Core Viewpoint - The investment outlook for the Chinese stock market is positive, with expectations of a rebound in earnings growth from a low base in 2025, leading to an upgrade in valuation attractiveness [1] Group 1: Chinese Stock Market - Standard Chartered maintains an overweight position on Chinese stocks, predicting the Hang Seng Index to range between 28,000 and 30,000 points over the next 12 months [1] - If investment sentiment deteriorates or if there is insufficient policy support, the index could drop to a range of 26,000 to 28,000 points [1] - Concerns about asset valuation and potential bubbles in artificial intelligence capital expenditure may increase next year, with volatility being more significant than the bubble debate [1] Group 2: Interest Rates and Economic Outlook - The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates three times next year, with a potential total reduction of 75 basis points by the end of 2026 [1] - The macroeconomic outlook remains favorable for risk assets, supported by anticipated interest rate cuts [1] Group 3: Investment Strategy - The company suggests a diversified investment strategy, recommending an overweight position in gold and global equities while reducing exposure to European (excluding the UK) and Japanese stocks [1] - India is recommended for an overweight position due to its favorable outlook [1] Group 4: Emerging Bonds and Gold - The company is overweight on emerging market bonds, expecting them to outperform developed markets as U.S. 10-year Treasury yields may fall to between 3.75% and 4% over the next 12 months [2] - Gold is anticipated to challenge new highs, with spot gold potentially reaching $4,800 next year as central banks and investors seek alternatives to the dollar [2]

Core Viewpoint - Schroders' investment team indicates that the Federal Reserve's policy stance is more dovish than previously expected, leading to a decline in real yields, which, combined with strong corporate earnings and loose fiscal policy, has resulted in a positive outlook for global equities, particularly favoring U.S. and emerging market stocks [1] Group 1: Market Analysis - The investment firm previously held a neutral stance on equities, but recent negative U.S. non-farm payroll data has led to a re-pricing of interest rate cut expectations by the market [1] - U.S. Treasury yields have risen, pushing valuations into a more expensive range [1] Group 2: Asset Preferences - Schroders continues to favor gold due to its benefits from lower real yields and its protective qualities against debt sustainability and concerns over Federal Reserve independence [1] - The firm has downgraded its view on local currency debt in emerging markets after strong performance, while maintaining a bearish outlook on the U.S. dollar [1] Group 3: Regional Focus - The outlook for Chinese and emerging Asian equities has been upgraded, supported by improving economic activity indicators in China and signs of export recovery in South Korea and Taiwan, providing a strong basis for broader allocation in technology export-related sectors [1]