Report Industry Investment Ratings - Not provided in the given content Core Views Oils and Fats - Palm oil may face further downward pressure due to production growth and export decline, with potential support at 4100 ringgit and 8800 yuan domestically [1]. - Soybean oil may experience narrow - range oscillations in the short - term, and the basis may be under short - term pressure but supported in the long - term [1]. Sugar - The short - term bottom of raw sugar prices may appear, but overall, a bearish view is maintained considering the production increase. The domestic sugar market is expected to be marginally more balanced in supply and demand, and a bearish view is held after a potential rebound [3][4]. Cotton - In the short - term, domestic cotton prices may remain high in a narrow range, while they may face pressure after the new cotton is on the market [7]. Eggs - Egg prices are expected to rise slightly this week and then stabilize, as demand is increasing but supply is sufficient and high - temperature weather may limit price increases [9]. Corn - In the short - term, the corn market may be bullish but with limited upside. In the medium - term, supply is expected to be tight, and prices may be supported [12][13]. Meal - The domestic meal market is recommended for cautious long - positions, as the market is expected to be supported by potential drought in the US and high Brazilian prices [16]. Pigs - Pig prices are expected to be range - bound, with limited upside and downside. Caution is advised when chasing long positions in the far - month contracts [19]. Summary by Related Catalogs Oils and Fats - **Price Changes**: On July 22, compared to July 21, soybeans' spot price increased slightly, futures price decreased slightly, and the basis decreased. Palm oil's spot and futures prices increased, and the basis increased significantly. Rapeseed oil's spot and futures prices decreased [1]. - **Market Analysis**: Palm oil is affected by fundamental factors, and domestic port inventories are increasing. For soybean oil, weather impacts are rising as August approaches, and domestic basis differences vary between July and August [1]. Sugar - **Price Changes**: On July 22, domestic sugar futures prices decreased slightly, ICE raw sugar decreased, and most spot prices changed slightly. Imported sugar prices decreased, and the difference between imported and domestic sugar prices decreased [3]. - **Industry Situation**: National and Guangxi's sugar production, sales, and sales rates increased year - on - year, while industrial inventories decreased [3]. - **Market Analysis**: Brazil's sugar production in the second half of June decreased more than expected. The short - term bottom of raw sugar prices may appear, but a bearish view is maintained overall. The domestic market is expected to be more balanced in supply and demand [3][4]. Cotton - **Price Changes**: On July 22, compared to July 21, cotton futures prices increased slightly, and most spot prices decreased [7]. - **Industry Situation**: North China's inventory, industrial inventory, and imports decreased, while cotton outbound shipments increased. Some downstream indicators such as yarn and fabric inventory days increased [7]. - **Market Analysis**: The downstream demand is still weak, but the cotton price increase has driven up yarn prices. The supply side has some pressure from the sale of old cotton, but the tight inventory situation is difficult to resolve before the new cotton is on the market [7]. Eggs - **Price Changes**: On July 22, compared to July 21, egg futures prices decreased slightly, and the spot price increased slightly. The basis increased significantly [9]. - **Industry Situation**: Egg - laying chick prices decreased slightly, culled chicken prices increased, and the egg - feed ratio and breeding profit decreased [9]. - **Market Analysis**: The supply of eggs is sufficient, but high - temperature weather has affected production. Demand has increased, and prices are expected to rise slightly and then stabilize [9]. Corn - **Price Changes**: On July 22, compared to July 21, corn futures prices increased slightly, and the basis decreased. Corn starch futures prices increased slightly, and the basis decreased [12]. - **Industry Situation**: The auction on July 22 had a 27% success rate. The supply is tightening due to reduced sales and weather impacts, and demand is supported by the breeding industry [12]. - **Market Analysis**: In the short - term, the market may be bullish but with limited upside. In the medium - term, supply is expected to be tight, and prices may be supported [12][13]. Meal - **Price Changes**: On July 22, compared to July 21, soybean meal and rapeseed meal spot and futures prices increased slightly, and the basis of soybean meal decreased while that of rapeseed meal increased [16]. - **Industry Situation**: US soybeans are at the bottom, and Brazilian prices are high. Domestic soybean and soybean meal inventories are rising, and the basis is low [16]. - **Market Analysis**: The domestic meal market is recommended for cautious long - positions, as the market is expected to be supported by potential drought in the US and high Brazilian prices [16]. Pigs - **Price Changes**: On July 22, compared to July 21, pig futures prices increased slightly, and the 9 - 11 spread decreased. Spot prices in most regions decreased slightly [19]. - **Industry Situation**: Secondary fattening enthusiasm has declined, and market demand is weak. Breeding profits are low, and the supply in the fourth quarter is expected to increase [19]. - **Market Analysis**: Pig prices are expected to be range - bound, with limited upside and downside. Caution is advised when chasing long positions in the far - month contracts [19].

