固收市场周报 大类资产配置周报——20260227 2026 年 03 月 03 日 【固收观点】 【风险提示】 挖掘价值 投资成长 东方财富证券研究所 证券分析师：吴雅楠 证书编号：S1160525060003 证券分析师：刘哲铭 证书编号：S1160525120003 相关研究 《节前流动性仍较宽松，各期限收益率均 有 下 行 — — 利 率 市 场 周 度 回 顾 （20260215）》 本周（2 月 24 日-2 月 27 日）权益市场整体有所修复。A 股方面，上证 指数本周累计上涨 1.98%，收于 4162.88 点。深证成指上涨 2.8%，收 于 14495.09 点；创业板指上涨 1.05%，收于 3310.3 点。市场交投活 跃度较春节前一周增加，上证、深证全周成交额合计 9.69 万亿元。港 股方面，恒生指数小幅上涨，恒生科技指数震荡下行，恒生指数上涨 0.82%，收于 26630.54 点，恒生科技指数下跌 1.41%，收于 5137.84 点。 本周转债市场下行。中证转债指数近一周下跌 0.24%，上证转债指数下 跌 0.34%。近一月以来中证转债指数涨幅为 0.9%，上证转债指数涨幅 ...

热点品种分析 一、商品指数 二、股指 中国上证综指2月27日（周五）收盘上涨16.25点，涨幅0.39%，报4162.88点； 中国深证成指2月27日（周五）收盘下跌8.69点，跌幅0.06%，报14492.09点； 中国沪深300指2月27日（周五）收盘下跌16.23点，跌幅0.34%，报4710.65点； 中国创业板指2月27日（周五）收盘下跌34.68点，跌幅1.04%，报3310.30点； 中国科创50指2月27日（周五）收盘上涨2.16点，涨幅0.15%，报1488.02点。 三、碳酸锂2605 四、白银2604 五、螺纹 2605 六、原油2603 七、PTA2605 八、 棉花2605 九、白糖2605 十、橡胶 2605 十一、PVC 2605 十二、焦煤2605 十三、棕榈2605 十四、纯碱2605 十五、生猪2605 十六、豆粕2605 十七、玻璃2605 十八、红枣2605 新浪合作大平台期货开户 安全快捷有保障 责任编辑：陈平 热点品种分析 一、商品指数 二、股指 中国上证综指2月27日（周五）收盘上涨16.25点，涨幅0.39%，报4162.88点； 中国深证成指2月27日（周五） ...

热点品种分析 一、商品指数 二、股指 中国上证综指2月26日（周四）收盘下跌0.60点，跌幅0.01%，报4146.63点； 中国深证成指2月26日（周四）收盘上涨31.15点，涨幅0.22%，报14507.01点； 中国沪深300指2月26日（周四）收盘下跌9.01点，跌幅0.19%，报4726.87点； 中国创业板指2月26日（周四）收盘下跌8.61点，跌幅0.26%，报3346.21点； 中国科创50指2月26日（周四）收盘上涨12.58点，涨幅0.85%，报1485.86点。 三、碳酸锂2605 四、白银2604 五、螺纹 2605 六、原油2603 七、PTA2605 八、 棉花2605 十、橡胶 2605 九、白糖2605 十一、PVC 2605 十二、焦煤2605 十三、棕榈2605 十四、纯碱2605 十五、生猪2605 十六、豆粕2605 十七、玻璃2605 十八、红枣2605 新浪合作大平台期货开户 安全快捷有保障 责任编辑：陈平 热点品种分析 一、商品指数 二、股指 中国上证综指2月26日（周四）收盘下跌0.60点，跌幅0.01%，报4146.63点； 中国深证成指2月26日（周四）收盘 ...

Group 1: Stock Indices - The Shanghai Composite Index closed up by 29.82 points, a rise of 0.72%, ending at 4147.23 points on February 25 [5] - The Shenzhen Component Index increased by 185.66 points, reflecting a growth of 1.30%, closing at 14477.22 points [5] - The CSI 300 Index rose by 28.34 points, with a gain of 0.60%, finishing at 4735.89 points [5] - The ChiNext Index saw an increase of 47.24 points, up by 1.43%, closing at 3355.51 points [5] - The STAR Market 50 Index closed up by 7.92 points, a rise of 0.54%, ending at 1473.28 points [5] Group 2: Commodity Indices - The document includes references to various commodities such as lithium carbonate, silver, crude oil, PTA, cotton, sugar, rubber, PVC, coking coal, palm oil, soda ash, live pigs, soybean meal, glass, and red dates, but specific data or analysis on these commodities is not provided in the excerpts [9][40][44][46][48][49][51][53][55][57][59][60][62][64][66]

Group 1: Stock Indices - The Shanghai Composite Index closed on February 24 with an increase of 35.34 points, a rise of 0.87%, reaching 4117.41 points [5] - The Shenzhen Component Index rose by 200.10 points, up 1.42%, closing at 14300.29 points [5] - The CSI 300 Index increased by 47.14 points, a gain of 1.01%, ending at 4707.54 points [5] - The ChiNext Index saw an increase of 34.52 points, up 1.05%, closing at 3310.48 points [5] - The STAR Market 50 Index decreased by 4.97 points, down 0.34%, closing at 1465.36 points [5][39] Group 2: Commodity Indices - The document includes references to various commodities such as lithium carbonate, silver, crude oil, PTA, cotton, sugar, rubber, PVC, coking coal, palm oil, soda ash, live pigs, soybean meal, glass, and red dates, but specific data or analysis for these commodities is not provided in the excerpts [9][40][45][50][52][54][56][58][61][63][65][66]

