证券研究报告|行业研究周报 [Table_Date] 2025 年 09 月 28 日 [Table_Title] 稳增长方案发布，重点关注行业供给优化 [Table_Title2] 建筑材料 [Table_Summary] ►本周受益标的：（1）工信部等 6 部门联合发布《方案》，反 内卷下水泥行业自律加速，推荐华新水泥、海螺水泥等，上峰 水泥等受益；行业"反内卷"同步推进，光伏玻璃行业底部提 价，推荐旗滨集团，福莱特、信义光能等受益；防水顺应倡议 产品提价，推荐东方雨虹、科顺股份等；（2）龙头受益消防新 国标，消防机器人商业化助新成长，推荐消防报警龙头青鸟消 防；（3）受益于特种电子布超高景气，推荐中国巨石、中材科 技、国际复材等受益。（4）推荐经营韧性超预期，个股α强的 三棵树，推荐估值低位且具备高分红的伟星新材、兔宝宝等。 ►反内卷效果显现，水泥、玻璃价格趋势好转。（1）水泥： 本周全国水泥市场价格环比大幅攀升，涨幅为 1.5%。九月 底，受降雨和台风天气影响，水泥市场需求出现阶段性减 弱，全国重点地区水泥企业平均出货率环比下降约 2pct。 （2）浮法玻璃：本周国内浮法玻璃均价 1224.74 元/ ...

证券日报网讯海伦哲（300201）9月26日发布公告，在公司回答调研者提问时表示，公司是高空作业 车、高空作业平台、电源车、配电车、消防车等国家标准或行业标准主导起草单位，在高空作业车轻量 化、大高度、智能化、绝缘型不停电作业方面始终引领行业发展，在中高端市场占据主要地位。公司始 终坚持"技术领先型的差异化"发展战略，高空作业车等多项产品国内技术领先，已实现绝缘车国产替 代，同时也已成为国内产品种类多、功能全，解决方案完备的电力应急保障车系统提供商。公司全资子 公司格拉曼是国家认定的定点研发生产和销售消防车、军用特种车辆的企业，拥有百年历史，是我国消 防车行业的骨干企业，具有罐式类、举高类、特种类等消防车产品和特种应急救援、洗消类军用装备的 生产资质，目前拥有系列水罐泡沫消防车、抢险救援消防车、城市主战消防车、举高消防车、登高消防 车、其他特种消防车、消防机器人、各类特种应急救援、洗消装备等近百种型号的产品；在基础设施、 设备与研发、生产能力和检测试验条件等方面达到了国内同行业领先水平，具有年产各类装备2000余台 的能力。 ...

Group 1: Smart Firefighting - The global smart firefighting system market is rapidly expanding, driven by the integration of IoT, big data, cloud computing, AI, and 5G technologies[14] - Key trends include remote monitoring acting as the "cloud brain" for 24/7 intelligent alerts and firefighting robots serving as "ground troops" for high-risk scenarios[3] - Qingniao Firefighting is entering the remote monitoring and firefighting robot sectors, establishing a new growth curve with its integrated service model[3][17] Group 2: AI in Grassroots Healthcare - The national health strategy prioritizes enhancing grassroots healthcare service capabilities, aiming for full coverage of basic medical services by 2027[19] - AI technology is increasingly seen as a solution to address issues like staff shortages and low technical levels in grassroots healthcare institutions[20] - Kangzhong Medical is actively investing in AI+ grassroots healthcare, forming strategic partnerships and launching community health service initiatives[21][22] Group 3: Market Performance - This week, the small-cap indices such as CSI 1000 and CSI 500 outperformed large-cap indices like SSE 50, with Qingdao Firefighting and Xinquan Co. leading in stock performance[5][24] - The average discount rate for new share placements was 14.2%, with an average yield of 17.1% this week[5][11]