Group 1: Oils and Fats Industry Report Industry Investment Rating Not provided Core View Malaysian palm oil futures are range - bound, with high inventory expectations suppressing the market. Domestic palm oil futures are also in high - level shock adjustment. For soybean oil, international palm oil price advantage and potential negative US biodiesel policies are dragging down the market. With large soybean arrivals and high factory开机 rates in June, soybean oil inventory will continue to increase, and the spot basis will decline [1]. Summary by Directory - **Soybean Oil**: Spot price remained unchanged at 8050 yuan in Jiangsu on June 4. Futures price (Y2509) dropped 0.35% to 7402 yuan. Basis increased by 4.18% to 648 yuan. Warehouse receipts increased by 6.12% to 18202 [1]. - **Palm Oil**: Spot price in Guangdong dropped 1.71% to 8600 yuan. Futures price (P2509) fell 0.50% to 7976 yuan. Basis decreased by 14.99% to 624 yuan. The盘面 import cost dropped 0.89%, and the盘面 import profit increased 5.18% [1]. - **Rapeseed Oil**: Spot price in Jiangsu dropped 2.92% to 9320 yuan. Futures price (O1509) fell 1.05% to 8856 yuan. Basis decreased by 28.62% to 464 yuan [1]. - **Spreads**: For example, the soybean - palm oil spot spread increased 21.43% to - 550 yuan, and the 2509 contract spread increased 12.30% to - 442 yuan [1]. Group 2: Sugar Industry Report Industry Investment Rating Not provided Core View Global sugar supply is becoming more abundant, putting pressure on raw sugar, which is expected to be in a weak - shock pattern. Although raw sugar has not fully entered the domestic market, future import rhythm is the focus. Domestic sugar supply - demand is generally loosening, and long - term supply increase will suppress sugar prices [3]. Summary by Directory - **Futures Market**: Sugar 2601 increased 0.12% to 5624 yuan/ton, and sugar 2509 increased 0.28% to 5748 yuan/ton. The 1 - 9 spread decreased 7.83% to - 124 yuan/ton. The main contract's open interest increased 1.78% to 335901, and the warehouse receipts decreased 1.40% to 30300 [3]. - **Spot Market**: Nanning's price remained unchanged at 2090 yuan, while Kunming's price dropped 0.67% to 5910 yuan. The import cost of Brazilian sugar decreased, and the spreads between imported sugar and domestic prices also changed [3]. - **Industry Situation**: National sugar production and sales increased by 11.63% and 26.07% respectively. The national cumulative sales ratio increased 12.97% to 65.22%, and the industrial inventory decreased 8.20% to 386.26 million tons [3]. Group 3: Cotton Industry Report Industry Investment Rating Not provided Core View The downstream of the cotton industry is weak, with falling product prices, slightly lower开机 rates, and rising inventory. However, the spot basis is still strong, and there are concerns about the end - of - period available inventory. Short - term domestic cotton prices may be in a weak - shock pattern, and attention should be paid to the macro and downstream demand [6]. Summary by Directory - **Futures Market**: Cotton 2509 increased 0.04% to 13265 yuan/ton, and cotton 2601 remained unchanged at 13320 yuan/ton. The 9 - 1 spread increased 8.33% to - 55 yuan/ton. The main contract's open interest decreased 2.55% to 525386, and the warehouse receipts decreased 0.77% to 10977 [6]. - **Spot Market**: Xinjiang's arrival price (3128B) dropped 0.10% to 14431 yuan, and the CC Index (3128B) dropped 0.06% to 14544 yuan [6]. - **Industry Situation**: North China's inventory decreased 7.7% to 383.40, and the industrial inventory decreased 2.6% to 92.90. The import volume decreased 14.3% to 6.00 million tons [6]. Group 4: Egg Industry Report Industry Investment Rating Not provided Core View In June, the inventory of laying hens will reach the highest level in the past five years, increasing the supply pressure. The super - strong plum rain season has weakened the off - season demand. The egg market's supply - demand imbalance may reach a peak, and egg prices are expected to be weak [9]. Summary by Directory - **Futures and Spot**: The egg 09 contract increased 0.21% to 3730 yuan/500KG, and the egg 07 contract decreased 0.69% to 2877 yuan/500KG. The basis decreased 76.00% to - 6 yuan/500KG, and the 9 - 7 spread increased 3.39% to 853 [9]. - **Industry Indicators**: The price of day - old chicks decreased 1.20% to 4.10 yuan/feather, and