that gold's daily price has touched the middle Bollinger band support, suggesting a normal rebound; a sustained price above 3260 could indicate further upward movement [5] - International silver has also seen a significant pullback, with a low of 31.6, but there are indications of a potential upward trend, closing around 32.5 [6]

Group 1 - The current market for gold is characterized by a range-bound trading pattern, with fluctuations in daily price movements but no clear direction [2][4] - The gold price is currently oscillating between 3260 and 3370, with a notable resistance at 3370 and support levels at 3300 and 3270 [4][5] - The upcoming non-farm payroll data is expected to influence market dynamics, potentially expanding the current trading range for gold [5] Group 2 - The US dollar index is experiencing slight fluctuations, with a recent rebound ending and a potential for further decline if it fails to break above 100 [4] - International silver has shown an upward trend, reaching a high of 33.7, with support at 32.5 and potential resistance around 34.3 to 34.5 [5][6] - Domestic silver trading has seen a successful short-term strategy, with profits realized before the holiday, and a recommendation to maintain a cautious stance until after the holiday [6] Group 3 - International crude oil has shown weakness, breaking below the 61.5 support level, with expectations of further declines towards 56 [6] - Domestic fuel oil is experiencing minor declines, with a potential for a V-shaped recovery, suggesting a buying opportunity around 2950 if adjustments occur [6]