舜宇光学 20251217 摘要 车载镜头市场增长潜力巨大，预计 2025 年单车平均搭载 4.3 个摄像头， 新能源汽车已超过 10 个。舜宇光学已完成 1,700 万至 1,800 万像素 ADAS 产品研发，技术领先，小型化和自清洁是未来发展方向。预计 2025 年车载镜头和模组营收增长超 20%，下半年环比改善。 XR 领域中，VR 市场需求疲软，但智能眼镜表现良好，尤其受北美大客 户 2025 年 9 月发布四款智能眼镜的推动。未来智能眼镜单副搭载摄像 头数量可能增至 10 个以上，AR 眼镜带显示功能比例也将增加。舜宇光 学在波导片、光机等核心部件已有布局，预计 XR 相关业务营收与去年 持平。 智能手机市场饱和，预计 2025 年出货量持平或低个位数增长。存储涨 价对中低端机型有影响，但高端机型规格持续升级，如潜望式摄像头、 可变光圈等。舜宇光学聚焦高端产品线，预计手机镜头和模组营收增长 5%~10%，ASP 及毛利率均提升，全年 ASP 实现双位数增长。 舜宇光学与歌尔合作集中在波导片领域，双方看好 AR 技术并投入多年。 由于 AR 市场发展缓慢，技术和供应链不成熟，前期投入尚未转化为显 著 ...

Core Insights - Lenovo is positioning itself as a leader in the AI and AIPC (AI-Powered Computing) field, emphasizing the importance of ecosystem collaboration for innovation to thrive [1][5][24] - The launch of the "Lenovo Innovation Accelerator" aims to empower small and medium enterprises (SMEs) through a comprehensive innovation system [1][3] - A memorandum of understanding was signed between Lenovo and the Puxin Incubator to enhance support for SMEs within the industrial chain [3][5] Group 1: Event Highlights - The "New Business Innovation Ecosystem Roadshow" in Shanghai showcased 10 high-potential projects, focusing on verifiable technologies and practical solutions [1][16] - Key industry leaders, including Lenovo, AMD, and Puxin Incubator, shared insights on the future of AI ecosystems [1][11] - The top three projects selected during the roadshow will receive significant support, including expert consultations and opportunities for collaboration with Lenovo [16][18] Group 2: Strategic Collaborations - Lenovo will open its business scenario needs and supply chain resources to the Puxin Incubator, allowing qualifying projects to access Lenovo's industrial ecosystem [3][22] - The collaboration aims to drive the growth of "hard technology" projects, facilitating their market value realization [3][20] Group 3: Entrepreneurial Perspectives - Entrepreneurs expressed the need for long-term value and support from ecosystem leaders like Lenovo to navigate the challenges of innovation [22][24] - The roadshow provided a platform for startups to showcase their products and engage with industry peers, fostering collaboration opportunities [18][22] - Participants highlighted the importance of aligning technology development with market needs to ensure successful commercialization [18][20]

Core Insights - The AI/AR glasses market is experiencing significant growth, with a projected shipment of 262,000 units in the first half of 2025 in China, representing a 73% year-on-year increase, and an expected total shipment of 900,000 units for the year, a 133% increase [2] - The market is expected to exceed 100 billion yuan in three years, driven by advancements in technology and cost reductions [2] Industry Trends - Light guide AR glasses are anticipated to become the dominant form due to their lightweight and integrated design, gradually replacing heavier models [3] - The BirdBath technology is positioned for the budget segment, while light guide technology is gaining traction among manufacturers, spurred by AI advancements [3] - Major suppliers like GoerTek and Lens Technology are increasing investments in the supply chain to support the growth of AR glasses [3] Market Opportunities - The global new display industry is projected to grow by 17% in 2024, reaching $219.8 billion, with China accounting for approximately half of this market at around $108 billion [3] - Morphotonics, a Dutch company specializing in large-area nanoimprint technology, has established a subsidiary in Suzhou, China, to enhance its local presence and focus on cost reduction, capacity increase, and rapid response [3] Technological Challenges - Current wafer-level technology faces challenges such as high costs and low production capacity, while roll-to-roll nanoimprint technology struggles with precision and yield [4] - The roll-to-plate nanoimprint technology combines advantages of both methods, offering higher production capacity while meeting precision requirements [4] Production Capacity - Morphotonics has commercialized products like the Portis series for small-scale production and the Aurora series for large-scale manufacturing, with plans to introduce a new device, 'Cypris', capable of producing 6 million light guides annually [4] - A recent production run achieved a yield of 93%, with a target of maintaining yields between 90%-95% for large-scale production [4] Future Projections - The global annual shipment of AR smart glasses is expected to reach tens of millions by 2028 to 2030, contingent on reducing production costs [5] - Initial price increases of 20%-40% may be acceptable, but long-term market acceptance will require further price reductions [5]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that Crystal Optoelectronics has achieved steady growth in the first half of the year, with continuous optimization of its industrial structure and gradual improvement in profitability [1] - The company focuses on three core business directions: consumer electronics, automotive optics, and AR/VR, expanding its product matrix from single components to a combination of components, modules, and solutions [1] - In the consumer electronics sector, the company deepens collaboration with industry leaders to develop innovative optical products [1] Group 2 - In the AR/VR field, the company emphasizes technological research and development, having established a business layout that includes waveguide plates, 3D modules, core optical components, diffraction wafers, and reflective plates, as well as other 2D and 3D optical products required for smart head-mounted devices [1] - The company aims to collaborate with industry leaders to tackle optical challenges in the AR/VR sector and promote industry development [1] - The report maintains a "buy" rating for the company [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates that Crystal Optoelectronics has achieved steady growth in the first half of the year, with continuous optimization of its industrial structure and gradual improvement in profitability [1] - The company focuses on the optical sector, targeting three core business directions: consumer electronics, automotive optics, and AR/VR [1] - The product matrix has expanded from a single component to include components, modules, and solutions, indicating a diversified approach to product offerings [1] Group 2 - In the consumer electronics field, the company deepens collaboration with industry leaders to develop innovative optical products [1] - In the AR/VR sector, the company emphasizes technological research and development, having established a business layout that includes waveguide plates, 3D modules, core optical components, diffraction wafers, and reflective plates, as well as other 2D and 3D optical products required for smart head-mounted devices [1] - The company aims to collaborate with industry leaders to tackle optical challenges in the AR/VR field and promote industry development [1]