Core Insights - Emergency robots are becoming a key force in transforming the safety production and disaster prevention and relief sectors, significantly enhancing efficiency and safety in complex hazardous scenarios [1][2] - The Chinese government emphasizes technological innovation and policy support to accelerate the development and application of emergency robots, aiming to modernize the emergency management system [1][2] - Qingniao Fire Protection, a leading company in fire safety products, is strategically positioning itself in the fire robot sector, leveraging over 20 years of technological accumulation to meet national policy directives [2][4] Policy Support and Industry Development - The Ministry of Emergency Management and the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology have issued guidelines to develop advanced emergency robots by 2025, including establishing testing bases and enhancing equipment systems [1][2] - Qingniao Fire Protection's focus on fire robots aligns with national strategies, addressing industry pain points and enhancing product supply capabilities [2][4] Technological Advancements - Qingniao Fire Protection has developed a navigation system that allows robots to operate accurately in extreme environments, addressing common industry challenges such as network interruptions [2][3] - The company has integrated multiple technologies, including thermal imaging and gas sensors, to enhance the operational capabilities of its robots in hazardous situations [3][4] Product Development and Market Positioning - Qingniao Fire Protection emphasizes the importance of tailored solutions for fire scenarios, creating specialized robots that can operate effectively in extreme conditions [4][5] - The upcoming "Lingbao" quadruped robot exemplifies the company's commitment to scene adaptability and is expected to set a benchmark in emergency robot applications [5][6] Strategic Planning and Future Goals - Qingniao Fire Protection has outlined a three-phase strategy to align with national policy goals, aiming to transition from traditional human-based firefighting to intelligent robotic solutions [7][8] - The first phase focuses on optimizing existing products for domestic market leadership, while the second phase aims for global competitiveness and market expansion [7][8] - The third phase envisions a comprehensive smart fire protection ecosystem, covering various operational scenarios and expanding into new areas like home safety [8]

Summary of Qianbird Firefighting Conference Call Company Overview - Qianbird Firefighting is undergoing a strategic transformation, shifting focus towards industrial scenarios and service sectors, while entering the firefighting robotics market to reduce reliance on traditional firefighting business, particularly in the residential sector, aiming to decrease its share to below 50% [2][10] Financial Performance - From 2015 to 2023, Qianbird's revenue and profit growth rates were stable, with a revenue CAGR of 15%-20% and profit CAGR of 10%-20% [5] - In 2024, the company faces revenue and profit pressure due to real estate demand and new national standards impacting small manufacturers [6] - The company expects a 30% increase in overall performance in 2025, with a significant turning point in Q4, driven by the clearance of old products under new standards and the elimination of stock incentive costs [6] Impact of New National Standards - The new national standards, effective in 2025, impose higher performance and safety requirements on products, posing challenges for small enterprises in R&D and production [7] - Qianbird is one of the first companies to obtain all product certifications, with 70%-80% of its products meeting the new standards, which helps solidify its market position and accelerates industry consolidation [7] Industrial and Overseas Market Developments - In the industrial sector, Qianbird is expanding into sub-markets such as rail transit, nuclear power, and data centers, with significant growth rates of 50% and 90% in data centers and energy storage, respectively [8] - The overseas market has seen a recovery in contract orders after adjustments, indicating a positive trend [8] Capacity Expansion in Canada - The company is building capacity in Canada primarily to provide OEM services for U.S. companies, helping them avoid tariffs associated with production in China [9] Maintenance and Remote Monitoring Services - The maintenance service market is projected to exceed 100 billion yuan by 2028, with significant demand in high-risk industries [11] - Remote monitoring services are being piloted in Hangzhou, with plans for nationwide expansion, indicating a large market potential [12][13] Firefighting Robotics Development - Firefighting robots are designed to replace high-risk manual labor, reducing injury risks, with a payback period of 1-2 years [14] - Qianbird has established a technological advantage in key areas such as machine vision and autonomous navigation, planning to deploy around 1,000 robots next year [14] Investment Logic - Qianbird's fundamentals show a reversal logic, with expectations for gradual realization in Q3 and Q4, alongside its entry into the robotics sector, which may alter traditional valuation metrics [16] - The current market valuation is approximately 10 billion yuan, corresponding to a profit of 450 million yuan, equating to a 20x valuation, which is significantly lower than the industry average of 4,340x, suggesting a strong investment opportunity [17]

Core Viewpoint - Qingniao Fire's performance in H1 2025 shows a decline in net profit, primarily due to market demand adjustments and price competition in the domestic civil market [1] Financial Performance - In H1 2025, Qingniao Fire achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 159 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 16.06% [1] - In Q2 2025, the company reported a single-quarter operating revenue of 1.267 billion yuan and a non-recurring net profit of 86 million yuan [1] - The operating cash flow was -181 million yuan, showing slight improvement from -195 million yuan in the same period last year [1] Market Dynamics - The company's main business is under short-term pressure, but emerging sectors are experiencing high growth, and overseas profitability has significantly improved [1] - The company is expected to continue expanding its market share and enhance its industry position due to industry consolidation and the elimination of outdated production capacity [1] Future Outlook - The implementation of new national standards may lead to a recovery in the company's main business in H2 2025, alongside strong performance in industrial fire safety and overseas markets [1] - The company has made significant progress in the commercialization of "robot + fire safety" applications, with promising commercial prospects for fire-fighting robots [1]