the price of culled hens decreased 6.45% to 4.79 yuan/jin. The egg - feed ratio increased 0.80% to 2.53, and the breeding profit increased 7.32% to - 15.96 yuan/feather [9]. Group 5: Meal and Oilseed Industry Report Industry Investment Rating Not provided Core View US soybean planting is progressing smoothly, but the market is worried about the impact of tariff policies on demand. Brazilian supply pressure is still being realized, and the domestic cost of soybean meal has support. With sufficient soybean arrivals and increasing oil - mill开机 rates, the supply pressure in the domestic market will increase. Two types of meal are expected to remain in a shock pattern, and the main soybean meal contract is expected to fluctuate between 2900 - 3000 yuan [13]. Summary by Directory - **Soybean Meal**: The spot price in Jiangsu remained unchanged at 2900 yuan. The futures price (M2509) increased 0.14% to 2939 yuan. The basis decreased 11.43% to - 39 yuan. The Brazilian 7 - month ship - period's盘面 import profit decreased 21.7% [13]. - **Rapeseed Meal**: The spot price in Jiangsu dropped 3.54% to 2450 yuan. The futures price (RM2509) decreased 0.55% to 2543 yuan. The basis decreased 447.06% to - 93 yuan. The Canadian 7 - month ship - period's盘面 import profit decreased 336.36% [13]. - **Soybeans**: The price of Harbin soybeans remained unchanged at 3980 yuan, and the price of imported soybeans in Jiangsu also remained unchanged at 3640 yuan. The warehouse receipts decreased 3.78% to 25660 [13]. - **Spreads**: For example, the spot soybean - rapeseed meal spread increased 25.00% to 450 yuan, and the 2509 contract spread increased 4.76% to 396 yuan [13]. Group 6: Pork Industry Report Industry Investment Rating Not provided Core View The spot price of live pigs fluctuates slightly. The slaughter weight is decreasing, and the secondary fattening's impact is limited. The supply - demand situation has limited improvement, and the demand after the Dragon Boat Festival is weak. Although there are still breeding profits, the market's ability to expand production is cautious. The upward and downward trends of the pig price are both limited, and attention should be paid to the support level of 13500 yuan on the futures market [16][17]. Summary by Directory - **Futures Market**: The main contract's basis decreased 9.76% to 740 yuan/ton. The 2507 contract increased 0.34% to 13255 yuan, and the 2509 contract decreased 0.15% to 13490 yuan. The 7 - 9 spread decreased 21.67% to 235 yuan. The main contract's open interest increased 1.55% to 78586 [16]. - **Spot Market**: The spot prices in various regions changed slightly. The daily slaughter volume decreased 0.95% to 142950 heads. The weekly white - strip price remained unchanged at 20.60 yuan, and the weekly price of piglets and sows also remained unchanged [16]. - **Industry Indicators**: The self - breeding profit decreased 26.05% to 36 yuan/head, and the purchased - pig breeding profit decreased 425.34% to - 84 yuan/head. The number of fertile sows decreased 0.02% to 4038 million heads [16]. Group 7: Corn Industry Report Industry Investment Rating Not provided Core View The remaining grain at the grass - roots level has been mostly sold. Traders' inventory is tight, and they are reluctant to sell, making the corn price easy to rise and difficult to fall. Downstream deep - processing enterprises are reducing production to destock, and feed enterprises are increasing the proportion of wheat substitution. In the long - term, the supply - demand gap will support the corn price, but in the short - term, the concentrated listing of wheat will limit the corn's demand. The corn price is expected to be in a range - bound pattern, and attention should be paid to the wheat market and policy - related releases [19][21]. Summary by Directory - **Corn Futures**: Corn 2507 increased 0.34% to 2333 yuan/ton. The basis of Jinzhou Port's flat - hatch price decreased 160.00% to - 3 yuan. The 7 - 9 spread increased 14.81% to - 23 yuan. The open interest decreased 1.87% to 1923031, and the warehouse receipts increased 0.46% to 217020 [19]. - **Corn Starch**: Corn starch 2507 increased 0.49% to 2664 yuan/ton. The basis decreased 33.33% to 26 yuan. The 7 - 9 spread increased 9.21% to - 75 yuan. The open interest increased 0.55% to 325283, and the warehouse receipts decreased 0.21% to 24421 [19].

