行 业 华福证券 电子 2026 年 02 月 02 日 行 业 投 资 策 略 截止到 2025Q3，三星 25Q1-Q3 全球智能手机出货量达到 6060 万 台，市场份额达 19%，保持全球第一；苹果 25Q3 出货量为 5650 万台， 同比上升 4%，市场份额位列第二；其次为小米/传音/vivo。据环球网 援引IDC 报告显示 2025年全球智能手机出货量预计将达到 12.4 亿部， 2024-2029 年 CAGR=1.5%，呈现温和增长。展望 2026 年，我们持续看 好手机结构化升级带来的创新需求，包括潜望式镜头成为安卓/苹果高 端手机标配带来渗透率持续提升。 研 究 电子行业 2026 年度策略报告：AI 与自主可控共 振 投资要点： 预计 2026 年手机行业温和复苏，看好结构创新带来增量需求 证 券 研 随着国产算力需求的不断增加，先进制程的产能需求也不断提升。 中芯国际、华虹公司、长鑫存储等企业的先进制程制造产能预计不断 增加。成熟制程工艺各个制造商各有千秋，特色工艺投资机会显现。 芯联集成、晶合集成、赛微电子各自特色领域优势显著。内生增长以 及外延并购提升半导体设备覆盖率。半导体制造 ...

Core Viewpoint - The control of Lianchuang Electronics has officially changed hands to Jiangxi State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission, marking a significant shift in the company's governance structure while the company continues to show improved financial performance [1][2]. Group 1: Control Change - Lianchuang Electronics' control change was executed through a combination of share transfer and a private placement, with Jiangxi State-owned Assets becoming the actual controller [2]. - The share transfer agreement involves North Source Intelligent paying 900 million yuan to acquire 6.71% of the company's total shares, making it the controlling shareholder [2]. - A private placement is planned to raise up to 1.63 billion yuan, with funds allocated for working capital and debt repayment, further solidifying the control by Jiangxi State-owned Assets [2]. Group 2: Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 4.22 billion yuan and a net profit of 24.09 million yuan, successfully turning a profit [4]. - For the first three quarters of 2025, revenue reached 6.489 billion yuan, with net profit increasing to 50.92 million yuan, a significant year-on-year growth of 210.26% [4]. - The core optical business has become the main revenue driver, contributing 3.304 billion yuan, which accounts for 50.91% of total revenue [4]. Group 3: Optical Business Growth - The automotive optical segment has emerged as a key growth engine, with revenue of 2.363 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 46.75% [4]. - The revenue from automotive lenses reached 1.381 billion yuan, showing a remarkable growth rate of 88.82% [4]. - Lianchuang Electronics has established strong technical barriers and customer resources in the automotive optical field, collaborating with major companies like Mobileye and Nvidia [5]. Group 4: Innovation and Patents - The company has accumulated 697 authorized invention patents and has been recognized as a national intellectual property demonstration enterprise [6]. - Digital upgrades have been implemented to achieve full lifecycle management of production, laying a solid foundation for technology transfer and market expansion [6].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Cheetah Technology (01478) has its target price raised by 9.8% from HKD 13.21 to HKD 14.5, with a "Buy" rating maintained [1] - The company reported a 15% year-on-year increase in revenue for the first half of 2025, exceeding both the bank's and market expectations by 5% and 8% respectively, while net profit surged by 168%, aligning with the previously announced profit warning [1] - The gross margin improved by 2.2 percentage points to 7.4%, driven by an increase in the proportion of high-end camera modules (CCM) and the recovery of fingerprint recognition module ASP/gross margin due to ultrasonic FPM growth [1] Group 2 - The company has raised its shipment guidance for 2025, projecting over 60% year-on-year growth in non-mobile camera module shipments, up from a previous forecast of over 40%, driven by automotive project mass production and orders from drones/laser radar [1] - The forecast for FPM shipments has also been increased to over 30% year-on-year growth, up from a previous estimate of over 20%, supported by growth momentum and market share gains in ultrasonic FPM [1] - The bank is optimistic about the upward trend in Cheetah Technology's profit forecasts for the second half of 2025, believing that the market underestimates the company's leadership and sales growth momentum in the non-mobile sector, particularly in drones and 360-degree cameras [2]