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【黄金期货收评】金价涨势未尽藏隐忧 沪金涨4.82%
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-10-10 01:27
节日期间,COMEX期金涨势如虹、再创新高,现货金更是首度冲破每盎司4000美元关口。地缘与经济 风险攀升,叠加市场对美国降息的预期升温,驱动投资者蜂拥买入黄金避险。白银市场同样趋紧,租赁 利率走高,印度季节性需求旺盛助力涨势。多重利好共振助推金银上扬:美降息预期、经济前景不明、 央行大举扫货、ETF资金涌入及政府停摆引发的避险潮。 美国政府停摆持续至第八日,关键数据发布停滞,投资者转而依赖非官方渠道研判美联储政策动向。参 众两院围绕拨款法案激烈博弈却均告失败,共和党方案因未获60票支持而流产,民主党提案亦遭否决。 CME FedWatch工具显示,市场押注美联储10月降息25基点概率高达98%,12月再降25基点的概率达 90%。 【黄金期货最新行情】 | 10月9日 | 收盘价(元/克) | 当日涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 持仓量(手) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 沪金主力 | 914.32 | 4.82% | 196141 | 251137 | 打开APP,查看更多高清行情>> 【基本面消息】 数据显示,10月9日上海黄金现货价格报价910.89元/克,相较 ...
美股齐跌,“中国金龙”下挫2%,金价也跌了
Di Yi Cai Jing Zi Xun· 2025-10-10 00:48
2025.10.10 人工智能相关板块此前推动美股强劲上涨,但市场对估值过高及泡沫风险的担忧升温。有分析人士表 示,这一波由AI驱动的行情或进入技术性休整阶段。 与此同时,美国政府关门进入第九天,仍未出现实质性进展,导致部分经济数据暂缓发布。投资者将目 光转向美联储官员的最新表态,以研判年底前是否再度降息。纽约联储主席威廉姆斯在接受采访时表 示,考虑到就业市场可能进一步走弱,他支持年内继续降息。期货市场数据显示,美联储10月会议降息 25个基点的概率高达94.6%。 本文字数:1187,阅读时长大约2分钟 作者 |第一财经 胡弋杰 美国股市周四收盘走弱,投资者在缺乏新的经济数据和市场催化剂的情况下选择调整仓位。标普500指 数和纳斯达克指数自历史高位回落,道琼斯工业平均指数录得一个月来最大单日跌幅。 截至收盘,道琼斯工业平均指数下跌243.36点,报46358.42点,跌幅0.52%;标普500指数下跌18.61点, 收于6735.11点,跌幅0.28%;纳斯达克综合指数下跌18.75点,报23024.63点,跌幅0.08%。 标普500指数11个板块中,原材料板块跌幅居前,必需消费品板块是唯一上涨的板块。住 ...
亚市早盘金价小幅走高 受美联储降息前景支撑
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-11 00:32
亚洲早盘交易中金价小幅走高,美联储降息前景料将提振这种无息贵金属的吸引力。现货金上涨 0.1%,报每盎司3,645.84美元。Sky Links Capital Group的Daniel Takieddine报告表示,金价继续受到上周 疲软的就业数据以及周二基准修正数据的支撑,后者显示美国就业增长明显慢于此前的估计。这位联合 创始人兼首席执行官表示:"一连串令人失望的劳动力市场指标强化了市场对年底前多次降息的押注, 增加了无收益资产的吸引力。" ...