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings No information about industry investment ratings is provided in the given reports. 2. Core Views Oils and Fats - Palm oil: There is a risk of the futures price falling and adjusting again due to potential negative factors such as increasing production and expected significant inventory growth at the end of May. The domestic palm oil futures may fluctuate after breaking through 8,200 yuan and could potentially rise to 8,300 yuan [1]. - Soybean oil: If the proposed extension of the 45Z clean - fuel tax credit policy in the US is passed, the use of soybean oil in biofuel production will increase significantly. Domestically, the inventory of soybean oil will gradually increase after the Dragon Boat Festival, which may drag down the market [1]. Meals - The US soybean trend is strong due to eased Sino - US trade tensions and downward - adjusted estimates of US soybean production and ending stocks. However, the Brazilian supply pressure is still being realized, and the domestic soybean arrival is abundant without obvious positive support. The basis is under pressure, and attention should be paid to the performance of soybean meal around 2,900 [2]. Livestock (Pigs) - The spot price of pigs is stable with little change in the supply - demand relationship. The price is expected to remain in a volatile pattern. The 09 contract has returned above 14,000, with limited upward and downward movement [5][6]. Corn and Corn Starch - In the short term, the corn market is stable with a strong bottom support. In the long term, the supply will tighten, and the price is expected to rise. The corn starch market shows some fluctuations in relevant indicators [7]. Sugar - The short - term raw sugar is expected to fluctuate widely between 17 - 20 cents per pound. The domestic sugar supply is expected to be loose, and the price is expected to remain volatile within the range of 5,800 - 5,950 yuan per ton [11]. Cotton - The downstream of the cotton industry is gradually weakening, and the supply is expected to be abundant. The short - term domestic cotton price may fluctuate within a range, and attention should be paid to the pressure around 13,500 - 13,700 yuan per ton [12]. Eggs - The supply of eggs is generally sufficient, and the demand is average in most markets. The price is expected to decline slightly and then stabilize this week [14]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Oils and Fats - **Price Changes**: On May 14, compared with May 13, the spot and futures prices of soybean oil, palm oil, and rapeseed oil generally increased, with different changes in basis, spreads, and inventory [1]. - **Policy Impact**: The proposed extension of the 45Z clean - fuel tax credit policy in the US may increase the demand for soybean oil in biofuel production [1]. Meals - **Price Changes**: The prices of soybean meal, rapeseed meal, and soybeans showed various changes in spot, futures, basis, and spreads on May 14 compared with May 13. The import crushing margins also changed [2]. - **Market Situation**: The US soybean market is strong, while the Brazilian supply pressure is being realized, and the domestic soybean arrival is abundant [2]. Livestock (Pigs) - **Price and Indicator Changes**: On May 15, the futures prices of some pig contracts increased, and the spot prices were stable. There were also changes in indicators such as slaughter volume, prices of piglets and sows, and breeding profits [5]. - **Market Outlook**: The supply - demand relationship is stable, and the price is expected to remain volatile [5]. Corn and Corn Starch - **Price and Indicator Changes**: On May 15, the corn futures price increased slightly, and there were changes in basis, spreads, and other indicators. The corn starch market also had corresponding changes in prices and indicators [7]. - **Market Situation**: The corn market has strong bottom support in the short term and is expected to rise in the long term due to supply - demand changes [7]. Sugar - **Price and Indicator Changes**: On May 15, the futures and spot prices of sugar changed, and there were also changes in basis, spreads, and import - related prices. The production and sales of sugar showed year - on - year growth [11]. - **Market Outlook**: The raw sugar is expected to fluctuate, and the domestic sugar price will remain volatile due to supply - demand factors [11]. Cotton - **Price and Indicator Changes**: On May 15, the cotton futures and spot prices changed, and there were also changes in basis, spreads, and inventory - related indicators. The downstream industry showed some changes in production, sales, and inventory [12]. - **Market Outlook**: The short - term cotton price may fluctuate due to supply - demand and macro factors [12]. Eggs - **Price and Indicator Changes**: On May 15, the prices of egg contracts, egg - related products, and indicators such as egg - to - feed ratio and breeding profit changed [14]. - **Market Outlook**: The egg price is expected to decline slightly and then stabilize due to supply - demand conditions [14].