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Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 1.201 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 3.87%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 269 million yuan, a decrease of 26.85% year-on-year [2] - The fluctuation in performance is primarily due to product structure adjustments, with high-margin carbon fiber and fabric segments experiencing a revenue decline of 6.85% to 636 million yuan, despite maintaining a gross margin of 60.32% [2] - The low-margin wind power carbon beam business benefited from a recovery in downstream wind power demand, achieving a revenue increase of 47.95% to 369 million yuan, becoming a key growth driver [2] - The overall gross margin decreased from 44.63% in the first half of 2024 to 42.47% in the first half of 2025, influenced by changes in product structure [2] - The company is optimizing resource allocation to promote the scaling of products like wind power carbon beams, although demand in high-value-added areas is under short-term pressure, leading to profit growth significantly lagging behind revenue growth [2] Financial Summary - The company forecasts total revenue of 2.694 billion yuan for 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 9.94% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 761 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2.68% [1] - The latest diluted EPS is expected to be 0.92 yuan per share for 2025, with a P/E ratio of 34.17 [1] - The comprehensive gross margin for the first half of 2025 was 42.47%, with the carbon fiber and fabric segment maintaining a gross margin of 60.32% [2] - The company reported a cash flow from operating activities of 307 million yuan, a decrease of 15.76% year-on-year, primarily due to changes in payment collection and increased inventory [2]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained at "Buy" with a target price of RMB 36.00 [1][4][6]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of RMB 1.201 billion for H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 3.87%, but a net profit of RMB 269 million, which is a year-on-year decrease of 26.85%. The decline in net profit is attributed to increased R&D expenses, depreciation from the Baotou project, and intensified competition in the civilian fiber industry [1][2]. - The company expects future growth driven by large contract orders and contributions from the Baotou project, maintaining a positive outlook despite current pressures [1][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of RMB 1.201 billion, with a net profit of RMB 269 million, reflecting a decrease in net profit compared to the previous year [1]. - Q2 2025 revenue was RMB 635 million, down 1.40% year-on-year but up 12.42% quarter-on-quarter. The net profit for Q2 was RMB 115 million, down 45.69% year-on-year and down 25.97% quarter-on-quarter [1][2]. Business Segments - The carbon fiber and fabric segment saw a revenue decline of 6.9% year-on-year to RMB 636 million, impacted by supply-demand imbalances and price declines [2]. - The carbon beam segment's revenue increased by 48% year-on-year to RMB 370 million, while the prepreg segment's revenue decreased by 5.2% year-on-year to RMB 110 million [2]. Contracts and Growth Potential - The company successfully signed a large contract worth RMB 3.664 billion in December 2024, with an execution rate of 16% for 2024. Additionally, a new procurement contract worth RMB 658 million was signed in June 2025 [3]. - The successful verification of new production lines for key carbon fiber products is expected to enhance the company's competitive strength and contribute to revenue growth [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The net profit forecast for 2025 has been adjusted downwards due to increased R&D expenses and competition, but the forecasts for 2026 and 2027 remain unchanged. The projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are RMB 750 million, RMB 1 billion, and RMB 1.121 billion, respectively [4][9]. - The target price is set at RMB 36.00, based on a 40x PE ratio for 2025, reflecting a slight increase from the previous target price of RMB 35.02 [4].

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a mixed performance in the first half of 2025, with revenue growth but a significant decline in net profit, primarily due to industry challenges and pricing pressures in the carbon fiber sector [2][3]. Financial Performance - The company achieved operating revenue of 1.2008 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.87% [3]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 269.45 million yuan, down 26.85% compared to the previous year [3]. - The net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was 245.62 million yuan, a decrease of 24.23% year-on-year [3]. - The net cash flow from operating activities was 307.01 million yuan, down 15.76% from the previous year [3]. - Basic earnings per share were 0.3241 yuan, a decline of 27.27% [3]. - Total assets at the end of the reporting period were 8.0425 billion yuan, a slight decrease of 0.36% from the end of the previous year [3]. Segment Performance - The carbon fiber segment, including the expansion of fiber and Inner Mongolia Guangwei, generated sales of 636 million yuan, down 6.85% year-on-year due to supply-demand imbalance and price declines [2][3]. - The energy new materials segment, which includes wind power carbon beams, achieved sales of 369 million yuan, a significant increase of 47.95% year-on-year due to new customer growth and increased orders from traditional clients [3]. - The prepreg business in the general new materials segment saw sales of 111 million yuan, a decrease of 5.17% due to market competition and price declines [4]. - The composite materials technology segment reported sales of 35 million yuan, down 46.20% year-on-year [5]. - The precision machinery segment achieved sales of 37 million yuan, an increase of 7.88% [6]. - The Guangsheng technology segment generated sales of 7.54 million yuan, up 44.79% year-on-year, focusing on aerospace applications [6]. Strategic Developments - The company has established collaborations in the hydrogen energy sector, with over half of its civil fiber business revenue, approximately 120 million yuan, coming from hydrogen bottle applications [6]. - The company has been included in the procurement catalog for major aircraft projects, indicating a growing presence in the aerospace industry [6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1][15]. Core Views - The company is expected to benefit from long-term demand in the aerospace sector, with new carbon fiber products and production lines achieving verification and acceptance [15]. - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 29.43 billion, 34.30 billion, and 40.60 billion respectively, with corresponding net profits of 8.97 billion, 10.58 billion, and 12.53 billion [15]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 5.65 billion, a year-on-year increase of 10.50% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 3.24% [10]. - The net profit for Q1 2025 was 1.55 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 1.58% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 22.75% [10]. - The company's sales gross margin for Q1 2025 was 47.50%, showing a year-on-year increase of 0.53 percentage points and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 6.17 percentage points [10]. Business Segments - In Q1 2025, the revenue from the fiber expansion segment was 3.61 billion, a year-on-year increase of 14.15% [11]. - The energy new materials segment generated 1.10 billion in revenue, a year-on-year increase of 13.07% [11]. - The precision machinery segment saw a significant increase in revenue, achieving 0.19 billion, a year-on-year increase of 193.70% [11]. Market Structure - In 2024, the aerospace, aviation, and new energy sectors were the largest contributors to the company's revenue, totaling 21.34 billion, accounting for 87.12% of total sales [8]. - The aviation business contributed 11.72 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 6.48% [8]. - The new energy-related business saw a revenue increase of 16.66%, contributing 6.99 billion [8]. Product Development - The company has made significant advancements in research and development, including the successful development of T1100-grade carbon fiber and new high-model fibers that have improved wear resistance and reduced production costs [12]. - The GW300 carbon fiber has been approved for use in civil aviation and low-altitude equipment, with revenue from this segment increasing by 495% [12]. Major Contracts - The company has signed significant contracts, including a 20.98 billion contract for carbon fiber and related materials, with 2.95 billion fulfilled in 2024 [13]. - Another contract worth 36.64 billion is in progress, with 6.03 billion fulfilled in 2024 [14].