Group 1: Stock Indices - The Shanghai Composite Index closed down by 51.95 points, a decrease of 1.26%, ending at 4082.07 points [5] - The Shenzhen Component Index fell by 182.81 points, down 1.28%, closing at 14100.19 points [5] - The CSI 300 Index decreased by 59.17 points, a drop of 1.25%, finishing at 4660.41 points [5] - The ChiNext Index declined by 52.10 points, down 1.57%, closing at 3275.96 points [5] - The STAR Market 50 Index fell by 10.66 points, a decrease of 0.72%, ending at 1470.33 points [41] Group 2: Commodity Indices - No specific data provided for commodity indices in the available content. Group 3: Other Commodities - No specific data provided for other commodities in the available content.

Group 1: Stock Indices - The Shanghai Composite Index closed on February 11 with an increase of 3.61 points, a rise of 0.09%, reaching 4131.98 points [5] - The Shenzhen Component Index closed down by 49.69 points, a decrease of 0.35%, at 14160.93 points [5] - The CSI 300 Index closed down by 10.48 points, a decline of 0.22%, at 4713.82 points [5] - The ChiNext Index closed down by 35.80 points, a drop of 1.08%, at 3284.74 points [5] - The STAR Market 50 Index closed down by 16.38 points, a decrease of 1.11%, at 1455.11 points [41] Group 2: Commodity Indices - The report includes various commodity indices such as lithium carbonate, silver, crude oil, PTA, cotton, sugar, rubber, PVC, coking coal, palm oil, soda ash, live pigs, soybean meal, glass, and red dates, but specific data for these commodities is not provided in the text [36][42][43][44][47][49][52][55][57][59][61][63][65][66][68][69][71][73]

Group 1: Stock Indices - The Shanghai Composite Index closed down by 10.33 points, a decrease of 0.25%, ending at 4065.58 points [6] - The Shenzhen Component Index fell by 37.53 points, down 0.27%, closing at 13915.18 points [6] - The CSI 300 Index decreased by 26.82 points, a drop of 0.57%, finishing at 4643.60 points [6] - The ChiNext Index declined by 23.81 points, down 0.73%, closing at 3236.46 points [6] - The STAR Market 50 Index fell by 10.12 points, a decrease of 0.71%, ending at 1422.41 points [40]

Market Overview - The A-share market showed a strong fluctuation today, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.85% to 4102.20 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.21%. However, the ChiNext Index and the Sci-Tech Innovation Board Index fell by 0.40% and 0.98%, respectively. The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 250.33 billion yuan, a decrease of 62.4 billion yuan from the previous day. Overall, the market sentiment was neutral to weak, with over 3200 stocks rising [1]. Sector Performance - The coal, gold, and dividend sectors led the gains today, while high-volatility sectors such as artificial intelligence, media, and telecommunications experienced pullbacks. Small-cap stocks underperformed large-cap stocks, and growth stocks lagged behind value stocks, indicating a preference for more stable investments [1]. Gold and Silver Market - The Gold ETF from Guotai surged by 4.24%. After two consecutive days of significant declines, gold and silver prices rebounded strongly, with spot gold rising above the 5000 USD mark and spot silver exceeding 90 USD. The rebound in precious metals prices followed a concentrated release of selling pressure, and the implied volatility of gold showed signs of turning upward again after a previous spike and subsequent correction [1]. Coal Sector Insights - The Coal ETF (515220) saw a significant increase of 9.07%, while the Guotai Dividend State-Owned Enterprise ETF (510720) rose by 4.29%. Indonesian officials announced that local miners have suspended spot coal exports to support prices, as current profit margins for miners are low. This suspension is aimed at avoiding default risks due to quota uncertainties, although long-term contracts remain unaffected. The coal sector is expected to benefit from short-term supply-demand catalysts and long-term valuation support due to weakening dollar credit [2]. Transportation Sector Activity - The airport and shipping sectors were active today, driven by the ongoing Spring Festival travel season. With the holiday period being longer this year, a second wave of travel is anticipated. The transportation ETF (561320) increased by 3.10%, supported by a slowing supply growth, high passenger load factors, and expectations of reduced competition, which may lead to improved profitability in the sector [2]. Bond Market Trends - Following an initial over-allocation by banks at the beginning of the year, the bond market has experienced a slow upward trend, although recent movements have shown hesitation. The ten-year government bond ETF (511260) has been primarily fluctuating, with a slight increase of 0.05% over the past five days. Short-term interest rates may still have room to decline, but a narrow range of fluctuations is expected in the medium to long term. A strategic allocation approach is recommended over short-term trading, with a focus on medium-duration government bond ETFs [2].

Group 1: Stock Indices - The Shanghai Composite Index closed on February 3 with an increase of 51.99 points, a rise of 1.29%, reaching 4067.74 points [5] - The Shenzhen Component Index rose by 305.25 points, up 2.21%, closing at 14129.60 points [5] - The CSI 300 Index increased by 54.13 points, a gain of 1.18%, ending at 4660.11 points [5] - The ChiNext Index saw an increase of 61.92 points, up 1.90%, closing at 3326.03 points [5] - The STAR Market 50 Index rose by 20.17 points, a rise of 1.39%, closing at 1471.07 points [5] Group 2: Commodity Indices - The report includes various commodity indices such as lithium carbonate, silver, and crude oil, but specific data for these commodities is not provided in the excerpts [6][10][12]