纽约期金向下触及3400美元/盎司
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-08-14 07:55
Core Viewpoint - The New York gold futures have declined to $3,400 per ounce, with a daily drop of 0.25%. Meanwhile, the spot gold price has fallen below $3,350, experiencing a daily decrease of 0.18% [1] Group 1 - New York gold futures reached a low of $3,400 per ounce [1] - Spot gold price dropped below $3,350 [1] - Daily decline rates for gold futures and spot prices are 0.25% and 0.18% respectively [1]
技术分析网站Economies:现货金价跌破短期一条看涨趋势线支撑 加剧了抛售压力
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-08-13 06:37
Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that spot gold prices are experiencing slight declines due to negative pressure from the EMA50 moving average, particularly after breaking below a short-term bullish trendline, which has intensified selling pressure [1] - The RSI indicator on the 4-hour chart has reached a significantly oversold level, suggesting a potential for positive momentum that could pave the way for a short-term rebound in gold prices [1]
平安证券晨会纪要-20250704
Ping An Securities· 2025-07-04 01:12
Core Viewpoints - The report suggests that in the second half of the year, credit bond yields may follow government bond yields downward, but the supply of credit bonds may increase while demand weakens, leading to a risk of widening credit spreads [3][6][7]. Market Overview Domestic Market - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3461, with a daily increase of 0.18% and a weekly increase of 1.91% [1]. - The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 10535, with a daily increase of 1.17% and a weekly increase of 3.73% [1]. - The CSI 300 Index closed at 3968, with a daily increase of 0.62% and a weekly increase of 1.95% [1]. - The ChiNext Index closed at 2164, with a daily increase of 1.90% and a weekly increase of 5.69% [1]. International Market - The Hang Seng Index closed at 24070, with a daily decrease of 0.63% and a weekly increase of 3.20% [4]. - The Dow Jones Index closed at 44484, with a daily decrease of 0.02% and a weekly increase of 3.82% [4]. - The S&P 500 Index closed at 6227, with a daily increase of 0.47% and a weekly increase of 3.44% [4]. Credit Bond Strategy - The report emphasizes that the overall strategy for credit bonds in the second half of the year should focus on extending duration, as it may still be a better strategy. Additionally, opportunities in lower-rated bonds should be monitored [6][7]. - Among the three major sectors, it is recommended to pay more attention to municipal investment bonds, as their supply is expected to weaken, followed by financial bonds [6][7]. Sector Strategies 1. **Municipal Investment Bonds**: Focus on opportunities for spread compression in high-quality municipal bonds from good regions, as policies may alleviate credit risks [7]. 2. **Industrial Bonds**: Monitor opportunities for spread recovery in state-owned enterprise bonds after risk events have eased, as well as coupon opportunities from state-owned real estate and construction bonds [7]. 3. **Financial Bonds**: Pay attention to overall opportunities arising from reduced supply pressure on perpetual bonds and structural opportunities from the merger of rural commercial banks [7]. 4. **Technology Innovation Bonds**: Opportunities for spread compression are worth noting, as their rates are slightly higher than green bonds [7].
全球贸易形势日趋复杂
citic securities· 2025-06-13 03:11
固 定 收 益 周四美国国债大涨,PPI 数据不及 预期,强劲的 30 年期国债标售,和 中东地区的地缘紧张局势,推动美 国国债上涨。亚洲债券市场呈现双 向交投,卖盘压力至债券利差走宽 2-3 个基点。 环球市场动态 全 球 贸 易 形 势 日 趋 复 杂 股 票 A 股周四小幅震荡,酒类板块低迷; 港股受全球市场情绪影响表现不 佳,医药板块继续获抱团;欧洲股 市表现疲软,中东局势升温令市场 担忧;美股小幅收高,PPI 数据低 于预期得到市场积极反映,金龙中 国指数下跌。 外 汇 / 商 品 以色列袭击伊朗,其官员证实袭击 目标是伊朗核设施,中东紧张局势 升温,今早亚洲时段原油期货曾大 涨超 8%、现货金涨超 1%、美元指 数微涨。 产品及投资方案部 注:bp/bps=基点;pt/pts=百分点 中信证券财富管理 (香港) 免责声明请参考封底 2025 年 6 月 13 日 123 ▪ 在全球贸易形势日趋复杂的背景下,出口企业商业模式在贸易规则制约下不断调整,理解贸易制度成为投资判 断的重要前提。从权力划分来看,美国贸易政策体系涵盖立法、执行与监督三个环节,总统在贸易政策上拥有 较大的裁量权。从执行体系来看, ...