Core Insights - The safety emergency equipment industry is designed to respond to public emergencies, encompassing monitoring, emergency response, life rescue, and support functions, with a full-cycle management system integrating traditional and intelligent equipment [1][3] - The industry is experiencing significant growth due to increasing natural disasters, with over 200 million people affected and direct economic losses exceeding 1 trillion yuan from 2022 to mid-2025, highlighting the urgent need for advanced equipment technology [1][4] - The market is projected to exceed 1.32 trillion yuan by 2025, driven by industrialization, urbanization, and emerging risks, with specific segments like drone rescue showing remarkable growth [1][10] Industry Overview - Safety emergency equipment is specialized for natural disasters, accidents, and public health events, categorized into monitoring, emergency response, life rescue, and support systems [3][4] - The industry is classified into three main categories: safety prevention, emergency response, and safety emergency services, forming a closed-loop system that promotes technological integration and regional collaboration [4][6] Development Background - The frequency and severity of natural disasters in China have increased, with annual disaster-affected individuals exceeding 100 million and direct economic losses reaching 401.1 billion yuan in 2024 [4][5] - The demand for safety emergency equipment is driven by the complexity and scale of disasters, necessitating advancements in technology and product coverage [4][5] Market Size and Growth - The safety emergency equipment market is expected to surpass 1.32 trillion yuan by 2025, with a significant contribution from the drone rescue segment, projected to grow from 5.064 billion yuan in 2024 to 8.751 billion yuan by 2027 [1][10] - The market is segmented into emergency services (56%), emergency rescue (24%), monitoring and early warning (18%), and safety protection (2%) [10][11] Competitive Landscape - The industry features a diverse competitive landscape with state-owned enterprises leading major projects, private companies focusing on niche markets, and technology firms enhancing traditional emergency sectors [12][13] - Key players include China Shipbuilding Emergency, China Aneng, and DJI, with a focus on integrating technology and expanding capabilities [12][13] Future Trends - The industry is expected to evolve towards intelligent, green, and globalized development, with smart equipment penetration projected to reach 45% by 2030 [1][13] - The green transition is anticipated to accelerate, with the market for green emergency equipment expected to exceed 180 billion yuan by 2025 [14][15] - Global expansion is supported by the Belt and Road Initiative, with Chinese emergency equipment companies projected to capture 35% of the global market by 2030 [16]

Core Insights - The company has shown improvement in profitability across multiple business segments, with a notable increase in gross margin in Q2 2025, reaching 34.18%, marking an end to the continuous decline since Q2 2020 [1] - The growth in gross margin is primarily driven by an increase in the proportion of high-margin overseas and industrial firefighting revenues, as well as recovery in domestic alarm margins [1][2] Group 1: Financial Performance - In H1 2025, overseas business achieved a gross margin of 48.12%, with revenue of 392 million, a year-on-year increase of 4.83%, accounting for 18.22% of total revenue [1] - The industrial firefighting segment generated revenue of 133 million in H1 2025, up 3.37% year-on-year, contributing 6.18% to total revenue [1] - The overall gross margin for the domestic alarm segment has stabilized, with a year-on-year increase of 2.15% in H1 2025 [1] Group 2: Industrial Firefighting Growth - The company has focused on the industrial firefighting sector, achieving revenue of 133 million in H1 2025, with significant contributions from data centers and related projects, which saw over 90 million in revenue, a growth of over 50% [2] - The company has secured contracts for major projects, including the national tunnel monitoring system renovation and the Beijing Daxing International Airport express line, indicating strong future growth potential in industrial firefighting [2] Group 3: Technological Advancements - The company is exploring the integration of firefighting and communication through its "Zhu Huan" series chips, aiming to transform traditional firefighting into a more intelligent, robotic approach [3] - The upcoming launch of robotic products is expected to enhance operational efficiency in firefighting scenarios, addressing both repetitive and hazardous tasks [3] Group 4: Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendation - The company forecasts revenues of 4.992 billion, 5.572 billion, and 6.678 billion for 2025-2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 1.41%, 11.61%, and 19.86% respectively [4] - Projected net profits for the same period are 418 million, 495 million, and 632 million, with growth rates of 18.34%, 18.44%, and 27.8% respectively [4] - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 22.62, 19.1, and 14.94 for 2025-2027, maintaining a "strong buy" recommendation [4]