6月4日| 财经简报 中美贸易紧迫性提升 美欧贸易关系紧张 李在明当选韩国第21届总统
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-04 06:34
Global Trade and Tariff Policy - The US has raised tariffs on imported steel and aluminum from 25% to 50%, causing concerns over global supply chain disruptions. The EU has threatened to implement countermeasures by July 14 if no agreement is reached, escalating trade tensions between the US and EU [3] - The Midwest aluminum premium surged by 54%, and steel futures rose over 8%, increasing cost pressures on downstream industries such as automotive and appliances [3] - Brazil and India have indicated they will take reciprocal measures or resort to the WTO if negotiations fail [3] US-China Trade Negotiations - The Trump administration has requested countries to submit their best trade proposals by June 4, or face the reinstatement of tariffs. China has responded by stating it will maintain communication based on the consensus from Geneva talks, with a potential extension of short-term tariff exemptions until the end of August [4] Federal Reserve and Interest Rate Policy - Federal Reserve officials have expressed caution regarding rapid interest rate cuts, emphasizing the need for more evidence of declining inflation. Current rates are seen as providing a solid foundation for economic conditions [5] - US factory orders fell by 3.7% month-on-month in April, marking the largest decline since January 2024, while job vacancies increased to 7.39 million, indicating a mixed picture of labor market resilience and cooling [6] - The market anticipates a 98% probability that the Federal Reserve will maintain interest rates in June, with the first rate cut potentially delayed until after July [7] Commodity Market - Oil prices have risen to a two-week high, with Brent crude increasing by 1.5% to $65.63 per barrel and US crude rising by 1.4% to $63.41 per barrel, influenced by ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict and deadlock in the US-Iran nuclear deal [7] - Gold prices have faced downward pressure due to a strengthening dollar, with spot gold dropping nearly 1% to $3352.30 per ounce, while platinum and palladium prices rose by 0.9% and 2.1% respectively due to industrial demand [8] Stock Market Performance - US tech stocks led the market, with Nvidia rising nearly 3% to reclaim the title of the world's most valuable company, and Broadcom delivering record switch chip deliveries, contributing to the Nasdaq's first year-to-date gain [9] - In China, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.43%, with the Shenzhen and ChiNext indices increasing by 0.16% and 0.48% respectively, supported by active trading in sectors such as innovative pharmaceuticals and robotics [10] Policy and Industry Highlights - A joint initiative by five departments has launched a campaign to promote the adoption of 124 models of new energy vehicles in rural areas, aiming to enhance charging infrastructure and vehicle-network interaction technology [11] - A collaboration between Yaoshi Bang and Yujian Technology is set to advance the development of pharmaceutical collaborative robots, with the medical robot market projected to exceed $373 million by 2028 [12]
5月26日电,现货金下跌近1%,至每盎司3,323.59美元。
news flash· 2025-05-26 09:35
Group 1 - The core point of the article is that spot gold has decreased by nearly 1%, reaching a price of $3,323.59 per ounce [1]
ETO交易平台:金市波动加剧 贸易乐观情绪与美联储政策预期的夹击
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-15 10:08
Core Viewpoint - The recent decline in gold prices reflects a shift in market sentiment and investor risk appetite, driven by rising optimism in global trade and uncertainty regarding the Federal Reserve's policy direction [1][5]. Market Performance - Spot gold prices fell over 2% on Wednesday, reaching a low of $3181.62 per ounce, the lowest level since April 11, with intraday lows hitting $3174.62 [3]. - Other precious metals also experienced declines: silver dropped 1.9% to $32.25 per ounce, platinum fell 0.6% to $982.05 per ounce, and palladium decreased 0.3% to $954.36 per ounce, indicating overall pressure in the precious metals market [3]. Trade Sentiment - The increase in trade optimism has significantly boosted market risk appetite, leading investors to shift funds from traditional safe-haven assets like gold to riskier assets such as stocks and commodities [3][4]. Federal Reserve Policy Expectations - Market participants are awaiting the release of the Producer Price Index (PPI) data for clues on the Federal Reserve's policy adjustments, with expectations that a higher-than-expected PPI could reinforce the likelihood of interest rate hikes, further pressuring gold prices [4]. Technical Analysis - The recent drop in gold prices may be seen as a correction following a period of significant increases driven by global economic uncertainty and geopolitical tensions [4]. - The relative strength of the U.S. dollar has negatively impacted gold prices, as gold is priced in dollars, making it less attractive to investors holding other currencies [4]. Long-term Outlook - Despite the recent price drop, analysts believe that gold's long-term value as a safe-haven asset remains intact due to ongoing global economic recovery uncertainties and geopolitical risks [4][5]. - The continued implementation of loose monetary policies by global central banks may enhance gold's appeal as a hedge against inflation and currency depreciation [4].