Core Viewpoint - The 2025 interim report of China International Marine Containers (Group) Co., Ltd. (CIMC) reflects a significant response to its "second entrepreneurship" initiative proposed five years ago, showcasing a transformation from a container giant to a provider of high-end equipment and green technology solutions [1][2]. Financial Performance - CIMC reported a revenue of 76.09 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a slight decrease of 3.82% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders surged by 47.63% to 1.278 billion yuan [1]. - Operating cash flow reached 7.154 billion yuan, a staggering increase of 594.46% year-on-year, marking it as a highlight of the report [1][4]. Margin Improvement - The gross margin of CIMC has been consistently improving, with a mid-year gross margin increase of 1.94 percentage points year-on-year, driven by effective cost control and a higher proportion of high-value-added products [2]. - The gross margin for the traditional container manufacturing segment rose by 3.95 percentage points to 16.15%, while the marine engineering segment saw a 5.8 percentage point increase, approaching 11% [2]. Strategic Transformation - CIMC is transitioning from reliance on traditional container business to a diversified growth model, focusing on high-end manufacturing and technology-driven solutions [4][5]. - The company has optimized its balance sheet by replacing high-interest dollar debt, reducing interest-bearing debt by 5.1 billion yuan, and decreasing net interest expenses by 310 million yuan [4]. Business Segment Highlights - In the energy equipment sector, CIMC achieved a net profit of 460 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 90.26%, with significant orders in hydrogen storage and transportation [5]. - The marine engineering business turned around with a net profit of 281 million yuan, recovering from a loss of 84 million yuan, and over 70% of orders are for floating production systems [5]. - The cold chain and intelligent manufacturing sectors experienced a surge, with profits from refrigerated container demand and smart equipment significantly increasing [5]. Innovation and R&D - As of the 2025 interim report, CIMC holds 6,331 valid patents and has established a global network of R&D centers and production facilities across over 20 countries [6]. - The successful implementation of the "Starlink Plan" in the road vehicle segment has led to a market share increase to 23.07% and a 74% rise in operating profit for semi-trailers [7]. Capital Market Activity - CIMC has resumed its H-share buyback program, spending 56.24 million Hong Kong dollars, and is committed to maintaining a dividend payout ratio of no less than 30% while considering increasing shareholder returns [7].

Financial Performance - The company achieved a revenue of 2.15 billion CNY, a decrease of 5.04% year-on-year, with a net profit of approximately 150 million CNY, down 6.45% year-on-year [2][3] - The overall gross margin remained stable at 35.6% [3] Business Segments Domestic Commercial and Industrial Fire Alarm - Revenue from domestic commercial fire alarm and evacuation business was 1.343 billion CNY, a decline of 7.48% year-on-year, with a gross margin increase of 2.15 percentage points [3][4] - The construction area in China decreased by 14.8%, impacting demand in the commercial fire alarm market [3] Industrial and Sector Fire Safety - Revenue from industrial and sector fire safety business was 352 million CNY, an increase of 3.27% year-on-year, accounting for 16.36% of total revenue [4] - The company provided fire safety solutions for major clients like Alibaba and ByteDance, with project shipments exceeding 90 million CNY, a growth of over 50% [4] Overseas Fire Safety - Overseas business generated approximately 392 million CNY, a growth of 4.83% year-on-year, representing 18.22% of total revenue [6] - The gross margin for overseas business improved to 48.12%, up 2.61 percentage points year-on-year, with significant growth in gas detection and extinguishing products [6][16] Cost Management and Efficiency - Total expenses (sales, management, and R&D) decreased by 8.03% to 549 million CNY [8] - The company plans to enhance cost control and efficiency through digital management tools and focus on core business investments [8] Market Outlook - The company expects overall revenue to remain flat compared to last year, with domestic commercial business aiming to stabilize or slightly decline [9][10] - There is optimism for price recovery in the second half of the year, driven by the transition to new national standards [9] Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on urban renewal projects, with a revenue structure of approximately 30% from renovation and 70% from new markets [12][13] - Plans to deepen cooperation with leading energy storage companies and expand into new markets, including Southeast Asia and India [5][16] Challenges and Adjustments - The company faced a slowdown in overseas business growth due to organizational adjustments, but expects to stabilize and grow in the long term [15][16] - The industrial and sector fire safety business experienced a slowdown, primarily due to rising costs and market conditions [17]